Russia not delivering on NS2 would be grave mistake.
It is like the JPOA agreement... the EU is claiming it is keeping up its end of the bargain but because of pressure from the US it really is not, so the deal is not as useful to Russia (Iran) as it was originally when everyone followed the plan.
NSII used to be an efficient way of ensuring Russia could supply gas ordered and paid for by its customers in the EU without the risk of it getting stolen in the Ukraine.
The US and certain countries in the EU are trying to make NSII some sort of guarantee of Russian economic support for the Ukraine via a subsidy for using pipes on Ukrainian land.
It was never intended to be such... in fact the purpose was the problems the Ukraine caused in the first place... if the pipes through the Ukraine were reliable then there would be no need for NSII at all... but there clearly is.... but only for Germany and the EU, whose demand for gas is only getting bigger.
Pulling out will not only impose the obligation of compensation onto Russias shoulders, it will also adversely impact the reputation they are trying to build as a fair partner in honest partnerships.
None of them are standing up to the US and her EU bitches... if they don't want to fight for this pipeline to ensure energy security for the EU then why should Russia?
Russia should be building gas pipelines through North Korea to reach South Korea and perhaps across the water to Japan... some extra money for NK would be better for that country that does not despise Russia, and they could adapt to using gas themselves.
Russia sticking to her guns and delivering on her legal contractural obligations is having soft-power payoff as non-aligned nations see Russia facing off against Murican and Eurotrash corruption and (so far) they are winning.
But if they complete the pipeline and the US just tells Germany they can't use it if there are any problems between Ukraine and Russia then we can pretend the NSII pipeline does not even exist and is not relevant.
Sticking it to the feckless Murican deep state criminals is a worthy goal, and depriving Banderite Ukropistan of transit fees is iceing on the cake.
But that is the point even with 10 NS pipelines... NSI to NSX, when Washington says turn off the gas at your end Germany will comply like the little bitch she is, and there will have been no point in building the NSII in the first place.
Like I said it would be better to use the pipeline to deliver cheap gas to Kaliningrad without needing to pump it through any other states that will take transit fees for the delivery.
I agree that Russia should not terminate the contract, but she should not do anything to help get the thing finished above what they have already agreed upon.
If the EU and Germany can't be bothered to get it finished then why should Russia help finish it... it benefits the EU more than it benefits Russia... especially when they can earn a lot more sending gas to Asia.
Nations like China watch the unfolding drama and are quietly cheering Russia on.
I honestly think most countries from a distance are wondering why Russia bothers working with these ungrateful assholes... it is like a guy from a gas company laying pipes to you miles out in the countryside and they are complaining because the high viz vest you are wearing is orange and not yellow, while someone from across down is upset because the pipe you are laying does not go through his poor friends property so he is not getting paid for this gas getting to you... it is just totally unbelievable.
NS2 is more than just a gas pipeline. It is a battle of wills and soft-power between a free soverign Russia and a declining corrupt oligarchic US hegemon. Russia simply must win. The forces of Evil need a publically-delivered bloody nose.
If it completes the pipeline Russia can't win. If it completes it it is then tied in to long term supplying of cheap energy to an economic rival while also having to support a hostile neighbour that kills its own citizens that dare to want to speak Russian.
Gas delivery to the EU already exists, the reason they need NSII is because one transit country is a thief and is broken. The EU broke it. The EU and the US essentially control the thief country in question.
Let the EU and US deal with any problems of supply to the EU of piped gas... if they need a top up because the US can't supply enough and they can't stop the Ukraine from stealing and so that pipe gets closed then they can buy liquified gas and pay the extra.
I am sure demand in Asia and the much higher price they pay will make a shift of focus in that direction much more profitable... Europe can freeze.
Others might break their contracts, that's up to them, but its clear that Russia, before and no doubt after Putin, believes that its word is its bond. As it used to be in old fashioned face to face business.
But it is not Russia that is breaking the contract, it is western countries dropping out of the deal to protect their American market access.
Russia can just let the project stagnate.... after a couple of years the EU partners will drop out and it will collapse and Russia can complete the pipes to Kaliningrad.
As long as those pipes in Ukraine don't fall apart then, apart perhaps from war in Donbas or other contract fail, that gas will flow until the end of the contract.
They stole gas before and it was with the Russian friendly government that was overthrown by the current EU friendly group... it is rather likely they will do it again considering their economic position now is rather worse than it was then.
Media: Germany is considering the idea of using a "shutdown mechanism" for Nord Stream 2
That is brilliant though, because it means nothing.
If the Ukraine pull some shit like stealing gas intended for other users and Russia decides to reduce or stop gas flows through the Ukraine and Germany decides to stop the flow via NSII... who exactly will suffer?
Germany of course.
I wonder which Germany will listen to when push comes to shove.... Washington or the German companies who have to shut down production for periods during the day due to lack of electricity or energy.
Russia can simply refuse to accept Germany putting any shutdown mechanism in the system and if they try to force it in then Russia can say Germany broke the deal.
America will be happy, but Germany and the EU will be pissed off and cold next winter.
Russia managed to be tougher on the New START treaty... Russian politicians were told not to approach US counterparts... they left it up to the Americans to bring up the subject and start talks and they were clear that no concessions or conditions would be acceptable... and it worked.
Perhaps more of the same in this case...
There are plenty of customers for their gas world wide... selling it would not be a problem... and they would get a bigger profit margin in most other places on the planet.
Some suggest the EU is rich so Russia would make more money selling it to them, but those bastards are the tightest
and negotiate the lowest prices so really they are the worst customers to deal with... poor countries pay more and don't screw you around like the EU does.