maybe Garry will end of being right, with India buying a mix of MiG29M and Mig35
For sure it will also be the most cost effective solution. They cannot pretend to have MiG35 with AESA radar and all the inprovement at the cost of a unmodernised MiG29 from the 80s
If it was up to me I would make the new purchase 250 airplanes and I would aim to replace the MiG-21s, MiG-27s, and MiG-29UPGs they have upgraded.
I would replace the with a mix of MiG-35s and MiG-29M2s... effectively the cheaper older 21s and 27s would be replaced with 200 MiG-29M2s, and the upgraded MiG-29UPGs of which I believe there are about 60 odd, I would replace with 50 MiG-35s.
That would replace 3 different airframes with 1 new airframe as the 29M2 and Naval MiG-29KR and MiG-35 all share the same airframe... the M2s can be upgraded to 35s if needed or when the technology becomes more affordable... and lets face it... a MiG-29M2 with TVC engines and modern avionics is an enormous step up in terms of short range point defence fighter (MiG-21) and short range light strike (MiG-27) with a wide range of air to ground and air to air munitions available, and of course the MiG-35 is a big step up from the MiG-29UPG upgrades they are using now, and while more expensive only buying 50 will make them much more affordable than trying to buy 110 35s or anything else in that category....
Well yea Garry is right India will end up buying 36 more Rafales and its game over for that tender.
36 more Rafales will consume all the money for new planes, but wont deal with the problem of reducing numbers of aircraft it was supposed to deal with.
India wants a non Russian aircraft... what they should do is bite the bullet and pay MiG to accelerate a MiG-29 stealthy 5th gen replacement plane instead of pissing billions away on French fighters.
The Rafale is not a bad plane but for the 16 billion dollars it will cost them to get two lots of 36 of them they could have paid for a new 5th gen fighter to be developed... and by spending a little more... say 20 billion on the programme they will own the technology, unlike with 16 billion dollars spent on french fighters they have no ownership of the technology of...
What should they buy additional Rafales? At that price it was almost robbery. Without bribes the Gauls should not be able to win another contract...
It doesn't actually hurt to have aircraft with totally different design philosophies and different weapon ranges, but they would be much better off with a production licence for the M2K with the option to make their own upgrades and improvements... the Rafale is just an order of magnitude too expensive... they are paying more for their medium weight fighter than they are for their heavy fighter or they would pay for their heavy 5th gen fighter...
Source diversity only matters to improve reliability of supply... paying more and buying the technology yourself for domestic production of a 5th gen medium fighter to replace the MiG-29s would be a better investment... they could get exactly what they want and own it so no one could stop them making more...
Not o long ago they paid $1.9bn ($4mn each) for 464 T-90S while the Arjun in its modern version is around $7mn each, the MK1 (not MK1A) costs around $4mn each) and the tanks design has been 37yrs in the making shocking
Another factor is that the Arjun is supposed to be the domestic tank but it has a foreign gun and engine and armour and electronics and transmission etc etc etc.
It is not so much an Indian tank as the Indians choice tank with parts India has selected from other countries.
It is no more a domestic tank than a T-90 assembled in India...
On the positive side the factories built to make the AK-203 should also be able to make a light machine gun version of the rifle and probably other weapon types too...