Russia Defence Forum

Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.

Military Forum for Russian and Global Defence Issues


+47
ult
ATLASCUB
nomadski
Firebird
Nibiru
Isos
Karl Haushofer
Hole
PapaDragon
LMFS
dino00
rrob
T-47
Singular_Transform
miketheterrible
Arrow
hoom
JohninMK
eehnie
Rmf
nastle77
sepheronx
GunshipDemocracy
kvs
Big_Gazza
max steel
flamming_python
Stealthflanker
Morpheus Eberhardt
Vann7
Werewolf
George1
Mike E
zg18
GarryB
Mindstorm
TR1
collegeboy16
navyfield
magnumcromagnon
AlfaT8
Admin
gaurav
SOC
Austin
Cyberspec
Viktor
51 posters

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    GarryB
    GarryB


    Posts : 40486
    Points : 40986
    Join date : 2010-03-30
    Location : New Zealand

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  GarryB Sun Feb 10, 2019 8:40 pm

    If the 9m279 cruise missile (which is what US is alleging to be non-compliant) range is software limited then its an INF breach.

    The US has no proof... tapes or video or satellite images showing that missile or any other Russian missile is in material breach of the treaty.

    INF says cruise missile range = range when you burn all the fuel.

    All their missiles comply and are factory fuelled so you can't top more up in the field to add range.

    For Iskander there is a possible loophole since INF says range = maximum range its been tested to -> the way I read it you could potentially make a missile with non-compliant range but only ever test to INF compliant distance.

    Iskander manouvers which reduces range... to violate the treaty you turn it from an impossible to shoot down serious threat into a simple target even a PAC-3 Patriot could easily deal with.

    AFAIK Iskander cannot be operated in a simple ballistic trajectory...

    I thought the US says the connectors on the Ashore launcher/canister are different -> not actually compatible.

    The launcher is designed to launch Tomahawk cruise missiles... it is a clear violation of the treaty even without missiles it is a Tomahawk launcher and both launchers and missiles are banned.

    Good but at least 6mths too late.
    If Russia had done the missile demo & made this demand 6mths ago or a couple of years ago Western media might have paid some attention, now if they mention this at all its gonna be buried at the bottom of a big piece talking about how INF is a done deal & completely Russias' fault.

    Nahh, Fuck them... Russia should aim for the bare minimum... these last few years the west has been accusation and then penalty, whether it is a blanket ban on Russian athletes, or diplomat purges for the Skripal affair... in this case the US talks about this untying their hands... well I would say the same for Russia in this instance... the only countries that will really suffer are those that do not have an IADS like most of the EU.

    Russia will be the best prepared and best protected of the lot... including the US.

    The map clearly shows the entire North Pacific , US West Coast is open of Posedian and Nuclear Powered cruise missile

    More importantly the withdrawal of the INF treaty means that arc can be covered by ground launched hypersonic anti ship missiles... the north pacific and the arctic ocean... the USN just got neutered...


    Last edited by GarryB on Fri Feb 15, 2019 1:42 pm; edited 1 time in total
    avatar
    Arrow


    Posts : 3438
    Points : 3428
    Join date : 2012-02-13

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  Arrow Sun Feb 10, 2019 8:58 pm

    re importantly the withdrawal of the INF treaty means that arc can be covered by ground launched hypersonic anti ship missiles... the north pacific and the arctic ocean... the USN just got neutered... wrote:

    Cirkon has a declared range of about 400 km only. The fleet can operate from a further range.
    avatar
    hoom


    Posts : 2352
    Points : 2340
    Join date : 2016-05-06

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  hoom Sun Feb 10, 2019 11:54 pm

    And maritime VLS able to launch tomahawks in the middle of a country that has only small rivers isn't a breach ?
    Did you look at what I was replying to? The post in question suggests that 'Iskander' range is software limited not fuel limited.
    IMO the claim is incorrect but if it actually is true then Russia is in breach.
    Its got nothing to do with the US launchers.

    The US has no proof... tapes or video or satellite images showing that missile or any other Russian missile is in material breach of the treaty.

    All their missiles comply and are factory fuelled so you can't top more up in the field to add range.
    I agree there is no actual evidence presented that I've seen but as above I was responding to the suggestion that Russia has a software range limit.

    The launcher is designed to launch Tomahawk cruise missiles... it is a clear violation of the treaty even without missiles it is a Tomahawk launcher and both launchers and missiles are banned.
    Depends on the definition of 'distinguishable' which an INF compliant fixed test launcher has to be, what if any actual changes the US has made for the AEGIS Ashore & whether or not the test Land Ship is actually using standard Mk41 launchers or 'distinguishable' test ones.
    I'm inclined to 'distinguishable' meaning by external visual ID probably by satelite or Clear Skies aircraft since that was standard verification method for various other treaties -> test & deployed land Mk41s probably fail that test.

    Nahh, Fuck them... Russia should aim for the bare minimum
    If Russia wants to show the world that the US is lying/has shitty intel then they needed to do it before Western media gets to repeat the same lies so often it becomes accepted Truth.
    Russia needed to be out there early & often showing with actual visual evidence that the US claims are BS.
    I mean they are supposed to have an army of God level PR guys who can turn an election with $4,700 of Google ads, why are they so fucking inept?  scratch
    PapaDragon
    PapaDragon


    Posts : 13462
    Points : 13502
    Join date : 2015-04-26
    Location : Fort Evil, Serbia

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  PapaDragon Mon Feb 11, 2019 2:29 am


    Alright guys, I used old RSD-10 Pioneer (SS-20 Saber) missile with 5500km range as example and all have to say is what the hell were Soviets thinking when they rubber-stamped INF?  Suspect

    This is coverage you get when you comfortably park the missiles south of Anadyr on Chukotka peninsula (white dot).

    You get instant kill of every town and city in the western USA minus San Diego. You can get San Diego if you move them closer to coastline but let's be conservative.

    Yes, Hawaii are in range as well.

    As a bonus you have ALL Minutemen ICBM silos in range as well (not that it matters in second strike but it's a sweet bonus nonetheless and it would rile up Gringos big time)

    Wanna hear best part? You can get pretty much same result from Wrangel Island up in the Arctic where Russia just reactivated and upgraded military base. How about that?  Cool

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Screen12

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Screen13

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 800px-Active_LGM-30_Minuteman_Sites



    And if you want to own entire Europe, Middle East, North Africa and almost whole of Asia all you need to do is put them in central Russia (I used Kirov here simply for convenience).

    Ironically, you get best results if you put them in middle of nowhere in Siberia.  lol1

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Screen10
    GunshipDemocracy
    GunshipDemocracy


    Posts : 6164
    Points : 6184
    Join date : 2015-05-17
    Location : fishin on Stalin´s Strait between Mexico and Canada

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  GunshipDemocracy Mon Feb 11, 2019 3:32 pm

    PapaDragon wrote:
    Alright guys, I used old RSD-10 Pioneer (SS-20 Saber) missile with 5500km range as example and all have to say is what the hell were Soviets thinking when they rubber-stamped INF?  Suspect

    This is coverage you get when you comfortably park the missiles south of Anadyr on Chukotka peninsula (white dot).


    Rs-26 Rubezh, no need for Pioneer anymore lol1 lol1 lol1 can fly 2000km+ . Of course this below is an estimate but mind that lunch vehicle is 6 axle not 8 axle anymore s for Yars.

    https://forums.airbase.ru/2016/02/t90431_3--rs-26-rubezh-avangard.html

    look at dimensions derived from st pics:
    My version.
    Total length with TPK: ~ 18m
    Length TPK (missile container) : ~ 14.5m
    Diameter TPK: ~ 1.9m

    size on pair with Pioneer... only range better russia russia russia




    JohninMK wrote:
    Hole wrote:The new hypersonic space drone could be useful for such a task.

    First version will be for recon, but later…  Twisted Evil  
    The ultimate suicide drone! Makes the others look a bit mundane.

    or bringing b ack US sat's for "unplanned vehicle inspection"
    GarryB
    GarryB


    Posts : 40486
    Points : 40986
    Join date : 2010-03-30
    Location : New Zealand

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  GarryB Mon Feb 11, 2019 9:00 pm

    I agree there is no actual evidence presented that I've seen but as above I was responding to the suggestion that Russia has a software range limit.

    Next they will be saying if they dipped the missile in lard that the reduced drag might add 20-30km to its flight range which would take it over the limit... Rolling Eyes

    I believe the term is grasping at straws...

    They said Russia was in violation of the treaty but have presented no evidence to prove it... there is a reason someone does not have to prove their innocence and the prosecution has to prove guilt.

    Depends on the definition of 'distinguishable' which an INF compliant fixed test launcher has to be, what if any actual changes the US has made for the AEGIS Ashore & whether or not the test Land Ship is actually using standard Mk41 launchers or 'distinguishable' test ones.
    I'm inclined to 'distinguishable' meaning by external visual ID probably by satelite or Clear Skies aircraft since that was standard verification method for various other treaties -> test & deployed land Mk41s probably fail that test.

    Does not depend on anything... if the Russians built a land based UKSK launcher but said they were only going to load it with the 40km range anti submarine ballistic rockets that deliver anti sub torpedoes the US would have a fit...

    If Russia wants to show the world that the US is lying/has shitty intel then they needed to do it before Western media gets to repeat the same lies so often it becomes accepted Truth.

    Hahahahahahahaha... look at you... the western media will say what the white house tells them to say... we know the US has shitty intel... WMDs anyone?

    Russia needed to be out there early & often showing with actual visual evidence that the US claims are BS.

    What would be the point of that... how often do you see the western media think critically about what it says, and release retractions and apologies when it is found to be wrong?

    I mean they are supposed to have an army of God level PR guys who can turn an election with $4,700 of Google ads, why are they so fucking inept?

    Google will sell them advert space, but the rich control the western media and they let the people see what the rich people want them to see... alternatives to the west are bad... you wont see anything good about them on western TV... the west is broken for the majority, but for the rich few who can afford media companies the west is perfect... it was how they became so rich and it is how they get richer because they can control the media and the two political parties...

    Nothing Russia can do can get through that brain wash...

    Alright guys, I used old RSD-10 Pioneer (SS-20 Saber) missile with 5500km range as example and all have to say is what the hell were Soviets thinking when they rubber-stamped INF?

    Actually that was why the US signed the deal... the soviets signed because they knew that a three minute warning of a missile coming towards them that might be a nuke and the first missile in a full scale attack or it might be nothing at all... three minutes... that could start any time any day 24/7... imagine Christmas morning 10am... decide whether to retaliate or assume it was a glitch... that is really stressful stuff... but now they have radar coverage 24/7 anyway and having units on alert means such targets are not so tricky and certainly enough defences are present to blunt an initial attack so all weapons can be safely launched for a full retaliation...

    As you can imagine having IRBMs means ICBMs and SLBMs can concentrate on longer ranged targets located further away...
    George1
    George1


    Posts : 18505
    Points : 19008
    Join date : 2011-12-23
    Location : Greece

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  George1 Wed Feb 13, 2019 9:41 am

    Romanian top diplomat opposes deployment of new missiles


    Teodor Melescanu pointed out that Bucharest was "very concerned" about the United States’ decision to withdraw from the INF Treaty

    BERLIN, February 12. /TASS/. Romanian Foreign Minister Teodor Melescanu opposes the deployment of new missiles to Europe, including his country, as he himself said in an interview with Germany’s Die Welt newspaper.

    "If Moscow does not want dialogue, then we have to find an appropriate response. However, the deployment of nuclear weapons to Europe would definitely be a bad response," he said. "I think it won’t happen, particularly in Romania," Melescanu added.

    The Romanian top diplomat pointed out that Bucharest was "very concerned" about the United States’ decision to withdraw from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty. At the same time, he noted that there were still six months to prevent that move. "I call on Russia to do everything to ensure compliance and save the INF Treaty," Melescanu said.


    More:
    http://tass.com/defense/1044288
    GunshipDemocracy
    GunshipDemocracy


    Posts : 6164
    Points : 6184
    Join date : 2015-05-17
    Location : fishin on Stalin´s Strait between Mexico and Canada

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  GunshipDemocracy Wed Feb 13, 2019 10:35 am

    GarryB wrote:

    Alright guys, I used old RSD-10 Pioneer (SS-20 Saber) missile with 5500km range as example and all have to say is what the hell were Soviets thinking when they rubber-stamped INF?

    Actually that was why the US signed the deal.....

    US started to be friendlier after Pioneers gone to Gudym base. Time to return to Gudym ( aka Anadyr-1 ) - Soviet missile base (Pioneers) in Chukotka. It is not far from Anadyr.


    Distance from Anadyr to Seattle...................3,979 km
    Distance from Anadyr to San Francisco..........4,863 km
    Distance from Anadyr to Las Vegas km..........5,358 km
    Distance from Anadyr to Los Angeles.............5,412 km
    Distance from Anadyr to Chicago...................6,088 km

    For ABM site, f-22 airbase in Alaska Kiznhals should do.



    https://www.rbth.com/history/326274-soviet-town-threatened-usa


    https://zhzhitel.livejournal.com/404799.html

    PapaDragon
    PapaDragon


    Posts : 13462
    Points : 13502
    Join date : 2015-04-26
    Location : Fort Evil, Serbia

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  PapaDragon Wed Feb 13, 2019 12:15 pm

    George1 wrote:

    Romanian top diplomat opposes deployment of new missiles


    Teodor Melescanu pointed out that Bucharest was "very concerned" about the United States’ decision to withdraw from the INF Treaty...


    I don't think he gets to have a say in this particular matter, it's way above his pay grade
    Big_Gazza
    Big_Gazza


    Posts : 4879
    Points : 4869
    Join date : 2014-08-25
    Location : Melbourne, Australia

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  Big_Gazza Wed Feb 13, 2019 4:49 pm

    George1 wrote:

    Romanian top diplomat opposes deployment of new missiles


    Maybe these Romanian idiots should have thought about it before they agreed to be cock-holsters for the Monkey Empire and allow BMD base (aka covert Tomahawk LACM base) to be setup in their dungheap of a nation?

    What did Russia ever do to deserve having retard neighbours who are as f_cked up as these clowns? angry
    GarryB
    GarryB


    Posts : 40486
    Points : 40986
    Join date : 2010-03-30
    Location : New Zealand

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  GarryB Wed Feb 13, 2019 7:48 pm


    I don't think he gets to have a say in this particular matter, it's way above his pay grade

    Love the fact they (this guy and the German official) say there will be no missiles in Europe but it is all Russias fault and Russia has to fix this...

    I think Russia needs to be more assertive and say that they are complying with the INF treaty, while the US is not with its Mk-41 launchers in eastern europe and that even if the US decides this Russian missile does not break the treaty they will withdraw from the INF treaty until they are removed.

    Also that all US forces in the EU will become the target of their new missiles and that the countries those forces are located in will have their civilian population targeted in addition to the US forces there to ensure they get all US personnel.
    Hole
    Hole


    Posts : 11107
    Points : 11085
    Join date : 2018-03-25
    Age : 48
    Location : Scholzistan

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  Hole Wed Feb 13, 2019 9:29 pm

    "I call on Russia to do everything to ensure compliance and save the INF Treaty," Melescanu said.

    Amiland is cancelling the treaty but he still blames Russia. As long as western politicians (and presstitutes) live in their own little reality (bubble) nothing will change.
    avatar
    hoom


    Posts : 2352
    Points : 2340
    Join date : 2016-05-06

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  hoom Wed Feb 13, 2019 9:49 pm

    I think Russia needs to be more assertive and say that they are complying with the INF treaty, while the US is not with its Mk-41 launchers in eastern europe and that even if the US decides this Russian missile does not break the treaty they will withdraw from the INF treaty until they are removed.
    Like by pushing the facts that they're in compliance with things like missile diagrams & pics at least many months or years ago...
    flamming_python
    flamming_python


    Posts : 9516
    Points : 9574
    Join date : 2012-01-31

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  flamming_python Wed Feb 13, 2019 10:16 pm

    Big_Gazza wrote:
    George1 wrote:

    Romanian top diplomat opposes deployment of new missiles



    Maybe these Romanian idiots should have thought about it before they agreed to be cock-holsters for the Monkey Empire and allow BMD base (aka covert Tomahawk LACM base) to be setup in their dungheap of a nation?

    What did Russia ever do to deserve having retard neighbours who are as f_cked up as these clowns?  angry

    Nothing to do with the country itself, just the puppets in charge of it.
    I think the Latvian FM said the same thing - laid all the blame on Russia and expressed concern.

    Ultimately their input is meaningless and one has to wonder why they bother saying anything.
    The US withdrew from the treaty, which means that it is now dead. There is to be no more complaince with it. So now the NATO lackeys in Europe get to experience the consenquences of not having more of a backbone.
    JohninMK
    JohninMK


    Posts : 15590
    Points : 15731
    Join date : 2015-06-16
    Location : England

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  JohninMK Thu Feb 14, 2019 11:13 am

    Quotes from Stoltenberg at the NATO gathering today

    Henry Jones‏ @hthjones 7h7 hours ago

    NATO is "preparing for a world without the INF Treaty. Defence Ministers discussed this today. Any steps we take will be defensive, measured and coordinated"

    "We do NOT intend to deploy new land-based nuclear missiles in Europe"

    "All 29 NATO Allies agree that the SSC-8 missile system developed & deployed by Russia is a significant risk to our security"

    "Russia still has a chance to come back into compliance. We call on Russia to take this opportunity".
    PapaDragon
    PapaDragon


    Posts : 13462
    Points : 13502
    Join date : 2015-04-26
    Location : Fort Evil, Serbia

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  PapaDragon Thu Feb 14, 2019 11:42 am

    JohninMK wrote:Quotes from Stoltenberg at the NATO gathering today

    Henry Jones‏ @hthjones 7h7 hours ago

    NATO is "preparing for a world without the INF Treaty. Defence Ministers discussed this today. Any steps we take will be defensive, measured and coordinated"

    "We do NOT intend to deploy new land-based nuclear missiles in Europe"
    ......


    And another guy who doesn't get to have a say in the matter and over whose pay grade this issue is way over.

    Same goes for that cheerleading club he represents...
    LMFS
    LMFS


    Posts : 5156
    Points : 5152
    Join date : 2018-03-04

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  LMFS Thu Feb 14, 2019 12:16 pm

    "We do NOT intend to deploy new land-based nuclear missiles in Europe"
    Say the bastards that already have the Mk41 in place with no way for anybody of knowing what is inside, and with radars useless for their supposed ABM role. Get ready to see these systems pop up like mushrooms while they call for Russia to stop destroying the peace and the stability of Europe. You have to salute these MoFos' nerve respekt
    GunshipDemocracy
    GunshipDemocracy


    Posts : 6164
    Points : 6184
    Join date : 2015-05-17
    Location : fishin on Stalin´s Strait between Mexico and Canada

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  GunshipDemocracy Thu Feb 14, 2019 1:25 pm

    PapaDragon wrote:And another guy who doesn't get to have a say in the matter and over whose pay grade this issue is way over.

    Same goes for that cheerleading club he represents...


    Stoltenberg is not  such a drunkard s Rasmussen was? yet still is talking shit









    LMFS wrote:
    "We do NOT intend to deploy new land-based nuclear missiles in Europe"
    Say the bastards that already have the Mk41 in place with no way for anybody of knowing what is inside, and with radars useless for their supposed ABM role. Get ready to see these systems pop up like mushrooms while they call for Russia to stop destroying the peace and the stability of Europe. You have to salute these MoFos' nerve respekt

    didn't the Deep State Deportment syd tht Russian accusation are funny groundless thosecells are not the same cells onships. Thus nobody is gonna verify it lol1 lol1 lol1
    LMFS
    LMFS


    Posts : 5156
    Points : 5152
    Join date : 2018-03-04

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  LMFS Fri Feb 15, 2019 12:18 am

    GunshipDemocracy wrote:didn't the Deep State Deportment syd tht Russian accusation are funny groundless thosecells  are not the same cells onships.  Thus  nobody is gonna verify it lol1 lol1 lol1
    Not even that GD, their whole excuse was that the SW was not compatible. Probably they need to get a soldier performing a 5 minutes FW update before being able to launch LACMs from them... and that if I were to believe them, which based on their record would be profoundly stupid.
    GarryB
    GarryB


    Posts : 40486
    Points : 40986
    Join date : 2010-03-30
    Location : New Zealand

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  GarryB Fri Feb 15, 2019 12:46 am

    didn't the Deep State Deportment syd tht Russian accusation are funny groundless thosecells are not the same cells onships. Thus nobody is gonna verify it

    In that case the Russians can just state that the particular missile the US claims is the issue is a modified UKSK launch tube so there is no problem....

    The Russians have had a meeting to display the missile and explain its performance and characteristics and NATO and the US boycotted the whole thing... they are not interested in hearing Russias side or the truth... they have already made up their minds... so screw them.
    miketheterrible
    miketheterrible


    Posts : 7383
    Points : 7341
    Join date : 2016-11-07

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  miketheterrible Fri Feb 15, 2019 4:14 am

    GarryB wrote:
    didn't the Deep State Deportment syd tht Russian accusation are funny groundless thosecells are not the same cells onships. Thus nobody is gonna verify it

    In that case the Russians can just state that the particular missile the US claims is the issue is a modified UKSK launch tube so there is no problem....

    The Russians have had a meeting to display the missile and explain its performance and characteristics and NATO and the US boycotted the whole thing... they are not interested in hearing Russias side or the truth... they have already made up their minds... so screw them.

    Exactly. No point on negotiations with US.
    Hole
    Hole


    Posts : 11107
    Points : 11085
    Join date : 2018-03-25
    Age : 48
    Location : Scholzistan

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  Hole Fri Feb 15, 2019 7:21 am

    Lavrov would look 10 years younger if he hadn´t to talk to this censored in Washington.  Very Happy
    GunshipDemocracy
    GunshipDemocracy


    Posts : 6164
    Points : 6184
    Join date : 2015-05-17
    Location : fishin on Stalin´s Strait between Mexico and Canada

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  GunshipDemocracy Fri Feb 15, 2019 12:03 pm

    miketheterrible wrote: Exactly.  No point on negotiations with US.

    I see negotiations to have 2 purposes:

    1) PR
    @LMFS && GB

    you're right, US excuses are stupid. That stupid that it cn help to eye opening for part of western population...




    2) actually this is more important: fog of war . US withdrew with ABM nd in 15 years learned bout Poseidon, Avangard, Kinzhal, Burevestnik or Lasers. ...


    GarryB
    GarryB


    Posts : 40486
    Points : 40986
    Join date : 2010-03-30
    Location : New Zealand

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  GarryB Fri Feb 15, 2019 1:57 pm

    2) actually this is more important: fog of war . US withdrew with ABM nd in 15 years learned bout Poseidon, Avangard, Kinzhal, Burevestnik or Lasers. ...

    I don't understand... are you suggesting Poseidon and Avangard and Kinzhal et al were already being developed so withdrawing from the ABM treaty was to the advantage of the US because it brought these secret programmes out into the open?

    Withdrawing from the INF treaty will result in Russia developing new capabilities... many of which would actually be rather useful to Russia... a land based 5,000km range hypersonic missile that can engage point land or sea based targets would be very very useful... mostly because it is not an ICBM or SLBM and with a conventional warhead would not instantly and certainly start WWIII.

    So unlike a conventionally armed ICBM it could be used in non nuclear conflicts the way conventionally armed cruise missiles have already been widely used.

    The fact is that while the US ABM system in Europe started out as a bunch of missiles in one country it has expanded to the ocean... the use of land based AEGIS Ashore systems is no accident... the point is that this land based ABM system is replicated on every US and foreign owned AEGIS class cruiser... which pretty much opens up the ABM threat to Russian missiles to the entire arctic ocean and north pacific and med sea... and with the INF treaty in force that means they have to squander some SLBMs or ICBMs to target locations to improve the chances of their missiles getting past.

    The new Start treaty limits the number of warheads they are allowed so adding AEGIS class destroyers to the need to kill list greatly weakens the Russian ability to take out their primary targets in the US and europe.

    Loss of the INF treaty is a huge break for Russia and Russia should be thankful the Americans are so fucking dumb and the Europeans are such terrible cowards and sycophants that they will not object to Americas bullshit reasons even to save themselves...

    Russia can now build plenty of unstoppable hypersonic conventionally armed missiles to deal with US ABM systems on land and sea in and around europe, the arctic ocean and far east in the pacific.

    Ironically their attempt to create an ABM shield has led to the likely deployment of missiles that will cripple their navy in hours at the least possible cost...

    I think it is excellent for Russia.

    Sure there is the lack of warning, but they have perimeter, and also fairly decent air defences, and a first strike big enough to seriously effect Russias ability to operate would need to be enormous and so it could hardly be hidden... and a prepared Russia would be a hard nut to crack because unlike syria it could not just shoot down these missiles but it could also attack the sources of the attacks and potential sources for further attack to punish the attack and stop further escalation of the attack... when the attack collapses then decisions can be made about what sort of response is needed.
    GunshipDemocracy
    GunshipDemocracy


    Posts : 6164
    Points : 6184
    Join date : 2015-05-17
    Location : fishin on Stalin´s Strait between Mexico and Canada

    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  GunshipDemocracy Sat Feb 16, 2019 12:35 pm

    US congresswoman introduces bill to uphold INF Treaty
    US Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard said that "we face a greater risk of nuclear catastrophe now than ever before in history"


    More:
    http://tass.com/world/1045000


    russia russia russia

    Ms Gabbard (Hawaii) forgot to add. Nuclear war only if Us wants to attack Russia,

    BTW Anadyr Honolulu -> below 5,000km









    GarryB wrote:
    2) actually this is more important: fog of war . US withdrew with ABM nd in 15 years learned bout Poseidon, Avangard, Kinzhal, Burevestnik or Lasers. ...

    I don't understand... are you suggesting Poseidon and Avangard and Kinzhal et al were already being developed so withdrawing from the ABM treaty was to the advantage of the US because it brought these secret programmes out into the open?


    sorry, I was not clear enough. I meant those programmers got funding (or were initiated) because of ABM treaty withdrawal.


    GB wrote:Withdrawing from the INF treaty will result in Russia developing new capabilities... many of which would actually be rather useful to Russia... a land based 5,000km range hypersonic missile that can engage point land or sea based targets would be very very useful... mostly because it is not an ICBM or SLBM and with a conventional warhead would not instantly and certainly start WWIII.


    Im afrsid that any use of ballistic missile is gonna trigger nuclear war. Unless you sy to Us you're gonna use it but why then use hypersonic missilesto bomb 3rd world countries?

    GB wrote:
    The fact is that while the US ABM system in Europe started out as a bunch of missiles in one country it has expanded to the ocean... the use of land based AEGIS Ashore systems is no accident... the point is that this land based ABM system is replicated on every US and foreign owned AEGIS class cruiser... which pretty much opens up the ABM threat to Russian missiles to the entire arctic ocean and north pacific and med sea... and with the INF treaty in force that means they have to squander some SLBMs or ICBMs to target locations to improve the chances of their missiles getting past.


    the most interesting here is timing. You need to sink AEGIS before it shoots missiles to intercept Russian ICBMs


    Sponsored content


    INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life   - Page 23 Empty Re: INF Treaty - coming to the end of its life

    Post  Sponsored content


      Current date/time is Thu Nov 14, 2024 2:54 pm