GarryB wrote:A Baltic way is far more likely. Direct to every country that really need the gas.
The only country making pipes is Russia and they are making their pipeline go through Turkey.
Why would they route their gas through the Baltic? Those countries are as bad as Ukraine in terms of relations with Russia... at least Turkey will appreciate the business.
I rather suspect Russia will stop selling to Europe and just sell to Turkey and Turkey can sell to Europe for any price they like...
This is only anti-European wishful thinking. Obviously you know not what I'm talking about. There is a line under the Baltic sea direct from Russia until Germany.
The current main lines from Russia to the West are the following (data about capacity per year):
55.0x10exp9 m3 Nord Stream (Russia-Baltic Sea-Germany)
51.0x10exp9 m3 Northern Lights (Russia- Belarus-...)
32.9x10exp9 m3 Yamal-Europe (Russia-Belarus-Poland-Germany)
26.0x10exp9 m3 Union (Soyuz) (Russia-Ukraine-...)
28.0x10exp9 m3 Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod (Russia-Ukraine-Slovakia-...)
16.0x10exp9 m3 Blue Stream (Russia-Ukraine-Novorrussia-Russia-Turkey)
In construction:
55.0x10exp9 m3 Nord Stream 2 (Russia-Baltic Sea-Germany) http://www.pipeline-journal.net/news/nord-stream-2-gas-pipeline-construction-begins
Projects:
Connection of Yamal-Europe to Slovakia (Poland-Slovakia)
31.5x10exp9 m3 Turkish Stream (Russia-Ukraine-Novorrussia-Russia-Turkey)
With the increase in the supplies by the Nord Stream, the Yamal-Europe pipeline can be allowed to increase its supply to the countries to the South of Poland and Germany. Also the pipelines by Ukraine would tend to supply the Balkans.
Note that Turkey receives only a half of the gas they buy to Russia by the Blue Stream Pipeline. The other half goes by Ukraine, Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria from the Soyuz pipeline.