In Russia, the process of coordinating the state arms program (SPP) for 2018-2027 is coming to an end. The exact figures of the state defense order are closed and, most likely, they will remain so, however, some assumptions about the parameters of the future program can be made. iz.ru understood the expected orders for the Russian Air Force.
New "Dryers"
The air force, organizationally part of the Air and Space Forces of the Russian Federation, remains their largest element. According to the total number of aircraft and helicopters of all types, the Russian Air Force shares the second place in the world with the air force of the People's Liberation Army of China (PLA), second only to the US Air Force. A significant part of the aviation fleet has already been updated within the framework of the completed armaments state program 2006-2015 and the current GPV (2011-2020). Especially it concerns helicopters.
Nevertheless, in the Air Force units there are still a lot of Soviet-built aircraft equipment. In military transport, long-range and special aviation, heavy aircraft with a large resource can fly for several decades, but front-line fighter planes, bombers and other Soviet-built tactical aircraft will obviously be completely replaced in the next decade,
The basis of the procurement program for front-line aviation will still be the Su aircraft. In total, according to available information, as part of the airborne regiments of the Air Force it is intended to have at least 700 fighters (excluding machines stored). About 450 of them are fighters of the Sukhoi Design Bureau, in the overwhelming majority of the new construction, with the exception of a few dozen Su-27 fighters that have undergone modernization into the Su-27SM variant.
First of all it is worth mentioning the Irkutsk Su-30SM, which is also supplied for naval aviation of the Russian Navy. In total, for the Ministry of Defense of Russia, starting in 2012, 116 Su-30SM aircraft were contracted, of which 88 are intended for the Air Force, and 28 for the fleet aviation. Currently, under the signed agreements, about 100 aircraft have been delivered, and according to available information, a new contract for the delivery of another 50 planes for the Defense Ministry should be signed in the near future. This contract should be implemented by 2022, after which the Irkutsk Aircraft Plant will focus on the production of the MS-21 liner currently undergoing testing.
Procurement of the more advanced version of the T-10 platform, the Su-35S fighter, will be continued. It is assumed that in addition to 98 fighters of this type, contracted under the two agreements of 2009 and 2015, no less number of cars of this type will be purchased.
MiG-35 will hang in the air
Aerospace forces order super-maneuverable fighter with the latest on-board equipment In addition, in Komsomolsk, a fifth-generation fighter, the Su-57, is being manufactured. The information on the possible volume of the proposed purchases of this machine varies, but it is most likely that by the end of the new LG, the Air Force will have about 60 vehicles of this type, the first 12 of which will be delivered before the end of 2021 and be tested before the start of the series purchases. It is possible that the lack of fifth-generation machines will be replenished by increasing purchases of Su-30 and Su-35 fighters.
Upgraded "MiGs"
The most numerous representative of the "MiG" brand in the troops in the next decade will still be the Soviet machine - the upgraded MiG-31 interceptor fighter. Capital repair and modernization of these machines are now put on stream, and taking into account the need to cover large areas in the north and the Far East, the total number of repaired interceptors in the Air Force may in the next decade be about 150 aircraft. Also remain in the ranks received in the second half of the zero and in 2010, several dozen fighters MiG-29SMT / UBT. A newer version of "product 9", the MiG-35, is unlikely to be purchased in quantities comparable to Sukhoi, but after mastering a new radar for this fighter, it is possible that new contracts are signed. According to expert estimates,
The shock units of frontline aviation will be equipped exclusively with Sukhoi vehicles. The only representative of the Soviet aircraft industry will be the Su-25 attack aircraft. Most likely, assault aviation regiments will have at least 120-140 modernized aircraft of this type equipped with new guided air munitions.
Another veteran of the USSR Air Force, the Su-24M bomber, who worked brilliantly in the Syrian campaign under the curtain of the career, will still go "on the way out," but only because, unlike the Su-25, he has something to replace: the Su-34 bomber also perfectly showed yourself in Syria. Under the current contracts, the Russian Air Force has already received about 110 vehicles of this type, and the total demand for the Su-34 is close to 200 units. It is not excluded that a new contract for the supply of these bombers will be concluded in 2018-2019, in addition, purchases of Su-34 for naval aviation of the Russian Navy are possible.
The foregoing means that there are about 1,000 vehicles in the air force of the Russian Air Force. On the one hand, this is much less than the Soviet Air Force once had, as well as the fewer planes that the tactical air wings of the Air Force and the US Navy deck aviation, along with the aviation of the Marine Corps, will have. But on the other hand, given the existing tasks, this number is estimated as sufficient.
In the final analysis, it is meaningless to compare the size of the Russian Air Force and potential adversaries. The outcome of the war, in which this correlation of forces really will make sense, is decided not by front-line aviation. In the same conflicts that Russia is likely to face in the next 10 years, no less burden will fall on other components of the Air Force. We will talk about the prospects for their renewal later.