sepheronx Sun May 04, 2014 4:28 am
gaurav wrote:
I think thats bullshit ever heard of NATO?
When Russia burns Berlin to the ground we will have ww3 going.
Thats partially correct.
Russia will not do anything in Germany.
Russia cannot stand total sanctions from U.S. and whole of E.U.
That will be night mare for Russia.
No use bragging about something which Russia cannot do.
The NATO/U.S are waiting for Russia's miscalculation.
As firebird said even with a (massive recession based economy .. 2-3 % recession expected by all estimates..) Russia arms procurement stands at 700 billion usd in 10 years.
This itself speaks about long term goals of Russia.
But situation not good on the ground..
Everyday 5-10 Russian militia are been killed. Kiev fu@#$ are going out of control with their lunatics.
By Russ calculation it would lead to 500 dead (Russ militia) in 1 -2 months time.
This kiev eunuchs like Tymos, Interior and defense ministers all should be assassinated..
You need to understand what you are talking about, before commenting.
Yes, Russia can survive easily with such sanctions, because EU exports mostly to Russia (their exports stand at being higher than their imports from Russia) hence EU has far more to lose economically. Their exports to Russia is in the $300B range. Second of all, a 2 - 3 % economic so called drop is nothing compared to 2008 for Russia. And the last thing is, Iran, with all the sanctions on board, only saw around -1% drop yet their GDP has grown actually.
If in case Sanctions became more, than the military industrial complex will end up becoming far more important asset to Russia's economy than before, and will end up being the strong arm of the economy, and hence, more money will be thrown into it for safe measures (more people working, means more consumers).
Russia's exports to EU is about 80% in oil and gas, and total stands around $170B. US has even less. Last I heard, US export and import from Russia stands at around less than 2% of Russia's economy. Only thing Russia relies on through US is the transfer of funds on any sale, as it is done through USD. That will end up changing from Roubles to whichever currency they trade with. Future transactions with India is already being pushed for Roubles and Rupees. Roubles and Yuan for China, etc.
http://atlas.media.mit.edu/profile/country/rus/
From what you can see in this, Russia imports about 1% less than from EU. You can see what is the main imports and at what %. With the increase demand in China and India, it is a huge opportunity to expand that market. EU is not really interested in sanctions towards energy import, and are going as far as wanting to help pay for Ukraines debt to Gazprom. Add in that growing countries like Indonesia and alike will end up being importers of energy. Vietnam is interested in free trade with Russia and their demands for energy is going up. Bangledesh included as well. Then there is the push from Putin for Africa. South Africa is interested in Russian business, and already Russian banks are opening in South Africa and helicopter repair plants. Next stages will be telecommunications, energy, and Pharmaceuticals. Which Russia could get a lot in terms from India as well.