It seems the only opportunity for Ukrainians to show some results will be to attack somewhere that they can regain western interest in what they are doing
So the PR strikes will continue to try to galvanize some support, but it won't be enough to truly get support they want
In order to get that support, Ukros will have to show Washington, that they are capable of reclaiming some territory
IMO, the only chance they have will be for 2025 to attack Crimea again
The reason being that it is the only place where they have any chance to show that
IMO it will be the end for Ukraine, because they will lose their F16, and remaining vehicles in the final offensive for the VSU
I say this because it's hopeless for them to attempt to launch those offensives along any other sector
Going for Donbass is impossible, as Russia takes the former fortresses, making more costly for Ukraine to attack in that direction
Attacking Belgorod, Voronezh is also not an option, as that would give Russia another large victory that would end Ukrainian dreams of more support from the west
The only viable place they would attack again, as stupid as it sounds is Crimea
They won't be able to take territory, as the Russian lines grow stronger, and now M14 highway is expanding the amount of lanes, and more railways are being laid by Russia as well to facilitate train transport to the regions of Zaporozhye and Kherson
Ultimately it will be impossible for them to achieve anything in this direction, as they throw the last F16, ATACMS, GLSDB at Russian logistics, they will exhaust the last amount of remaining material they have
At that point, Russia could finally end this war, while it develops not only the adequate responses to Drones via EW
But also takes out the final remaining semi-plausible offensive capability remaining for Ukraine
I think Russia wraps up 2024, by dismantling what remains of the Donbass sector up to the Kramatorsk Crescent defense line
They will allow Ukraine one more suicide charge, and annihilate what remains of the Ukro army as they make one last go at Crimea
From there Russia will be able to essentially walk into Kharkov, Sumy, Chernigov, Kiev as Ukro remaining forces are forced to defend in isolated pockets, without the ability to support each other, or communicate
They will be out of artillery, out of Missiles, out of aviation, out of tanks, out of every single category of significant weaponry
With only drones remaining as a remaining tool
The onus will be on Russia to perfect EW protection for assault, to deny them the final remaining tool of the bleeding and maimed badger that once was the VSU