Erk wrote: Vann7 wrote:this mission only job will be to separate both sides and remove all the weapons from the buffer zone.
Americans will have no valid arguments to support Ukraine if Poroshenko say they will not support minks-2 . It can only say Russia is the one breaking it.. but Russia can counter that by saying lets send a peace keeping military force of all Europe and Russia to separate both sides.. and Obama will have no valid argument to oppose that. Because again Minks-2 is backed by United Nations security counsil ,so is international law the minks-2 pact.
I didn't see any mention of a peacekeeping force in UNSC resolution 2202
Therefore, the US can veto a draft resolution of sending of a peace keeping military force to Ukraine.
They can do that and discredit themselves too.. but they cannot save Ukraine from European
sanctions. neither Ukraine will get more loans from Europe..Ukraine future depends on European relations and its integration. and if Europeans tells them.. No association and economic relations until the war stopped , Ukraine will have no choice than to Obey and fully implement mink-2 and give autonomy to Donetk and Lugansk.
Europe United its majority have much more power than they credit themselves.. they can not only twist Ukraine hands but Americans too.. Russia do not have such power only Europe united the majority .Americans cannot isolate themselves from Europe.. they will back down if France and Germany with most of Europe stand firm with mink-2 implementation. Americans will be unable to carry Ukraine economy.. it cannot help Detroit and its other bankrupt states.. less they can help Ukraine. Ukraine way out of its economic collapse
and disbanding in many countries depends on France and Germany and Europe support. in short
Ukraine is doomed.. I don't see any way or strategy that kiev or americans can use to avoid
the implementation of mink-2 if Europe stand firm with it.. (and they should, the other alternative is world war 3) and no way for kiev,to get away from giving Donetsk and Lugansk
a strong autonomy ,with their rights to have their own security and own governor ,and doing 100% of what Europe wants.
Only thing Kiev can do ,to avoid Minsk is provoke Russia into war..So later they can say ,
they cant implement it..because Russia is bombing them. But It looks all this games will not work .. Europe knows is Ukraine the one seeking any excuse to not implement Minks and it will
be impossible for Ukraine to get away of it.. This is similar to a NATION debt to the IMF.. you can delay paying it..but you cannot refuse to pay..not possible. Even soviets cannot refuse to pay their debts to the west. Because doing that will get you isolated completely from the world trade. Ukraine will not survive as a country a single month with a total European Blockade on its economy.. and this will not affect Europe at all ,since they do not need anything from Ukraine.
IF france and Germany that is backed by most of Europe ,stand firm with Minks-2.. Ukraine is doomed. the way i see it.. Putin have done a checkmate to Obama and Poroshenko at the same time..
Minks-2 is mostly a Putin plan for peace.. and is really well thought ,im sure it will be used in books in diplomacy in politics.. Is a trap that allows kiev to recover Donetks and Lugansk without firing a single shot.. and all they need to do is to recognize the rights of minorities in Ukraine and give Donetsk and Lugansk autonomy. essentially this reforms will lead the way to completely reverse of the coup in kiev by Americans..and put in power a pro Russian president again in Ukraine.
So what are American options? Allow Russia to take most of ukraine territories the Crimean way , without firing a shot.. if they continue fueling the war ? Or allow Minsk-2 to happen and reverse the coup..and restore democracy in Ukraine ,kicking the nazis from power and turn Ukraine into a neutral nation? as it was before the coup? either way ,is a lost for Americans.
they will lose the control of Ukraine if they continue sponsoring the war.. or they will lose the control of ukraine if they allow Ukraine to become a democracy again. Nuland nazis will not win any election in a real transparent elections with rights for all minorities.
You might not see it now.. but by the end of year you will see a different Ukraine that the one today.. either completely disbanded in several republics and Russia taking most of it without invading ,(this is if americans continue fueling the conflict..) or Ukraine finally ending the war..and giving autonomy to the rebels. This is because Germany and France will not back down
and will block any attempt of americans to use Ukraine to provoke a major war between Europe and Russia. They fully understand that it will be far worse if allows americans to provoke a major war.. and that it will be Europe and not USA the ones that will have to pay the biggest price.
The major irony in all this.. is that American Government is risking a lot more of losing Ukraine
forever if continue pushing the war. US government is risking creating a major Rebelion against them and losing the control of most of europe too... This is dangerous for US policy and its imperialism. American policy in Ukraine and its General Propaganda of "Russian aggression"
and militarization of Russian borders..and fueling the Violence in Ukraine can provoke Europe
to become closer to Russia.. and this is the opposite of what they intended.. This already happened at the political level in Mink-2. You saw how germany and France cooked a peace deal in Ukraine and not included Americans anywhere on it..
and they are really
mad of that.. This does not looks good for US world leadership and will only encourage for Rebellion in Europe from other countries to oppose US policies openly too ,just like France and Germany have done..
I know many hate merkel ,but at least she have shown a lot of courage in opposing Openly Obama aid to ukraine with weapons in open public.. that was a major rejection to US policies.
and is not rare to listen now major Dissaprobal of US policies in Ukraine..from European leaders.
it was one Former German Top politician ,forgot its name who told "fuck American Imperialism" and was published everywhere..and in one of the latest NATO major meeting in Brusels..after they end , italy president goes and receive Putin in opposition of the isolation of Russia.. This is not good for US image.. and its attempts to get Europe to cut relations with Russia. American policies in Ukraine are effectively turning Europe close to an Open Rebellion towards their policies.. and driving Europe more closer to Russia.. and this is good news for Russia and terrible news for USA.. They are getting the opposite of what they intended to create in the Ukraine revolution. Merkel openly supporting the idea of a free economic trade between Europe and Russia..or speaking in public about an European Army? to defend their interest? All this looks like Rebelion to me.. to american interest. Its too early to say.. i will wait to the end of year for a final conclusion of Ukraine.. but so far until now .. looks like Putin strategy is working ..albeit unfortunately civilians are being killed.. yet the alternative to this will be worse.. that is
Russia invading Ukraine and creating a full scale war. and allowing Kiev and Americans to get the unity in the world they need against Russia .
from Russia Insider.. comments section. about germany and France summoning Poroshenko
for Minsk-2 full implementation and Poroshenko all nervous smiles and showing submission.
The Great Stephen Cohen on Meaning of Merkel (summoning )Poroshenko (Audio Podcast)
from Guest:
The US 'overplaying its hand' is an understatement. This may very well be the most serious of Washington's geopolitical blunders of the recent past and become the tipping point for an entire spectrum of global realliances. Good going, Washington. This one will go down in the history books with a chapter all its own.
http://russia-insider.com/en/merkel-poroshenko/ri9397
Just like that user.. i totally agree.. This look really bad if not terrible ,for American foreign Policy and world leadership ,of losing the control of its allies in Europe..in failing to the EU united against Russia.. you have for a second or third or 4th time , Germany and France summoning the white house man big man in Ukraine Poroshenko ,to reprimand him and pressure him to
implement Minks-2 and without Americans being present.. All this only encourage other European countries to become more Independent and defend their interest even if they oppose
the American ones. This of course is really good for Russia.. since it will make it more difficult
for US to demonize Russia and isolate them . and will also serve not only to encourage better relations with Russia but also create a "new Team" in Europe of policy makers to solve international conflicts and without Americans being present there.