The Situation in the Ukraine. #22

I have spent hours writing an entry in my blog summing up the strategic situation, the death toll of the war, and the state of Ukranian army and the likelihood of an offensive, but that is covered in a separate thread.

It is far too long to post it here, so I will give you the link to the blog. The text is in Spanish, but google translate should help and the links are in English and there are some reports at the bottom I highly recomend to read. So even if you skip the text, you fill wind something of value.


Hope this contribution is worthwile.

Headline: 500 days of war, 50.000 dead

https://guerraenucrania.wordpress.com/2015/12/06/500-dias-de-guerra-50-000-muertos/

Biden and Nuland in Kiev, attacks get reeved up. Heavy fighting tonight.

People from DNR are reporting heavy shelling by VSU - 120mm mortars (not sure if actual mortars or cannon artillery) , SPG-9, RPG, AGS. The shelling is sustained - night and day.

Used Auto Translate :
"Alarming news come from local residents of settlements of Donbass, which are under the control of Kiev. They inform acquaintances from Donetsk and Lugansk National Republics of the impending full-scale offensive of the armed forces. "They say to drop everything and run, that, they say, after the New year will be full-scale sweep of Donbass", – people sharing messages on the social network."

So Ukrops are shelling Donbass while creating mass hysteria on social networks that an attack will take place after New Year. All while Nuland and Bidden visit.

If Ukrops launch an offensive they are going to get their ass beat SOOOO bad that it would actually become a problem for Kremlin to stop DNR and LNR from expanding to Kiev lol.

Gentlemen 2 questions :
•Are Ukrops still training with Chechens and ISIS fighters ??
•When are the Azov fighters training in the US set to return and what are their numbers ??

Akula971 wrote:People from DNR are reporting heavy shelling by VSU - 120mm mortars (not sure if actual mortars or cannon artillery) , SPG-9, RPG, AGS. The shelling is sustained - night and day.

Used Auto Translate :
"Alarming news come from local residents of settlements of Donbass, which are under the control of Kiev. They inform acquaintances from Donetsk and Lugansk National Republics of the impending full-scale offensive of the armed forces. "They say to drop everything and run, that, they say, after the New year will be full-scale sweep of Donbass", – people sharing messages on the social network."

So Ukrops are shelling Donbass while creating mass hysteria on social networks that an attack will take place after New Year. All while Nuland and Bidden visit.

If Ukrops launch an offensive they are going to get their ass beat SOOOO bad that it would actually become a problem for Kremlin to stop DNR and LNR from expanding to Kiev lol.

Gentlemen 2 questions :
•Are Ukrops still training with Chechens and ISIS fighters ??
•When are the Azov fighters training in the US set to return and what are their numbers ??

120mm is a mortar calibre for Soviet standart.
They are itching to start the proverbial shit fan because they need leverage to get that sweet gas deal. They also have big issues with the fact that they are due to review their fiscal policy and that no one wants them to cut back on fiscal pressure.

Most Azov fighters are being trained in Ukropia.
Most of the training for the Ukropians is provided by NATO forces, three classes per trimester (roughly 750 pax) was the pace, however this effort is due to end in february 2016. Most of these classes are Nats Guard.

Since the US envoys say something on public and another quite differently in public. There is a rise in combats even before Bidden leaves, and the recon over the past 2 days has all the telltale signs of a major attack on the works.

In this video Basurin reads a long and detailed list of material and location, and that's only what has been spotted. Somebody volunteers to do a count?

http://fortruss.blogspot.com.es/2015/12/basurin-kiev-has-amassed-238-tanks-101.html

250 tanks is half the tank force the ukranians had remaining and probably 3/4s of what is actually operative.

JohninMK wrote:

Militarov wrote:"A Royal Air Force A400M delivered vital medical aid to the Ukrainian forces"

The RAF loader with his Hi-Viz jacket, good old UK health and safety

I always remember this when i see Hi-Viz vest.

Militarov wrote:"A Royal Air Force A400M delivered vital medical aid to the Ukrainian forces"

Interesting... those cardboard boxes don't look like ammunition or weapon crates. I wonder if there are other flights with more lethal cargo.

This flight is quite sinister. They are sending medical supplies because wounded are expected. Major attack is inminent.

Crazy DIY MRLS on the Ukrainian side, looks like helicopter rocket pods strapped to possibly Strela AA vehicle.




Seems it is true they are scarce of rocket launchers if they have to resort to improvisations like these.

The look like UB-32 pods for 50mm rockets

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S-5_rocket

Do not think that they will be much effective, small warhead and limited range, so would be ver vulnerable to counterbattery.

Ispan wrote:Crazy DIY MRLS on the Ukrainian side, looks like helicopter rocket pods strapped to possibly Strela AA vehicle.




Seems it is true they are scarce of rocket launchers if they have to resort to improvisations like these.

The look like UB-32 pods for 50mm rockets

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S-5_rocket

Do not think that they will be much effective, small warhead and limited range, so would be ver vulnerable to counterbattery.

Serbs did it long before it was cool.

Ispan wrote:Crazy DIY MRLS on the Ukrainian side, looks like helicopter rocket pods strapped to possibly Strela AA vehicle.




Seems it is true they are scarce of rocket launchers if they have to resort to improvisations like these.

The look like UB-32 pods for 50mm rockets

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S-5_rocket

Do not think that they will be much effective, small warhead and limited range, so would be ver vulnerable to counterbattery.

Despite their use since the Soviet Afghan war, these improvised systems have never been effective as an MLRS. It's only remotely effective in this application when used in mountainous terrain were you can directly aim it at the enemy's position.

Since this is military site, searching around for those improvised rocket lauchers I found this page with interesting reports for free download, though I have my reservations about the one on the arms of the Ukranian war

http://armamentresearch.com/publications/

Ispan wrote:Since this is military site, searching around for those improvised rocket lauchers I found this page with interesting reports for free download, though I have my reservations about the one on the arms of the Ukranian war

http://armamentresearch.com/publications/

I was reading the relevant one, on page 19 they show images of an improvised shoulder fired S-5 launcher.

Biden is giving a speech in Kiev Rada at this moment. Threats are flying thick and fast.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fehadY6mwS0

31 July 1914.

There's something really disturbing about this. People are concentrating on those Turdkeys, but the Novorossiya is actually part of Russia and seriously under threat. (Yes its not Russian Federation currently but its Russian historically, morally, by democracy and in terms of inhabitants).

America has been found out as the creator of ISIS. Its hegemony is threatened. Hardly anyone likes its arrogant, bullying foreign policy - even in places like Britain. It doesn't care if its hated. It operates purely by force and "what are you gonna do against us".

Really America is using the junta Ukraine as a puppet state to kill Russians. Its doing similar harm with ISIS, Al Qaeda, Turkey etc against Russia.

The Lvov Nazis dont speak for the Ukraine any more than some Tatar Turks speak for the Crimea.

That battalion of scum forming along the border could do someserious damage to Novorossiya.

America and its bitches are openly training and arming and financing terrorists in the Ukraine.

Surely its time Putin surprised some observers and said "these pricks don't represent the Ukraine, time to take them out"?

More details on the Ukranian buildup

http://novorossia.today/sister-republic-lugansk-calls-out-poroshenko-s-junta-army-you-are-no-match-for-us-viva-lugansk-republic/

relevant passages

Earlier today the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) defense ministry spokesman Eduard Basurin said Ukrainian Junta forces have moved 467 units of artillery, armored vehicles and vehicles with ammunition to the contact line in Donbass over the last week. He said that among military equipment spotted on the Gorlovka direction were 123 tanks, infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers, 27 Grad multiple rocket launcher systems, 31 cannon artillery systems, two self-propelled artillery systems, one Buk missile defense system, four vehicles with personal belongings, ammunition and personnel.

As for military equipment spotted on the Donetsk direction, Basurin named 146 tanks, infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers, nine Grad multiple rocket launcher systems, 34 self-propelled artillery systems, four howitzers, 16 vehicles with personal belongings and ammunition and 1,100 personnel.

The defense ministry spokesman said that on the Mariupol direction, DPR spotted 53 tanks, infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers, eight cannon artillery systems, 13 Grad multiple rocket launcher systems, eight self-propelled artillery systems, seven vehicles with personal belongings and ammunition and 150 personnel.