Regular wrote:
Well it did change the whole dynamics and made Ukrainian logistics even trickier than what they are.
It’s all reflected in their “counter-offensive”.
If Ukraine would have an army of 50k, then yes it would be a game changer. But they have big army, big country, there are plenty of targets, outside supply, all dispersed, decoyed and so on.
Nothing apart usage of tactical nukes would make quick changes that would please TG or Twitter followers
I highly doubt that.
Ukraine had a 320k armed forces, with 260k land forces.
Trained for the last 8 years for sole purpose only.
Blooded in Donbas, with real war experience.
Hardned with strong chauvinistic core.
And equipped for the last 8 years by entire NATO.
The regular Russian army smashed them, using 1/2 of their forces, in a month.
No matter how powerful the propaganda campaign was unleashed to cover that, the fact is that by April 22 Ukrainian army was a shadow of men, hiding in bushes surrounding Kiev. With empty eyes, and every single trooper was carrying a different weapon.
They have lost most of the heavy equipment, air forces become irrelevant to the conflict, air defense ceased to present an organized threat.
It is enough to check the casulty ratio sustained by the Russian forces.
Every single "army" assembled after, was weaker and weaker.
We are really discussing 120 Leopard 1 tanks, as a factor in a conflict, where the OpFor had hundreds of much more potent tanks only a year ago.
At the same time, Russian army is hardly being seen now driving old 72BWs, but tons of brand new 90Ms, 72B3Ms of the newest batches, lines of BMP-3s...
A year ago, a clash of motorized company of both sides was carried on equal terms, with Ukrainians using BMP2s or BTRs against Russian BTR82s. Now, we witness how a single platoon of Russian troops with BTR, decimates a company loaded onto M113s and civilian, Mad Max style carriers that has perfectly nothing to bite back...
My point is, that every single thing we witness, has it's moment and momentum. The very same bombs used in March 22, would have been intercepted o some degree. Now, those are free to go.