Israeli-Hezbollah conflict

| Rocket impacts near Tiberias during Hezbollah’s rocket attack this morning.

https://t.me/FotrosResistance/8435

Yes , it is more advantageous for Lebanese forces to launch ground offensive into northern Israel . The sooner , the better . Sitting and waiting , only allows their air force to bring devastation into Lebanon . And as I said before , if ground forces mix quickly within Israeli towns , then their air force is made useless . But sitting and waiting in Lebanon , means Israelis can still use their ace card , their air force . Heard rumours of Iran sending ground forces . But no evidence so far , possibly the best move Iran can make to protect southern Lebanon . The best use the axis can make out of Iran is financial and material help . But Iranian ground troops should only be used in secure areas , away from sensitive sites . The Axis must form it's own internal security , and decentralised command . All operational activities must remain local . No state security , even from friendly countries , should be trusted with operational activities . In essence , the Axis , becomes a state within several states .

A rocket impact Naharia

@ResistanceTrench

Zionist media reported that a Hezbollah drone targeted the Israeli settlement "Merom" in occupied Palestine, which caused a fire.


https://t.me/ResistanceTrench2/11668

Hezbollah denies reports about Nasrallah's successor, 09.30.2024.

The Shiite group refuted reports that the leader of the movement has already been elected and called for waiting for an official statement on the matter.

Hezbollah denied several media reports that the Shiite group has already elected its new leader, after the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah, its top leader, in the Israeli airstrike last Friday.

"In response to the news circulated by some media outlets about the organizational measures within the Hezbollah leadership after the martyrdom of His Eminence the Secretary General [...] we would like to clarify that the news related to this matter is of no importance and cannot be trusted unless the Hezbollah leadership issues an official statement in this regard," the group's statement read.

On Sunday, Al Arabiya and other media reported that Nasrallah's cousin Hashem Safieddine was elected as the group's new secretary general. Safieddine's upcoming appointment as the leader of Hezbollah was also announced by three Israeli officials to the New York Times. According to the sources, Safieddine is a "key figure in the movement's political and social work" and has long been considered as a possible successor to Nasrallah.

According to the An Nahar media outlet, Safieddine, born in 1964 in the city of Deir Qanun al Nahr, in the Tyre region of southern Lebanon, completed his religious studies in the Iranian city of Qom and has a "special relationship with Iran that gives him influence in the leadership hierarchy of the party." According to the sources of the media, he was prepared in 1994 to be Nasrallah's successor.

Yandex Translate from Spanish.

https://actualidad.rt.com/actualidad/524830-hezbola-desmiente-informaciones-sucesor-nasrallah

#4

Statement issued by the Islamic Resistance:

In the name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful

"Permission [to fight] is granted to those who are being fought because they were wronged, and indeed Allah is capable of granting them victory."

Allah Almighty is Truthful

In support of our steadfast Palestinian people in the Gaza Strip and as part of backing their courageous and honorable Resistance, and in defense of Lebanon and its people, and in response to the brutal "Israeli" transgressions against cities, villages, and civilians, the Islamic Resistance fighters bombarded on Monday, 30-09-2024, "Sa'ar" settlement with a barrage of rockets.

"And victory is not but from Allah, the Almighty, All-Wise."

Monday, 30-09-2024
26 Rabi' al-Awwal 1446

#5

Statement issued by the Islamic Resistance:

In the name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful

"Permission [to fight] is granted to those who are being fought because they were wronged, and indeed Allah is capable of granting them victory."

Allah Almighty is Truthful

In support of our steadfast Palestinian people in the Gaza Strip and as part of backing their courageous and honorable Resistance, and in defense of Lebanon and its people, and in response to the brutal "Israeli" transgressions against cities, villages, and civilians, the Islamic Resistance fighters bombarded on Monday, 30-09-2024, Kabri settlement with a barrage of rockets.

"And victory is not but from Allah, the Almighty, All-Wise."

Monday, 30-09-2024
26 Rabi' Al-Awwal 1446

— // BREAKING: Israel has notified the U.S. that it intends to launch a limited ground incursion into Lebanon which could begin within hours – U.S. Officials to CBS News

@Middle_East_Spectator

🟡| BREAKING: Hezbollah had announced attacking the Kafr Giladi colony with Nour (ballistic) missiles.

This is the first time that Hezbollah has used this type of missile to target Israel.

https://t.me/FotrosResistance/8443

Ahmadinejad's interview to Turkish media:

Former Iranian President Ahmadinejad: The Head of the Unit We Established for Israel Turned Out to be a Mossad Agent

https://www-haberler-com.translate.goog/dunya/iran-in-eski-cumhurbaskani-ahmedinecat-tan-sok-17875047-haberi/?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp

It looks like a real possibility, considering number of security blunders Iran had as of lately. This is not the first time these rumours came to the surface. It looks like nomadski is onto something.

Yes that is why the Axis needs multiple redundant command control ( like jet fighter control ) decentralised anonymous leadership .





The first one's name is Tom , the next two are Dick and Harriet !

Elijah J. Magnier
@ejmalrai
How Was Nasrallah's Security Breached on the Day of His Assassination?

By Elijah J. Magnier

The Israeli strikes, both security and military-related, must be critically examined, particularly in light of their success in various regions and against multiple targets. These strikes eventually led to the assassination of Hezbollah's Secretary-General, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, despite the stringent security measures in place to protect him.

Since becoming a declared target for Israel, Nasrallah's security detail has implemented extraordinary precautions. Individuals in his immediate surroundings were prohibited from using mobile phones or the Internet. Moreover, Nasrallah adopted a highly secretive lifestyle, frequently relocating between different apartments and never staying in one location for an extended period. In addition, tiny passageways were created within adjacent buildings to allow him to move from place to place without needing a vehicle. These measures provided a sense of security to his protective unit, mainly since his movements were concealed from aerial surveillance, reducing the risk of detection by drones or satellites that continually gather intelligence.

The specific location targeted in the attack was known as the "Khatam al-Anbiya Headquarters", a command centre overseen by Commander Fouad Shukr, who had been tasked with managing the "Al-Aqsa Flood" battle since 8th October 2023. Shukr was a regular visitor to this site. However, despite Shukr's assassination in the suburb on 30th July, Hezbollah did not view the incident as a sign of an internal security breach, whether through human or electronic means.

Fuad Shukr, also known as the "mukhtar")head( of Ouzai, moved openly within the area without fear. On the day of his assassination, rather than having his driver take him down to the lower-floor garage, he exited his car directly in front of the building, where many people in the area noticed him. In his professional role, he inadvertently left behind traces of his movements, which Israeli intelligence managed to exploit. Furthermore, Hezbollah had also been restocking its warehouses after deploying over 8,000 missiles, rockets, and drones over the past 11 months, all under the vigilant watch of US and Israeli intelligence, including their satellites. These clues provided vital information, especially regarding his responsibilities as the commander of Hezbollah's missile units. Ultimately, Israel used this intelligence to carry out its lethal operation against Hezbollah's missile capabilities above the ground.

Therefore, it was not entirely surprising that Israel was aware of Nasrallah's presence at the location where he was ultimately assassinated. This occurred after several months during which Israel had refrained from targeting Hezbollah leaders, except for those directly involved in the conflict and engaged in active combat against Israel—both sides largely adhering to these unofficial boundaries. Moreover, the assassination followed an incident in which a missile landed in a residential area of the occupied Golan Heights (Majdal Shams), for which Israel accused Hezbollah, using it as justification for targeting Commander Fouad Shukr.

Following Hezbollah's retaliation, a series of assassinations began to take place, escalating tensions further. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu expressed his resolve to extend the conflict across the entirety of Lebanese territory, striking thousands of targets—many of them with precision—and killing key Hezbollah leaders. This intensified offensive followed a sabotage operation that affected PAGER devices and, later, ICOM devices on the 17th and 18th of September.

After the sabotage on the first day, Hezbollah suspected that the ICOM batteries, which had been acquired in the same deal as the PAGER devices, might have been compromised. As a result, despite the large size of the explosives embedded within the wireless communication batteries, the human losses on 18th September were relatively minimal. Hezbollah managed to neutralise a significant number of these devices before they detonated. However, Hezbollah had no immediate consensus regarding a comprehensive investigation into the possibility of an electronic or human security breach.

Israel announced that its intelligence for the operation was based on a combination of visual, human, and electronic sources, particularly from its Units 9900, 8200, and 504. These units provided crucial information indicating that Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah had entered a meeting hall where high-ranking officials, including the deputy commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, Major General Abbas Nilforoushan, the commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards operations room—both present to support the "Al-Aqsa Flood" battle—were waiting for him.

The Unit 9900 specialises in visual intelligence, focusing on satellite and aerial imagery to monitor enemy movements and locate strategic targets. The unit uses advanced geospatial and electro-optical technologies to track high-value targets such as Nasrallah. Its expertise allows it to gather detailed information about specific locations, down to minor terrain details. In this case, Unit 9900's ability to monitor movements in real time would have been instrumental in confirming Nasrallah's presence in the meeting hall, helping Israel's military plan the strike with precision.

The Unit 8200 is Israel's premier signals intelligence (SIGINT) and cyber warfare unit. It is responsible for intercepting and analysing enemy communications, gathering intelligence from electronic sources, and engaging in cyber operations. It is likely that Unit 8200 intercepted Hezbollah's encrypted communications or infiltrated its digital networks, allowing Israel to track movements, identify critical meetings, and collect vital information about Nasrallah's whereabouts. Unit 8200's capacity to decrypt communications and disrupt enemy networks is considered one of the most advanced in the world, and its role in this operation likely included monitoring communications within Nasrallah's inner circle and providing precise intelligence on his movements.

Unit 504 specialises in human intelligence (HUMINT), focusing on recruiting and handling informants, especially within hostile or difficult-to-access environments. This unit is known for working closely with spies and collaborators who can provide ground-level intelligence. In the case of Nasrallah's assassination, Unit 504 might have relied on informants within Hezbollah or in Nasrallah's security detail, providing specific, actionable information about his movements and the meeting at the "Khatam al-Anbiya Headquarters." The involvement of human agents could explain how Israel knew not only about Nasrallah's presence but also the presence of other high-ranking officials in the meeting hall, ensuring that the operation was carried out at the optimal time for maximum impact.

These units form an integrated network combining visual surveillance, electronic interception, and human intelligence to provide comprehensive situational awareness. The collaboration of these intelligence assets allowed Israel to breach Hezbollah's formidable security apparatus and eliminate one of its most guarded figures. This highlights the growing role of advanced technology and intelligence in modern warfare, where electronic and human data converge to produce highly effective military outcomes.

Also in attendance were Ali Karaki (Abu al-Fadl), the general commander of Hezbollah's southern operations, the security official haj Nabil, and the director of Nasrallah's office haj Jihad, alongside key military planners who were responsible for suggesting targets and discussing Israeli capabilities. These leaders highlighted potential sensitive locations that Hezbollah could target in retaliation for recent sabotage operations and the assassination of its leaders.

Tragically, everyone present in the meeting hall was killed when the Israeli strike destroyed the building. Paramedics, using multiple camouflaged corridors, managed to locate the bodies, which had been preserved due to the intense pressure from the 85 tons of explosives Israel used.

This incident raised significant questions. Was there satellite-linked visual surveillance that confirmed Nasrallah's presence at the location for several hours, giving Israel the time to prepare and launch the attack? Could tracking devices have been hidden inside the pagers carried by many officials several months before, or perhaps inside the explosive-laden batteries? Were there agents within the security apparatus assigned to protect Nasrallah who leaked information and identified the "golden target" at the scene? Or did a combination of these factors come together to deliver the precise intelligence necessary for the assassination?

Hezbollah now faces the urgent task of addressing these critical questions. It must swiftly abandon its known and previously used locations, eliminate above-ground operations, and undertake a comprehensive intelligence review to uncover the necessary answers and prevent future security breaches.

Nothing is stopping Hezbollah from pursuing this course of action, even while under attack or while facing a potential ground invasion. The initiative has shifted back into its hands, notably after Israel announced that it had exhausted its list of targets and that the so-called "target bank" was depleted, without necessarily excluding the fact that additional new targets can be added in the future. This development provides Hezbollah with an opportunity to respond appropriately to the recent events and potentially escalate towards the broader conflict that Israel seemed to be preparing for, all while addressing internal vulnerabilities and strengthening its defences. However, Hezbollah has not yet responded, and the coming days are expected to reveal what remains of its capabilities.

GarryB wrote:Taking out leaders only makes sense if they are effective leaders... for instance taking out Putin or Xi would be very high on the CIAs list of what it wants this Christmas

Hassan Nasrallah was Hezbollah leader for over 3 decades. That proves he was effective. A nation's soul is its leadership. When that soul is struck down during war, the shock reverberates through every soldier, every citizen. The loss of a guiding light will cast a shadow of doubt, fear, and uncertainty. It's a blow not just to the body, but to the spirit. Protecting such leaders is not merely a matter of security; it's a matter of maintaining the nation's morale and its will to fight.

I find it quite baffling how Iran and organizations supported by Iran are losing so many of their top leaders at such quick interval.

Elijah J. Magnier
@ejmalrai
According to witnesses, #Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah did not die from a lack of oxygen, as #Israel is attempting to claim in an effort to suggest he suffered before his death. The building had four entrances and four exits, and he was found near one of the exits. Therefore, it is clear that his death was instantaneous, caused by the immense pressure triggered by 85 tons of explosives. Israel appears to be portraying this as a complete act of revenge, demonstrating a sadistic approach and a lack of respect for the deceased.

Michael Mayo
@mjmayo68
one way or another, the imperialist USA will pay for this.

the pressure/shock wave of the explosion that Elijah M. is speaking of would have so severely traumatized the brain and central nervous system of anyone in that bunker area, that we can assume they all died instantly

Lisalossless
@bunny2be
The way they delight in the most intimate details of rape, murder et al is something peculiarly particular about Israeli sick society.

Ahmed El-Arabi
@Ahmedelelarabi
Elijah they’re sad human beings.

Our imam Hussain suffered before he was martyred, and yet his sister when she was asked how did you see your brothers death?

She said I only saw beauty. Labayk ya NasrAllah

All should listen to this. 

It is 15 minutes of very sobering opinion by a retired British diplomat with a career in the ME who lives in Beirut of what Israel's actions are all about. It is religious above all else.



https://x.com/apocalypseos/status/1840598302779384278

Someone views that it would be a strategic mistake for the World should to have its attention drawn to this aim.

Russians With Attitude
@RWApodcast

Like it or not, but Hezbollah played a crucial role in preserving civilization in Syria. They were essential in the war against the head-chopping, heart-eating, Christian-slaughtering beasts whom Israel, America & Turkey were arming, financing and supporting on the battlefield. 

Hezbollah, along with the governments of Russia, Iran & Syria, contained a gaping wound on the face of the earth out of which demons were pouring to devour the entire Middle East, with fever dreams of conquering even further. For this they deserve respect from any civilized human being.

The Sirius Report
@thesiriusreport

Israel killing Nasrallah is an act of desperation and not from a position of strength.

It is a geopolitical disaster and will only serve to further isolate Israel on the world stage. Look at the amount of nations who walked out in protest when Netanyahu spoke at the UN.

The idea that killing Nasrallah will  destroy Hezbollah is ignorant in the extreme. It implies Hezbollah is a one man operation. Nothing could be further from the truth. It is only going to embolden them further and the new leader could potentially take a harder line than Nasrallah did.

Fotros Resistance (AryJeay), [30/9/2024 13:55]
BREAKING: Sirens activated in areas close to Haifa

Fotros Resistance (AryJeay), [30/9/2024 14:03]
| Looks like at least 2 impacts were made in Kiryat Atta, east of Haifa

https://t.me/FotrosResistance/8446

🟡| Hezbollah announced:

Launching a barrage of Fadi-1 rockets at several areas north of Haifa.

Fotros Resistance (AryJeay), [30/9/2024 15:22]
— / BREAKING: The IDF declares Metula, Kfar Gil'adi and Misgav Am a closed military zone

@Middle_East_Spectator

Fotros Resistance (AryJeay), [30/9/2024 15:25]
| Meanwhile: Al-Manar correspondent:

The Lebanese army evacuates the observation points on the front edge of the border with occupied Palestine to join the command centers in the border towns.

It started. Israel has invaded. Waiting for the hundreds of israeli vehicles to face the reality of modern war.

— / A short paragraph about Israel's upcoming ground offensive into Lebanon:

Everything the Israeli leadership is saying now, regarding the elimination of Hezbollah's capabilities, they also said in 2006 (quote above), and they still ended up losing the war.

Although a significant portion of Hezbollah's leadership has been eliminated, all of those high-ranking commanders have already been replaced. Hezbollah always knew that their commanders were at risk of assassination, and it's extremely naive to assume they would not have contingency plans for situations like these.

Besides this, Hezbollah is an assymetrical military force, its units operate mostly independently based on the initiatives of local field commanders. Even if there is no active central leadership (which isn't the case currently), the resistance will continue on the ground.

When it comes to Hezbollah's missile arsenal, Israel claims it destroyed more than half of the group's capabilities within the past week. However, this is likely exaggerated, as most of the airstrike targets were part of a pre-planned databank based on old or obsolete intelligence. Hezbollah is dynamic, it can move launchers around very quickly.

It's likely that Hezbollah's long-range and medium-range missile capabilities were affected to some extent by the recent strikes, but not enough for its missile threat to be fully neutralized. It should be noted that Hezbollah's strategic assets, such as ballistic missiles, are stored in hardened bases underground. Many of them are located in Syria and the Beqaa. When it comes to short range missiles, that's another matter; Hezbollah will simply never run out, they just have too much stuff.

Hezbollah's main disadvantage currently is Israel's superior air power and surveillance. They likely still have the weapons systems to carry out major missile attacks against Israeli cities, including Tel Aviv, but such large-scale attacks would require extensive planning and staging, and during the staging phase Israel would likely detect the accumulation of launchers beforehand and strike Hezbollah's launcher formations pre-emptively. This means Hezbollah currently has to resort to 'shoot-and-run' tactics, sporadically launching missiles from blind spots and immediately relocating to a different location.

Hezbollah's real strength lies in its ground combat in the South. Hezbollah is intertwined with the local population, almost every southern Lebanese village has a Hezbollah garrison of a few hundred to a few thousand fighters, which are commanded independently and are well-armed. Most importantly, they possess an advantage that Hamas does not; modern Iranian-made ATGMs, in extremely large quantities.

In 2006 we saw the villages of Bint Jbeil and Ayta al-Sha'ab resisting against the IDF for multiple weeks with only their local Hezbollah garrisons, in some cases only dozens of fighters against thousands of Israeli forces. The IDF was forced to leave both of these cities, taking a huge amount of losses. Hezbollah is much stronger now than in 2006, and it is better organized and better supplied. Israel is in for a hard battle.

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator, [30/9/2024 15:51]
— / BREAKING: Israeli armored reconaissance units are now starting to penentrate the border with Lebanon

@Middle_East_Spectator

Middle East Spectator, [30/9/2024 15:53]
— / BREAKING: 'Israel is now conducting limited ground operations against Hezbollah inside Lebanon' – U.S. State Department to AFP

@Middle_East_Spectator

‍ Al-Manar correspondent:

The enemy is using artillery shells, phosphorus shells, and tank shells in its attacks, from the western part of the Khiyam plain to the heights of Kfar Shuba and Shebaa in the east, without any recorded breach of the borders.

There has been movement of vehicles around Ma'ayan Baruch, opposite Abel Al-Qamh and the Wazzani River, with warplanes and drones flying overhead.

@ResistanceTrench

#11

Statement issued by the Islamic Resistance:

In the name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful

"Permission [to fight] is given to those who are being fought because they were wronged, and indeed Allah is capable of granting them victory."

Allah Almighty is Truthful

In support of our steadfast Palestinian people in the Gaza Strip and in backing their courageous and honorable Resistance, and in defense of Lebanon and its people, and in response to the "Israeli" enemy's brutal aggression against cities, villages, and civilians, the Islamic Resistance fighters bombarded several kiryot north of Haifa city with a barrage of Fadi-1 rockets on Monday, 30-09-2024.

"And victory is not but from Allah, the Almighty, All-Wise."

Monday, 30-09-2024
26 Rabi' al-Awwal 1446