The blowing up of the ammo depots was a major victory, not only because of the ammunition destroyed but by the increased drain on manpower resources due to the need to provide guards
Autumn appeal will not save the army of Ukraine from collapse
Even in the "Piedmont" "unreliable" - Galicia, the number of people wishing to fight for the Donbass is nearing zero
Official Kiev summarizes the results of the autumn conscription for military service. And as usual, the Defense Ministry's reports are sustained in victorious colors: just as many recruits have been sent to the troops, as planned! Precision to the person!
Formally, everything is correct. And in fact - a failure. To understand this, you will have to plunge into the boring military-clerical statistics of this country. And then it turns out that in fact the result of the titanic work of the government of the "unflagging", the General Staff of the Armed Forces, military commissariats, local authorities, the prosecutor's office and the Ministry of Internal Affairs, sent 12,460 new soldiers and sailors to the barracks.
And at first, in October-November from the whole country planned to call in just 10,460 young people. But here in September the largest arsenal of armed forces in Kalinovka (Vinnytsia region) fell. At the Ministry of Defense, in response to reproaches in the weak organization of the service, they only shrugged their shoulders: "What can we do if, as a result of perennial and stupid army cuts, only Ukrainian grandmothers and grandfathers keep their Ukrainian ammunition depots in their sheepskin coats and their boots? Give another soldier, we will create guard companies. Then ask the military for the reliability of protection from saboteurs, hunters for non-ferrous metals and simple saboteurs. "
At the same time responding to the APU for the problem of Deputy Defense Minister Igor Pavlovsky noted that there are a lot of unexploded arsenals all over Ukraine. Therefore, in order to prevent barbed wire from the surrounding obstacles and the mouse, the number of servicemen in the army should be increased at once by 10-20 thousand people. And all the additional soldiers painted on guard duty.
It turned out that the number of young people to be drafted this fall should be doubled at once. And in total, send almost one or two full-blooded divisions to posts and watchtowers. Realizing the depth of the open abyss Kiev plan autumn draft immediately corrected. But, of course, not as much as General Pavlovsky suggested. A total of a couple thousand new recruits were added. So the final figure of the autumn draft was born - 12,460 people.
What is this for the largest European country, whose population has recently exceeded 40 million people? A drop in the sea. But here you go - about the performance of the General Staff dispatch report as a victory. Why did it happen?
And the whole thing is that there is this, seemingly joyful for Kiev statistics, and very disturbing for the ruling regime, the ideological wrong side. In fact, the autumn appeal in Ukraine revealed that its youth, with the active support of their parents, massively "mows" from the army. And if we consider this fact as a kind of all-Ukrainian referendum on the degree of support for young people and their families of the so-called "ATO", it turns out that this support is almost zero today.
However, nothing changes the fact that according to the law, conscript soldiers are forbidden to be sent to the front line in the Donbas. All interested parties know perfectly well that the commanders of the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces have long learned to perfectly circumvent this ban. Served at least six months is the commander and strongly advises right here in the office, write a report about the desire to become an immediate contractor. If the refusal - the starting barracks pressure begins in the most severe form. The arsenal of funds for this is quite large, it is known to anyone who wore military uniforms. As a result, many recent conscripts go to trenches first. And then often - home in zinc coffins or in a hospital for treatment of a wound.
This is the first. And the second: the least willing to join the disorganized ranks of armed "power mongers", the fourth year besieging the Donbas, turned out to be precisely the bulwark of "Ukrainianness", in the "Ukrainian Piedmont" (in the words of the first chairman of the Central Rada, Professor Mikhail Grushevsky ) - on Galicia. If it is concrete - it is worst of all with this business in Lviv and Lviv region. This was announced on November 22 by the local military commissioner Alexander Tishchenko .
According to the military commissar, from the whole of the Lviv region in the fall it was possible to call for the service of about 600 people. But the comparative insignificance of the planned figures helped out. Because in general, 15,000 young people did not attend the draft commissions on summonses. The deputy head of the apparatus of Lviv regional administration Oksana Tomashuk commented this: "The situation with the call for urgent military service looks much better in the region. There, draftees also flee less from the troops and the relevant authorities are working more actively to notify, summon and deliver conscripts. But in the city of Leo there is a problem with the consciousness of the most recruits and with the work of local self-government bodies. "
The authorities of the region, of course, are fighting the deviationists as they can. And they can, as it turns out, mainly by a whip of coercion. That is why the region had to organize a real hunt for not wanting to wear epaulettes. As it happened on the night of November 4 in the Lviv nightclub Paradox in the Curve lime road in the city center. In the midst of merriment, the military in masks and flak jackets suddenly blocked all approaches to the building and began to check the documents of all the men of military age. According to eyewitnesses, they released only those who could show a student's full-time student card or documents that confirmed that the young man had already "knocked" for 27 years.
How many thus it was possible to catch soldiers for ВСУ, it is not informed. However, experience seems to have been recognized as successful. And two days later, on November 6, even the monastery of the Assumption of the Heart of Jesus of the UGCC in the Lviv region was raided by military commissars and law enforcement officers. After the evening prayer, when the novices were preparing for bed, Father Augustine Loiko told reporters: "Men in uniform, in masks, with armor, pulled sleepy guys out of cells and demanded from them metrics." The future invasive Vasilian monks, who could not explain their absence at the conscription commission, were handed in under the signature of the summons.
Very close to Lviv region - Volyn region. There, the percentage of people wishing to fight for the Donbass was no more. 9125 young people ignored the military commissions' agendas. And this is 60 percent of the whole contingent of Volyn for this period. Here is an opinion on this issue of the local regiment of Roman Kulik : "That is, young people deliberately" mow "from the army, preferring to go to work in the aggressor country, and then the same money to stroll in entertainment."
We go further along the Ukrainian west - the Transcarpathian region. It's quite bad here. The local population has long been strong "separatist" sentiment, and this is seriously worried about Kiev. Perhaps, therefore, the plan for the autumn draft in Transcarpathia was pre-cut in advance simply ridiculous - 155 people. We coped with it. But now the authorities have to think about how to deal with 4,500 deviators who did not pay their attention to military commissars.
If in the "Ukrainian Piemonte" and the stronghold of Banderovism with "patriotic sentiments" full seams, then what can we say about the other territories of "unflagging"? As expected, there was a massive flight from the threatening service. Igor Budnik , the military officer of the Kherson region, said that the plan for conscription for urgent service is 490 people, and in the region did not appear at the recruitment plots at the call of 9,840 people. In the Kharkov region, with the plan to send 1056 people to the troops, even under the threat of criminal prosecution, they decided in advance to "go into refusal" even more - about 15,000 young men.
Nothing like this was not in 2015, nor in the past years. Even two years ago, when the scale of the fighting in the southeast of Ukraine was much more fierce than today, when the Debaltsevo "kettle" blew with blood and the "boiler" of Ilovaisky was still not forgotten, the young Ukrainians did not run so fast from the army. Hence, despite the long-standing lull at the front, interrupted only by occasional gunfire, the mood of the Ukrainian population is clearly something going on. And this "something" is simply obliged to alarm Kiev, if the regime reigning in it intends to survive politically.
Undoubtedly, the public of a neighboring country has long been tired of a long civil war. But for sure, even more - from the fact that no one can even roughly describe what it will be like and when it will end. The only "road map" existing in this direction - the Minsk agreements - is not viable from the very beginning. Even politicians in Kiev openly admit this. But neither they nor their partners in negotiations from other European capitals can offer anything in return.
In these conditions, the Ukrainian army is the most difficult. Even if she was able to solve the case with a blitzkrieg, nobody would let her do it. Not only Russia, which has already stated that under all circumstances will not let the Donbass drown in the blood. Observance of even the appearance of a truce is required by the West. Kiev will not be able to ignore his opinion at all desire.
Therefore, the front line in the Donets Basin can not significantly change for many more years. It turns out that the Ukrainian soldiers and officers still have as much stupidity and pointless rot in the trenches? To whom after the heart such a fate? Is it surprising that fewer and fewer people want to join the ranks of participants with almost all the annoying "ATO"?
In such conditions, reports from the Ukrainian capital report, the command of the Armed Forces for raising the morale of the long-deceased personnel makes the only possible thing - it regularly organizes the seemingly absolutely meaningless small sallies of subversive and reconnaissance groups and the "improvement of positions" by seizing certain heights and settlements in the "gray zone". It does not really affect anything and does not bring about a general victory. But the military creates the illusion of its own usefulness for the cause they serve. And at least somehow the decaying personnel forces to catch up.
So, by the way, they always do in any army. For example, by 1917 the Russian army in the trenches of the First World War was stuck no less hopelessly than the current Ukrainian one in the Donbas. To prevent growing desertion and mass fraternization with the Germans, the tsarist generals repeatedly tried to organize offensives at least on certain axes. For this purpose, the selected parts from the volunteers were formed, called shock drums. But all is vain.
Examples of equally vain attempts to raise morale can also be found in the history of the Great Patriotic War. At least this: maybe you've heard about one of the "blackest" days in the annals of our Black Sea fleet, which came on October 6, 1943?
The Crimea has long been abandoned. Remained in the ranks of large warships for more than a year languishing in inaction in the Caucasian bases. Suddenly, for many, the leader of the Kharkov and the destroyers "Capable" and "Merciless" was ordered to leave the sea as a part of the detachment and to fire at the captured Yalta and Theodosia by night.
From the very beginning it was clear that the effectiveness of the raid would at best be close to zero. Because without any correction from a long distance in the night it was necessary to shoot like a penny. There was practically no chance to hit something worthwhile in the ports of ports.
Everything turned out to be much worse than these assumptions. We will not go into the tragic details. But after completing the task, when departing from the Crimean coast, German aviation was first sank by the leader of Kharkiv, and then by both our destroyers. They managed to save only the few members of their crews. The Black Sea Fleet did not know such near-instant losses in that war neither before nor after October 6, 1943.
For many years I was interested in the question: why all this was conceived and done by the fleet headquarters? Why did our best ships and hundreds of sailors die? In my opinion, the answer was received from the former torpedo boats of the late Admiral Viktor Protsenko , who lived in Sevastopol, the former commander of the 2nd Novorossiisk Brigade . His boats then near the Kharkov, "Capable" and "Merciless" were also based on the Caucasus.
So, Victor Trofimovich frankly admitted: "After the abandonment of the Crimea, the surviving large ships commanded by orders of the Supreme Headquarters as the apple of their eye. They did not leave the berths for months. In the crews of idleness, decay began. Discipline fell sharply. There were cases of drunkenness, looting and desertion. The sailors needed to be shaken up somehow, to force them to take up the service again. Nothing better than the flood operation on Feodosia and Yalta, the leaders of the Black Sea Fleet could not come up with. It was a huge tragedy. "
It may seem that this is an example from a completely different era and from another "opera." Where is our failed raid on the Crimea in 1943 and where the failed autumn call in Ukraine? In my opinion, the connection is direct. In both cases, it is a question of low morale in military collectives. In any case, in today's Ukraine, this seems to feel the whole people, except for the most rabid part of it. And this is not history. Harsh reality, which for the official Kiev is fraught with collapse.
Source: svpressa.ru
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