Tsavo Lion wrote:https://www.pravdareport.com/news/russia/144950-russian_population/
A ew decades before that, Ukraine, Belarus & N. Kazakhstan will add ~40-50M as they'll become 1 Federation or Commonwealth.
People are such morons. We have all sorts of climate change deniers BSing everyone that "you can't forecast the weather in 2100".
Actually climate GCMs are used to produce ensembles of simulations which give a range of accessible climate states subject to
radiatively active gas burdens, albedo changes, etc. So they are about determining the probability distribution functions of the
energetics of the ocean-atmosphere-land system which then constrains the potential weather states. No climate GCM is used
to forecast future weather.
But when it comes to the population of Russia we have moronic garbage in garbage out estimates of its population dynamics
out to 2100. It really is like trying to predict the weather in 2100. All of the crop of Russian population models trotted out over
the last 20+ years have been dead wrong. All of them, reflecting the opinions and agendas of their makers, grossly
overestimate the mortality and grossly underestimate the TFR.
The mere invocation of Covid-19 as a factor for Russia's population in 2100 (and 2021 for that matter) is proof of the propaganda
nature of such studies. Russia has one of the lowest Covid-19 mortality numbers, period. This on top of the fact that Covid-19
attacks primarily the elderly. Some TFR and Covid-19 link is only being pulled out of the ass when forecasting Russia's population.
I have not seen it invoked anywhere else.