State Armaments Program 2011-2020

I cannot locate the article at the moment but it was out in the previous couple of weeks in regards to the replacement of foreign parts for the Defense industry. In it was mentioned that at the present there are over a 100 new and rebuilt military equipment unable to be completed due to lack of parts and that over 600 repairs are unable to be completed for the same reason. Could be sometime into 2017 before all these issues are resolved. Comment came from either Rogozin or some MoD spokesperson.

No it didn't specify. Just felt it was an important piece to share.

JVs and imports make sense when they are available as it is cheaper and quicker than having to make things yourself.

Obviously when there is a threat that such things might be cut off or stopped by politics then making everything yourself makes sense.

It does not make sense until there is no other choice.

For the same reason you personally don't make everything you own yourself do you?

It doesn't make sense... until you are dropped on an island in the middle of a very large ocean where you have nothing and have to make everything yourself... that which you cannot make you do without.

gloating over this current situation is a bit like supporting the idea that I should be telling you to throw away everything you currently own and then make it all yourself from scratch... of course you would not do it now... but if you were in a plane crash on a desert island you would have no choice... and the stinging memory that I told you so... if you had listened to me you would have the skills to make a lot of things for yourself...

Tank moderaztion:

http://southfront.org/russia-military-report-a-tale-of-three-tanks/


Nuclear moderaztion:

http://southfront.org/russia-military-report-nuclear-triad-modernization/

2015 ended and it's time to sum up the work of the Russian military-industrial complex, and compare them with the results of last year. According to the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation in the framework of the state defense order this year is at 7% more military equipment than in the past, and do deliveries are made on 96% (95% in 2014). To obtain a more complete picture you need to pay attention to certain categories of military equipment.

Aviation equipment - less than last year

In 2015, Air-Space Forces of the Russian Federation (FSI) received 243 aircraft and helicopters - a little less than in 2014, while the troops were 277 aircraft. Keep in mind that this figure takes into account the technology, the modernization of the past, not only built from scratch. If you take only new products in the past year we received a record number of videoconferencing aircraft - 108 units.
This year, counting some complexity; less information: for sure you can talk about the supply of 18 multi-role fighters Su-30cm, 4 Su-30M2 (according to the plans 5 may open information is incomplete), 18 Sukhoi Su-34 (2 over the plan), not less than 6 Su-35 (although the plan they were 14, it is possible that a transfer of a part of these official information did not appear), not less than 6 light MiG-29 SMT (P) / UX (R) (possibly , 12 training Yak-130, 1 military transport aircraft Il-76MD-90A, An-148-100E 1 (maybe 2). In total - is 66-78 aircraft. That is, even in the most favorable case, released on 30 cars less (27% less). The reasons for this are different: out of contracts for Su-35s (new contract for 48 aircraft has not been signed) and deck MiG-29K aircraft An-148 and An-140 made without cooperation with Ukraine is problematic for the Yak-130 had some difficulties with the rapid import substitution. Nevertheless, the result is still not bad, considering the economic problems and the question of establishing local production of components.
As for the helicopters - detailed data in this year's smaller, but, apparently, the number of helicopters produced much has changed. With regard to the modernization of existing equipment, its rates remain high.

Strategic Nuclear Forces - actively replenished as before
In 2015, the "nuclear triad" received 35 intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) - are expected to land 24 RS-24 "yars", and the rest - P-30 "Bulava", which are equipped with submarines of Project 955 "Borey". Last year it was built 38 ICBMs, including 16 "Yarsov" and 22 "Bulava". Thus, in the field of problems or significant changes there - no country in the world is not even close to such indicators. At the current rate by 2022 in service of the Russian Federation will be the only modern ICBMs.
Along with the construction of new ICBMs, strategic forces also got past modernization bombers - Tu-160M ​​2, 3 Tu-95MS and Tu-22M3 5. Navy also received two missile submarines of Project 955 "Borey" carrying 16 ICBMs "Bulava".

Manufacturing technology and the modernization of the land has remained at about the same level as last year, for example, still received two sets of missile brigade "Iskander-M". In total, modernized and built up to 1172 units of armored vehicles (tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, armored personnel carriers, armored vehicles), 148 rocket and artillery systems and up to 2292 vehicles. But the main novelty was the new generation of armored vehicles, pre-series batch which is shown in the Victory Parade on May 9 in Moscow. Were demonstrated tank T-14 heavy infantry fighting vehicles T-15 created Undercarriage "Armata", infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers on the basis of track platform "Kurganets-25" wheeled APCs "Boomerang", 152-mm self-propelled howitzer "Coalition-SV" .

Air defenses were also reported in the planned amount

Military shipbuilding - the most vulnerable sector
Russian Navy was in 2015, two diesel-electric submarine project 636.6 "Warszawianka" (1 in 2014), 2 nuclear submarine Project 955 "Borey" (1 in 2014), two small missile ship project 21631 and other ships: in total 8 surface and 16 support vessels.
In addition, the state tests patrol ship project 11356 "Admiral Grigorovich" (to be adopted in February 2016). Two more ships of this type will be commissioned in 2016. But associated with them, and a big problem - the ships of the project established Ukrainian power plants, so the fate of the 3 more ships under construction a few vague, although the construction and start again.
In general, the Navy may be affected by the economic crisis and sanctions hardest: the industry was in a very serious condition, the large surface ships were not built for many years, so the "save" means the budget, probably, it is the shipbuilders. Enough hard problem is the dependence on the Ukrainian and German power plants that are now impossible to buy.

Sanctions and "cheap oil" could not seriously harm the Russian military-industrial complex

The main conclusion is that Western sanctions and economic crisis in two years could not fundamentally affect the military-industrial complex of the Russian Federation - there were some problems in some sectors, many of which have been solved, while others need to be addressed (for example, personal "extremely" complicated Ukrainian analogues in the manufacture of ship propulsion systems in RF not simply because this Soviet design, thus - a matter of time). However, the next 2-3 years will be very revealing - primarily because of the problems in the economy. The first task for the military-industrial complex - run state armaments program until 2020. Just the results of 2016, 2017 and 2018 and show us whether the Russian "defense industry" stand up the pace. In addition, you must have an active work on the state armaments program until 2025 (its adoption is postponed due to the unpredictable economic situation in the country).

More of the same....

Equipping the Armed Forces with modern samples reached 47%. At the enlarged session of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation was submitted a report on the outcome of the War Department for 2015 According to the document, according to the results of the growth of the state defense order supplies to the troops of the new weapons and equipment amounted to 7% compared to the 2014 Armed Facilities Forces (AF) modern samples reached 47% (target current state armaments program - 2020 to bring the latest technology to share 70%). December 30, 2015 Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin said in an interview to television channel "Russia-24" that the state defense order will be executed in 2015 by about 96%. An overview of new military equipment, which went into operation the Russian Armed Forces in 2015 Strategic Nuclear Forces (SNF) - The Strategic Missile Forces (RVSN) on combat duty have taken up 6 missile regiments equipped with stationary and mobile missile complexes RS-24 "yars". The share of modern weapons in ground-based strategic nuclear forces (SNF) has reached 51%, in constant combat readiness contains 95% launchers. - Aircraft component SNF replenished with ten modernized aircraft: Long-range aviation has received 2 strategic bomber-rocket carrier Tu-160M, 3 strategic bomber-rocket carrier Tu-95MS and 5 long-range supersonic bomber Tu-22M3. - Entered in the combat-ready naval forces 2 missile submarine of strategic purpose (SSBN) project 955 "Borey" - K-550 "Alexander Nevsky" K-551 "Vladimir Monomakh". Facilities marine strategic nuclear forces with modern weapons was 56%. - Total SNF in 2015 were delivered 35 new intercontinental ballistic missiles, causing equipment "nuclear triad" of strategic nuclear forces with modern arms has reached 55%.

Aerospace forces August 1 on the basis of the Air Force (Air Force) and the troops Aerospace Defense (VVKO) created a new branch of the armed forces - the Air-Space Forces (VKS). Was transformed 6 Army and Air Force and Air Defence 3 aircraft division, formed 12 aviation regiments. In the Northern Fleet formed 45th Army Air Force and Air Defense. Within the framework of the state defense order in 2015 VCS received 243 new aircrafts. According from public sources, this figure includes: 18 Sukhoi Su-34; 18 Su-30SM; at least 4 Su-30M2; at least 6 Su-35S; at least 4 MiG-29 SMT (P); 12 combat training aircraft Yak-130; 1 heavy military transport aircraft Il-76MD-90A; at least 1 passenger aircraft An-148-100E; 16 Ka-52 helicopters; at least 3 Mi-8MTV5-1; at least 2 helicopters "Ansat-U". Were upgraded 11 fighter-interceptors MiG-31BM and 1 airborne command post IL-80. Troops EKR received 90 anti-aircraft missile systems and complexes, 208 radar systems. As a result, the share of modern weapons in video conferencing has reached 52%.

Land Forces (SV) In 2015, the Armed Forces formed 8 new Brigades for various purposes. The troops received: 2 brigade sets of missile complexes "Iskander-M"; 1,172 units of equipment, including tanks (including modified T-72B3) and other armored vehicles; 148 rocket and artillery systems; 2,292 car for different purposes. The level of equipment with modern weapons SV reached 35%. May 9, 2015 at the Victory Parade in Moscow were officially presented promising military equipment - tanks T-14 and T-15 infantry fighting vehicles to heavy tracked unified platform "Armata", armored personnel carriers and infantry fighting vehicles on the track platform "Kurganets-25" on the APC wheel platform "Boomerang" and self-propelled howitzers "Coalition-SV".

Navy (Navy) The Navy received 8 new surface warships and 16 support vessels. In the Navy included: 2 diesel-electric submarines of Project 06363 - B-265 "Krasnodar" and B-262 "Stary Oskol"; 2 small missile ship project 21631 - "Green Dol" and "Serpukhov". Returned to service after the repair of the submarine B-227 "Vyborg" Project 877, K-335 "Cheetah" Project 971 and B-336 "Pskov" Project 945A. Also in the operation included patrol boat project 03160, anti-sabotage boat project 21980, landing craft projects 21820 and 02510, ship communication, "Yuri Ivanov" Project 18280, boats, catamarans search and rescue support project 23370, transport Floating Dock Project 22570 "Sviyaga" Marine Transportation of weapons "Academician Kovalev" project 20181, and others. The level of equipment of the Navy with modern ships reached 39%.

Besides Specialists of the Russian Armed Forces currently operate 1,720 unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), "drones" are taking part in combat operations on the territory of Syria. For comparison, in 2011 the Russian Air Force used a total of 180 UAV. The first stage of the Unified Space System. Enacted its West modernized command post in the Central Federal District, conducted training ground facilities Plesetsk cosmodrome. In November, launched the first spacecraft system.

In 2016 the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation plans to: Put in SV 2 brigade sets of missile complexes "Iskander-M" and multiple launch rocket systems "Tornado-C", and 1 set of Brigadier anti-missile system "Buk-M3." Rearm 6 battalions on new tanks and infantry fighting vehicles. Put in VKS and aircraft of the Navy more than 200 new and upgraded models of aircraft. Rearm 5 anti-aircraft missile regiment in the anti-aircraft missile system S-400. Build group of United Space Systems to launch another device of the system. Put on alert 3 radar station - "Voronezh-DM" Yeniseysk and Barnaul and "Voronezh-M" in Orsk. Enter the Navy 2 multi-purpose submarines and surface warships 7.

It certainly must be cut if there will be basically no growth in the next few years, but indeed that seems to be quite unlikely. But even if they have to cut military spending, it seems that they SAP2020 will be largely achieved by 2020. I mean they are already at over 47% "modern", so I think they can quite "easily" reach something like 60% even in the worst case scenario by the end of 2020. They have to keep factories running after all.

How many rubles is Russia earning per barrel at the moment? Oil has gone down to around $35 (EDIT: Urals seems to be slightly below $30), but the ruble has also weakened somewhat.

Check your math! Should be $30 x 76 = 2280 Rubles per barrel.

Piece of news about Russian State Armaments Program 2011-2020:

Russian Media Revealed Growing Breaches in Multibillion Defense Contracts
http://mil.today/2016/Weapons2/

Backinblack wrote:Piece of news about Russian State Armaments Program 2011-2020:

Russian Media Revealed Growing Breaches in Multibillion Defense Contracts
http://mil.today/2016/Weapons2/

...Interesting enough Navalny is involved in "exposing corruption"...I stopped reading when that douche's name was mentioned.

Russia's rearmament 50% ahead of plan — official

Instead of rearming the Russian Armed Forces, including the Arctic Strategic Command by 30% Russia has achieved 47% implementation

MOSCOW, February 26. /TASS/. The plan for rearming the Russian army and navy by 2020 is being implemented 50% ahead of time, Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin told the Federation Council on Friday.

"We keep the situation under control from the standpoint of implementing the state program for armaments extending till 2020," he said. "We are ahead of time. Instead of rearming the Russian Armed Forces, including the Arctic Strategic Command by 30% we have achieved 47% implementation. In other words, we are 50% ahead of our own targets."

Rogozin thanked the Russian parliament for supporting the defense budget in this no easy economic period. He recalled once again it was utterly impermissible to ineffectively use budget funds. Instances of corruption were rare, he remarked.


More:
http://tass.ru/en/defense/859099

Rostec's Sergei Chemezov thinks that the defence order will be cut by 10% this year:

http://www.wsj.com/articles/wsj-q-a-with-sergei-chemezov-1457657218

I wonder how much it increased from 2014 to 2016? Probably over 10%? Because that year was already a very good one for the armaments program. Not to mention that according to Rogozin they are actually ahead of the plan.

Putin to hold military products acceptance day at National Defense Center

The supreme commander-in-chief will hear reports by the leadership of the Russian Defense Ministry, defense industry companies, military-building complex, the commanders of military units

MOSCOW, March 11. /TASS/. Russian President Vladimir Putin will hold the single day of military products’ acceptance at the Russian National Defense Center on Friday, the Kremlin press service reported.

"The supreme commander-in-chief will hear reports made by the leadership of the Russian Defense Ministry, defense industry companies, military-building complex, the commanders of military units and formations on the results of delivery of weapons and military equipment to the army and the results of the Russian Armed Forces’ infrastructure development in 2015 and the progress of the state defense order fulfillment in the first quarter of 2016", the press service said.

Representatives of the federal executive and legislative power bodies, the heads of state corporations and the leadership of the General Prosecutor's Office will take part in the work of the military products’ acceptance single day.

The single day of acceptance of weapons and military equipment that are entering service with the army, as well as military and social infrastructure facilities of the Russian Armed Forces is held quarterly. These activities take place with the participation of representatives of defense companies and are a kind of an interim report on the work within the state defense order fulfilment. In addition to the signing of the armaments’ transfer and acceptance acts, the fulfilment of the state defense order requirements by different companies and compliance with the approved schedule is analyzed.

The Russian National Defense Control Center was officially put on combat duty on December 1, 2014. The Center is a big complex with numerous channels of incoming and outgoing information.

The most important and secret information is transmitted through alternative communications channels by the equipment that differs from the main systems of the Center, which guarantees its resistance to cyberattacks.

The new Center comprises the Control Center of Strategic Nuclear Forces (which oversees issues of use of weapons of mass destruction), the Combat Control Center (which analyses threats) and the Daily Activities Control Center (which deals with procurement issues). According to Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu, the Centre is a new tool which "will allow conducting a continuous analysis of the environment and developing means of responding towards changes and rapidly coordinating the activity of federal bodies of the executive power in the defense sphere." The Centre handles real-time information about all the troops’ formations and facilities. The Center’s hardware and software complex is capable of simulating crisis situations not only around the borders of Russia, but also anywhere in the world.


More:
http://tass.ru/en/defense/861565

Russian Military Received 5 Planes, 15 Helicopters, Frigate in 2016

The Russian Armed Forces have received five planes, 15 helicopters and a frigate since the beginning of 2016, Russian Deputy Defense Minister Yuri Borisov said Friday.

MOSCOW (Sputnik) — The armed forces also received a Nebo-U radar station, a Tor-M2U air defense missile system, 54 artillery pieces and 22 armored vehicles.

"The defense industry enterprises delivered an Admiral Grigorovich-class frigate, five planes and 15 helicopters [to the military]," Borisov told President Vladimir Putin during the state acceptance of the military production.

Russia is currently implementing a large-scale rearmament program to modernize 70-percent of its military hardware by 2020. The total modernization program cost is estimated to reach about 20 trillion rubles (some $284 billion at current exchange rates).

Read more: http://sputniknews.com/military/20160311/1036149606/ministry-forces-rearmament.html#ixzz42dfZObq0

Due to the failure of state contracts of the Russian Federation Ministry of Defense has received less 15 planes and 8 ships among others

Their non-fulfillment of the state order several enterprises of the Russian Federation Ministry of Defense has received less dozens of pieces of military equipment, according to Sight with reference to the Deputy Defense Minister Yuri Borisov.
"Despite the positive, on the whole, the dynamics of the implementation of the SDO-2015, are not fulfilled a number of government contracts. So, in a timely manner not delivered 15 aircraft, 8 vessels, 17 units of communications and automated control systems " Borisov reported to the Russian president.

In addition, according to him, the Defense Ministry has not received "3 carrier rocket" Rokot ", one upper stage" Breeze ", 253 missiles for various purposes, and 240 units of armored vehicles."
"For all non-performance government contracts drawn companies exhibited penalties work are taken under special control," - Borisov said.
He noted that the reason for the failure of contracts were "poor organization of enterprises lead executor, the low level of capacity planning and attracting labor resources" and "the cessation of production of components and raw materials, loss of individual production technologies, violation of cooperative relations."
In general (so far) the state defense order for the last year made 98%.

Some more info on last year's results and plans for this year state armaments;

http://bmpd.livejournal.com/1786376.html

Defense Ministry will take into account the experience of military action in Syria in a new state program of armaments

According to the deputy head of the military department, the nature of war is changing widely used reconnaissance, precision weapons, electronic warfare

KAZAN, 6 April. / TASS /. The new state program of armaments to the years 2018-2025 will be developed taking into account the experience of military action in Syria, he said on Wednesday Deputy Defense Minister Yuri Borisov.

"Of course, on the basis of in-depth analysis of all military conflicts, including the Syrian campaign, we will make changes to those activities that we plan for the next state program of armaments" - Borisov said during his visit to Kazan Optical and Mechanical Plant.

As the deputy head of the military department said, the nature of war is changing widely used reconnaissance, precision weapons, electronic warfare .

According to him, in February, the Russian president, it was decided to begin work on the next state program of armaments in the years 2018-2025.

Russia launched a military operation against the militants "Islamic State" (an organization banned in Russia) on the territory of Syria, at the request of the Syrian President Bashar Assad's September 30, 2015.

In March of this year, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that the tasks set by the Russian military, "generally satisfied". The main part of the Russian aircraft was taken out of Syria. At the same time, the Defense Ministry said that Russia will continue to strike targets of terrorists.


Подробнее на ТАСС:
https://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=1&hl=en&rurl=translate.google.com&sl=auto&tl=en&u=http://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/3180888&usg=ALkJrhi73E-XY1BDwgbl67BbweZJ0O2N-g

Impact of the Economic Crisis

https://thecipherbrief.com/article/europe/impact-economic-crisis-1090

The drop in Russian state revenues has affected Russian military modernization to some extent, though the Russian government has made an effort to insulate the military from budget cuts. Although the 2015 military budget was cut by five percent mid-year, the total allocation was still 25 percent higher than the previous year’s budget. This allowed the military to continue its modernization process, conduct operations in Syria, and fulfill its training and exercise programs.

With oil prices remaining low, the military is facing a more difficult financial picture in 2016. In November, the Finance Ministry announced that the total 2016 defense budget would be largely the same as in 2015. However, last month, an additional five percent cut was announced, which will result in the first annual net decline in Russian defense spending since Vladimir Putin became president in 2000.

As a result of the deteriorating financial outlook, the fulfillment of the 2011-2020 State Armament Program is now in question. The Russian military continues to develop new designs and receive new hardware but has been forced to reduce the quantities purchased of some items and to defer some big ticket items. For example, completion of the Yasen and Borei nuclear submarine construction programs has been pushed back from 2020 to no earlier than 2023 for the Yasen class and 2021 for the Borei class. Whereas Uralvagonzavod has previously announced that it will provide 2300 Armata T-14 main battle tanks to the Russian army by 2020, experts believe that only 200-300 will actually be procured over the next five years, with 2300 remaining a goal for 2030. Completion of the Barguzin railroad-based ICBM system was initially delayed by a over a year and then canceled due to financial problems. Finally, orders of the T-50 fifth generation fighter aircraft were reduced in 2015 from 55 to 12 because of the country’s deteriorating financial situation.

Longer term projects have also faced delays, with procurement of a new long range strategic bomber being postponed in favor of modernization of existing bombers. Plans for building large naval ships have been particularly affected. Construction of a new 14 thousand ton nuclear-powered destroyer, once intended to start in 2016, appears to no longer be under discussion, while plans for large amphibious assault ships, meant to replace the Mistral project that was canceled due to Western sanctions, remain amorphous and may have been quietly put on the back burner.

Overall, the constraints on procurement that have resulted from military budget cuts should not affect Russia’s strategic outlook in the near to medium term. The net effect of the procurement delays is that the Russian military will continue to depend on existing platforms and weapons to a greater extent and for a longer time period than originally hoped by the organizers of the military modernization effort. However, the Russian military is more than strong enough to hold its own in a conventional conflict against any likely adversaries other than the United States. And it could not hope to match the U.S. military even if the 2020 State Armament Program was fully implemented.

U.S. policymakers should not assume that Russia’s budget problems mean that they can stop thinking about the Russian military. While the Russian military is postponing and delaying many of its most ambitious military procurement projects, the financial situation has had a very limited impact on current military operations. The Russian military has shown that it can continue to maintain its schedule of exercises despite the financial constraints. The military has continued to regularly hold snap exercises, a practice that was begun by Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu soon after his appointment. The added financial outlays that resulted from the operation in Syria have been absorbed by the Defense Ministry without problem, with part of the cost being simply reallocated from the training budget.

Russia’s economic crisis has had at least one positive outcome for the Russian military. The number of applicants to serve as contract soldiers in the military has increased. For young men from small towns in the provinces, a military salary can provide a secure paycheck and reasonable living conditions. With the economic slowdown, the army has become a more attractive option.

The potential threat posed by the Russian military to Western states does not depend on the full implementation of all of the procurement plans. Russia’s existing complement of military hardware includes formidable air defense systems, high quality strike aircraft, and a growing number of ships and submarines equipped with land-attack and anti-ship cruise missiles. These forces have demonstrated their ability to conduct a small but effective air strike campaign in Syria, can present a strong A2/AD challenge to NATO forces operating near Russia’s borders, and have the capability of using cruise missiles to threaten targets up to 2500km away from ships located in enclosed seas (such as the Caspian and the Black Sea) where they are quite well-protected from potential adversaries. These existing capabilities will present a concern for U.S. military planners regardless of Russia’s ability to complete its larger military modernization program.