par far wrote:
The situation is getting intense, I think diplomacy is happening behind the scenes.
Diplomacy have failed .. there is no diplomacy.. so bad are the relations .. that Russia
cancelled their eye to eye meeting of putin with erdogan in moscow.
[forgot the source of this]...
Moscow:
We reject the armistice in Idlib, and Putin will not meet Erdogan
And the Syrian army continues its operations
and....
Y.N.M.S
@ynms79797979
·
5h
Urgently
The former Syrian ambassador to the Turkish regime
Dr._Nidal_ Qablan
Turkish Demokratpress says the death toll of the Turkish army in Idlib is 165, not 33.
i think the only agreement between Putin and Erdogan is that there is no agreement..
So it looks like Putin tactics now is a vietnam skirmish style war in some areas perhaps in southern idlib ,
and a Stalingrad style war of no retreat the Saraqib zone.. and with red lines already in place of when
Russia military will strike turkey military.. one of those redlines seems to be , Russian Airforce will strike
at turkey convoys ,moving to saraqib when they get close to the positions of alqaeda and help ,they will be destroyed..
So effectively the possibilities of a full or limited war between Turkey and Russia should be now are almost
guarantee. much more closer ,than a war between US and Russia over Syria. because americans never
started a full scale war against assad.. but turkey is doing that.. and that all that is needed ,for that war to happen ,is a bribed turkey general by US or Israel to strike at the russian warships.. and or russian base.
When it comes to turkey drones..
i think putin was played by erdogan into a cease of fire ,including air defenses to rescue their 33 killed soldiers.. because they were evacuated very fast to Turkey ..withing hours.. of the bombing ..
and so it seems that erdogan took advantage of a temporary cease of fire to send attack drones to target the front lines. but yesterday alone 2 turkey drones were shot down.. i don't think they are stealth at all.. they simply took advantage of a cease of fire Putin ordered ,for the recovery of the bodies of their soldiers..
My best guess is that if turkey manage to control his soldiers , he will only target syrian army positions.. while putin will continue aiding SAA ,and reinforce the frontline.. so expect a long proxy war .. between Turkey and
Russia. with SAA and Turkey soldiers in idlib sacrificed by both sides..
But US and Israel or even Erdogan irrational behavior could easily deviate the conflict into a full war with
Russia.. so posiblities that they will solve things will diplomacy are next to zero... the war will continue and
will only end when erdogan back down and leave... Russia have no options and will not leave.. they simply can't allow alqaeda to build a city in syria ,and reverse all the progress Russia have done in 5 years.. and setup a paradise for muslim brotherhood terrorism in idlib. Erdogan goals was to completely over run Syria including damacus with the muslim brotherhood . but when russia defeated them in eastern ghoutta ,those plans are over.
What things Russia can do.. is try to get the stupid iranians more involved in the conflict...IRAN have a big army
and they have been extremely silent and quite at their Syrian frontlines and allies being attacked.. iran and syria even had a defense treaty agreement ,which iran have failed to stand.. and they only send army to defensive positions and not to any frontline.. Iran only exist today ,because have the support of Russia.. if Russia abandoned support to Iran and tell americans ,that they can do whatever thing they want.. that will not interfere ,then iran will be dust.. it will experience a similar war than syria.. with "Free iranian army" attacking iran from afganistan and turkey borders. then later US flying above iranian airspace and then setup a base in territories captured by their mercenaries.. same syrian scenario ,is what iran will face if Russia drops the support to them.
Also Qatar its economy needs to be destroyed.. they are highly likely financing edogan war.. and turkey economy also needs to be destroyed.. first through major national advertising , warning russians to to travel to turkey for the danger to their lives ,and also with a major campaign across all russia against turkey products ,to not buy them.. . so good luck for erdogan ,to fight a big and expensive war in the major of a big recession. Americans for sure will help to finance it ,as they have done to ukraine.. but this will drag down their economy too.. so the key is to completely break muslim brotherhood countries economies ,to weaken their wars in lybia and in syria.. russia also can increase the help to haftar in lybia.. to remove the muslim brotherhood of terrorist there .