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    The Situation in the Ukraine. #22

    JohninMK
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    The Situation in the Ukraine. #22 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #22

    Post  JohninMK Sat Nov 21, 2015 8:27 pm

    flamming_python wrote:
    JohninMK wrote:Looks like Kiev is short of cash again.

    MOSCOW (Sputnik) — Moscow is yet to receive a prepayment from Kiev for its winter-time natural gas deliveries to Ukraine, Russia's Energy Minister Alexander Novak said Saturday. "We have not received any money yet, the last tranche came in on November 5," Novak told reporters.

    This is not the first time that Kiev falls behind on gas payments to Russia. Its state gas company Gazprom estimates that Ukraine's energy major Naftogaz owes it $256.5 million in arrears for gas delivered to southeastern Ukraine for 2015, according to the company’s financial report published last week.

    Moscow renewed gas deliveries to Ukraine after receiving $234 million in prepayment out of the agreed $500 from Naftogaz.

    In September, Russia, Ukraine and the European Commission initiated a winter package deal for supplies during the peak consumption period between October 1, 2015 and March 31, 2016. It will ensure the delivery of 2 billion cubic meters of gas to Ukraine’s underground storage at discounted prices.


    Read more: http://sputniknews.com/europe/20151121/1030502753/gas-deliveries-ukraine-prepayment.html#ixzz3s8bnihTH

    Waiting to see if Moscow excuses them for this transgression too, and keeps the gas pumping while no payment has yet been reached.

    The Ukrainian side understands only force, they scream and shout for Russian blood and then when they get their ass handed to them in the latest incompetently-led military assault, they cry for Western support against Russian aggression.
    They are not interested in negotiations, seriously.
    Gazprom stopped pumping last year so Kiev knows the precedent it there. Kiev paid them a big chunk of EU money a short while back, maybe they are still in credit at the moment.
    PapaDragon
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    Post  PapaDragon Sat Nov 21, 2015 8:49 pm


    Kiev is just freaking out that because are no longer considered "cool"... Razz
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    whir


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    Post  whir Sat Nov 21, 2015 9:09 pm

    flamming_python wrote:Waiting to see if Moscow excuses them for this transgression too, and keeps the gas pumping while no payment has yet been reached.
    It would be the logical consequence of holding millions of your own citizens as hostages, business as usual Rolling Eyes.
    KoTeMoRe
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    Post  KoTeMoRe Sat Nov 21, 2015 9:29 pm

    PapaDragon wrote:
    KoTeMoRe wrote:...................................................

    They're short of cash, but also are pulling this shit again in order to bargain, again. Look forward for EU delegation to talk with Gazprom, again. It's a disgrace.

    Given the amount of time Gazprom spends talking with EU delegations over this you would think it is a country and not a company...


    Or the EU a bail bond agency.
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    Post  OminousSpudd Sat Nov 21, 2015 10:54 pm

    21.11.2015 Ukraine Military Report
    Cowboy's daughter
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    The Situation in the Ukraine. #22 - Page 29 Empty Re: The Situation in the Ukraine. #22

    Post  Cowboy's daughter Sun Nov 22, 2015 12:06 am

    Ivan Katchanovski
    Facebook
    31 mins · Edited ·

    I just gave a live Skype interview to 112, a leading TV news channel in Ukraine. There have been some technical issues, and the topic that I was was supposed to comment upon was the government report about investigations of violence during the Euromaidan. The questions that I have answered included the Crimea blockade, the second anniversary of the Euromaidan, and the stance of the West concerning Ukraine. I have made the following main points. The blockade of Crimea would not be able to make again Crimea a part of Ukraine. Clashes over this blockade will not produce new Maidan. The same concerns growing dissatisfaction of many ordinary Ukrainians with the results of the Maidan. The Euromaidan was used by an alliance of oligarchic and far right organizations to gain power, specifically with help of mass killings. Those responsible for the Maidan massacre are not investigated even though there is numerous evidence, including witnesses and videos cited in my Maidan massacre paper. Many ordinary Ukrainians were used as tools during the Maidan, specifically with promises of freedom and European future for Ukraine.

    Dissatisfaction with the government and political preferences for many people became impossible to express via a new Maidan or via elections. A lot of crucial information about the Maidan and political developments since the Maidan has not been made public. There is no real opposition in Ukraine, including the Opposition Bloc, which serves interests of oligarchs. The last local elections were the least free and fair in history of independent Ukraine. The US government continues to support the policies of the Ukrainian government, in particular concerning the war in Donbas. But there is also a growing criticism by the US government, in particular the US ambassador, of the Ukrainian government for corruption and lack of reforms. Based on information that I have, it is likely that the Ukrainian government would be changed following a US vice-president visit.



    Ivan Katchanovski
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    Yes, it was live. As far as I know, Poroshenko tries to close this TV channel or to buy it.
    Zivo
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    Post  Zivo Sun Nov 22, 2015 1:03 am

    State of emergency, blackout in Russia’s Crimea after blasts bring down power towers in Ukraine

    Electricity has been completely cut off in Russia’s Crimean peninsula since all power transmission line towers in the neighboring Ukrainian Kherson region were “blown up” by an unknown party, TASS reports. Right Sector militants had been rioting in the area earlier.

    https://www.rt.com/news/323012-crimea-blackout-lines-blown-up/
    KoTeMoRe
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    Post  KoTeMoRe Sun Nov 22, 2015 3:16 am

    Retards who blocked disaster area in Herson.


    https://twitter.com/imerkouri/status/668221498012905472

    Crimean Tatar with pindos flavour.
    auslander
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    Post  auslander Sun Nov 22, 2015 6:25 am

    This is true, power went out for parts of north side at almost the stroke of midnight. Supposedly power service to all of north side fed from southside was instituted late last year. Apparently this was not done and there's about 20,000 irritated northsiders who better damned sight get power back soon.

    Weather is fortunately quite soft, I'm sitting in my office since I returned with my window open. That will end tomorrow.

    Having a clear view of most of City from our valley, in late summer when power went down for a few hours we apparently have the only private generator on northside. Go figure.
    Werewolf
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    Post  Werewolf Sun Nov 22, 2015 8:10 am

    KoTeMoRe wrote:Retards who blocked disaster area in Herson.


    https://twitter.com/imerkouri/status/668221498012905472

    Crimean Tatar with pindos flavour.

    See how people are already conditioned on Nazi Level whenever they see a fascist the first they do is Heil Hitler, SALO Ukraine!
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    Post  Guest Sun Nov 22, 2015 9:41 am

    auslander wrote:This is true, power went out for parts of north side at almost the stroke of midnight. Supposedly power service to all of north side fed from southside was instituted late last year. Apparently this was not done and there's about 20,000 irritated northsiders who better damned sight get power back soon.

    Weather is fortunately quite soft, I'm sitting in my office since I returned with my window open. That will end tomorrow.

    Having a clear view of most of City from our valley, in late summer when power went down for a few hours we apparently have the only private generator on northside. Go figure.
    If there was ever any better pretext to go to war, I have yet to see it. Stay safe out there Auslander.
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    Post  Rodinazombie Sun Nov 22, 2015 10:18 am

    Ivan the Colorado wrote:
    auslander wrote:This is true, power went out for parts of north side at almost the stroke of midnight. Supposedly power service to all of north side fed from southside was instituted late last year. Apparently this was not done and there's about 20,000 irritated northsiders who better damned sight get power back soon.

    Weather is fortunately quite soft, I'm sitting in my office since I returned with my window open. That will end tomorrow.

    Having a clear view of most of City from our valley, in late summer when power went down for a few hours we apparently have the only private generator on northside. Go figure.
    If there was ever any better pretext to go to war, I have yet to see it. Stay safe out there Auslander.

    A large part of the justification for russia keeping the gas flowing is to keep the ukies sweet and and not interfere with the supply of water and electricity to crimea. Ukraine is clearly reneging on that, and is allowing terrorist attacks to occur on the power lines.

    If ukraine does nothing to stop this, then russia must act. The citizens of crimea voted to join the RF and so must be protected.

    Also, with the current political climate, with the fight against terrorism and a part thaw between france and russia, ukraine would do better to keep its hands clean of anything terrorist related. We have seen it proven that its selling weapons to isis, and we see these terrorist attacks carried out by friends of the ukrainian regime. More moves like this and it really find itself in hot water.





    Godric
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    Post  Godric Sun Nov 22, 2015 10:27 am

    Russia needs to cut all ties to state 404 and let them fester in their own *rap and sit back and watch those retarded f*cks implode whilst continue destroying their economy and continue to support the good people of NovoRossiya
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    Post  medo Sun Nov 22, 2015 11:16 am

    I hope Russia will return the favor and cut supplies of gas and electricity to 404.
    Neutrality
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    Post  Neutrality Sun Nov 22, 2015 12:04 pm

    The favor was returned immediately. They stopped sending coal trains already. Let's see who blinks first. A country with political instability, full blown anarchy within military ranks and a president who has no control over his elite or a country with the 3rd largest military budget in the world and the world's largest resources and amazing human potential.
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    Post  flamming_python Sun Nov 22, 2015 12:08 pm

    Godric wrote:Russia needs to cut all ties to state 404 and let them fester in their own *rap and sit back and watch those retarded f*cks implode whilst continue destroying their economy and continue to support the good people of NovoRossiya

    Exactly

    I just hope that Russia will come to its senses and stop the gas price discounts, stop the loan restructuring proposals, stop trying to talk the Ukrainians out of banning Russian airliners, stop condemning the cut-offs of (not free) water/food/electricity/etc... to the Crimea, stop trying to preserve some economic links in this or that area.
    These events are all good things for Russia - why is Russia trying to stop the Ukraine making more mistakes?

    Ukraine is dead to Russia, there is no Ukraine, there is no Russian embassy there; it's all 404, page not found - and it's time Russia acknowledges this, completely ignores the burning-out chitinous husk of this once-country, stop all negotiations and this or that, and simply deal with any problems incurred via its own efforts and with its own instruments/industries.
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    Post  franco Sun Nov 22, 2015 12:44 pm

    I thought there was a Sanctions thread but in the interim. Sanctions extended another 6 months because they are not getting what they want from Russia... no surrender!

    https://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=1&hl=en&rurl=translate.google.com&sl=auto&tl=en&u=http://topwar.ru/86623-reuters-antirossiyskie-sankcii-resheno-prodlit-v-svyazi-s-vyborami-na-ukraine.html&usg=ALkJrhikWAU_H4aSEKQdaMwjUKQdqgld5w
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    Post  Guest Sun Nov 22, 2015 12:48 pm

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #22 - Page 29 CUX8HIsWcAARFSG

    The Situation in the Ukraine. #22 - Page 29 CUX8HrlWcAA2gC7

    Selfies post blowing up the electro network infrastructure.
    auslander
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    Post  auslander Sun Nov 22, 2015 1:01 pm

    The city is on energy rationing. Districts south of the harbor, depending on where they are, are included in the rationing, City Center with all government admin is not.

    Our part of north side is scheduled for electric from 15-18 today, 00:00-03, 09-12 and 18-21 tomorrow. Weather should remain moderate for the next 8-10 days, no frost.

    All shops and magazines in the power rationed areas are of affected by the outages. Hospitals have all been either kept on line or for areas where that is not possible Navy generator units have provided them with auxiliary power units so they can continue operations.

    Shops and magazines with perishable foods are selling the foods off at not much above cost. All heating plants without in house electricity generators for in house power supply are shut down.

    Petrol stations are all down when power is out except for the big one at Yalta Ring, they have generators. That station is now out of petrol and diesel and awaiting deliveries.

    Militsiya have increased patrols.

    Schools in the affected areas will be closed tomorrow.

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    Post  KoTeMoRe Sun Nov 22, 2015 2:39 pm

    Well it looks like terrorist act from where I am...
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    Post  medo Sun Nov 22, 2015 2:41 pm

    franco wrote:I thought there was a Sanctions thread but in the interim. Sanctions extended another 6 months because they are not getting what they want from Russia... no surrender!

    https://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=1&hl=en&rurl=translate.google.com&sl=auto&tl=en&u=http://topwar.ru/86623-reuters-antirossiyskie-sankcii-resheno-prodlit-v-svyazi-s-vyborami-na-ukraine.html&usg=ALkJrhikWAU_H4aSEKQdaMwjUKQdqgld5w

    Actually, this is good for Russia and Russia could prolonged its sanctions against the West for another year or more. In this time domestic producers have to replace all imports from the West and when sanctions will be canceled, they must not allow them to return to the Russian market. The big depression which is waiting EU and US next year will force them to beg Russia to stop sanctions, but Russia must stay firm and prolong with them in one way or another. Let the West feel effect of their own medicine.
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    Post  PapaDragon Sun Nov 22, 2015 2:44 pm


    Oh, look at this:

    Ukraine's $3Bln Eurobond Debt to Russia 'A Rope Around Its Neck'

    http://sputniknews.com/business/20151122/1030533154/ukraine-debt-russia-restructuring.html

    The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has determined that Ukraine’s $3 billion debt to Russia is sovereign and not commercial, as maintained by Kiev. Financial analyst Andrei Kiprovich says that, in any case, Ukraine will be forced to pay it back: it is like "a rope around its neck," with gallows in every direction.

    "Sovereign debt it is not just a debt owned by Ivan to John," he explained to Radio Sputnik. "It is a relationship between the states Ivan and John are living in. And, accordingly, the level of this debt does not depend on the willingness of a private individual to own up to it or not."
    Kiprovich further described the international system of law which stipulates that debts shall be either paid back or restructured. While Ukraine has tried to downgrade the obligation to the level of private borrowing, it is, by default, a debt between the states.

    Earlier this week Russia offered Ukraine a debt repayment restructuring plan envisaging three $1 billion yearly installments between 2016 and 2018, on the proviso that it is guaranteed by an international financial institution, the European Union or the United States.

    "The offer is rather simple," Kiprovich said. "You don’t pay in 2015, you’ll pay it in 2016, 2017, 2018, but on condition of special guarantees. And who will now underwrite a bankrupt?"

    All Ukraine’s suggestions, he added, are just "story-telling, with a rope around its neck."

    The expert however said that he believes it is unlikely that any of the suggested institutions or countries would volunteer to act as guarantors of the Ukrainian debt.

    "They need Ukraine essentially for the purpose of putting spokes in Russia’s wheels," he figuratively explained, "or creating military conflict with Russia."
    However he added that the only outcome will be that Kiev will be forced to pay its debt.

    "Whether you bow to the Kremlin or reject the rules by declaring your independence, at the end of the day there can be only one result – the debt must be paid back. For them, there are gallows all around, wherever they choose to go."

    Ukraine's $3 billion Eurobond debt to Russia was made in late 2013 by the previous government of Ukraine, under then-President Viktor Yanukovych. Ukraine's total government debt reached an all-time high in 2014, exceeding 70 percent of the country's GDP.

    On Friday, Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk rejected Russia's restructuring proposal for the repayment of Kiev's eurobond debt.
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    Post  medo Sun Nov 22, 2015 2:45 pm

    auslander wrote:The city is on energy rationing. Districts south of the harbor, depending on where they are, are included in the rationing, City Center with all government admin is not.

    Our part of north side is scheduled for electric  from 15-18 today, 00:00-03, 09-12 and 18-21 tomorrow. Weather should remain moderate for the next 8-10 days, no frost.

    All shops and magazines in the power rationed areas are of affected by the outages. Hospitals have all been either kept on line or for areas where that is not possible Navy generator units have provided them with auxiliary power units so they can continue operations.

    Shops and magazines with perishable foods are selling the foods off at not much above cost. All heating plants without in house electricity generators for in house power supply are shut down.

    Petrol stations are all down when power is out except for the big one at Yalta Ring, they have generators. That station is now out of petrol and diesel and awaiting deliveries.

    Militsiya have increased patrols.

    Schools in the affected areas will be closed tomorrow.

       

    I think MChS from the mainland will bring enough generators to provide electricity in Crimea until energy bridge with the mainland will be finished at the end of the year. It is just one month to bring additional generators and fuel for them.
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    Post  franco Sun Nov 22, 2015 3:00 pm

    Donbas and Russia cut off coal supplies.
    Russia can also cut off Electricity. Not so much gas as the EU will have to cover stolen gas soon.
    Oil for weapons with ISIS drying up.
    West getting frustrated with Kiev, even USA getting critical.
    Syria pushed Ukraine out of the public attention.
    Default has started.

    So for the locals... when will the ground become firm enough for Tanks?

    Notice a sharp increase in the UAF and Ukrainian media claiming the NAF is violating the ceasefire... even a little in western media. Time is running out for them and desperate people = desperate actions.
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    Post  PapaDragon Sun Nov 22, 2015 3:14 pm

    franco wrote:Donbas and Russia cut off coal supplies.
    Russia can also cut off Electricity. Not so much gas as the EU will have to cover stolen gas soon.
    Oil for weapons with ISIS drying up.
    West getting frustrated with Kiev, even USA getting critical.
    Syria pushed Ukraine out of the public attention.
    Default has started.

    So for the locals... when will the ground become firm enough for Tanks?

    Notice a sharp increase in the UAF and Ukrainian media claiming the NAF is violating the ceasefire... even a little in western media. Time is running out for them and desperate people = desperate actions.

    Excellent, desperate actions=stupid mistakes. thumbsup

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