Israeli-Hezbollah conflict

So reports are Israel is starting a ground invasion (just as George Szamuely said it would) and Lebanses forces are pulling back. 

Not looking good for the resistance

Backman wrote:So reports are Israel is starting a ground invasion (just as George Szamuely said it would) and Lebanses forces are pulling back. 

Not looking good for the resistance

No point in keeping your troops in positions in harms way right on the border.
besides, the Lebanese army is not the primary threat to the Israeli army here.

Hezbollah is. And truthfully they have not used any of their combat resources yet.
they came out of the ISIS war with a lot of experience and armed better than most modern army's using both soviet and western weaponry.

We will see how this goes in the coming days.

Rather than a blizzard of posts this is an alternative way  

Quick summary of the day from the Hezbollah news desk:


    21:35 American MQ9 Aircraft Shot Down by Yemeni Air Defenses More..
    20:03 Israeli Channel 12: A missile barrage fired at Haifa
    20:01 Missiles hit Kiryat Ata settlement: Israeli media
    19:55 Islamic Resistance strikes gatherings of Israeli occupation soldiers in Beit Sida, Yiftah settlement, and Zaoura artillery bunkers with missiles: statements
    18:23 Islamic Resistance fighters targeted the Kfar Giladi settlement with a Noor missile: statement
    17:51 Israeli media: Sirens sounded in Kfar Giladi and Tel Hai, Galilee Panhandle
    17:42 Israeli media: Massive destruction in Nahariya due to Hezbollah missile fire
    17:23 Yedioth Ahronoth: Northern evacuation plan extended through the end of the year
    17:02 105 martyrs, 359 wounded as a result of the Zionist aggression on Lebanon within 24 hours: Lebanese Health Ministry
    17:01 Islamic Resistance fighters bomb the Israeli settlement of Kabri with a rocket salvo: Hezbollah statement
    16:55 Hezbollah’s Islamic Resistance fighters bomb the Sa’ar Israeli settlement with a rocket salvo: statement
    15:34 Iraq’s Islamic Resistance Launches More Attacks More..
    15:14 “Israeli” media: Injuries are reported among “Israeli” army soldiers as a result of clashes in Khan Yunis area of the Gaza Strip
    15:07 Hezbollah Continues Attacking Israeli Occupation Cities, Bases More..
    12:43 Palestinian Resistance in West bank Confronts IOF More..
    12:36 Hezbollah’s Sheikh Qassem: Resistance fighters are fully prepared for any possible Israeli land incursion
    12:34 Hezbollah’s Sheikh Qassem: We know that the battle may be long, all options are on table and we are ready for all scenarios
    12:32 Hezbollah’s Sheikh Qassem: What we are doing now is the minimum as part of our plan to run the battle
    12:31 Hezbollah’s Sheikh Qassem: Following martyrdom of Sayyed Nasrallah, Ma’ale Adumim was targeted and million Israeli settlers in Haifa went to shelters
    12:24 Sheikh Qassem: Hezbollah will choose a new Secretary-General as soon as possible
    12:22 Hezbollah’s Sheikh Qassem: ‘Israel’ has not been able to reach our military capabilities, Zionist claims in this regards are just a dream that will never come true
    12:18 Sheikh Qassem: Hezbollah’s Islamic Resistance will go ahead with confronting the Israeli enemy in support of Gaza and Palestine and in defense of Lebanon and its people
    12:17 Hezbollah’s Sheikh Qassem: Despite the loss of our leaders and the great sacrifices, we won’t budge an inch from our stances
    12:14 Hezbollah’s Sheikh Qassem: ‘Israel’ is delusional when it thinks that the brutal massacres and the international backing will help achieve its goals
    12:11 Hezbollah’s Sheikh Qassem: The Zionist entity commits massacres all over Lebanon
    12:09 Hezbollah’s Sheikh Qassem to fighters: Be confident that our great leader is always among us
    12:08 Hezbollah’s Sheikh Qassem: Sayyed Nasrallah was the leader of free fighters convoy, his absolute priority was Palestine and Al-Quds
    12:05 Hezbollah’s Sheikh Naim Qassem mourns martyr Sayyed Nasrallah: We have lost a brother, father and a great leader
    12:02 Hezbollah Deputy Leader Sheikh Naim Qassem delivers speech via Al-Manar
    12:02 Islamic Resistance fighters fire a barrage of Fadi-2 rockets towards Naoura Base: Hezbollah statement
    11:59 Israeli media: Sirens sound in Shlomi and Ras Naqoura sites in Western Galilee
    10:57 Hezbollah Deputy Leader Sheikh Naim Qassem to deliver a speech at 12:00 p.m. (Beriut time)
    10:28 Hamas Leader Fateh Sharif Assassinated in Lebanon by ‘Israel’ More..
    10:09 Islamic Resistance fighters target an Israeli infantry force at Al-Sadh site with artillery achieving direct hits

For a decapitated organisation it's kicking surprisingly lively. Must be a Hydra of some kind ...

How will it go? Israel will raze Lebanon to the ground and take over more land. And that's it...

You couldn't be more out of touch with reality.
What will happen is the same shit that happened in Gaza or in 2006 in Lebanon, Israel will massacre tens of thousands of civilians, suffer thousands of casualties, and leave while claiming victory.

Middle East Observer
@ME_Observer_
: Israel is describing the upcoming ground operation as "limited" , there's a reason for this :

By saying it's limited, they can test the ground, and if they get smacked, they will pull out and claim that "we achieved our goals in dismantling a specific unit/infrastructure/anything".

If they find that the initial incursion is successful, they will expand it by adding new "goals", as long as needed.

There's no limited operation, they're just doing pre-emptive damage control in the narrative, to not set the grand goal of "eliminating Hezbollah".

A Lebanese military source told Al-Arabi TV: unprecedented build-up of Israeli vehicles and tanks on the other side of the border opposite Al-Wazzani. First strong signs of the beginning of the invasion to #Lebanon: #Israel is carpet bombing with tanks and artilleries the villages of of Khiyam, Kfarkila, and Wazzani.

BREAKING: IDF has imposed a closed military zone in the Metula, Misgav Am and Kfar Giladi area on the Lebanese border.

Entering the area is forbidden.

How about this then? Is this a Syria type op of are they invited in? The Lebanese Army work closely with the US.

Perhaps preparing for the evacuation of US nationals?

MenchOsint
@MenchOsint

Movement of US 24th Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) Special Operations Capable (SOC) from the USS Wasp to Hamat Air Base in northern Lebanon.

Elijah J. Magnier
@ejmalrai
The moment #Israel sets foot on Lebanese territory, the Lebanese resistance holds the legitimate right, under international law, to target and bomb Israel, anywhere within its geographical borders. This principle of self-defence is recognised globally, ensuring that any violation of a nation's sovereignty can be met with appropriate and proportionate military response.

The right of self-defence in response to an armed attack, such as an invasion, is recognised under international law, particularly in the context of United Nations (UN) resolutions and conventions. Here are key references that establish this right:

1. UN Charter - Article 51
Article 51 of the UN Charter explicitly recognises the inherent right of self-defence if a country is attacked:
"Nothing in the present Charter shall impair the inherent right of individual or collective self-defence if an armed attack occurs against a Member of the United Nations, until the Security Council has taken measures necessary to maintain international peace and security."
This means that Lebanon (a UN member state) and its forces, including Hezbollah, can lawfully engage in self-defence against any Israeli invasion, including military actions within Israeli territory, if Israel violates Lebanese sovereignty.

2. UN Security Council Resolution 1701 (2006)

UNSC Resolution 1701, passed at the end of the 2006 Lebanon War, called for the cessation of hostilities and reaffirmed the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Lebanon. It:Demanded that Israel and Hezbollah cease hostilities.
Reaffirmed Lebanon's sovereignty and called for respect of the Blue Line (the de facto border between Lebanon and Israel).

While this resolution aimed to end the conflict, it implicitly acknowledged Lebanon's right to defend its territory against any breaches.

3. General Principles of International Law
The right to self-defence is also grounded in customary international law, reaffirmed by multiple UN documents and rulings by the International Court of Justice (ICJ). This means that if any nation violates another’s territorial integrity, the state under attack has the right to defend itself until the threat is neutralised.

How about the Lebanese forces , doing a bit of recon by force in northern Israel ? Another way to secure operations by the Axis forces , is to completely separate the civil from military functions . The civil side acts in the open in politics , but with no participation in military affairs . The military is completely hidden with secret structure . I remember thinking that Iraq PMU and others could do this too .

Damascus has been bombed. Typical US move. They killed the Syrian TV news anchor. Priorities. Just go devastate the local population or something fucked up like that 

Arrow wrote:
Israel will quickly defeat Lebanon. And Iran will do nothing despite grand announcements.

Like i said before, Moscow and Tehran are trying to play the long game, problem is that the west and israel will not allow that to happen.
So they are going to carry on escalating.

Basically its either commit or die, to war or just goddamn surrender.

Sadly, Tehran and Moscow are all bark and no bite atm, if they continue to fail this shit test over and again, then they may as well surrender and break up BRICS.

Oh well, hopefully the new leadership in Lebanon wont be as F'ing stupid as their predecessors, talking mad shit and then doing sweet F' all.

Iran is completely cucking out under their new president. He announced Iranian readiness to return to JCPOA, the same deal that the West unilaterally withdrew from under Trump.

But I can’t blame Iran. They don’t have nukes and have no defense against the Israeli monster. But the problem is that this will not save Iran. Israel has already decided to destroy Iran after they are done destroying Lebanon (Gaza is already destroyed).

Where are Iran’s so-called “partners” Russia and China in all of this? What will they do once the US/Israeli hegemon attacks Iran?

Isos wrote:It started. Israel has invaded. Waiting for the hundreds of israeli vehicles to face the reality of modern war.

Neither does Lebanon have a competent air force nor does it have heavy artillery in large number.

They'll be defeated hands down.