Rodinazombie Fri Nov 06, 2015 4:13 pm
^^^^
Thanks john
Its like in ukraine, a volunteer army, whether it be a genuine rebel group or a terrorist group, is always going to be more ideologically motivated and fight harder than an army of conscripts. Look at the waffen SS during the second world war, or the IRA during the war of independence, the rebels of novorossia, the mujahadeen of afghanistan or isis today, they all have the common advantage of being ideologically motivated against an opponent that does not choose to fight, but has no choice.
Thats not to compare any of the organisations listed above, just to highlight the common theme that gives them an advantage.
Now, not only are these people so highly motivated and ideology pumped, but they have an unlimited supply of weapons and manpower from dozens of countries, they have the trade of millions of dollars of oil every day, they have intelligence links with those countries, in many ways they have all the advantages over the syrian government, the only thing that stopped them gaining complete power is that by so e miracle the british and US decided not to bomb assad. If they had have gone for that im sure we would have seen the black flag flying over damascus long before now.
I do fear though that this cannot be won for at least another five years at the current rate. Syria needs somehow the manpower to be able to cut off the border, then have the strength to hold the line in other areas to prevent counterattacks whilst concentrating on one front at a time and carving up the enemy piece by piece. Trying to advance across the whole country at the same time without a huge numerical advantage is going to be slow and costly and turn into a war of attrition that may not turn out in your favour.