04/11/2022
RUSSTRAT
CBO: The hunt for Ukrainian fuel depots and Western advisers continues
Increased missile strikes against specific targets and countering attempts to establish an air bridge from Mariupol
MOSCOW, April 7, 2022, RUSSTRAT Institute. The specifics of the missile strikes of the last three days on the military infrastructure of Ukraine leave no doubts about the preparation of active actions by the RF Armed Forces and the republican armies of Donbass against the largest Ukrainian grouping, which continues to occupy the most fortified territory between Donetsk-Gulyaipole-Slavyansk-Lysichansk in 8 years of the conflict. In addition, attention is drawn to the stubborn, despite the loss of helicopters, attempts by the Ukrainian forces to organize the evacuation of certain important persons from the besieged Mariupol.
As has been noted more than once, the main advantage of the Russian forces attacking the vastly outnumbered Ukrainian army is the ability to maneuver and strike deep behind enemy lines. Accordingly, in order to achieve the desired effect, it is necessary to deprive the enemy of the advantage by counterposing his own tools of the same kind.
On the morning of April 6,missiles from the air and land immediately destroyed five fuel and lubricant bases in the area of Ukrainian Radekhov, Kazatin, Prosyanoy, Nikolaev and Novomoskovsk. As emphasized in the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, fuel was supplied from these facilities to the Ukrainian group in the region of Kharkov, Nikolaev and in the Donbass.
In the evening, near Kharkov, another fuel base was destroyed in the Chuguev area, which also supplied fuel to the Ukrainian group. Along the way, at the Lozovaya railway station in the Kharkiv region, an accumulation of foreign-made military equipment and weapons was destroyed.
In combination with other strikes that took place earlier - on tanks with fuel in the area of Odessa, Kyiv, Dnepropetrovsk and other cities, it is difficult to deny the presence of a clear intention to completely deprive the Ukrainian group of fuel.
The logical question is why this has not been done before? - has a fairly simple answer. The destruction of Ukrainian fuel reserves makes it impossible not only to maneuver the remaining mechanized units and military equipment in Ukraine, but also creates risks for the sowing campaign, which must begin no later than in a couple of weeks.
“Given Kyiv’s disinterest in saving the lives of its servicemen, Mariupol will be liberated from nationalists by units of the Russian Armed Forces and the Donetsk People’s Republic,” Major General Konashenkov commented on the situation.
Another event is connected with Mariupol, which may indicate a reduction in the interest of the Ministry of Defense in the peaceful resolution of difficult situations during a special military operation.
On the evening of April 5, the Ministry of Defense officially confirmed a new attempt to evacuate the leadership of the Azov National Battalion from Mariupol using two Mi-8 helicopters, both of which were shot down. The previous flight to Mariupol took place a week earlier and ended in a similar way.
The persistence of the Kiev regime’s attempts to evacuate certain valuable persons from Mariupol, regardless of losses, allows us to make a variety of assumptions – for example, about the presence of military advisers from NATO countries in the city, whose confirmed detection can give Russia certain trump cards in the international dialogue. Especially if NATO representatives caught red-handed comment on the reasons for their presence in Mariupol and in Ukraine in general.
However, it may turn out that even the discovery of a whole NATO headquarters with generals in Mariupol will not have a serious impact on the information picture, with the exception of the use of NATO officers for exchange, for example, for pilots Bout and Yaroshenko.
EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Josep Borrell, in an interview on April 5 with COPE radio, actually admitted that in Ukraine Russia is opposed to all of NATO. Borrell's statement that the countries of the European Union will continue to supply weapons to Ukraine because they "don't want it to lose" because "wars are won by weapons and the economic weakening of the enemy" is difficult to understand otherwise.
In such a situation, to show one-sided humanism towards Western instructors, advisers and mercenaries fighting on the side of Ukraine would be excessive gentlemanly on the part of Russia. Moreover, the official recognition of the European bureaucrats in an open economic war against Russia also removes all moral restrictions on symmetrical measures on the part of Moscow.
Kiev will certainly need weapons. In total, since the beginning of the special military operation, 125 Ukrainian aircraft, 93 helicopters, 408 unmanned aerial vehicles, 227 anti-aircraft missile systems, 1987 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 216 multiple rocket launchers, 862 field artillery and mortars, as well as 1888 units of special military vehicles.
It is interesting to note another “Bayraktar TB-2” destroyed in the Taranovka region of the Kharkov region. Since the drones of this type originally available to Ukraine were destroyed in early April, we can talk about at least one more delivery from Turkey.
The likelihood of a major battle, the task of which will be the final cleansing of Mariupol and the defeat of the Ukrainian group in the still occupied territory of Donbass, remains the maximum of all possible scenarios.
The course of this battle will largely depend on how Ukrainian depots, fuel supplies and command posts are affected. Therefore, we should expect a further increase in missile strikes and the work of the Russian Aerospace Forces.
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