ATLASCUB Fri Feb 04, 2022 7:28 am
No amount of belittling personal attacks on users here, on foreign leaders, no amount of regurgitation of propaganda, false premise talking points can change the fact that NATO still has an open-door policy, despite the Kremlin begging and making idle "coded" threats aka mostly bluff. Options to deal with it are as limited as they were yesterday. A change in attitude is just that, an attitude change.
...Doesn't change the fact that Ukraine has been groomed and continues to be groomed as an anti-Russian weapon by practically all of Europe and the U.S. The state has not collapsed, the crystal ball has not provided the expected results, despite best wishes.
...Doesn't change the fact that thousand of ethnic Russians have died and continue to die as a result of a frozen conflict, with Russia as an spectator, muzzled by their own leadership ineptness. Or the fact that Russian historical allies are under attack and impoverished, with Russia having little ability to provide not only a solid defense of their interests but also an orbit of prosperity (relative to the competition).
.....Doesn't change the fact that Russia's geographic and global geopolitical reach has been shrunk to historical lows - a tragedy for Russian ethnic people's.
....Doesn't change the fact that the CSTO, Eurasian Economic Union and Union State projects have been successfully contained from spreading West, with no room for expanding South nor East. Thus limiting its potential, on top of the already limiting factor that is Russian/Central Asian stans demographics.
Doesn't change the fact that Russia's enemies have the initiative on when and where, to their linking, decide how to break off from Russia to cause maximum pain and further containment. The question for them is not whether they should pursue the policy, their debate is on the minor details... on how to accommodate every body to soften any blow back so as to leave everyone as "happy" with the outcome as possible. Since it's a big tent, it becomes a rather slow deliberation and coordination process, with bickering among those who stand to gain the most, and those who stand to lose the most.
Doesn't change the fact that Putin/Russia has to become a "junior" partner to China, sing the praises to Xi to avoid complete isolation, should a break up occur and merely serve as a resource exporting landmass for the Chinese "miracle" (in effect already is), despite the opposite being the case during Soviet times. The Chinese more than happy to welcome it knowing full well their shtick of "laying low" with the West is up. It's an objective assessment, despite the fervor and emotional responses such language can create - the ulterior motive of which to drive both apart by going after ego and mistrust.
Very little agency left for the bright Kremlin men. Given the circumstances and the disparity in cards on deck, mistakes are the more so glaring to their position - specially when operating out of fear, and practicing appeasement masked in a thin veil of "strategic patience".
Ukraine will continue to be a flashpoint, whether the Kremlin and the blind sheep like it or not. There is only one true solution - and that solution comes not only with a costly price tag of military expenditures and human blood but also accelerates the break up with the West massively - that being the biggest deterrent for action. Ignoring Ukraine altogether, admitting complete geopolitical defeat is impossible and doesn't contain itself to a human made border, even if decided upon (you simply can't ignore geopolitical enemies - look where that got you - having to mobilize on your own borders..circa 1991 ver. with no buffer to speak off for good measure - as if 1944 was all for nothing).