Russian Civil Aviation: News #4

so you would have your Il-76-MD90A team in a mature project phase
in the back office you would have your Il-276 team working on the next project in design phase

I strongly disagree... the Il-476 is designed and in serial production... all the design team has to do now is monitor its service use and make sure it lives up to expectations and any new faults or changes can be made and applied to new build aircraft.

The Il-276 is a completely different category of aircraft that is urgently needed to replace the An-12... its design is greatly speeded up because it is based on the Il-476 but is shorter and with only two engines instead of four but otherwise largely the same aircraft... sort of like the opposite of what they did with the An-124 and the An-225.

The difference is that they will be needing a lot more Il-276s than they will be needing Il-476s, but they are going to be needing a lot of both.

The Tu-330 is in a similar weight class... sort of half way between the Il-276 and the An-70 which is not going to be bought or used... which means both the Tu-330 and the Il-276 make sense to start work on now because they both have the advantage of being modifications of existing types... the Tu-330 is based on the Tu-204SM and the Il-276 is based on the Il-476.

I can't see Il-276s etc being built for a very long time ..... or any other currently not made models ....

I think probably the best strategy for Russian exports is 2nd hand / reconditioned
as you build new Il-76s ..... sell your older ones

The current core problem is not the lack of 40 ton capacity Il-76s, it is the impending end of life for the An-12s in the 20 ton payload capacity weight range that is approaching with no solution in production yet.

In a sense the 60 ton capacity of the Il-476 covers the Il-76 and some of the lighter payloads the An-22 would carry, while the full weight 80 ton jobs would be carried by the An-124.

What they really need is the Il-106 and Il-276 and Il-476 to start or ramp up production.

The fact that the Il-276 and Il-476 are the same plane with different numbers of engines and different wing and fuselage lengths means you can build several factories to make them... if you have four or more factories you could have three making the aircraft that is most urgently needed now... which would be the Il-276s so the An-12s can be removed from service as quickly as possible and then when demand is met one or the other could switch to Il-476s to boost production and meet local and international demand.

Production of the Il-106 will essentially replace the An-124 on most missions it is currently doing because the An-22 was very very busy while operational, so I suspect most of the jobs the An-124 is doing now are about 80 ton payloads anyway.

there are lots of countries looking for affordable hardware in the developing world
and you can probably flog a reconditioned Il-76 for the same price as a new Il-276 .....
no-brainer for me .... give me the reconditioned big one ......

The problem is taht their Il-76s are still useful to Russia, and it is the An-12s that are worn out and near the end of their lives... put a remote pilot system in them and strip them of everything useful and load them up with 20 tons of explosive and fly them into the Orc army on the front lines of the Donbass...

A near vertical dive from 8,000m...

The transition to the Russian system for booking air tickets

Excellent.

So they have a replacement for the An-2 in the form of the Baikal LMF-901 single engined aircraft for up to 9 passengers plus another aircraft based loosely on the twin engined Let-610 for up to 19 passengers, plus they have the Il-112 and Il-114 are all going into production... they really just need the Il-276 and Tu-330 and Il-106 to start production now...

This makes ramping up production of the Il-476 easier because extra production capacity can be swapped between the Il-476 and Il-276 as and when needed to achieve what they need to at the time.

very impressive pseudo-logic Garry
but it comes down to people in the end .... and they are only human

no matter how much you play with your spreadsheets
in the end .... humans have to do the work

and you can over-clock them for 12 months .... 18 months ..... tough bastards 24 months
then your spreadsheet logic isn't worth the screen you are looking at ....

I lived in the real world .... not spreadsheets and pseudo-logic ....
your comments betray your true lack of experience ....

https://tass.ru/ekonomika/14294987
UAC has put into production 20 Tu-214, says the Head of the UAC Slyusar.

Let me remind you that so far the Tu-204/214 has produced 86 units until today.

UAC launches production of 20 Tu-214 aircraft

United Aircraft Corporation (UAC) has launched production of 20 long-haul narrow-body Tu-214 aircraft, which should replace foreign Boeing and Airbus, said the head of the corporation Yuri Slyusar on the sidelines of the forum-exhibition "Goszakaz".

"In the near future, we should increase (serial production). We have already put into production 20 Tu-214 aircraft, " TASS quoted Slyusar as saying.

According to the official representative of the UAC, this is the production program for the production of Tu-214 for the next few years.

According to Slyusar, UAC plans to increase the production rate of long-haul Il-96 aircraft.

"We plan to increase the serial number [of IL-96], there is interest from companies," he said.

Earlier, Russia decided to consider the feasibility of increasing the production of Il-96 and Tu-214 aircraft.

Recall that on March 14, the president signed the law on measures to support civil aviation, which makes it possible to register the rights to foreign aircraft leased from Russian companies, the document is published on the official portal of legal information.

source:
https://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/146318/
https://vz.ru/news/2022/4/6/1152346.html

Scorpius wrote:https://tass.ru/ekonomika/14294987
UAC has put into production 20 Tu-214, says the Head of the UAC Slyusar

Beat me by a minute my friend!

Good news.
A sensible decision to do this, as production ramp up to worthwhile numbers of a fully Russian Mc-21 is still a couple of years away.

wilhelm wrote:Good news.
A sensible decision to do this, as production ramp up to worthwhile numbers of a fully Russian Mc-21 is still a couple of years away.

Also it helps getting work for those two plants (Kazan for the Tu-214 and VASO (Voronezh) for the Il96) and they will be forced to employ and train additional people and ideally to invest more on the plants themselves.

20 tu214 in how many years? 5 aircraft per year?

In addition there should be a few tu 204parked in Russia (I believe 9  of them at Red Wings airline) and at least 7 available in the fleet of Rossiya (3 tu204-300 and 4 Tu214. (they also have another 9 tu214 but in special modification for the presidential administration or the government).
That means that up to 16 tu204/214 could be already used for passenger transportation in the next few months (after maintenance checks or course).

Also there are 5 Tu-204-120  stored in Egypt, former property of Cairo aviation. They are a modification of the Tu 204-100/200 , equipped with Western avionics and British engines Rolls-Royce RB211-535E4 (2 × 19500 kgf)). 4 of them should be in decent condition. If Russia could acquire them they could be overhauled and retrofitted with russian engines and avionics. (Of course at a different aircraft plant than those already involved with the restarted production).


By the way, Wikipedia says that in 2013 VASO had about 5800 employees. Does anyone know the situation now?

very impressive pseudo-logic Garry
but it comes down to people in the end .... and they are only human

no matter how much you play with your spreadsheets
in the end .... humans have to do the work

What are you talking about?

They have factories that build aircraft and they have design bureaus that create the designs and monitor them in service to make sure their designs work.... sometimes they tweek the design to get it working as needed.

They have factories making planes but what planes?

Their civilian aircraft making factories have been starved of business because Russian airlines mostly lease western aircraft from Airbus and Boeing and the main sales of domestic Russian airliners has been from airline who can't buy western aircraft like Cuba etc etc.

The current situation for the civilian airlines in Russia is that they need to transition as fast as they can to Russian aircraft, which is fantastic for Russian companies, but the transition can't be instant because the necessary production capacity does not exist to instantly make the numbers of aircraft needed.

Russia needs to plan for the future and was in the process of putting two new airliner types into serial production and already had the older Tu-204 in low rate serial production and the Tu-214 in production for the Russian military for various jobs... in two different factories. Ths means they can increase production tempo in both factories without making that many changes at all because the tempo before was not dictated by their capacity to make planes quickly, it was a slow production to make a few planes a year to meet the old needs of a few customers.

Ramping up production should be rather easy, but because they will now be using these aircraft building another couple of factories makes sense because they also need a replacement for the An-12 and the Tu-330 is based on this airliner from Tupolev so once production of the two brand new aircraft hits a peak and can better meet the needs of the civilian airlines then any extra Tupolev factories can change to produce transport planes instead to replace the An-12 which urgently needs replacement.

Equally Il-476 production factories could be built as the same factories could also make Il-276s to replace An-12s as well, and once Russian needs are met then export of both types will probably be quite profitable too.

For civilian needs the Il-96 would also be a useful aircraft because flight distances to Africa and Asia from European Russia and indeed central and south america are long range flights.

Now there is a need for Russian civilian airliner and cargo types they can ramp up production capacity... especially as the Russian military has quite a few obsolete types it needs to replace now too...

An-2, An-24/5/6 and An-32 types, as well as large numbers of An-12s, and any An-22s still in use or storage as well as An-124... plus of course any old Tu-62s, Tu-134s, Yak-40s, Il-20s and Il-22s, and Il-38s.

Not just in Russian military and civil use but also around the world too.

Russia is preparing to fly only on domestic aircraft, by Olga Samofalova for VZGLYAD, 07.04.2022.

Russia has named the planes on which the Russians will fly after the resource of foreign Boeings and Airbuses is exhausted. In addition to the Sukhoi Superjet-100, these will be long-haul Tu-214 and Il-96. Why were these particular aircraft chosen, will Russia be able to produce them, and why have they been of no interest to Russian airlines so far?

The United Aircraft Corporation (UAC) will produce 20 Tu-214 passenger aircraft and will increase the pace of production of long-haul Il-96 and military transport Il-76. This was told by the head of the KLA Yuri Slyusar.

Interest in the urgent resumption of mass production of passenger Tu-214 and Il-96 appeared due to Western sanctions. The EU banned the leasing and supply of aircraft and engines to Russia and demanded the return of even those aircraft that are now operated by Russian airlines and pay lease payments. The owners of such machines are foreign lessors. The EU has also banned insurance for Russian aircraft. Boeing and Airbus stopped servicing aircraft of Russian airlines and banned the supply of spare parts to them.

According to the Ministry of Transport, foreign lessors demanded that Russian companies return 500 aircraft with a residual value of $20 billion. Russia did not begin to return foreign cars, especially since this is technically impossible to do because of the mutual closure of the sky between the EU and Russia. However, Russian airlines have faced arrests of foreign aircraft at foreign airports at the request of European lessors. According to the Ministry of Transport, Russia "lost" 78 aircraft in this way.

Moscow is gradually solving the problems that have arisen. Firstly, foreign cars began to be re-registered in the Russian register. Secondly, the government allowed airlines to pay lessors in rubles, because without flights abroad and the absence of foreign exchange earnings, it is difficult to make payments in another currency.

Foreign planes now fly mainly on domestic routes. 148 domestic Sukhoi Superjet-100s plus another 45 foreign aircraft, which are the property of Russian airlines and are registered with Rosreestr, were “thrown” on international flights. In total, a fleet of 193 aircraft was formed for flights abroad. From April 9, Russia will resume flights with 52 friendly countries. In particular, restrictions on charter flights introduced earlier due to the spread of coronavirus to Venezuela, Hong Kong, Kenya, Ethiopia and a number of other states will be lifted.

How long Russia can use the rest of the foreign aircraft on lease, even on domestic flights, is not entirely clear. It depends on whether the airlines find all the necessary spare parts for aircraft repairs.

In any case, Russia is clearly preparing for the fact that soon Russian airlines will need a fleet consisting not of Boeings and Airbuses, but of domestically produced aircraft.

If we have a regional machine - SSJ-100 - we have not yet managed to launch a domestic replacement for long-haul Boeings and Airbuses - the MS-21 aircraft. This aircraft promises to outperform foreign competitors in terms of performance and comfort. But it can only be put into production in 2024, according to official statements. And this is provided that the manufacturer manages to import all that is necessary. Although the MS-21 was originally created with a minimum share of imports, unlike, for example, the SSJ-100.

Under such conditions, Russia has no other choice but to turn its attention to technically obsolete domestic liners with the PS-90A engine - the long-haul narrow-body Tu-214 and the wide-body Il-96, designed back in the 1980s.

It is curious that in 2014 the Il-96 was finally withdrawn from the Aeroflot fleet, but in 2022-2023, most likely, it will become desirable for many Russian carriers.

Why did Russia abandon domestic liners in favor of foreign cars? It's all about economic feasibility.

“Earlier, our aircraft competed with foreign cars that had slightly better flight performance and a more attractive price, as they came to us from the secondary market. However, now the situation is radically different. Aircraft of domestic origin have no alternative if we are talking about flights not “today”, but “tomorrow”. Therefore, any shortcomings that affect the economy, but do not affect flight safety, can be forgiven for them," says the head of "Airport" Oleg Panteleev.

The expert compares Tu-214 and MS-21. “The Tu-214 is 30 tons heavier, has worse aerodynamics, a cabin with three rather than two crew members, and a lower degree of automation of routine crew procedures. It is less comfortable for passengers and has a higher cost per flight hour and is generally more expensive to operate than the MS-21. But the main advantage of the Tu-214 today is that the first aircraft may appear with the airlines earlier than the fully imported MS-21, and it can fly from Moscow to Khabarovsk,” says Panteleev.

The Russian aircraft industry cannot boast of producing 300-600 aircraft per year, like Boeing or Airbus. The number of aircraft produced in Russia against this background is simply lost. In 2019, Russian factories produced six aircraft, in 2020 - 12, and in 2021 (for nine months) - 14 SSJ-100 aircraft.

“However, in previous years, the production of Tu-214 and Il-96 was limited to a greater extent by demand than by production capabilities along the entire chain from component manufacturers to final assembly and testing,” says the aviation expert. Airlines were not interested in these aircraft, which were losing economic competition with foreign cars.

Although there is a precedent when the Ilyushin Finance leasing company ordered the production of the Tu-204 in the interests of the Red Wings airline. In 2007-2008, we managed to reach the production of one aircraft per month, or 10-12 aircraft per year.

“This, of course, is also not too much against the background of the capabilities of our foreign competitors, but it speaks of the possibility of reaching the same production rates as the Tu-214 in Kazan. The components of the Tu-204 and Tu-214 are overwhelmingly identical. Cooperation should allow reaching the required production volumes. Although we cannot now assess the state of all suppliers of components along the entire chain. We hope that they have not lost their competence, but only increased it,” says Oleg Panteleev.

As for the Il-96, the state took over it long before February 2022 - even after the first Western sanctions in 2014-2015.

Back in 2017, the Cabinet of Ministers allocated more than 53 billion rubles for the construction of one prototype vehicle in an updated form with modern on-board and navigation equipment. The customers included the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation. The issue is handled by the Voronezh Joint-Stock Aircraft Building Company (VASO). Apparently, the IL-96 was a safety option in case the West refused to supply us with its equipment, and now Russia intends to use it. In July 2021, Deputy Prime Minister Yuri Borisov said that the production of the new Il-96 was completed, and three more machines were in production in Voronezh. According to him, VASO is provided with orders for 10 years in advance in the interests of the special flight squad "Russia".

“VASO's capabilities are enough to make more than two aircraft a year. There are no critical bottlenecks in the IL-96 program. I think that within two or three years it will be possible to increase the production of liners up to four per year. It will be necessary to hire an additional number of production workers,” Panteleev said.

He points out that in order to build a large number of aircraft, it is necessary to conclude contracts for metal, engines, airborne equipment, the production cycle of which also takes time. In the past, the aircraft production cycle from ordering materials to handing over to customers required 12-14 months, perhaps the process can be accelerated. But the planes that were put into production this year are likely to enter service no earlier than 2023. It is possible that three Il-96s, which were already being produced at VASO in July 2021, will be ready for operation in the sky earlier.

Both Tu-214 and Il-96 can be used by Russian airlines both on domestic and international routes.

“So far we have enough foreign aircraft to fly domestically. But if the resources of foreign cars are exhausted to serve domestic routes, then most likely the main purpose of the Tu-214 and Il-96 will be to replace foreign cars on domestic lines and to ensure the connectivity of Russian regions, ” says Panteleev.

As for the Il-76, it is a heavy military transport aircraft, which is produced in Ulyanovsk at Aviastar. A special production line was created for its serial production, which speeds up the assembly of aircraft. The first aircraft on this line has already been assembled. Its capacity is designed to produce up to 18 aircraft per year. Last year, the task was to bring the collection to 10 aircraft per year.

“The main investments in the expansion of production were made earlier. Nothing prevents Aviastar from producing more aircraft in terms of the plant’s capabilities,” the source concludes.

https://vz.ru/economy/2022/4/7/1152453.html

Update on the tender for SSJ-New. It seems they intend to be done with development and testing (I don't think they include the certification tests) in November of 2023.

https://aviation21.ru/podvedeny-itogi-tendera-po-programme-ispytanij-samolyota-ssj-new/

UAC launched production of 20 Tu-214 aircraft

Tu-214 aircraft will replace foreign Boeing and Airbus

MOSCOW, 6 April. /TASS/. The United Aircraft Corporation (UAC) has launched the production of 20 Tu-214 long-haul narrow-body aircraft, which are to replace foreign Boeing and Airbus. This was announced to TASS by the head of the corporation, Yuri Slyusar, on the sidelines of the Goszakaz forum-exhibition.

"In the near future we should increase (serialization - TASS note). We have already put into production 20 Tu-214 aircraft," he said.

As an official representative of the UAC specified to TASS, this is a production program for the production of Tu-214 for the next few years.

UAC plans to increase the production of long-range Il-96 aircraft due to interest from companies and increase the production of Il-76 transport aircraft, Slyusar said.

"[We now have] the shortest possible timeframe [to increase production]. We now need to increase the serial production of Tu-214, Il-96 and Il-76 aircraft," Slyusar added.

https://tass.ru/ekonomika/14294987

The usual "journalist" spin BS about the Tu-214 being some sort of horrible aircraft.  

1) Its aisle space is the norm and the MS-21 is not the minimum stanadard

2) Its wings have normal characteristics.   The USSR/Russia has always led the way with thin airfoil designs but some
journo c*nt is revising history.

I think journalists need to be certified like doctors.   Various hacks should not be licensed to work in this field.

kvs wrote:The usual "journalist" spin BS about the Tu-214 being some sort of horrible aircraft.  

1) Its aisle space is the norm and the MS-21 is not the minimum stanadard

2) Its wings have normal characteristics.   The USSR/Russia has always led the way with thin airfoil designs but some
journo c*nt is revising history.

I think journalists need to be certified like doctors.   Various hacks should not be licensed to work in this field.

Tu-204SM had already crew of 2 pilots. Me thinks that they expedite of updating avionics + add new engines and there is no worse airplane than A321/Boeing 757. Why this "expert" keeps whining? He prefers 1 Feldern Maus to 100 Is-2?


Zis-5 was good enough to drive Red Army to Berlin in 45

The Open Skies Tu-214. Those wings are hardly "inefficient". Their only "minus" is that they are not made out of composite materials.
When a journalist writes an article, by default it should be treated as a retard smearing shit on paper. Guilty until proven innocent and
never the other way around.

Kiko wrote:Russia is preparing to fly only on domestic aircraft, by Olga Samofalova for VZGLYAD, 07.04.2022.

...The Russian aircraft industry cannot boast of producing 300-600 aircraft per year, like Boeing or Airbus. The number of aircraft produced in Russia against this background is simply lost. In 2019, Russian factories produced six aircraft, in 2020 - 12, and in 2021 (for nine months) - 14 SSJ-100 aircraft...

is this "expert" comparing the production of ONE model of aircraft in Russia with the total production in the USA or Europe? If there is an urgent need in Russia, it is possible to produce up to 70-80 passenger aircraft. The main problem and bottleneck is the production of sufficient quantities of engines and avionics.

GunshipDemocracy wrote:

kvs wrote:The usual "journalist" spin BS about the Tu-214 being some sort of horrible aircraft.  

1) Its aisle space is the norm and the MS-21 is not the minimum stanadard

2) Its wings have normal characteristics.   The USSR/Russia has always led the way with thin airfoil designs but some
journo c*nt is revising history.

I think journalists need to be certified like doctors.   Various hacks should not be licensed to work in this field.

Tu-204SM had already crew of 2 pilots. Me thinks that they expedite of  updating avionics + add new engines and there is no worse airplane than A321/Boeing 757. Why this "expert"  keeps whining? He prefers 1 Feldern Maus to 100 Is-2?


Zis-5 was good enough to drive Red Army to Berlin  in 45

Exactly, furthermore they cannot compare its weight to the  smaller Boeing 737-800 (length 36.8 meters) or airbus A320 (length 37.4 meters).
The Tu214 (length 46 meters) is in similar size to the Boeing 757-200 (47 meters) and a bit bigger than the Airbus A321 (44 m) Probably it offers a bit less max passengers in one class configuration than the a 321 because the internal cabin space is less optimized, e.g. less packed, but in case of necessity it is quite easy to change the cabin configuration.

Yes it is heavier than aircrafts built with more composite percentage (about 20% heavier then the airbus a321)
(Max takeoff weight is 111tons Vs the 93 tons of the a321) (while the 757-200 is has a 114 tons MTOW). But possibly a metal aircraft could be advantageous for artic operations. Also metal aircrafts are much easier to repair, so they could be more apt for rugged environment, such as in some African countries.

Concerning cabin width, yes it is smaller than the one of the MC-21 and A320 but  practically the same (actually 1 cm wider) than the Boeing 737 and 757 cabin.

And finally, yes as I said before the Tu-204SM solved most of the issues with old avionics and presence of flight engineer, but unfortunately with use of Western components. It could be worth to do later a retrofit with modern avionics (e.g. similar to those for the mc21) and additional upgrades but for the moment it would be probably better to produce aircrafts to the existing standard, to avoid having to wait additional time for component availability and recertification.

The retrofit could be probably done later, if needed, including also new PD16 engines.

For the moment having an additional flight engineer in the crew would not be a big problem.

A good compromise could be to start with the recertification process for the new avionics and components while they start producing maybe the first dozen aircrafts to the existing standard.

The MS-21 will certainly not be completely converted to Russian before 2025/2026. This is not an option currently. An MS-21-400 should re designed. Counterpart to the A321XLR. Range 9000km with PD-14 block II or PD-18 gearbox.

Only SSJRU95 are currently possible with PD-8 from about 2024. Until then, the existing aircraft park.
Here the production rate one should be per month from 2025.

This is the TU-214 in production, but about 1 to 3. However, in individual construction and not on a production line. You would certainly be 9 to 12 per year optional.

It has fly-by-wire, 2 man cockpit and is more modern like a 757. Only the PS90A engines remained in the development in 1993. These are extremely reliable, see Gasprom and deliver very good thrust. The consumption is at 757 levels. So 25% more than one A321LR consumed. But is currently subordinated.

The factor is the range of about 7000 km. Very good for Russia suitable and others.

I go so far that a revision of TU-214 is faster than a MS-21-400 russia version.

2022 = PS-90A-76 / PS-90A2 with 160KN thrust and all Russian parts. Especially the lower maintenance and ETOPS 180 is the key.

2025 = PD-14 with 160KN / PD-18 with 180KN thrust

2028 = possibly also a composite wing like MS-21.
Sobags a Russian Neo version.
The saving of around 15 to 20T would be a very good performance. This would be even more range possible and of course significantly lower costs.
A backup for the MS-21 would be very important if the MS-21 can not be completely Russian.
Such a TU-214 would have a potential range of 8500km.

It seems that UAC already had aircraft for the navy in planning. The 20 aviators for the next 4 years have been a sign before the demand that something happens here. These are probably now foreseen the civilian users. A production rate of 8 civil per year and 4 for the military would be safe from 2023.

By 2030 this would be 68 TU-214 civil and 32 for the military at 12 per year.

UAC named the date of the first flight of the SSJ100 with Russian PD-8 engines

The head of UAC Slyusar: the first flight of the Superjet with Russian PD-8 engines is scheduled for the first quarter of 2023


"The first flight is the first quarter of next year. ... In 2023, there will be intensive tests of the Superjet aircraft with the new PD-8 engine," RIA Novosti quotes a fragment of Slyusar's statement on the Rossiya 24 TV channel.

https://radiosputnik.ria.ru/20220408/polet-1782475273.html

Mig-31BM2 Super Irbis-E wrote:The MS-21 will certainly not be completely converted to Russian before 2025/2026. This is not an option currently. An MS-21-400 should re designed. Counterpart to the A321XLR. Range 9000km with PD-14 block II or PD-18 gearbox.

Only SSJRU95 are currently possible with PD-8 from about 2024. Until then, the existing aircraft park.
Here the production rate one should be per month from 2025.

This is the TU-214 in production, but about 1 to 3. However, in individual construction and not on a production line. You would certainly be 9 to 12 per year optional.

It has fly-by-wire, 2 man cockpit and is more modern like a 757. Only the PS90A engines remained in the development in 1993. These are extremely reliable, see Gasprom and deliver very good thrust. The consumption is at 757 levels. So 25% more than one A321LR consumed. But is currently subordinated.

The factor is the range of about 7000 km. Very good for Russia suitable and others.

I go so far that a revision of TU-214 is faster than a MS-21-400 russia version.

2022 = PS-90A-76 / PS-90A2 with 160KN thrust and all Russian parts. Especially the lower maintenance and ETOPS 180 is the key.

2025 = PD-14 with 160KN / PD-18 with 180KN thrust

2028 = possibly also a composite wing like MS-21.
Sobags a Russian Neo version.
The saving of around 15 to 20T would be a very good performance. This would be even more range possible and of course significantly lower costs.
A backup for the MS-21 would be very important if the MS-21 can not be completely Russian.
Such a TU-214 would have a potential range of 8500km.

It seems that UAC already had aircraft for the navy in planning. The 20 aviators for the next 4 years have been a sign before the demand that something happens here. These are probably now foreseen the civilian users. A production rate of 8 civil per year and 4 for the military would be safe from 2023.

By 2030 this would be 68 TU-214 civil and 32 for the military at 12 per year.

There was already on the plan an extra long range version of the MC21-400. That does not mean it will replace all MC-21-400, like not all A321 are in the long range or extra long range versions.
A revision of the Tu-214 needs time and partial recertification. It will not be ready before the fully russianized MC-21 will have been already recertified.
The fully russian hydraulic, pneumatic, avionics, navigation, environmental systems for the MC21 (and for the SSJ100) have been already in development for several years and according to the what was already declared should be certified and available for serial production before 2024.
Modern systems for the Tu-214 can be based on those as well, but for the first two years Russia should be concentrating on the existing version of the aircraft.

There is no need for a composite wing for the Tu-214. It is convenient that at least for the wings and the fuselage it is completely independent from the MC21 supply chain.
If they want a lighter aircraft than the Tu-214 after 2028 they would just increase the production rate of the MC21.

The simple facts are that while aircraft they have produced in the past have not had as much money spent upgrading them like western aircraft have so they are metal and slightly heavier and their engines are not as fuel efficient... all this does not matter because going forward there is no alternative.

The existing designs put into production, improvements and upgrades can be set in motion, new engines can be prepared and added to boost performance, and new designs that were approaching serial production can be tweaked to be fully Russian and they can go into production too.

Previous plans and expectations are null and void and new plans are being put into effect to boost domestic production capacity and volume... producing as many different types to start off with will provide more options to the airlines and military... as pointed out composites might not like extreme cold or just not being able to fix them easily might become a problem so the metal aircraft get produced too because in some roles and some routes they are better.

The An-2 has been replaced lots of times but remains in use because the engine is solid and easy to keep operational, the performance is amazing in short strips and austere areas of the country, and its simple construction means repairs are cheap and simple and can be done out in the field.

Replacment aircraft have failed because they lacked simplicity or robustness or they cost too much or simply couldn't get the job done.

They are in the process of replacing the aircraft with two aircraft.

Saving a few kgs in weight with composites does not help much if something breaks and can't be fixed where it is because you can't wield composites.

This is a rebirth of the Russian civilian aircraft industry.

Indeed.
People forget that the Boeing 737 is still in production 55 years after its first flight.
It has been continuously refined and redesigned since 1967, but there are still sub-assemblies In the latest models that are as they were on the original models.

The break up of the USSR prevented many Russian airliners from benefitting from similar work.

The first production Tu-204/214 should be stock models, as it's better to get the airframes in service.
Improvements can come later, and some of those improvements, such as a PD series engine, can be retrofitted later.

I think the PD-16/18 should be an easy derivative of the PD-14. Certification is supposed to take six years but that sounds
excessive to me.

https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/air-transport/2019-08-19/aviadvigatel-mulls-higher-thrust-pd-14s-replace-ps-90a

Other aspects come in to play as well... trips to EU and HATO countries might stop being possible or necessary, while longer trips to further away places might become the norm, so more powerful engines to allow higher operating weights with more fuel for extra flight range might become normal and should suit a country like Russia where great distances are possible even with internal flights..

The fact that foreign components were used in Russian airliners does not mean Russian equivalents don't already exist, they might have used foreign parts because the customer already uses them on other aircraft and don't want to retrain their crew and support people to work with different equipment.

It might also be that the foreign components are required for operating in western airspace for some reason... they can be sneaky like that.

The point is that a lot of the Russian stuff they might need to convert to might already exist and just need to be put into serial production, with investment and funding leading to improvements in performance further down the track.

As I said, excluding Airbus and Boeing will be a huge boost for the Russian civilian aircraft industry in the same way that using western sanctions over the Ukraine allowed them to ban food imports from the EU to revitalise the Russian food production industry without breaking WTO rules.

Yet again the west has created real competition for itself... and with new engines they will be very competitive... the west is really going to have to swing the sanctions bribes and threats stick to keep selling Airbuses and Boeings to the rest of the world... I am sure that will make them popular.