More like the Soviet collapse and border revisions were terrible after disintegration which has allowed the Americans to go in and bitchslap Russia on its own historical territories for influence.
You mean like the US did to Britain in Australia and Canada and to a lessor extent New Zealand.... and is trying now in India...
Yeah, that is more a reflection of the US than anything else really... a very destructive country... they managed to break the Ukraine... congrats.
Do you think Russia should go in there and save them?
Ukraine is not children, it is a country and responsible for its actions and decisions... right now it is dealing with some rather tough consequences of its choice to join a new gang... which is especially amusing because neither gang they want to join will accept them in their current state.
In the case of "Ukraine", barring a full scale invasion Russia has no feasible way of flipping the state back to its fold. Russia simply can't out bribe nor outmaneuver through soft power the empire and its lackies. Not even on its own historical territories.
Even if it doesn't learn in two or three elections the current course cannot be sustained forever... it is not Russia that needs to change policy in this situation... it is Kiev that is going under and will soon be stealing gas.
Of course if we were talking pre-1917 the empire would already be considered to be deep in Russian territory, fucking over Russian citizens and Putin hanged for being a fool, twice.
Russian citizens brainwashed into believing they are Ukrainian or whatever they think they are. Europeans went to America and suddenly became Americans too... the transformation is not rare or unique and happens all the time... their trouble is that often the locals don't accept you straight away so in your new country you are considered a foreigner but you don't want to go back home because you are already different.
The massive economic costs the West threatens to impose sends chills down the spine of every Russian chickenhawk and oligarch there is.
All the obvious sanctions have been used... the only ones left can't be used because they will backfire... if you kick Russia out of SWIFT how will the EU pay for Russian Gas? How will America pay for Russian oil and Titanium? Russia wont be handing out stuff for free, which means every country and company that wants to do business with Russia will need to join their money transaction system which means the money will be transfered but it will be Russia in control of the transfer company and making the money on the transactions, and it will be SWIFT that loses that business.
That's why there is talk of so much "wise" restraint. Give me a fucking break. It's plain fear of the consequences, nothing more, nothing less. No amount of third rate spin is gonna change that.
Knee jerk irrational responses got US troops in Iraq and Afghanistan over 11/9, but it is OK because that was 20 plus years of war money well spent right?
I understand the Nazi streak within the US... you kill one American soldier and we will bomb and attack and kill 100 of yours... even if it later turns out you didn't do anything... but no body hears about that till much later and often due to whistle blowers, which are just people with a conscience ironically... but it is the whistle blowers that are put in jail and the criminals walk free...
Russia should stop providing gas to Ukraine. Now, not later but now. It was a big mistake to prolong the contract in 2019.
Take away Ukraine's ability to provide heat and electricity to their citizens.
This would push Ukraine into internal chaos and limit its ability to wage a war against Donbass.
The gas is paid for and the contract is in place. Russia makes money on those contracts... plus it is not a very nice thing to do to the people of the Ukraine.
Zelensky was elected on the promise of solving the situation by talking to the rebels, which he simply has not done or even properly attempted to do, so the problem is him. Now whether he chooses not to do it or can't do it because he will be removed in a coup if he tries... or just murdered like Kashogi in a Saudi embassy in Turkey... is a question that needs answering, but cutting off heat to a population in winter is drastic and will just make Russia the perceived enemy in that country instead of their real enemies.
Kornet does the same job as Javelin at a fraction of the cost. Yet U.K is delivering uber expensive Javelins to Ukraine.
Kornet reaches to almost 6 times the range of this missile and is supersonic, but this British weapon is rather cheaper than Javelins which are more like 2-300K each.
If Putin and cadre's crystal ball was so great you wouldn't have lost Ukraine to a soft coup and made subsequent blunder after blunder thereafter.... just like Russia wouldn't have made the mistakes that have allowed NATO expansion eastward etc...
Russia lost the Ukraine in the early 1990s, and how was Russia supposed to stop HATO expansion?
Just like the U.S can't predict the full extent of the fallout of a full Ukranian invasion (to retake most of Ukrainian territory) so can't Russia game the full extent of the consequences of such an act, on the economic sphere, military sphere etc.
You don't need to accurately predict what will actually happen... you just need to work out what likely and unlikely things could happen and then make plans based on what you should do in response.
The troops Russia has near the border of the Ukraine are obviously there in case Kiev does something stupid... they will be there and ready to act very very quickly.
The western sources claiming they are an invasion force are ignoring that Kiev also has its forces forward deployed in an invasion posture, which has prompted the Russians to respond, because it supports their claim of an invasion force if you ignore the posture of Kievs forces that they responded to.
It's easier however to predict outcomes for a smaller operation (Georgia 2.0 OP), thus why the Kremlin scribes propagandize it to the sheep and why the West will be perfectly fine with it (it ensures a status quo that benefits their chessboard move on Ukraine). The only loser will continue to be Russia cause it doesn't solve the problem - it's just kicking the can down the road.
If the Donbass region gets autonomy and asks for Russian peace keepers for its territory to deter artillery attacks from Kievs forces, and Kiev does not do anything stupid like the tie eater did then Russia will probably be happy with that, and the Donbass people will be overjoyed at finally having peace so they can start working and fix things and make things better for themselves... the only losers will be Kiev because their economy is what it is and all the millions of dollars in donations they have been getting recently have been weapons, and of course the west will be upset at not creating more problems for Moscow...
As for the ultimatum, if you ask Putin and Russian diplomats it's anything but an ultimatum.
It is an ultimatum with no threat of force.... it is basically if you want to work together and be partners then you have to recognise our security concerns and our interests, but if you don't or can't then we really have nothing more to discuss with you and we are going to look elsewhere for trade and partnerships.
The question mark is still: "What is Russia gonna do about it after getting that response". Even more consultations on the agenda - surprise surprise. "We won't allow the U.S to drag this out...".... I'm pretty sure you will.
The west thinks it is the only game in town, but Putin clearly realises there are other places Russia can look for partnerships and trade... central and south America, Africa, and Asia are regions full of countries wanting trade relations... it is time to push BRICS and expand it with a few more letters too.
As for Syria, another crystal ball malfunction. A pyrrhic victory (if you can call it that), a frozen conflict with almost 2/3s of Syrian territory outside Damascus control. As much of a failure as it was a success.
Syria was an immense failure for the US... they wanted to invade Iraq and destabilise Syria so they could pump gas from the middle east to Turkey in direct competition with Russian gas... and they failed. The US couldn't give a shit about the Kurds, other than their use against Assad and potentially Iran and they screwed up.
It is only a matter of time before the US loses interest and either the kurds try to make a deal or get crushed.
Ask the Afghans.
U.S. Sanctions Officials Accused Of Preparing To Take Over Ukraine’s Government On Russia's Behalf
Ohhh please... paranoid Kiev regime sees enemies under every bed and lashes out. Any member of the current regime that is realising the west is just pushing for conflict against Russia.... ie a war Ukraine cannot possibly win... will realise their best chance is just dropping this pro west bullshit and trying to get better relations with Russia... because the EU and HATO wont take them any time soon.
culminating with the stupid, massive blunder of recognizing the Kiev regime and legitimizing a coup - much less punish, in any form, those responsible (except nobodies).
It is not Russias fight. Ukraine is not their problem... unless they start massacring their own citizens right on a Russian border, in which case Russia will take steps to stop Kiev.
Look how much they hate him, he's doing something right" "He eats his western counterparts for breakfast" "Best statesman of the 21st century".... when you eat that shit up hook, line and sinker it's hard to come back to reality.
Russia is in the best shape it has ever been, its military has equipment on par with or better than anything in the west with only a few exceptions, and financially it has plenty of reserves and is balancing its budget and not over spending on said military.
The Ukraine is fucked, but that is hardly Putins problem... that is like blaming the US president for the state of the Mexican economy... or the Canadian economy.
Russia did not "lose" Ukraine. Ukraine lost itself.
Ukraine is a gall stone and Russia is better off without it.
Javelin sucks of course. Regardless of how many Javelins UK ships to Ukraine, APS on T-90 will intercept them.
The Donbass does not have T-90s.
Shtora eyes thing work only against some atgm, the ones that have noze mounted guidance. Most societ made atgm that ukraine has have back facing or wire guidances.
No. SHTORA... the dazzlers part, works against wire guided missiles... the smoke launchers work against the missiles with nose mounted IIR and EO sensors.
Javelin is a fire and forget missile with a passive thermal imaging seeker while NLAW is an inertial guidance with terminal proximity fuzing.
Terminal proximity fusing is not a guidance method...
Doesn't really matter though. Closing in with the tanks leading the charge is but one of the available tactics in the Russian repertoir.
A defensive war in an urban environment, they could hide their armour and just use artillery and squads of men armed with SVDs, PKMs, and anti armour weapons like RPG and METIS to kill armour and any infantry that get out of the armour...
Drones and artillery could do enormous damage to Kievs troops... their air defence stuff is old Soviet and not particularly suited to drones.
And NLAW is not a guided munition to be precise. It uses a PLOS principle, that is the predicted line of sight.
An operator needs to follow a moving target for "a few" seconds, after that an aiming point is updated.
So it has an autogyro and has an attack lead flightpath... not really comparable to Javelin then...
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Sounds like the propaganda wing of India's political parties (and of late celebrities) on social media - Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, YT etc. Every 2nd person from India on SM (90% are fake profiles) belongs to these propaganda wing ( called IT cell) whose job is to be the useful idiots of their party bosses. And much like the weapons being supplied to Ukraine these fellows too are of little value in the battlefield called elections.
