Russian special military operation in Ukraine #53

Two out the back possible driver out to die in mine hole.

Its going from bad to worse

Military Summary
@MilitarySummary
#UkraineRussiaWar
According to incoming information, the Russian Armed Forces managed to advance towards the 9th quarter and establish control over height 218. Thus, the Russians established full fire control on the supply route running from #Avdiivka to the former air defense base.



GEROMAN -- time will tell - --
@GeromanAT
Avdeevka
The situation for AFU continues to deteriorate. The railway bridge south of the Coke Plant was taken by RF

At these moments there are fierce battles on Lesya Ukrainka Street, Sapronov Street, Zheleznodorozhny Lane. The Russian Army is systematically dividing the city into two parts.

Everything on Ukraina CG was conserved & they hoped to sell it for many years, so even if all its innards r gone or rotten, the hull can still be salvaged, new gear & arms added, & used as a warship or at least CG/training vessel.

Even if it was in mint condition and in the water and had gone through testing it is obsolete in its current form and would need an upgrade and overhaul just to replace all the soviet stuff with Russian standard stuff... communications and electronics and other systems and equipment are all cold war era and totally obsolete and needing replacement.

It would make more sense to scrap it and use the money that it would need just to get it into the water to lay down three or four new corvettes and a frigate or two.

You can say pro Russian people can protect it... it just takes one nutter to start a fire or destroy critical components on board and render it useless.

They keep the existing Slava class ships because they are operational but this boat isn't even that.

Write it off and move on... don't let pride make you waste good money.

It seems Askold is in repair at Zaliv shipyard near Kerch

To me the damage seemed similar to Rostov submarine Ssk

So it seems both of these will be coming online by summer



It seems the damage is not as bad as previously thought

I took a trip to Ukro telegram

I am quite satisfied with what I saw

It seems our guys really did take hill 218, as well as the Quarries in the north

That basically sealed the deal for Avdeevka

Here is the westoid Newsweek

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-avdiivka-fall-donetsk-1866925

Crying about losing Avdeevka

I'm sure our guys will be finishing this operation soon

And freeing them up in time for spring offensives towards Chasov Yar and renewed push to Kupyansk

With the advantage now in all categories on Russias side, it seems indeed that the VSU is disintegrating and Zaluzhny-Zelensky scuffle proves that

IMO they have lost their ability to fight as a unified and cohesive army

Now the question is, what is the next step, guerilla war or will NATO attempt to screen a Ukrainian Dunkirk retreat from the right bank

Well more juicy events will take place in the following weeks and months

Guys are advancing in Pervomaisk

Advances across the Frontline

Do we know how widespread fairly up to date information is across the Ukrie front lines? For example, would the forthcoming loss of Avdeevka be known widely? I'm thinking morale.

Another view

JohninMK wrote:Do we know how widespread fairly up to date information is across the Ukrie front lines? For example, would the forthcoming loss of Avdeevka be known widely? I'm thinking morale.

The thing is these advances are happening so quickly that the only source right now that is up to date are the Ukro telegram channels that are in full panic mode

Butusov is a nice one that indicates that Ukros are indeed retreating from the North and South being squeezed on multiple advances

IMO the bigger question is not what the tactical response will be inside of Avdeevka, but actually when they lose the town,

Where will Ukrainian forces displace to?

Avdeevka is like an island in the middle of the sea

Behind Avdeevka lie some small settlements but nothing of adequate size to house the Tavrida grouping of forces

Konstantinovka is too far up the N-20 highway

So where do these 20,000+ souls run to?

If they try to run in the open, it will be a massacre by the VKS

So I think the main worry for Ukrainians is , if indeed they leave the settlement, where do they go?

I think the only answer is to effect a mass surrender, or they will all die

In the end we will see how it ends for the VSU on this section of the front

GarryB wrote:

Everything on Ukraina CG was conserved & they hoped to sell it for many years, so even if all its innards r gone or rotten, the hull can still be salvaged, new gear & arms added, & used as a warship or at least CG/training vessel.

Even if it was in mint condition and in the water and had gone through testing it is obsolete in its current form and would need an upgrade and overhaul just to replace all the soviet stuff with Russian standard stuff... communications and electronics and other systems and equipment are all cold war era and totally obsolete and needing replacement. ..You can say pro Russian people can protect it... it just takes one nutter to start a fire or destroy critical components on board and render it useless.

judging from its pics, it wasn't even outfitted with any radars, target illuminators & comm. antennas, so there's isn't much left to replace except the missile tubes; the inside spaces don't have any furniture & other combustibles either, so what else can burn on it escept paint & rubber door seals? Electrical cables that u say need replacement anyway? Russia can send an Il-76/Be-2000 fire bombers &/ firefighting tugs to dump tons of H2O on it, if need be. Or they can scuttle it before rising it again.
IMO, completing & outfitting it will be less costly than scrapping or building/buying a new CG/DDG of comparable size that is needed for their future blue water ops. Cheap foreign NK/Indian labor can be used to drive the costs down, paid in produce, tech./rupees.
https://life.ru/p/1637952 https://www.ng.ru/armies/2024-02-06/2_8941_conflict.html https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2024/02/06/rossiya-nachala-menyat-neft-na-indiiskie-banani-a120809
https://youtu.be/EWiAelDqzDw

Thanks Arkanghelsk, I was trying to find out if other parts of the front were aware of what is happening in Avdeevka and if so will it effect their will to fight.

Yes, I'm curious as to where the garrison will go. Is it really 20,000?

JohninMK wrote:
Yes, I'm curious as to where the garrison will go. Is it really 20,000?

Hardly.
People are getting crazy and adding up all the ukro brigades thrown in, forgetting that none of those were fully manned, nor used in full.
This number is being used - which is already telling - by the Ukrainian sources calling for withdrawal.
They hardly can at the moment, honestly.
This evil regime will burn any living Ukrainian to rob more $.
Seriously worried about Krematorsk and Slaviansk. For Odessa they will start dropping strollers with babies attached to the end of HIMARS or something. They feel no shame. Having an E3mln villa in Andalusia they can reconsider being a human.

This passes my 'is it a big enough bang' test. Three bombs, the first could be bigger than the others, the third you can see just bore it explodes well above ground, no sign of wings. Can't see the second. The first really does make a mess of the building it hits.

This is what a real journalist looks like:

Tucker Carlson's statement on interviewing Putin.

https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/U.S-journalist-Tucker-Carlson-statement-on-his-interview-with-putin:8

..and the war footage from Ukraine


RF SU-25 over Ukraine

https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/RF-SU-25-over-Ukraine:3

RF lancet strikes Ukrainian UAV vehicle

https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/RF-lancet-strikes-Ukrainian-UAV-vehicle:7

Ukrainians ambushed by RF forces

https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/Ukrainians-ambushed-by-RF-forces:d

RF airforce destroys hidden Ukrainian equipment that struck Belgorod

https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/RF-airforce-destroys-hidden-Ukrainian-equipment-that-struck-Belgorod:d

RF Malka artillery operation in Ukraine

https://odysee.com/@airbornewolf:8/RF-Malka-artillery-operation-in-Ukraine:7

did you know?. if you hover over a link with your mouse and press middle-mouse button you open a new tab in your browser with that link?

damn

They're already at the center by the railway bridge splitting Avdeevka in 2

This is going quickly

to add to Ark's post about Avdiivka:

from a TG source:

it is an AI translation, so read over mistranslations.

Avdeevka situation at 22:00 06.02.24

Today, all day long there was a fierce battle for a key railway junction in the area of the coke plant in northern Avdeevka. What is its importance? From this junction there is direct visibility to the “road of life” of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the city, which is only 500-600 meters from here.

The enemy desperately tried to knock us out of there, but as of 22.00 it was firmly in our hands. And the garrison of southern and central Avdeevka, especially taking into account our occupation today of another important point south of the city, the heights northeast of Opytny, is now in a state of operational encirclement.

-----

By the way Ark, not sure if anyone said it. and i do not mean it negatively.
when i read your posts now lately you made quite the redemption arc
keep up the good info.

Combat operations outside the SVO zone.

All of Banderaland is inside the SVO zone.


Here is the bomb.

coke plant

Zelensky right now.

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-machine-guns-rifles-ukraine-1867366

JohninMK wrote:

https://twitter.com/i/status/1754782053873127464

\

The yield of a themobaric warhead is about 4x of a convetional warhead. Worthwhile indeed.

Arkanghelsk wrote:I took a trip to Ukro telegram

I am quite satisfied with what I saw

It seems our guys really did take hill 218, as well as the Quarries in the north

That basically sealed the deal for Avdeevka

Here is the westoid Newsweek

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-avdiivka-fall-donetsk-1866925

Crying about losing Avdeevka

I'm sure our guys will be finishing this operation soon

And freeing them up in time for spring offensives towards Chasov Yar and renewed push to Kupyansk

With the advantage now in all categories on Russias side, it seems indeed that the VSU is disintegrating and Zaluzhny-Zelensky scuffle proves that

IMO they have lost their ability to fight as a unified and cohesive army

Now the question is, what is the next step, guerilla war or will NATO attempt to screen a Ukrainian Dunkirk retreat from the right bank

Well more juicy events will take place in the following weeks and months

I like how Russia is moving its attack around o various places forcing the AFU to move troops leaving them vulnerable to being killed on the road. Then they attack the spot they were moved from.

mnztr wrote:

I like how Russia is moving its attack around o various places forcing the AFU to move troops leaving them vulnerable to being killed on the road. Then they attack the spot they were moved from.

This is essentially what is taking place all over the front

Once Ukros get reserves to an area, Russia just reinforces that area and then overloads them on another sector

Constantly doing this exhausts the logistical capacity of Ukraine with the shortages they have in manpower, ammo, drones, and so on

And the real offensive hasn't begun yet

ucmvulcan wrote:

Tsavo Lion wrote:https://www.newsweek.com/russia-machine-guns-rifles-ukraine-1867366

So uh could you give me a whole load of those newsweek articles? I can use my tiller and mix them in with my top soil and have a very nice garden this year.  Damn that's a load of nutrient rich bullshit

I don't care what u may do with them. No1 should be laughing about old arms being used by both sides, as they r as useful & lethal as when they 1st appeared on earlier battlefields. Enough said, & don't even bother to reply!