The bridge to Sakhalin has become a strategic necessity for Russia, by Alexey Anpilogov for VZGLYAD. 04.06.2024.
A new grandiose infrastructure project will be created in Russia. We are talking about the construction of a bridge to Sakhalin Island - an idea that has been discussed since the mid-20th century. Why is the bridge to Sakhalin particularly relevant today, what impact will it have on the entire Far East - and what is needed for it to pay off?
Vladimir Putin spoke in favor of returning to the issue of building a bridge to Sakhalin. During an online meeting with the head of the Sakhalin region Valery Limarenko, the president said that if there is a bridge on the island itself, development will proceed at a “different pace.” The President noted that taking into account the large investment projects planned in the region, the cargo base is also changing. “We need to connect Sakhalin with the mainland by a bridge,” said the head of state. Thus, in fact, the decision to build the bridge has been made.
"Big" strategy
The project to build a railway bridge to Sakhalin and link the island's railways with the mainland has a clear geostrategic task. This is to overcome the economic and transport isolation of the island. The goal is to sharply strengthen Russia’s position in military-political terms not only on Sakhalin, but also in the vast region of the Russian Far East - from Chukotka to the Southern Kuril Islands.
Of course, in the current geopolitical reality, the construction of a transit corridor through the La Perouse Strait to Japanese Hokkaido can be immediately shelved. Today, Japan's unfriendliness towards Russia is already difficult to distinguish from open hostility, which clearly closes the possibility for any Russian-Japanese transit projects. At one time, the bridge to Sakhalin was justified by creating a link precisely for such a global connection with Japan.
Today, reality dictates completely different tasks - for example, the formation of a single and continuous railway line from mainland Russia to the Sakhalin ports, after which only the transfer of any cargo, including military, in the direction of Sakhalin - South Kuril Islands will depend on maritime logistics. Now this logistics is not only more complex, longer and more expensive for peacetime conditions, but also much more dangerous for wartime or pre-war times.
Let us recall that it was precisely this extremely unpleasant situation that the Russian Empire found itself in in January 1904.
At the start of the Russo-Japanese War, the Trans-Siberian Railway, which was under construction, had not yet been closed in the Baikal region, and all the logistics of the Russian army turned out to be extremely ineffective. As a result, it was the impossibility of quickly transferring fresh forces and military equipment to the Far East that turned out to be one of the decisive factors in Russia’s loss in that war.
In other words, the project to build a railway to Sakhalin, in addition to the economic and social component, also has a hidden, but very important military-strategic significance. It is dictated by the dramatically changed international situation and the new position of Russia in the modern world.
Technological features and price
During the Soviet era, an attempt was already made to connect Sakhalin and the mainland - in 1950, Joseph Stalin came up with the idea of connecting the island with the mainland by railway. In winter, the Strait of Tartary, which separates Sakhalin from the mainland, freezes, and in stormy weather the island is generally inaccessible due to harsh sea weather conditions. Therefore, when considering options with a ferry crossing, a bridge and a tunnel across the strait under the USSR, the tunnel option was chosen as the most reliable given the level of technology available at that time. The Nevelskoy Strait, the narrowest point of the Tatar Strait, was chosen as the site for the construction of the tunnel.
By a secret resolution of the USSR Council of Ministers of May 5, 1950, a decision was made to build a railway tunnel and a reserve sea ferry. The construction of the tunnel crossing to Sakhalin was carried out by the USSR Ministry of Internal Affairs and carried out by prisoners, but after the death of Stalin and the mass amnesty of prisoners, work on the entire project was curtailed.
In the modern project, they decided to abandon the construction of a tunnel under the Nevelskoy Strait in favor of a bridge.
The latest published version of the design documents for the construction of the transport crossing provides for the use of a route from Selikhin station on the Komsomolsk-on-Amur - Vanino line to the Nevelskoy Strait, and then to Nysh station on Sakhalin. In this version, the new railway will have a length of 585 km, including a 6-kilometer bridge across the strait.
The cost of building a new road was estimated by Russian Railways at 540.3 billion rubles excluding VAT, of which construction of the bridge will cost 252.8 billion rubles. In addition to the costs of building the mainland part of the road and the bridge across the strait, Russian Railways needs to invest 92.1 billion rubles in the railways of Sakhalin.
And finally - the economy
But, of course, the bridge is needed for transportation, and not only of anything military, but primarily of trade cargo. Moreover, the cargo flow for a bridge of this scale must also be appropriate. An early feasibility study for the construction of a transport crossing to Sakhalin stated that by 2030, in a business-as-usual scenario and without further development of the island’s port infrastructure, the load on the new railway would be only 8.5 million tons. This is extremely small.
Therefore, as part of the development of Sakhalin’s economy, it is planned to build a new deep-sea port on the island. It will allow attracting up to 23.4 million tons of general cargo from the Eastern range, up to 10 million tons of coal from Mongolia and up to 5 million tons of container cargo.
Currently, the only deep-water port on Sakhalin is the oil and LNG transshipment terminal in Prigorodnoye, 15 km from Korsakov, which has no connection with the island’s railways. The remaining potential locations for a deep-water port on Sakhalin are either sandwiched in urban areas, as in Korsakov, Kholmsk and Nevelsk, or are also cut off from the railway infrastructure, like the Shakhtersk port of the Eastern Mining Company (EMC). Today, VGK has plans to export 20 million tons of local coal.
However, it is precisely the “narrowing” of Sakhalin in the middle part of the island between Shakhtersk and Poronaisk that looks like the most promising place for building a new deep-water port. Firstly, it is in this part of the island that the Arsentyevka junction station is located, where the two main branches of the Sakhalin railway converge. Secondly, this part of the island is rich in minerals, primarily coal, which forms a reliable export cargo flow in close proximity to the future port. And finally, thirdly, the Terpeniya Bay near Poronaysk and the Tatar Strait near Shakhtersk have sufficient depths for the construction of a new deep-water port.
The concept of constructing a port in Poronaysk or Shakhtersk with a terminal for 24 million tons of coal per year ensures the sustainability of such a port project and makes it possible to attract additional cargo traffic to such an infrastructure area, already connected to the general railway network of Russia. This approach could in the future increase the capacity of such a deep-sea port to 50 million tons. This will be quite enough for the additional volumes of cargo to ensure the payback of the new railway to Sakhalin.
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