Hole wrote:
An interesting development to be sure
If he is dead, then it makes me wonder why the Ukrainians did not report it immediately - it can't be hidden indefinately. What are they hoping for, that he will return from the dead?
Well then again, we're talking about the same people who refused to order a withdrawal from Bakhmut after their defensive position there became compromised.
Now if that's the case, then how about some theories about why he was taken out
A). In retaliation to the drone attack on the Kremlin. The timeline fits well, with the attack on the Kremlin only taking place a few days before Zaluzhny is speculated to have been taken out. And Zelensky is still out and about traveling the world since that little incident, so clearly something has him spooked strong. I consider this to be the most likely explanation.
B). Accidentally. There are so many missiles, shells, rockets flying about hitting things, including command posts and various bunkers, that it's just a hazardous trade visiting anywhere near the front and Zaluzhny got unlucky during his latest trip. I'd actually put this as the 2nd most likely explanation.
C). Russian command figured that Sirsky is less competent than Zaluzhny and so now would be a good time to promote the former. This would seem to be borne out by Sirksy's recent attacks on the flanks of Bakhmut, that produced minimal territorial gains but by some accounts led to the bloodiest single day of the war so far for the Ukrainians. However, arguing against that is the fact that Zaluzhny is/was somewhat of a rash, fanatic nationalist figure, who even if he does push back against plans for offensives sometimes, nevertheless has been responsible for the very battle of Bakhmut in the first place, which has so sapped Ukrainian manpower, and ordered the offensives in Kharkov and Kherson that got so many experienced Ukrainian troops killed for territory that didn't mean much. Sirsky meanwhile is older, and may prove to be more conservative in his war-fighting strategy, that would actually disadvantage Russia. Still though, I'd say it's quite a plausible explanation too.
D). The Russian political leadership figured that Zaluzhny was too much a darling of the US, too well connected to them, too committed to the current course and ideological in his nationalism - to ever be able to serve as anything more than a barrier to any sort of Russian end-game in the Ukraine, as much as Zelensky is himself. And that removing him may start to shift things around and potentially create an opening for Russia somehow. The least likely theory on its own IMO, as the question that inevitably follows on from it is "why now?", that we can't answer.. however it could serve as a contributing consideration to the decision to liquidate Zaluzhny at least.
JohninMK wrote:You have to wonder why, after all this time, this building was still standing.
More than likely, Ukrainian troops only recently occupied it.
JohninMK wrote:
It's just so comical
"Hitting Russian railroads, fuel supplies"
Do they suppose they're fighting against Nazi Germany circa 1944, with its steel shortage and growing fuel crisis, which needed to run logistics networks by rail over thousands of kilometers of occupied territory?