Political, security and economic developments in Central Asia

kvs wrote:

par far wrote:Turkmenistan is building a gas pipeline to rival Iran, this is probably the US telling(probably came after John Kerry's visit) Turkmenistan to do this and this is right before the sanctions on Iran are to be lifted, so this just the US screwing a Russian ally. Russia cannot trust the post soviet countries and need to be careful with them because they can be easily affected by the west. The pipeline will run trough Afghanistan and Pakistan, won't the terrorists blow it up, probably not because the US controls the all terrorists. And this is coming out just after the Russian plane crash in Egypt.

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2015/11/08/436775/Turkmenistan-gas-pipeline-TAPI-Iran-

They can do whatever they want.   Turkmenistan does not have the reserves to serve every market.   It is already over-committed in its exports
to China.   Bach in the early 2000s there was this delusion that the Caspian basin was the new Middle East.   There were big plans for the Nabucco
pipeline to bypass Russia and feed the EU with Turkmen gas.   It was all epic BS.   The only suppliers that can compete with Russia are Iran together
with Qatar.  

http://www.naturalgaseurope.com/turkmenistan-supplied-125-bcm-gas-to-china-25610

Turkmenistan is supposed to ship 40 bcm/year of gas to China.   That is a lot of gas and it does not have much more export capacity.

sepheronx wrote:

kvs wrote:

par far wrote:Turkmenistan is building a gas pipeline to rival Iran, this is probably the US telling(probably came after John Kerry's visit) Turkmenistan to do this and this is right before the sanctions on Iran are to be lifted, so this just the US screwing a Russian ally. Russia cannot trust the post soviet countries and need to be careful with them because they can be easily affected by the west. The pipeline will run trough Afghanistan and Pakistan, won't the terrorists blow it up, probably not because the US controls the all terrorists. And this is coming out just after the Russian plane crash in Egypt.

http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2015/11/08/436775/Turkmenistan-gas-pipeline-TAPI-Iran-

They can do whatever they want.   Turkmenistan does not have the reserves to serve every market.   It is already over-committed in its exports
to China.   Bach in the early 2000s there was this delusion that the Caspian basin was the new Middle East.   There were big plans for the Nabucco
pipeline to bypass Russia and feed the EU with Turkmen gas.   It was all epic BS.   The only suppliers that can compete with Russia are Iran together
with Qatar.  

http://www.naturalgaseurope.com/turkmenistan-supplied-125-bcm-gas-to-china-25610

Turkmenistan is supposed to ship 40 bcm/year of gas to China.   That is a lot of gas and it does not have much more export capacity.

Take into account that Kazakhstan, Iran and Russia have major control over Caspian sea and all 3 have major agreements with each other on the control and resources belonging there.  Probably to prevent that idea of the Nabucco.

Cancel Victory Parade in Kazakhstan, the transition to the Latin alphabet and the local "Holodomor" exacerbate Russian question

The miracle did not happen. Multi-vector policy pursued by the President of Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev for many years, in fact, turned out to be only a form of construction of the Kazakh national state, and curtsey to Russian and Russian-speakers were designed to disguise this course for the time being. Arguments for such an interpretation of events is growing. In any case, the part of the Kazakh political elite, which stands for ethnic nationalism clearly has the upper hand. The attack follows the line of the history, culture and language. Likewise, recently in Ukraine. The effects may be similar.

Symptomatic sign of change in the situation was the refusal from holding the military parade on the occasion of Victory Day in Astana. This was reported by the Defense Ministry press-service of Kazakhstan. According to the military, this year the parade will take place for some reason, in September and will be timed to the Independence Day of Kazakhstan. In fact, this festival is celebrated in the country on 16 December. It was on this date in 1991, the Supreme Council was adopted by the Constitutional Law on the independence of the Republic of Kazakhstan.

Anyway, the traditional parade in May, will not be. And this despite the fact that in 2015, on the 70th anniversary of the Victory, he was the most powerful in the modern history of Kazakhstan. Five hundred thousand troops and military equipment units were supported by aircraft of the US Embassy. Then, because of the events in the Ukraine in the country were strong fears that Kazakhstan will become the next target for the account "color revolution", and the government wanted to demonstrate force. The action itself took place on May 7, 9, Nazarbayev attended the parade in Moscow. Apparently, this was the last chord.

But Kazakhstan and its residents to play an active role in the Great Patriotic War. At some point in defining. So, here, in Alma-Ata, and the famous 316th Infantry Division was formed in neighboring Kyrgyzstan, whose fighters are known to the world as "Panfilov". It is their heroism during the defense of Moscow remained for centuries in 1941 and even mentioned in the text of the anthem of the Russian capital. The phrase Lieutenant Klochkova "Great Russia, and nowhere to retreat - behind Moscow!" And all know each student. By the way, among the Kazakhs almost one hundred - 99 Heroes of the Soviet Union.

Interestingly, the cult of heroes Panfilov in the former Soviet republics of Asia, perhaps even stronger than in Russia. When the former head of the State Archive Sergey Mironenko preparing his ideological sabotage with debunking their feat, the most indignant that it was the representatives of Kazakhstan. At the World Congress of Russian Press, they were reminded that almost every school there is a museum of heroes and heroism newfangled denial of their countrymen makes them disgusted. And now this feat War attacked again. At this time, already own, the Kazakh authorities.

The fact that it is not a coincidence, no doubt. This is a deliberate policy. Nobody wants any "savings". States do not give up ideologically significant events for the sake of economy. In the end, in the same 1941, went to the front right from the parade on Red Square. Because it was necessary. The current Kazakhstan clearly is not necessary. Victory Parade perceived as ideological connection with the alien phenomenon is now - Russia.

This urge, and other events of the same series with the fundamental nature. Such as, for example, the transition from the Cyrillic to the Latin alphabet. The initiative for this was made by Nazarbayev himself, and quite a long time - ten years ago. But right now the idea has gained flesh and blood. In March, the corresponding state program funding was adopted. In Latin translate all state documents, the names of streets, printing passports and other documents of citizens. Only officials initially will acquire $ 300 million. It is clear that the money the government will spend Kazakhstan only if it believes the goal is really very important. Transfer to the Latin alphabet is to integrate it into the Western Anglo-Saxon world (and partly in Turkish, using the Latin alphabet) and withdraw it from the Russian world. In any way it can not be explained otherwise.

Complete the process of transition to a new alphabet must be by 2025. This will help Kazakhstan "colleagues" of the Turkic world, have already passed this way - experts-philologists of Azerbaijan. By the way, the skeptics talk about the fact that such a question should be put to a referendum, the response in Astana was not found. Everything is dictated by the supreme will. Well, yes, in words it is about creating the conditions for integration into the world a better study of the children of the English language and the language of the Internet, but this is secondary tasks. Obviously, the main goal - political - maximum separation of Kazakhstan from Russia.

Imposing its Latin country, Nazarbayev does not forget about the development of the Kazakh language. Thus, the country's history to be taught in schools only in Kazakh in 2018. Russian will be required to learn the first language of the majority population, and only then will be able to receive a full secondary education. It is clear that without this, any, even the most modest career for them will be impossible. The alternative - to leave the country.

Another way of development of the national identity of the Kazakh and Russian opposition to it became the topic of local "Holodomor", similar to Ukrainian. We are talking about hunger, which experienced many regions of the USSR in the 1930s. "Starving the Volga region" - is there. That is the theme used in Ukraine to incite hatred towards Russian. They say it was a deliberate genocide of Russian Ukrainians. At the same scheme and operate in Kazakhstan. In Astana opened a monument to the appropriate kind of tragic.

According to "Russian imperialist" Ermek Taychibekova, who is now in prison for his views , like monuments purposefully opened in all cities of Kazakhstan with a population of more than 5 thousand people. We are talking about a targeted campaign, in which the victims of Russian Kazakhs are exposed and therefore are opposed to them. It is clear that this is not the end good. Nazarbayev is not eternal. When in power in Kazakhstan comes a new post-Soviet generation, explosion Kazakh nationalism is inevitable.

And here the question arises, what to do in this situation, Russia. In the country, in spite of the departure, continue to live millions of Russian and Russian-speaking, now constitute a national minority. They live mainly in the north, historically Russian, part of the country. Suffice it to recall that in places where there is now the Kazakh city of Uralsk, walked once rebellious Emelyan Pugachev. And where does the Kazakhs definitely respected?

It is unlikely that this is not understood in the Kremlin. However, all of the past with the collapse of the Soviet years, Moscow has relied on the central government of Kazakhstan in the hope of its goodwill. About how to Ukraine allegedly pro-Russian Yanukovych. Like, do not trouble trouble until it softly. At the same time, all attempts to raise the issue of Russian co-suppressed secret services of both countries. A major such attempts have been at least three.

First in 1997, when escaped Cossack uprising in Kokshetau. The authorities acted to pre-empt - Kokshetau region abolished, merged it with the North Kazakhstan, denying the possibility of the local authorities to make decisions closer to Russia. It was absolutely a legitimate attempt, based on current law and the will of the people, but it failed. Next it was already more brutal - Kazimirchuk group accused of intending to seize power by force of arms and sentenced to long terms. And finally, the third attempt - Eduard Limonov and his associates in 2001 - was cupped in the territory of Russia. However, the court acquitted the Russian rebels. After spending several years in prison, they were released.

The problem of the Russian minority nonetheless not disappeared. As you can see, the rate of the central authority and its credibility on the part of Moscow, only postponed it for a while. Now the period of international peace comes to an end. Kazakh nationalism comes to the stage of history. Rejection of the common past of the Victory of 1945 - the first bell. Ahead of a lot of tragic events.

Do not look for problems where there are none . In the modern history of Kazakhstan was only 5 parades : in 2005 , 2009, 2011 , 2014 and 2015 . They spend not annually, and after any anniversaries . The next parade is scheduled for 2017 . That's the whole secret. And you already shout loudly that Nazarbayev merged all

Four-Day Terror Spree Leaves at Least 20 Dead in Kazakhstan

Six suspected terrorists remain at large in Kazakhstan following the deadliest internal attacks in the country's history, according to Kazakh officials. Twenty people — including 13 attackers killed by government forces — were reported dead this week in Aktobe, a city in the country's northwest sector near the border with Russia.

"The government of Kazakhstan and Ministry of Internal Affairs are closely examining the events and what has taken place," said Yerlan Kubashev, a political counselor at the Embassy of Kazakhstan in Washington, D.C. "As the situation continues to unfold, we will not be able to draw any conclusions."

The four-day rampage began Sunday with robberies at two gun stores, and continued as assailants hijacked a bus and rammed their way into a military base, where they killed three service members and wounded nine others. On Wednesday, the attackers assaulted a children's camp.

http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2016-06-10/four-day-terror-spree-leaves-at-least-20-dead-in-kazakhstan

sepheronx wrote:Changing names doesn't = anti Russian. Could also be nationalists nationalizing the country. That is what current leader does.  To gain strength a power over the country, band together nationalists.

And attacks happen everywhere. It hit a Kazakhstan military base. What does half a quarter Rus population have to do with this? Finding links where there is none?

sepheronx wrote:Edit: I do find it interesting that this happens not so long after the "anti gov protests" though. Soros hand?

Sucks that Russia has so many Muslim based nations south of her. But something they need to help deal with.