How does that square with what is seen following the attacks? Not to well, I'd say.
Somehow they're bullshitting about what was targeted and their level success in doing so. That's not in any way surprising.
Circumstantial Evidence is also known as indirect evidence. It is distinguished from direct evidence, which, if believed, proves the existence of a particular fact without any inference or presumption required. Circumstantial evidence relates to a series of facts other than the particular fact sought to be proved. The party offering circumstantial evidence argues that this series of facts, by reason and experience, is so closely associated with the fact to be proved that the fact to be proved may be inferred simply from the existence of the circumstantial evidence.
AlfaT8 wrote:If i had to describe the situation in a Legal metaphor.
This situation is like a Prosecutor presenting seemingly solid evidence from Satellites to the Jury and the Defense making little effort to defend his client and does nothing but present circumstantial claims.
Circumstantial Evidence is also known as indirect evidence. It is distinguished from direct evidence, which, if believed, proves the existence of a particular fact without any inference or presumption required. Circumstantial evidence relates to a series of facts other than the particular fact sought to be proved. The party offering circumstantial evidence argues that this series of facts, by reason and experience, is so closely associated with the fact to be proved that the fact to be proved may be inferred simply from the existence of the circumstantial evidence.
nomadski wrote:If these strikes continue . Even at present rate of hitting targets . Then it will not be long , before they will make a significant impact on Syrian war against the separatists . If defence only tactic is to be used . Then soon Syrian infrastructure like dams and water and power and ports will be out of action . It only takes a few hit by missiles . Because of their accuracy .
What Russia and Iran need to decide is if they are willing to loose war in Syria . Or risk direct confrontation with NATO . And this decision needs to happen quickly , as I said Syria will not withstand many more hits like this . Even with brave action by it's AD . I don't think that they will withdraw . And they need to show unity . And also have a plan . Time is short . A warning shot across their ships or one or two aircraft being shot down , needs to be next move .........
Mindless_drone wrote:Just because pantsir and buk were designed with the intent to deal with cruise missiles doesn’t mean that in practice they actually will. Same with AEGIS or CWIS from the American side as for as intercepting ASHMs.
Cruise missiles fly really low. You have to have radars in the right locations and even than operators only have a few seconds to react before a firing solution is no longer available due to curvature of the earth/terrain.
Which is why a successful land based only solution to a cruise missile attack doesn’t seem realistic.
USSR was extremely vulnerable to cruise missiles before MIG 31 because Soviet Airborne radar was shit and couldn’t differentiate between CM and ground clutter.
You need to have awacs flying. Russia only has like what 1 A50 in Syria? When America strikes Russia typically hunkers down and hides in their bases.
I doubt the A50 was even airborne. Too much to risk.
Mindless_drone wrote:Just because pantsir and buk were designed with the intent to deal with cruise missiles doesn’t mean that in practice they actually will. Same with AEGIS or CWIS from the American side as for as intercepting ASHMs.
Cruise missiles fly really low. You have to have radars in the right locations and even than operators only have a few seconds to react before a firing solution is no longer available due to curvature of the earth/terrain.
Which is why a successful land based only solution to a cruise missile attack doesn’t seem realistic.
USSR was extremely vulnerable to cruise missiles before MIG 31 because Soviet Airborne radar was shit and couldn’t differentiate between CM and ground clutter.
You need to have awacs flying. Russia only has like what 1 A50 in Syria? When America strikes Russia typically hunkers down and hides in their bases.
I doubt the A50 was even airborne. Too much to risk.
kvs wrote:You need to give more context in your posts.
If I take it as critical of my post, then I say BS. My logic is based on physics and not legalism. Frankly, the legal system is a stupid joke where
judges are incompetent in a lot of cases on which they rule on. One such judge is from Canada. During and after the gang rape of Serbia by
NATO in 1999, she was pimping the notion that anonymous "witness" testimony is all that counts. One does not need physical evidence. For her
"let's go back to medieval times" rubbish she was rewarded with an appointment to the Supreme Court of Canada. Anyone with a functional brain
would realize that during wars and in a lot of other circumstances, "witness" testimony is worth jack since it is nothing more than tribal partisanship. The only evidence that is not biased is physical evidence. The Canadian mass media even had interviews with Albanians admitting that they lied
for the cause.
So these US generals and yaps can claim whatever they want. The only truth is the one on the ground in the form of dead bodies and rubble.
We know Syria's current Russian systems and a number of modernized Legacy systems are more than capable of handling some slow as F missiles.
Problem is, there's no proof coming out, and without it there is no case for the Russian systems on the PR front, while the U.S can simply point towards the damage they had inflicted as well as the previous 2017 Shayrat strikes, and many will conclude that the Russians are lying here too.
In short, at least the U.S has satellite footage confirming impact, while Russia has nothing.
Wonder why they never mentioned the venerable S-75 (SA-2) in the aftermath of the 14th april strike...it should be around in substantial numbers. Wasn't it part of that upgrade package like the other Soviet-built legacy SAMs or can it be considered as phased-out of service?
heck the Pantsirs fired meager 25 missiles and they operate quite a number (40 or so...that's a number to be reckoned with for a small country).
So what has to be done yet by Russia and Syria to create a full-fledged integrated multi-layered air-defense network? Adding a few S-300 batteries and more Buk-M2E and Pantsir-S1 of course but whats with the abundant AAA and ManPADs?
Russia even have manpads [Verba]
that can are advertised as able to shutdown Cruise missiles..
Just because pantsir and buk were designed with the intent to deal with cruise missiles doesn’t mean that in practice they actually will. Same with AEGIS or CWIS from the American side as for as intercepting ASHMs.
In short, at least the U.S has satellite footage confirming impact, while Russia has nothing.
Cruise missiles fly really low. You have to have radars in the right locations and even than operators only have a few seconds to react before a firing solution is no longer available due to curvature of the earth/terrain.
Which is why a successful land based only solution to a cruise missile attack doesn’t seem realistic.
USSR was extremely vulnerable to cruise missiles before MIG 31 because Soviet Airborne radar was shit and couldn’t differentiate between CM and ground clutter.
You need to have awacs flying. Russia only has like what 1 A50 in Syria?
When America strikes Russia typically hunkers down and hides in their bases.
I doubt the A50 was even airborne. Too much to risk.
This situation is like a Prosecutor presenting seemingly solid evidence from Satellites to the Jury and the Defense making little effort to defend his client and does nothing but present circumstantial claims.
No you don't need awacs, as long as you know the trajectories and the expected time of the operation. Command and control is NATO's major Achilles heel.
AlfaT8 wrote:kvs wrote:You need to give more context in your posts.
If I take it as critical of my post, then I say BS. My logic is based on physics and not legalism. Frankly, the legal system is a stupid joke where
judges are incompetent in a lot of cases on which they rule on. One such judge is from Canada. During and after the gang rape of Serbia by
NATO in 1999, she was pimping the notion that anonymous "witness" testimony is all that counts. One does not need physical evidence. For her
"let's go back to medieval times" rubbish she was rewarded with an appointment to the Supreme Court of Canada. Anyone with a functional brain
would realize that during wars and in a lot of other circumstances, "witness" testimony is worth jack since it is nothing more than tribal partisanship. The only evidence that is not biased is physical evidence. The Canadian mass media even had interviews with Albanians admitting that they lied
for the cause.
So these US generals and yaps can claim whatever they want. The only truth is the one on the ground in the form of dead bodies and rubble.
Perhaps my response to Vann with respects to PR would be more contextual.
We know Syria's current Russian systems and a number of modernized Legacy systems are more than capable of handling some slow as F missiles.
Problem is, there's no proof coming out, and without it there is no case for the Russian systems on the PR front, while the U.S can simply point towards the damage they had inflicted as well as the previous 2017 Shayrat strikes, and many will conclude that the Russians are lying here too.
In short, at least the U.S has satellite footage confirming impact, while Russia has nothing.
kvs wrote:You are not some arbiter of the truth. Nobody owes you proof. The Pentagon knows that 70% of the NATO missiles failed to reach their targets
and that is all that Russia cares about. Any effort by Russia and Syria to play your stupid proof game will be instantly shot down by NATO propagandists
as "fake" and "staged". You have no process to suggest even what would impartially validate "evidence". Some video of pieces of metal or
"radar" data means nothing.
Anyone on this board who is claiming the Pentagon BS is credible, is certifiable. None of their cruise missiles are maneuverable or fast. Once they
are tagged they are done. To claim that the ludicrous 73 missiles on three buildings requires proof to counteract the Pentagon claim is insane.
BTW, you have no idea what circumstantial evidence is. There is zero ambiguity in the fact that 73 x 1000 = 73000 pounds of high explosive
detonated in the confined area of these three buildings would not leave anything standing. If you think that it is plausible that any concrete of
the thickness shown in the photos can survive this much explosive force you need to go back to school.
Also, all you "proof" seekers, why don't you prove first that the USA has ever launched 73 missiles at non-hardened targets before.
PS. The Pentagon has shown zero evidence proving their claims of only 3 targets with 73 missiles on one of them.
Stop spreading BS straw men and demanding others prove what amounts to obvious facts.
GarryB wrote:This situation is like a Prosecutor presenting seemingly solid evidence from Satellites to the Jury and the Defense making little effort to defend his client and does nothing but present circumstantial claims.
You seem to be confusing who is on trial here... just because the defendant identifies himself as judge jury and executioner, does not abrogate his guilt in this war crime... even if it was ineffective.
AlfaT8 wrote:kvs wrote:You are not some arbiter of the truth. Nobody owes you proof. The Pentagon knows that 70% of the NATO missiles failed to reach their targets
and that is all that Russia cares about. Any effort by Russia and Syria to play your stupid proof game will be instantly shot down by NATO propagandists
as "fake" and "staged". You have no process to suggest even what would impartially validate "evidence". Some video of pieces of metal or
"radar" data means nothing.
Anyone on this board who is claiming the Pentagon BS is credible, is certifiable. None of their cruise missiles are maneuverable or fast. Once they
are tagged they are done. To claim that the ludicrous 73 missiles on three buildings requires proof to counteract the Pentagon claim is insane.
BTW, you have no idea what circumstantial evidence is. There is zero ambiguity in the fact that 73 x 1000 = 73000 pounds of high explosive
detonated in the confined area of these three buildings would not leave anything standing. If you think that it is plausible that any concrete of
the thickness shown in the photos can survive this much explosive force you need to go back to school.
Also, all you "proof" seekers, why don't you prove first that the USA has ever launched 73 missiles at non-hardened targets before.
PS. The Pentagon has shown zero evidence proving their claims of only 3 targets with 73 missiles on one of them.
Stop spreading BS straw men and demanding others prove what amounts to obvious facts.
"arbiter of the truth"???..... dude your taking this way to personal.
This isn't even really about what actually happened, this about the people trying to figure out what going on, and on one side we have footage of impact and on the other side you nothing but claims, if one wishes to convince people, then one needs to present a certain level of evidence, the U.S has presented their footage, while Russia only has claims, what is going to convince people more?
On top of that we have the 2017 bombing, according to the footage, it shows more destruction then Russian claims, further discrediting the Russian side.
People don't know much about explosive charges, they simply see what remains.
This is why """PR""" wise, this is a U.S victory.
AlfaT8 wrote:On top of that we have the 2017 bombing, according to the footage, it shows more destruction then Russian claims, further discrediting the Russian side.
KoTeMoRe wrote:AlfaT8 wrote:kvs wrote:You are not some arbiter of the truth. Nobody owes you proof. The Pentagon knows that 70% of the NATO missiles failed to reach their targets
and that is all that Russia cares about. Any effort by Russia and Syria to play your stupid proof game will be instantly shot down by NATO propagandists
as "fake" and "staged". You have no process to suggest even what would impartially validate "evidence". Some video of pieces of metal or
"radar" data means nothing.
Anyone on this board who is claiming the Pentagon BS is credible, is certifiable. None of their cruise missiles are maneuverable or fast. Once they
are tagged they are done. To claim that the ludicrous 73 missiles on three buildings requires proof to counteract the Pentagon claim is insane.
BTW, you have no idea what circumstantial evidence is. There is zero ambiguity in the fact that 73 x 1000 = 73000 pounds of high explosive
detonated in the confined area of these three buildings would not leave anything standing. If you think that it is plausible that any concrete of
the thickness shown in the photos can survive this much explosive force you need to go back to school.
Also, all you "proof" seekers, why don't you prove first that the USA has ever launched 73 missiles at non-hardened targets before.
PS. The Pentagon has shown zero evidence proving their claims of only 3 targets with 73 missiles on one of them.
Stop spreading BS straw men and demanding others prove what amounts to obvious facts.
"arbiter of the truth"???..... dude your taking this way to personal.
This isn't even really about what actually happened, this about the people trying to figure out what going on, and on one side we have footage of impact and on the other side you nothing but claims, if one wishes to convince people, then one needs to present a certain level of evidence, the U.S has presented their footage, while Russia only has claims, what is going to convince people more?
On top of that we have the 2017 bombing, according to the footage, it shows more destruction then Russian claims, further discrediting the Russian side.
People don't know much about explosive charges, they simply see what remains.
This is why """PR""" wise, this is a U.S victory.
2017 bombing? Of Shayrat? Shayrat by the words of the US itself was largely a symbolic act, the Airbase was reusable the very same afternoon. They double/tripple tapped much of the hangars taking out 9 planes, 6 of which were derelict. They hit 12 radar positions, missed 6 but took out the UXO area that is true.
In all 44 of 59 TLAM's were effective, 8 were off mark, 7 were redundant.
Now one thing, has anyone asked anything about those TLAM's? Seriously. No, albeit there was a gross miscue between what was claimed and what was achieved.
Back on April 2018, I already gave a beginning of answer, there it is very possible there was an attempt to hit more targets, simply based on what we can see, and what we can assess. As I said, we know that the Shishar target was probably triple covered because the results of the Shayrat strike. They were planning to fire 30 missiles for targets that needed 10. And they fired 29. About 10 were off mark, duds or redundant. Probably 3 were intercepted, because of the typical spread pattern. That leaves 17 shots for roughly 4 targets in Shinshar.
As easy as that.
PR wise, everyone has stopped talking about this, because none of the sides wants a proper BDA. Since both are BSing.