Sujoy wrote:Not to mention the cost issue . The system should have a cost-exchange advantage at the margin in the worst case; that is to say, the unit of defense must always be cheaper than whatever the offense could do at the margin, so that the attacker could not possibly scale his way out of the challenge posed to the attacker by the defender
Cant agree. Mentioning Kremlin and missile cost efficiency in the same sentence or paragraph simply do not add up because Kremlin has no price and no one will view spend 48N6 to shoot down cruise missile as a bad trade off.
Sujoy wrote:Say a hostile missile is approaching the Kremlin at low altitude . Do you use the S 300 / S 400 or do you use your Pantsirs and VSHORADS ? The warhead on the S 300 missile is approximately 140 kgs . The warhead on the cruise missile will weigh approximately 400kgs . When two such missiles collide at such high speeds at low altitude the combined force of the blast will cause a great deal of damage on the ground . That's why you use a smaller missile like the 57E6 or 2A38M 30 mm autocannon guns . Destroying the warhead aboard an ICBM is different from simply destroying the launch vehicle.
I think you are using the wrong starting point. Lets say you have a cruise missile flying toward some target defended by S-300V/BUK/TOR/ZSU-23.
You radar sees the targets well in advance and sends information to command post which performs calculations: What do you think it will do?
- let the rocket pass all S-300V/BUK/TOR only to be shoot down with ZSU-23 because of cost efficiency
- send one 9M83 on the target and if the target is shoot down than all is oke but if not send one 9M38 and after that if target is still alive one 9M330.
- something else ?
- and a question - what if you have a low flying target detected and aimed but not being able to reach by short range AD systems
Just to remind you that Russians had long time ago decided to shoot all flying targets be it a decoys, missiles, planes or AWACS etc - thats why Almaz-Antej motto is "clear skies - is our bussines"
Sujoy wrote:Viktor wrote:while EU SAM air defenses are basically non existent they have capable air force that will cover low level approach
The greatest advantage of aircraft-based AEW/ Interceptor systems is also the source of their greatest limitation for sustained cruise missile defense, especially for the homeland. They are few in number and have high procurement and operating costs. They require bases and infrastructure which add to those costs.While front-line combat aircraft are profoundly capable assets, they are not optimal resources on which to base an effective and cost-effective continuous defense against cruise / ballistic missiles. Fighters are expensive to operate and maintain and have very limited on-station endurance, regardless of whether they are based on land or aircraft carriers.
Further, interception times and basing locations may not permit the timely interception of cruise missiles on short notice as might well be the result of surprise launches of cruise missiles from offshore cargo ships or submarines. Combat aircraft are best employed in in-theater warfighting, which is their primary function.
I completely agree. Thats why I said:
Viktor wrote:To loose (or not to have) any one of those things means severely degrading your ability to withstand air attacks.
Thing is that while I agree with you, EU countries decided to rely on radar coverage in cooperation with fighters to repel any attacks. And while that is not
the most luckiest combination it still excluded AAA from the equation which was my point. Iran is your only example of using S-200/AAA in combo to apply tactics
you described. Even Iran will send some fighters in to deal with low flying menaces.