What do you guys think and what are any weaknesses in his analysis?
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/currencies/de-dollarization-dollar-war-usd-yuan-china-russia-brics-currency-2024-7
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GarryB wrote:He is right when he points out there are problems using other currencies and payment systems, but for Russia and China and to a much lessor extent India, the Americans are making using the US dollar difficult or impossible so they really have no choice but to continue to pursue alternatives.
The US is using its control of the US dollar as a weapon, which makes alternatives to US dollars essential for countries like Russia and China... and as the west has found with sanctions, Russia and China are not tiny little countries that will fold and collapse with sanctions and economic pressure... they both produce things the world needs, and the west also needs.
You can't cut Russia out of the world economy because Russia produces too much of the energy and raw materials the world needs to function... including the west.
If Russia stopped exporting gas there is no replacement... many countries would struggle and for the rest the price of the energy available would skyrocket and become unaffordable to most.
Same with Uranium and titanium and nickel... Russia also exports lots of other things which are going to expand and become essential too...
The simple fact is that BRICS is growing and for western countries who are already forced to buy Russian oil and Russian gas in rubles these money issues are going to become normal until a proper agreed upon currency is created to replace the US dollar and the Euro for international trade.
He mentioned the problems of the Russians getting too many Rupees from India for energy, well that is only a problem because India does not produce anything that Russia wants in large enough volumes for the trade to balance. Some country that buys a lot of things from India and sells a lot of things to Russia might take Rupees as payment so solve the problem but equally Russia could invest in production in India using Indian workers to make things for the Russian market. Everything in India could be paid for in Rupees from the sales to India of oil and gas and other products and the products made in India can be shipped to Russia for use by Russian consumers or for the Russian market... it is paid for by rupees. Maybe building civilian shipping, or building drones, or making ammunition for the Russian military and sales to third party countries that the Russian companies in India could sell in rubles and return the profits to Russia in rubles. India would benefit because wages and taxes and local subcontractors would be paid in trade surplus rupees earned from energy sales to India, but products and third party profits could be paid in rubles and returned to Russia.
Western experts say dedollarisation is myth because the consequences are unthinkable for the US and the western economic model, but BRICS is already about trade outside the western economic model, where BRICS countries will use BRICS currencies and set market prices for their own commodities... starting with food security, and likely adding metals and other markets over time to replace western centric markets designed to control the world and keep the money in the west in the hands of a few, and who cares who starves or suffers..
The comment about restricting trade and damaging your economy by dropping the US dollar and using alternative currencies are amusing because it mentions Russia and yet ignores its booming economy and expanding exports and trade with the rest of the world.
Trade has certainly suffered with western countries but that is because of the sanctions and nothing to do with whether the US dollar is being used in trade or not.
They have to defend the US dollar because their house of cards is built on it as their foundation. When countries stop using it the foundations turn to sand and the whole house collapses and they find themselves on the street fending for themselves... I understand why they are scared... they should be telling Americans to vote for Trump... his wild ideas of dropping sanctions and letting Russia and China use US dollars again would be their only solution that could work.
Russia and China have been talking about dropping the dollar for decades but it wont be easy and will have initial problems... they only did it because the west banned them from SWIFT and seized their American dollar assets... THEY STOLE THEM AND ARE STEALING THE INTEREST THAT THEY SHOULD BE GETTING.
That is why BRICS are dedollarising and why they will push forward and get it done because the US can't be trusted and they don't want their money stolen again... part of TRUMP dropping the sanctions would have to include unfreezing Russian assets and if he doesn't then he should expect dedollarisation to continue.
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This is a good article discussing the fall of the dollar could lead to fall of US empire; I think the US would go to war with Russia and China out of anger.
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andalusia wrote:Just saw this this; What do you guys make of India doing this?
https://watcher.guru/news/brics-country-rejects-de-dollarization-embraces-the-us-dollar
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Just saw this this; What do you guys make of India doing this?
They're not trying to force the process onto anyone else though.
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Russia is the only one fighting (and winning) against the global debt slave system.andalusia wrote:Just saw this this; What do you guys make of India doing this?
https://watcher.guru/news/brics-country-rejects-de-dollarization-embraces-the-us-dollar
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andalusia wrote:The West is worried about this challenge to their financial exploitation. https://en.thebell.io/russia-pushes-brics-to-take-anti-western-turn/
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The West will have to choose: join BRICS or lose
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