Vann7 Wed Jun 07, 2017 8:15 am
ultimatewarrior wrote: Vann7 wrote:
They created /creating a safe zone for terrorist that covers thousands kilometers from IRAQ and Jordan border. All this events was to be expected . But the Syrian army needs to keep liberating zones ,it cannot stop now to fight US coalition. Eventually they will need to leave.
If if they don't, then PMU will butcher them. SAA is one thing. PMU, well, it's another completely different beast, driven by religious fever.
The Syrian war could last 10 ,20 or even 30 years. Because "liberating the borders" will not
end the war ,because once Syria reach them ,will need to face the artillery of the countries at their borders. including a major invasion of a big army to push them back. So Syria needs to keep a balance between avoding casualties as much as possible ,while always moving forward liberating as much territory they can without major risks. and strenghtening their positions and making stronger not only the army but its economy too.
If syria do not create a working economy with jobs for a long time and do not maintain nation unity ,it risk major break up of the society with a new wave of revolutions ,so all the gained terrain will be wasted and reversed without a fight. This is why Reconcilation is also important. amnesty etc.. Because NATO can continue sending waves of terrorist ,for 2 decades if they are really dedicated on breaking Syria they can do it.
aside that Syria is not a good place for Russia to engage in a war with NATO is surrounded by powerful enemies in all sides. So part of battle planning is to know which places are ideal for battle and which ones are terrible. because the location benefits a lot the enemy way more.
In this case Syria battlefield is way better for NATO to fight than for Russia ,since they can attack Syria from all sides. and Russia have no place to retreat and supplies can be cut.
In the case of Ukraine -donetsk is the other way. NATO will be in a Huge disadvantage there.
Russia mighty dense air defenses there will be unstoppable with endless supply lines. same with Georgia. NATO have no chance to win a fight against Russia there. will be a one side battle and black sea will be all of it withing range of the full scale of Russia airforce.
This is why NATO cannot add Ukraine to NATO ,no matter how much they cry or want it.
Because NATO will be unable to avoid to save face if doesn't help a NATO member. it will be a position NATO cannot defend well. In Kaliningrad NATO if deploy a big force will be in advantage. and the region over run in no time.. this is in case of a full scale war. Russia will need to use nukes to stop any invasion. but the power advantage in conventional war is for NATO there.