The Situation in the Ukraine. #27

The.photo is a small part of a larger one that also includes Porky. Was posted on his official profile btw.

Somewhere in the Donetsk Republic...

Otaku in the world, united !

GarryB wrote:

The Ukrainian flag.

I would agree, but would also strongly agree if you removed the letter L from the sentence too.

Can you SS Totenkopf?





https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SS-Totenkopfverb%C3%A4nde

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/3rd_SS_Panzer_Division_Totenkopf

Odin of Ossetia wrote:

GarryB wrote:Chaos promotes radicalism...

They also mentioned those nutters were also training US white supremacists... that is not going to go well I suspect.

Saw a bit on TV where the instructor told the kids you should not ever point the guns at human beings... but separatists and Russians are not human beings so you should try to shoot them when you can...

Suspect the white nationalists will replace Russians and separatists with non whites...

Sad ignorant people.

That is nothing really new as the Ukrainian nationalists were always very radical.

During the German occupation at least 95% of all the ethnic Poles they killed were civilians.

On 9-11 there were less than 3 000 people killed, of all nationalities, and those who carried out the attacks were immediately branded as "terrorists." But if some Ukrainian nationalist gangs kill around 100 000 or perhaps 200 000 ethnic Poles, almost all of them civilians, some Western sources brand these mass murderers as "freedom fighters."

I wonder how the British would react if someone decided to exterminate that many British somewhere in their colonies.


http://michalw.narod.ru/index-Truth.html


It is ironic that the genociders of a White nationality like the Poles, are now training the so-called "white nationalists" who in reality are a bunch of Anglo nationalists.

And I think I need to specify that there was no such thing as "armed civilians."

During the German occupation there was a death penalty for all ethnic Poles who had a gun without permission of the Germans.

Also, all killed Polish partisans and members of the self-defence units are not counted as Polish civilian losses in the Polish sources, since they are actually included in the military fatalities. UPA actually killed rather few of these, since armed people are much more difficult to kill than an unarmed population.

So yes, overwhelming majority of the ethnic Poles killed by the UPA were unarmed defenseless civilians.

The same was true for all the other Ukrainian nationalist formations.

Brief update:

I have been away since before Christmas due to surgery of a shoulder injury and I am still recovering.

The December offensive was cancelled yet again, and Poroshenko is running out of time.

There was another relative lull until mid january, and things are heating up again.

Sadly, my estimates about casualties seem to be approximately accurate, several thousands killed and injured per year in 2016-2018. Both sides are exhausted.

For details , go read my blog, again I apologize for not being able to retell everything in english, but google translate or yandex work quite well for Spanish-English. I recommend Yandex for reading russian sites.

https://guerraenucrania.wordpress.com/2019/02/05/noticias-de-la-guerra-05-02-2019/

Missed your comments. Hope your shoulder heals quickly, it can be a real nuisance. Here is your latest Yandexed. Looks like both sides are burning off lots of ammo.

5 February, 2019 Zhukov

30 January

Interesting interview with garbage says the war could end this year

http://antimaydan.info/2019/01/eduard_basurin_v_ekskluzivnom_intervu_komsomolke_nazval_vozmozhnuu_datu.html

Meanwhile on the front the war is in a frozen phase, statements by marine correspondent Kharkova,

http://antimaydan.info/2019/01/marina_harkova_podmorozhennaya_faza_vojny.html



Among other interesting things, it gives an idea of the hardness of the struggle is that most Novorussian soldiers are injured recovered, that is have been wounded at some point, some times several times. It is not good because it confirms the limited resources in men, but it is another indication that confirms the correctness of the estimates I have been making, the casualties are counted by thousands every year of trench warfare, and they already match or exceed those of 2014-2015 only for pure accumulation.

For you to understand if the Novorussian fighters are about 40,000 men and half have been injured at least once that gives 20,000 wounded in four years of war positions. If added to that is a pessimistic proportion of one dead for every four wounded, that would be 25,000 casualties in 2015-2018. If most of the casualties were in 2014-2015, for the years 2016-2018 that gives about 5,000 casualties a year, to which we would have to add a thousand deaths, and another thousand serious injuries not recoverable.

In the ranks of the enemy, in the best of cases, ukrainians are suffering the double of casualties, or the ten thousand year war trench that was estimated in previous years. The shortage of troops and the successive cams confirm that my calculations are fairly close to reality.

As a confirmation, on the Ukrainian side, it is news that a brigade (72) has been withdrawn from the front because in the face of the impossibility of replenishing losses and desertions it has fallen below 40% of its strength.

There are two months left for the elections in Ukraine and a probable shift of power. Either Poroshenko is paralyzed with impotence in his palace like Hitler in the bunker and doesn't know what to do, or he has a plan to perpetuate himself in power in any way.

The war, if there's any luck, could end this year, for lack of ammunition, men and money to continue it. They could lengthen the agony until 2020, but as soon as gas transit through Ukraine stops, it's over.



Front reports: January-February

Brief notes from the front, after a :

In the last couple of weeks the struggle hardens, every day is sad because people die who didn't deserve this war.

On January 14, four Novorussian dead. Only in the Lugansk sector and let it be known.

27 January, 4 Dead, 5 wounded. Ukros also have losses.

3 February

A couple of days ago, the ukros opened a breach in the front next to Staromikhalovka, entered between two hills of rubble (the land cones of the mines) . Officer novoruso in charge at this point, he just ran away. The Novorussian soldiers were left alone that morning, urgently asking for help from the artillery, which opened fire. The gap was blocked, but after suffering casualties.

The officer took off with his bags to Rostov in Russia. What a shame…

5 February

Ukrainian attacks have increased markedly before the elections, are believed to cause novorusians to respond, and in the face of the worsening Porochenko may soon declare martial law again, but already throughout the country. So avoid elections.

I think Porko has the generals on his side, after all if the regime falls, they will be held accountable for their war crimes. The only solution to remain in power is war and dictatorship.

“In the Republic of Lugansk we have many wounded these days, in Stakhanov hospital there are no beds anymore, the minor wounded are sent directly home.”

Wounded arrive to Kalinovo, Frunze, Zhelobok. Of all Krasnodarskaya Duga.”

The enemy uses drones to correct artillery firing. The villages on the front line are already razed, there are hardly any houses left standing after years of bombing

"Donetsky is already in ruins, Sifonka completely erased from the map.”

“A last neighbor of this village I know had to flee to a friend of hers in Kirovsky (Donetsk), her home is the last one standing at the moment. His exact words about the ukros " these three days seem like rabid dogs that escaped from the cage”

“There is no quiet moment, either they use heavy artillery or grenade launchers, light weapons every minute. In official news, this doesn't come out.”

Strong battles across the front.

They don't stop, against Staromikhalovka 30 shots with BMP-2



These are official reports of explosions and gunfire, as always of astonishing accuracy and very limited: actually the exchange of gunfire is much greater than reported.

17.40 H-Spartak, 29 AGS-17 grenades, large-caliber machine guns and small arms.
17.45 h-Donetsk (Airport), 5 shots fired from SPG-9.
18.25 H-Staromikhaylovka, 30 shots fired from BMP-2.
18.40 H-Donetsk (Trudovskaya district), with 1 shot from SPG-9, heavy machine guns and light weapons.
18.40 H-Leninskoe, with 5 SPG-9 shots, heavy machine guns and light weapons.
19.05 h-Donetsk (Volvo-Center), with 1 120 mm calibre projectile, heavy machine guns and small arms.
19.00-Kominternovo, with 2 rounds of 120 mm calibre.
19.15-Leninskoe, with three SPG-9 shots.

How much money is Ukraine going to lose in gas transit fees this year?

Walther von Oldenburg wrote:How much money is Ukraine going to lose in gas transit fees this year?

The contract ends on the 31st December this year so probably not a lot, but next year............

flamming_python wrote:

GarryB wrote:There is always the risk that the west will demand some gas transit down the ukrainian pipe so they get subsidised by the EU... politics at work as usual... but then it will be EU countries subsidising the Ukraine this time though...

Merkel already demanded some post-2019 Russian gas transit through Ukraine, in return for supporting Nord Stream 2. And we agreed.

Putin should have told the old hag to her face - that she needs the gas as much as we need to sell it. If not more. And that the Ukraine and its finances are your problem to solve, not ours.

Until the southern pipeline route up from Turkstream is completed through Bulgaria/Serbia there will have to be gas through Ukraine for south/central Europe.

Oh, and reverse flow of by then non Russian gas back to Ukraine.

Quite how long the Russian agreement with Merkel is for I don't know but after those EU countries are sorted its probably the Devil take the hindmost, sorry Kiev that's you. Up front cash or no direct gas. They could still get it through Turkstream and pay lots of transit charges I suppose.

Heavy mortar bombardment from 0830 and lasting for 10 hours, and counting today, all along the front intense fighting.

Also a report published today seems to indicate the Ukrainian regime was given "go ahead" signal for the attack

https://guerraenucrania.wordpress.com/2019/02/14/parte-de-guerra-14-02-2019/

From link above

14 February, 2019 Zhukov

General situation:

This report today gives an account of preparations for an attack, and Russian manoeuvres in response.

https://topwar.ru/154013-na-spjaschij-kreml-ne-nadejtes-chem-auknulis-kievu-tenevye-rejsy-globmasterov-i-perebroska-pionov.html

Summarize:

Arrival of American cargo aircraft at Kiev airport with war material, possibly anti-tank missiles and artillery observation drones

American reconnaissance flights over Transdnistria, something very disturbing given the tensions in Moldova

Inflammatory rhetoric and accusations against Russia of “fueling the conflict” at the meeting of the UN Security Council devoted to Ukraine and the Minsk accords. The disturbing thing is that the German representative aligned himself with the US, in what appears to be a combined maneuver to give carte blanche to the Ukrainian command for its offensive.

In response to these provocations, and the deployment on the part of the Ukrainian heavy guns of 203mm Pion, in Donbas, the russians have responded with military exercises in the Rostov region, marches, long-distance mechanized units and exercises of paratroopers.

The general struggle has worsened over the last 15 days, as was said at the previous entrance. This morning a mass bombardment began at 0830 with 82mm and 120mm mortars along the entire front.

http://antimaydan.info/2019/02/soobsheniya_opolcheniya_ot_14_fevralya_2019_g_obnovlyaetsya.html

The number of explosions is much, much higher than in the official Parts, which officially speak of four and a half tons of ammunition fired in the last month, (sic) as official reports speak of 250 rapes, and which have counted 2,800 shots you see the enormity of the lie, a single 82mm mortar bomb weighs 3 kilos. I would actually multiply the real figure by a hundred at best, because in this war thousands and even tens of thousands of tons of ammunition have been fired. 500 tons of shells of all calibers in a single month would be a modest figure. Although it's also true that the artillery barely fires and that goes way down the average.

Civilians living near the front say it's like 2015, confirming the intensity of the bombing.



Situation at 1830

The enemy has been bombing for 10 hours straight, mostly 120mm heavy mortar fire. On the whole front of the Donbass situation is very serious, much destruction and inevitable casualties.

Heavy cannon and prolonged intense battles at Yasinovataya, Avdeyevka industrial area. Ukrainians use tanks and fire with self-propelled artillery (SAU). They even fired Grad rockets at Spartak. His forces concentrated in the last few days in Avdeyevka for an attack on the northwest border of Donetsk.

The novorusos this time respond to the fire with everything they have.

Ukrainians bombard blocks of flats in Lugansk villages, the population has been ordered to turn off the lights because Ukrainians fire on the illuminated floors.

Latest update, intense shelling and shooting, that goes unreported but not unnoticed by OSCE and Russian FM, casualties estimated at 50-100 a day in both sides.

https://guerraenucrania.wordpress.com/2019/02/20/noticias-de-la-guerra-20-02-2019/

Ispan wrote:
Latest update, intense shelling and shooting, that goes unreported but not unnoticed by OSCE and Russian FM, casualties estimated at 50-100 a day in both sides.

https://guerraenucrania.wordpress.com/2019/02/20/noticias-de-la-guerra-20-02-2019/

Your reports are of great interest and factual. We see an increasing number of wounded coming to our shores to convaless. The vast majority have served from the first year of the war and most have been wounded more than once.

Perhaps it is now clearer than in the past couple of years that this is a war of attrition that Kiev (perhaps with advice from outsiders) believes (given the disparity in population sizes) is the way to win without provoking Russia into action by striking east in force.

It is unwinnable for Ukies. There are enough volunteers from Russia, Belarus and other countries to fill the ranks. And it is Ukraine that is losing milions of people to emigration, not Russia.

flamming_python wrote:

GarryB wrote:There is always the risk that the west will demand some gas transit down the ukrainian pipe so they get subsidised by the EU... politics at work as usual... but then it will be EU countries subsidising the Ukraine this time though...

Merkel already demanded some post-2019 Russian gas transit through Ukraine, in return for supporting Nord Stream 2. And we agreed.

Putin should have told the old hag to her face - that she needs the gas as much as we need to sell it. If not more. And that the Ukraine and its finances are your problem to solve, not ours.

He does not need to tell it to her face. He just needs to make facts on the ground when the pipeline is operational. There
are lots of solid reasons to stop any gas transit and number one is that the pipeline infrastructure operated by Ukrs is in a state
of terminal rot. Why should Russia ventilate its gas through these corroding sieves? Nobody will have any smear that will
stick. Banging the shoe on the podium has negative value.

kvs wrote:

He does not need to tell it to her face.  He just needs to make facts on the ground when the pipeline is operational.    There
are lots of solid reasons to stop any gas transit and number one is that the pipeline infrastructure operated by Ukrs is in a state
of terminal rot.   Why should Russia ventilate its gas through these corroding sieves?    Nobody will have any smear that will
stick.    Banging the shoe on the podium has negative value.  

Fortunately for the political situation there will need to be gas transit for a while yet as the 'SouthStream' route, now via Turkey, will not be complete for a while. I don't have a completion date for the Bulgarian section. This allows Merkel and Putin to play happy UE/Ukraine families and say that the transit contract will continue albeit at a much reduced throughput.

Then once everything has died down and the two new pipelines are up and running, they can close the valves and let Ukraine's pipes rot in peace.

I often read comments regarding Nordstream 2 with the insinuation that its creation is somehow a gift by Germany to Russia or a geopolitical concession with regards to Ukraine (in so far as it's alluded to Germany supposedly letting Ukraine "rot" by looking out for itself).

This can't be further from truth. Germany is lock, stock and barrel deep into the Ukranian project, ultimately its disintegration for easier assimilation of its parts into the Western block at the expense of Russia, just like the absorption of former USSR states into the EU, the desolution of former Yugoslavia etc...

Hemorrhaging former Russian frontiers of the past is an ongoing and fluid process with no signs of letting up. Meanwhile both the Anglo Empires frontiers and the German frontiers are relatively undamaged and intact - able to prosper unimpeded (by the success or failure of its leaders)... relatively foreign pressure free. Russia on the other hand, I don't think anything has to be said about this.

I don't think the level of criminal incompetence, outright treason to its own people, by the late Russian leadership of the USSR can be put into proper terms. For they are so many...

Russia and Germany are NOT friends. The relationship within Europe can only co-exist in so far as one being subordinate to the whims of other in some form (no such thing as a rule of 2). The failure of the newborns of post WW2 order to instill on the younger Russian generations(and thinkers) the classical strategic thinking required to keep the eye of the ball is paying dividends. Russia and Germany competing in Europe will always be a constant and in a great number of cases, a zero-sum game.

Russians at large have not been paying attention to Germany closely enough (or seriously enough - to their own detriment - underestimating enemies - or mistaking them for friends - costly business) after the desolution of the USSR. Germany wages war by other means and surprisingly, giving the decadence of Russia's elite, to extreme success. Wars of deceit have paid dividends where war of blunt force, pride and bravado have failed.

Would I blame Putin's efforts for the failure of generations of Russian leaders? No... but responding way too late to what has been brewing all along under their nose, with their direct knowledge is incompetence. Everyone says Ukraine was the last straw..... "Russia's eyes are open now"... (as if they were closed before - more like choosing to fiddle thumbs and look the other way, feeling impotent to meet their adversaries)....

Pages of history keep on turning... "Germany as a center of power was finished after WW2" "Never to rebound".... I also read that a lot.