Russian special military operation in Ukraine #55

Wonder why Moldovia not Norway.

Zelensky confirmed the appointment of Danilov as Ambassador of Ukraine to Moldova.

Earlier, the new position of the former head of the National Security and Defense Council was announced by People's Deputy Goncharenko, who had previously stated that Danilov would go to Norway to do diplomacy.

@ukr_leaks_eng

Read the comments in this thread, especially the trailer for the Volyn massacre film. The Ukrainians have passed everyone else in the national arrogance and entitlement stakes.

https://twitter.com/djuric_zlatko/status/1773844853337510208

EDIT

Add to this the probable thousands of about to be stateless people

Ukrainians abroad will be able to get a new passport only after providing a military registration document.
This was announced by the MP of the Verkhovna Rada, Fyodor Venislavskyi.

@ukraine_watch

ALAMO wrote:
And it looks like the first operational use of land drones. Storming Berdychye.

A bit more on this

Regarding the published footage of the first use of ground assault drones by Russian forces during the assault on Berdychi, in the near future there will be more detailed materials about the first full-fledged attack by ground drones.

The drones shown in the video showed themselves very well, helping to push through enemy defenses in the village.

Application videos from developers and manufacturers will be available tomorrow. - ISZ reports

More on this that I linked to yesterday, must have been an important target.

Russia used the ODAB-1500 heavy air bomb in Ukraine for the first time

The Russian Armed Forces used such a warhead to attack infrastructure in the Sumy region. According to BILD open data analysis expert Julian Röpcke, after the ODAB-1500 strike, a cloud of smoke 1 km high rose in the sky.

A volumetric detonating aircraft bomb (ODAB) is a thermobaric projectile from the times of the USSR, which approximately 10 meters before hitting the target releases a flammable liquid in the form of an aerosol and ignites it. This is called a volumetric explosion. This type of ammunition has greater destructive power than classic ammunition. Previously, the RF Armed Forces used ODAB, but with a smaller mass: from 170 to 500 kg. - Ostashko reports

Krivoy Rog Thermal Power Plant has left the chat.

According to our information, three waves of geranium attacks were observed in the area of ​​the thermal power plant. After this, a missile strike was launched, which landed exactly between turbogenerators No. 1 and No. 2. Most likely both generators failed. The thermal power plant is stopped.

A few of his old buddies important enough to be allowed to slip away to the West clutching their ill gotten gains.

Zelensky fired Sergei Shefir from the post of his first assistant. Shefir (pictured) was his business partner in "Kvartal 95".

Zelensky also removed several more of his advisers and commissioners.

@ukraine_watch

He puts it rather well.

Sony Thang
@nxt888
JEFFREY SACHS:

"You know very well—and I know very well—that there are people in the US government who know the truth.

Look at our CIA Director, William Burns. He was the ambassador to Russia in 2008.

He wrote a famous memo back to Washington from Moscow in 2008, explaining that expanding NATO to Ukraine would be absolutely against Russia's core national security concerns, as Russia has explained, across the political class.

This wasn't Putin; this wasn't a single individual. This was everybody.

That memo, by the way—as typical in the U.S.—would have been completely secret except Julian Assange leaked it. So, we get to read it, and the memo famously was called 'Nyet means nyet.' Don't do it.

Now, the man is CIA Director. Why doesn't he tell the American people truthfully?

Why doesn't he tell them, 'I was there. I saw it in 2008. I wrote this article. I explained it all; it's actually online. We should not be pushing this NATO business to the point of direct war,' which is exactly what we've done.

So, it is a mystery to me that the lies are so clear and yet, in my part of the world right now, there's no accountability for them at all."

"The accuracy of Russian missiles is amazing"

Followed by propaganda BS that before it were 100 or 200 metres.
When?
Back in the 50´s?

Unfortunately, it was not possible to shoot down all the missiles

No video shows any attempt of using AD systems.

and the range of the X-101, the missile will not lose effectiveness.

Maybe they made some changes to the engine or the autopilot or use higher energy fuel to
make up for the smaller tank.

Summary of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation on the progress of the special military operation (for the period from March 23 to March 30, 2024)

From March 23 to March 30, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation carried out one massive and 57 group strikes with high-precision long-range ground-based, sea-based, air-based weapons, including hypersonic Zircon missiles and Dagger aeroballistic missiles, as well as unmanned aerial vehicles against military facilities of Ukraine and their supporting infrastructure.

As a result of the strikes, enterprises of the military-industrial complex, decision-making centers of the armed forces and the SBU, workshops for the production of unmanned boats, arsenals, fuel bases, air defense facilities, energy, as well as temporary locations of special operations forces and foreign mercenaries. The targets of the strikes have been achieved. All assigned objects are hit.

In the Kupyansk direction, during the week, units of the "Western" grouping of troops, in cooperation with aviation and artillery, defeated the manpower and equipment of seven mechanized brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and four air defense brigades in the areas of the settlements of Ivanovka, Kharkiv region, Stelmakhovka and Chervonaya Dibrova of the Luhansk People's Republic.

11 counterattacks by assault groups of the 95th airborne Assault, 57th motorized Infantry, 30th, 32nd mechanized brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the 123rd Air Defense Brigade were reflected in the areas of the settlements of Sinkovka, Kharkiv region, Terny, Donetsk People's Republic and Serebryansky forestry.

The enemy's losses during the week amounted to 310 soldiers, two tanks, three armored combat vehicles and 22 vehicles.

Also, during the counter-battery struggle, 19 field artillery guns were hit, including three howitzers: M777 and M198 made in the USA, as well as a self-propelled artillery installation "Caesar" made in France.

In the Donetsk direction, as a result of the successful actions of the units of the "Southern" grouping of troops, the settlement of Krasnoe of the Donetsk People's Republic was liberated and the tactical position along the front edge was improved.

Formations of six assault, two airmobile, tank and nine mechanized brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were defeated in the areas of the settlements of Belogorovka of the Luhansk People's Republic, Kleshcheyevka, Kurdyumovka, Andreevka, Maksimilianovka, Novomikhailovka, Paraskovievka, Disputable and Chas Yar of the Donetsk People's Republic.

In addition, 12 counterattacks of the assault groups of the 67th mechanized and 80th airborne assault brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were repelled in the areas of the settlements of Bogdanovka and Krasnogorovka of the Donetsk People's Republic.

The enemy lost more than 2,360 soldiers, 5 tanks, 16 armored combat vehicles, 61 vehicles, as well as 23 field artillery pieces, 11 of which were made abroad.

In the Avdiivka direction, units of the Center group of troops actively continued to advance into the depth of the enemy's defense and occupy more advantageous lines.

Air strikes, artillery fire and heavy flamethrower systems defeated the manpower and equipment of eight AFU brigades, and also repelled 64 enemy counterattacks in the areas of the settlements of Semenovka, Orlovka, Novgorodskoye, Umanskoye, Netaylovo, Pervomaiske, Tonenkoe and Berdych of the Donetsk People's Republic.

During the week, the Ukrainian Armed Forces lost over 1,870 servicemen, 13 tanks, 20 armored combat vehicles and 50 vehicles in this area.

During the counter-battery struggle, 30 field artillery guns were hit, including five M777 howitzers made in the USA, the M109 Paladin self-propelled artillery unit made in the USA, the Panzerhaubitze 2000 self-propelled gun made in Germany, as well as the Grad MLRS combat vehicle.

In the South Donetsk direction, units of the Vostok group of forces improved the tactical position along the front edge, and also defeated formations of seven brigades of the armed forces and the National Guard of Ukraine in the areas of the settlements of Malinovka, Zaporizhia region, Urozhodnoye, Makarovka and Ugledar of the Donetsk People's Republic.

In addition, five counterattacks by assault groups of the 58th Motorized Infantry Brigade, 127th, 128th air defense brigades were reflected in the areas of the settlements of Staromayorskoye, Vodiane of the Donetsk People's Republic and Priyutnoye of the Zaporozhye region.

The enemy's losses amounted to more than 860 soldiers, 4 armored combat vehicles, 35 vehicles, 7 field artillery guns, including: two Polish-made Krab self-propelled artillery units and two British-made FH-70 howitzers.

In the Kherson direction, coordinated actions of units of the Dnepr group of forces defeated the manpower and equipment of the 128th mountain assault, 28th, 65th, 118th mechanized brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the 35th Marine Brigade and three defense brigades in the areas of the settlements of Rabocino, Novoselovka, Nesteryanka, Pyatikhatki of the Zaporozhye region, Ivanovka, Mikhaylovka, Gavrilovka and Tyaginka of the Kherson region.

The enemy lost more than 370 soldiers, 2 tanks, 7 armored combat vehicles, 29 vehicles, as well as 13 field artillery guns, of which five M777 howitzers manufactured by the United States.

Missile forces, artillery and unmanned aerial vehicles of groups of troops destroyed four combat vehicles of multiple launch rocket systems in a week, including: MARS II manufactured in Germany, Vampire manufactured in Czech Republic and Grad, five radar stations for detecting and tracking P-18 air targets, three counter-battery warfare stations manufactured in the United States AN/TPQ-36, AN/TPQ-48, AN/TPQ-50, as well as 18 electronic warfare stations: Nota, Enclave-N and Bukovel-AD.

During the week, 18 Ukrainian servicemen surrendered.

Aviation and air defense systems shot down during the week: 11 Storm Shadow cruise missiles manufactured in Great Britain, three Neptune anti-ship missiles, four US-made ADM-160 MALD guided missiles, two S-200 anti-aircraft missiles converted to hit ground targets, two French-made Hammer guided bombs, 171 A rocket launcher of the HIMARS, Vampire, and Hurricane multiple launch rocket systems, as well as 1208 unmanned aerial vehicles.

In total, since the beginning of the special military operation, 577 aircraft, 270 helicopters, 17,773 unmanned aerial vehicles, 489 anti-aircraft missile systems, 15,644 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 1,257 multiple rocket launcher combat vehicles, 8,582 field artillery and mortars, as well as 20,381 units of special military vehicles have been destroyed.

https://function.mil.ru/news_page/country/more.htm?id=12507001@egNews

That should be the first confirmed operational employment of the Tsirkon, if I am not wrong...

Meanwhile, in fantasy land Westerners keep discussing about the downing of the missile by Patriots. Be nice and don't burst their extremely unstable comfort bubbles, it takes a lot of faith and mental gymnastics to keep them in place

open data analysis expert Julian Röpcke

Walther von Oldenburg wrote:Krivoy Rog Thermal Power Plant has left the chat.

According to our information, three waves of geranium attacks were observed in the area of ​​the thermal power plant. After this, a missile strike was launched, which landed exactly between turbogenerators No. 1 and No. 2. Most likely both generators failed. The thermal power plant is stopped.

That is a nice strike. probably took out the high pressure super heated steam piping. Its not easily repairable, but a lot easier to repair then the turbine and generator beds. Probably a 3-6m project vs years.

Russian FPV interceptor Drone.

https://t.me/VampireSix/2520

No fucking way, Russia goes back the 2022 deal.

More Abrams to replace the dead ones?

S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y
@Sprinterfactory
There are reports that last night at a railway station near the city of Stryi, Lviv region, a train with Western armored vehicles was partially hit

In the video, presumably the same train passes through Slovakia in the direction of Ukraine.

open data analysis expert Julian Röpcke

This is so stupid, I have to do it more than once.

No fucking way, Russia goes back the 2022 deal.

We can talk about 1902 borders. 

presumably the same train passes through Slovakia 

Next time hit it in Slovakia.
(Just kidding)


Abother angle of those robots.
Could be based on Platform-M.
More armor around the tracks.


Not the best pic, but better than nothing.

Various dates seem to be quoted, this is one of them

S p r i n t e r F a c t o r y
@Sprinterfactory
Adviser to ex-President of Ukraine Kuchma Soskin:

March 31 will be a black day for Zelensky because it is the last day of his constitutional powers. And from April 1, it’s international April Fool’s Day, and already Zelensky, everyone will laugh. Zelensky is no longer president according to the Ukrainian constitution. New elections must be held, and the question still arises whether he can be allowed to vote due to the fact that he violated the constitution

Clever maneuver

Our soldiers destroyed 1 more American Abrams tank near Avdeevka

The Lancet hit the M1A1SA Abrams turret near the village of Solovevo.
Before attacking the target, the drone performs an evasion maneuver from enemy fire.
- RVvoenkor

JohninMK wrote:More on this that I linked to yesterday, must have been an important target.

Russia used the ODAB-1500 heavy air bomb in Ukraine for the first time

The Russian Armed Forces used such a warhead to attack infrastructure in the Sumy region. According to BILD open data analysis expert Julian Röpcke, after the ODAB-1500 strike, a cloud of smoke 1 km high rose in the sky.

A volumetric detonating aircraft bomb (ODAB) is a thermobaric projectile from the times of the USSR, which approximately 10 meters before hitting the target releases a flammable liquid in the form of an aerosol and ignites it. This is called a volumetric explosion. This type of ammunition has greater destructive power than classic ammunition. Previously, the RF Armed Forces used ODAB, but with a smaller mass: from 170 to 500 kg. - Ostashko reports

Its about 4x the yield vs conventional explosives. So this would be like a FAB 6000

Maybe they made some changes to the engine or the autopilot or use higher energy fuel to
make up for the smaller tank.

I suspect they realised that some targets need more boom and that rather than designing a completely new missile with a bigger warhead that using an existing very long range missile (the Kh-101 has a range of almost 5,000km), but swapping fuel for extra warhead for a few specific models for a few specific targets would make a lot of sense.

They wont convert them all... just a few that can be used on specific targets.

Remember they also have the Kh-22M and Kh-32 with 930kg and about 750kg warheads respectively if they want to hit some targets hard.

Making the Kh-101 more powerful makes sense. They did the same with Calibr in the version launched from the Iskander launcher because it was limited to 500km flight range by the INF treaty of the time, so they reduced its flight range by reducing fuel and making the warhead much much bigger.

No fucking way, Russia goes back the 2022 deal.

It is OK... Zelensky is talking about giving up the Crimea, but not the other regions... so that is not going to happen.

Its about 4x the yield vs conventional explosives. So this would be like a FAB 6000

Probably closer to 2-3 times, so 2-3 tons of HE.

mnztr wrote:
Its about 4x the yield vs  conventional explosives. So this would be like a FAB 6000

If it was a deep Soviet era command bunker, which seems pretty likely, then NATO senior staff, working in their deep 'nuke proof' offices had a very rude awakening. They must be wondering if they are safe in any of their bunkers spread across Europe. Their confidence that they at least were safe this side of MAD now reduced to rubble.

Marat Kahirullin
When will the big offensive of the Russian army begin?
Immediately after the terrorist attack in Crocus, Hitler Zelensky suddenly began to publicly moan about the imminent general offensive of the Russian army. And almost the same strategy is now followed by all Nazi media, including the Western mainstream. They were especially concerned about the Kharkov direction.
Suddenly the entire anti-Russian chorus saw the possibility of a quick breakthrough and the collapse of Ukraine.
It’s obvious that Natsik Zelensky is building these pitiful eyes specifically to get on the sponsors’ nerves – like, come on, give us more of everything, otherwise – a Big Russian Breakthrough!
Nevertheless, let’s try to figure out objectively whether or not we should expect a big offensive in the coming months. And if so, where might this happen.
The first thing you need to start from here is the level of Ukrainian losses. Thanks to high-quality statistics from the Intercept (https://t.me/dvesti22) channel, we know with a high degree of accuracy that the level of enemy losses has increased almost 4 times since last year. The most important thing here is that this damage is constantly growing. That is, Ukraine has to strain all the time to compensate for these losses.
At the same time, we know that the Ukrainians do not produce all the consumables for themselves, they are supplied by the viper West. And now we have increased the load on Western wallets so much that they are clearly not too comfortable.
And this is in fact what we are seeing in recent weeks. Ukraine and West can withstand this level of load for a limited time, and then begin to crumble point by point. This happened in Avdeevka, then in Ivanovsky.
Now we see the process of crumbling of the Berdychi-Orlovka-Tonenkoye-Pervomaiskoye line. Next up is the Novomikhailovka-Konstantinovka line. You can name several more potential points, but that’s not what we’re talking about.
It is important that Ukrainian troops along almost the entire front are subject to constant pressure, which they can withstand only to a certain limit. This is already an obvious system.
The second point: the loss ratio has increased even more in our favor. On the one hand, our losses are significantly less than in the first year of the Northern Military District (I know this for sure from the example of my “Slavyanka”). On the other hand, Ukraine’s losses are growing all the time. In other words, taking into account all the complexities and challenges of modern warfare, our strategists have chosen a formula that provides us with a stable advantage on the battlefield.
With all the other obvious advantages, this is, first of all, a stable state of society and a generally beneficial effect on the country’s economy.
And here the question arises: if the situation is developing steadily in our favor and is improving progressively, then is there any point in changing something? Imagine, you built a plant, came up with technologies, debugged everything with great difficulty, launched it and, finally, began to receive a steadily growing profit. Why change anything then? Why drive the horses? After all, by and large, the time factor is also on our side.
By this logic, it is better not to change tactics. In our case, do not move from a smooth increase in production to leaps (territorial breakthroughs). But it makes sense, for example, to attach another workshop to the factory and run it using the same technology. Moreover, we already have experienced trained personnel.
In terms of the current operation, this means that opening another front makes more sense. For example, just along the Kharkov-Sumy line.
Apparently, the leadership of the country and the army took this path.
Let me remind you that before preparing the Avdeevka operation, our rear forces formed an entire army in three months, which occupied the large Seversky line. And the units that are now called the Central Group of Forces were gradually (I emphasize this point!) transferred to the Donetsk Front and ensured a breakthrough.
Exactly the same thing is happening now – the formation of two new armies has been announced. They will either occupy some active sections of the front, and the well-fired, well-coordinated units will be transferred to another, more relevant section of the front. Or they will open a new one altogether.
It is now obvious that the general situation is developing precisely in this vein. That’s why Hitler Zelensky sits with such a pitiful face on the ruins.


Taken from Larry Johnsons page

The Russian Aerospace Forces launched a group strike with high-precision long-range air-launched weapons and unmanned aerial vehicles on the energy infrastructure and gas production industry of Ukraine.

As a result of the strike, the work of enemy enterprises for the manufacture and repair of weapons was disrupted.

Zvezda TV