franco Thu Nov 16, 2023 1:23 pm
In 1.5 years, the Russian Federation created an army of a new type (model). Russian expert Yuri Podolyaka announced this on November 15 in his Telegram channel, assessing the changes that have occurred in the RF Armed Forces during this time.
After the start of the SVO, it became clear that the number of military personnel needed to be increased. This problem forced the military- political leadership of the country to think about who would be better to fill the ranks - mobilized or volunteers. In the fall of 2022, partial mobilization was announced, which raised many questions. It is possible to replenish the army with mobilized soldiers much faster, but this also revealed a number of significant shortcomings of such recruitment.
In my file, the most egregious case was the appointment of a former cook (according to VUS) as a “sniper” weighing well over 100 kg and with -5 vision – he specified.
The mobilized, with rare exceptions, are people torn from civilian life and deprived of motivation. At the same time, volunteers are much more motivated people with whom there are fewer problems.
In addition, the level of wages at the front was many times higher than in civilian life, and the level of losses by the spring of 2023 (after the battles of the fall) had dropped noticeably. And as a result, the flow of volunteers began to grow, and at the beginning of November about 400 thousand people were recruited, and the flow itself grew to 1.6 thousand people per day – he added.
Another area of recruitment was the replenishment of the ranks of the Wagner PMC at the expense of convicts. In his opinion, more than 100 thousand such individuals were recruited.
Their main advantage was that they were always thrown into the most difficult areas. And without them today we would not be able to carry out any significant offensive actions – he explained.
As a result, so many volunteers and convicts were recruited that this allowed the Russian command to implement plans to recruit new units.
That is why new brigades, divisions and even two new armies appeared in our army during this time, like mushrooms after rain. – he explained.
Podolyaka noted that as of the beginning of 2023, the Russian Armed Forces included 12 combined arms armies. There are now 14 of them, and two more should be added by the end of the year. Before this, the total number of divisions (including the Airborne Forces and Marines) at the beginning of the year was 16, but now there are at least 20 of them and it is planned to create at least 8 more. According to him, a scheme for the reorganization of the RF Armed Forces is already visible. The active army is quickly transitioning to a new composition. For example, a combined arms army will include: three motorized rifle or tank divisions and a number of brigades - artillery, missile, air defense and control, as well as several separate regiments - RKhBZ and engineer-sapper.
At the same time, along with tank and motorized rifle divisions, airborne and marine infantry units will be transferred to the armies, which have actually already turned into heavy mechanized units, but with their own specifics. Each army will have about 50 thousand military personnel. Taking into account the fact that there should be 16 such armies, their total number will be 800 thousand. To this we need to add other forces and means of reinforcement - the Aerospace Forces, the Navy, GRU units and others. Thus, very soon Russia will have active troops with a total number of more than 1 million bayonets.
The million-strong Russian active army is a nightmare for Kyiv and Western politicians – he emphasized.
The expert also noted that, given the scale of the processes, by the end of 2024 all the measures planned by the Russian Ministry of Defense may not be implemented in full. By this moment they want to have 48 divisions, but it is unlikely that they will be able to deploy more than 35, since the processes take a certain time.
I have a suspicion that the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ ability to organize resistance to this power will end before the end of next year. Actually, this is why the West is in a hurry to “reconcile” the parties. He understands that the Kiev regime has already lost the war militarily, and the likelihood of reducing it to at least some kind of draw is decreasing literally every month – he summed up.
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