Syrian Civil War: News #5

Morpheus Eberhardt wrote:Aldin,

Thanks for your contribution to the forum. It's impressive.

Thanks im glad that i can update you all on situation on the ground with credible evidences and sources from the field and frontlines.

Aldin_Aba wrote:

KiloGolf wrote:

Aldin_Aba wrote:Dont think any of those will be there soon. Situation around Palmyra front which is essential to Deir Ezzor deblockade is going nowhere. Situation is messed up. SAA unable to advance even with Russian CAS.

You are correct. Palmyra and Qaratain have been two areas were SAA keeps failing to advance. Yet I expect this to be a personnel issue, i.e. lack of it. Somewhere in Syria there must be 3-4 of battalions of SAA under intensive "polite" training. We've seen how that made a difference in Latakia, where Salma could not be taken back for many months.

Suqur Al-Sahra mostly participated in Salma offensive with local NDF, near the border with Turkey troops are made of mostly NDF and Syrian Marine forces (didn't know they had those). Those are the guys which are equipped with Russian stuff, advanced body armor, helmets etc. Qaratain is better now SAA surrounded the town from 3 sides, and took all hills that overlook the town. But Palmyra is "Stuck in the sand".

Marines forces? Are they also called SEALs by Syrians? I saw a few twitter posts describing a formation of men like that.
Also the  video you posted (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ymWJJPdBmLU) reveals insurgents way too relaxed, parking column on a narrow road (when skies are full of UAVs) and men assembling in open field by the tens... these guys look like amateurs (not seasoned fighters).

PS. Great catch and work on geolocating via video. Belling cat is put to shame

Im still trying to verify that position trough latest sat imagery.
They called them naval infartry, formation is highly equipped and probably trained by Russian navy stationed on the coast.
Those guys are indeed fools for standing like that. Most of them came from Hama and Aleppo region as reinforcement. There they got away with this stuff especially during last failed SAA Hama offensive. They moved armor freely while counterattacking so they think they can do the same here, but it looks that's not the case here.

More SAA gains today, around the area south of Toros, towards the road that leads north to Rabia.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.727493&lon=36.000566&z=14&m=b

Hassan Ridha ‏@sayed_ridha  4m4 minutes ago
#SAA make further advances in Jabal Turkmen capturing: Bayt Iblaq, Jabal Kazbar, Jabal Sindiyan, Kandisiah, Al-Sukariyah & Al-Qabqaliyah
https://twitter.com/sayed_ridha/status/688685101295648768

edit: looks like Bayt Iblaq is quite closer to Rabia than I thought (< 1 km NW), see maps below

Syria crisis: Peace talks loom, but the warmongers won’t be at the table

It has been a week of bombings across the world, most of them carried out by Islamic State (Isis). Some were highly publicised because they took place in the centre of large cities and involved foreigners, such as the suicide bombing on 12 January close to the Blue Mosque and Hagia Sophia in Istanbul which killed 10 people, nine of them German tourists. Two days later gunmen and bombers claiming allegiance to Isis killed two people in Jakarta in an attack that topped the international news agenda because it appeared to show that Isis has a frightening global reach. Furthermore, it took place in a city of 10 million people which is a media hub, ensuring that there were plenty of television cameras to record events.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/syria-crisis-peace-talks-loom-but-the-warmongers-won-t-be-at-the-table-a6816891.html

New map by Peto Lucem, and article.

My new @southfronteng article + map update: "Terrorists Disorganized in #Latakia. #Syria’s Forces Advancing"

http://southfront.org/syrias-forces-advancing/

Today SAA make further advances in Jabal Turkmen capturing: Bayt Iblaq, Jabal Kazbar, Jabal Sindiyan, Kandisiah, Al-Sukariyah & Al-Qabqaliyah.
This will get them near one of the main rebellion stronghold of Rabia.

Turkish ammo manufactured by MKE in the hands of militant group in Latakia

Aldin_Aba wrote:Turkish ammo manufactured by MKE in the hands of militant group in Latakia

Good catch, stamped ammo box reveals a lot. Turkey is running the war, deliveries are desperately needed, as their proxies are loosing all over.
Can you post here the video?

KiloGolf wrote:

Aldin_Aba wrote:Turkish ammo manufactured by MKE in the hands of militant group in Latakia

Good catch, stamped ammo box reveals a lot. Turkey is running the war, deliveries are desperately needed, as their proxies are loosing all over.
Can you post here the video?

Sure here it is, lots of MKE boxes.

Aldin_Aba wrote:

KiloGolf wrote:

Aldin_Aba wrote:Turkish ammo manufactured by MKE in the hands of militant group in Latakia

Good catch, stamped ammo box reveals a lot. Turkey is running the war, deliveries are desperately needed, as their proxies are loosing all over.
Can you post here the video?

Sure here it is, lots of MKE boxes.

From the tents at the start, is this a Red Crescent camouflaged ammo dump?

Either that or it is in Turkey. The Turkish flag can be seen at 2:02 and the Red Crescent is also the emblem of Turkey.

franco wrote:Either that or it is in Turkey. The Turkish flag can be seen at 2:02 and the Red Crescent is also the emblem of Turkey.

Its a turkish red crescent.

It's a turkish RC-run camp (on the outside) located in Syria (Aleppo) and possibly next to the border line. Basically it's a "moderate" ammo dump and safe zone for insurgents. And this video will serve as evidence on Turkey's role in keeping this war alive.

same video analyzed by Kurds:

ali ornek ‏@ornekali  3 Nov 2015
Turkish state-run ammunition specialist #MKE boxes in the hands of notorious Uzbek jihadi group in #Aleppo/#Syria
https://twitter.com/ornekali/status/661592487488823300

KiloGolf wrote:It's a turkish RC-run camp (on the outside) located in Syria (Latakia or Iblib would be my guess) and possibly next to the border line. Basically it's a "moderate" ammo dump and safe zone for insurgents. And this video will serve as evidence on Turkey's role in keeping this war alive.

More MKE boxes (handled by IS) from last year:

Support the PKK and the fucking Kurds, that are fighting against Turkey and give Turkey a taste of it's own medicine.

Lel Mkek/MKE ammo was also found @ Dontesk Airport. Those people really want a Constantinople Part 3 kind of deal.

Ahrar al-Sham training camp in Homs countryside, if you zoom in you can see the obstacle course. Also it is next to the school complex. So when school building get bombed it doesn't always mean it was actually a school
Location of the camp: http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=34.887497&lon=36.874425&z=18&m=b

Deir ezzor is collapsing, Isis now control water sources and gas station, also only safe place for helicopters to land is gone. Guys stationed at airport said they have water for like 2 days, lack ammo.Also report of fighting ongoing inside Brigade 137 base after VBIED attack.

This area:
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.286825&lon=40.062590&z=15&m=b&gz=0;400508308;352782250;3004;35033;98705;0;135612;141175;98276;150282;0;90033;429;39938

worrying news for SAA in Deir Ezzor

Apostolis Moustakas ‏@TolisMoustakas  1m1 minute ago
#ISIS took full control of #SAA strategic arms/weapons depots in Ayyash in #DeirEzzor.the worst day in history for SAA

breaking-news ‏@UrgentNews5  6m6 minutes ago
URGEN#Syria#Syria - Ayash weapons storage in #DeirEzzor under the control of #ISIS, attacking Brigade 137 with suicide bombers.

Shami Rap ‏@ScotMikey1111  6m6 minutes ago
Sensing the imminent danger of a potential paratrooper Russian/Iranian landing in #DeirEzzor airbase, ISIS is bent on taking the base soon.

Shami Rap ‏@ScotMikey1111  6m6 minutes ago
The 300-strong #SAA reinforcement that came from #Hasakeh to #DeirEzzor, has been mostly decimated by #ISIS

Botan A #Musa ‏@BotanAlan  4m4 minutes ago
ISIS got its hand on a lot new military hardware in Deirezzor, provided by Assad & Putin, supposedly fighting ISIS..

Bahar Kimyongur ‏@Kimyongur 1m1 minute ago
#Deirezzor
After the seizure of the weapons depots Ayash , Daech threatens Div. 137 of the army.
Huge arsenal to evacuate

KiloGolf wrote:worrying news for SAA in Deir Ezzor

Apostolis Moustakas ‏@TolisMoustakas  1m1 minute ago
#ISIS took full control of #SAA strategic arms/weapons depots in Ayyash in #DeirEzzor.the worst day in history for SAA

breaking-news ‏@UrgentNews5  6m6 minutes ago
URGEN#Syria#Syria - Ayash weapons storage in #DeirEzzor under the control of #ISIS, attacking Brigade 137 with suicide bombers.

Shami Rap ‏@ScotMikey1111  6m6 minutes ago
Sensing the imminent danger of a potential paratrooper Russian/Iranian landing in #DeirEzzor airbase, ISIS is bent on taking the base soon.

Shami Rap ‏@ScotMikey1111  6m6 minutes ago
The 300-strong #SAA reinforcement that came from #Hasakeh to #DeirEzzor, has been mostly decimated by #ISIS

Botan A #Musa ‏@BotanAlan  4m4 minutes ago
ISIS got its hand on a lot new military hardware in Deirezzor, provided by Assad & Putin, supposedly fighting ISIS..

True about Ayyash and storage sites. True about clashes inside division base. Huge lie about reinforcement. No one came for now. What i posted before was from guy at airport. Il keep you guys posted about it.

Aldin_Aba wrote:True about Ayyash and storage sites. True about clashes inside division base. Huge lie about reinforcement. No one came for now. What i posted before was from guy at airport. Il keep you guys posted about it.

Thanks for clarifications. I hope this does not end like Tabqa airbase.

Aldin_Aba wrote:Deir ezzor is collapsing, Isis now control water sources and gas station, also only safe place for helicopters to land is gone. Guys stationed at airport said they have water for like 2 days, lack ammo.Also report of fighting ongoing inside Brigade 137 base after VBIED attack.

This area:
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.286825&lon=40.062590&z=15&m=b&gz=0;400508308;352782250;3004;35033;98705;0;135612;141175;98276;150282;0;90033;429;39938

this is very worrying i have always thought that once ISIS start to pull back from other areas lost this would create a build up of ISIS terrorists in the Deir ez zoir area to the point they would have enough to take over the base. The Syrian government has two choices make a deal with ISIS allowing them to remove the troops stationed there or stand and fight but the troops will need loads of support especially from RuAF. The thing is Deir ez zoir is pretty important location for the Syrian government, once eastern Homs is cleared of ISIS they would be able to link up with Deir ez zoir and be in a good position to block ISIS routes from Iraq to Al Raqqah, and with the help of the Kurds would then be able to seal off the border crossing point Al-Bukamal. It would also allow Syrian government to seal of the Al tanf Al walid crossing point.

anyone got any views on the Deir ez Zoir situation?

PapaDragon wrote:Bad news indeed and ''coincidentally'' just when SAA was ripping ''moderates'' apart in Latakia.

That is not a coincidence. Remember when SAA and allies were preparing to start operations in Aleppo (vs. IS in Kuweiris and "insurgents" in SW Aleppo)? coincidentally both "moderates" and IS moved against the Ithiriyah-Safira supply line. This delayed operations by 7-10 days. Again, with "insurgents" on the run in Latakia and troubled in the south, IS attacks Deir Ezzor relentlessly.

PapaDragon wrote:Bad news indeed and ''coincidentally'' just when SAA was ripping ''moderates'' apart in Latakia.

If this keeps up someone will have to make decision. Getting caught alive by those freaks is not something I would wish upon anyone and if Deir-ez-Zor is really falling with all the weapon stocks therein, then ''Dresden'' option might have to be considered in order to obliterate areas that are taken by ISIS while there is still something and someone left to save.

SAA troops there face some horrible choices and tough decisions ATM.

I hope I am wrong though...

No you are not. Impossible to evacuate.