Syrian Civil War: News #3

zg18 wrote:Some sources on Tweeter claim Jabhat Al-Nusra is forced to send some 4-5000 fighters from Idlib to plug hole in Aleppo front, which means:

1. Rebel battle group southern Aleppo has been decimated

2. The (best) terrorist/rebel reserve units are now forced to fight an open plain battle against IRGC/Hezbollah/SAA who have Russian aviation support

I was just thinking along the lines and before i saw the above information. The SYrian army
had only reverses in Hama after capturing territory almost lost it all their gains as fast as they captured regions there. but in Aleppo the front seemed way more easier.. it seems to me that
US and its alliance were expecting Russia to assault first Idlib and go in full scale to near the
Turkey border first. and that also were moving to Hama too in full force.. but what happened?
They skipped Idlib almost completely and sent its biggest numbers and best forces to Aleppo.
Effectively fooling the west and attacking them in their weakest points.  

What this new offensive shows without a doubt ,is that the man power of the terrorist is not as unlimited as believed.. and the fact that they are ordering now to move to Aleppo confirms that.
the Syrian Army now needs to Rush to the north and take Al-Bab which is the major city most closer to Turkey border withing ~25km and fortify the city with artillery to stop the turkey army and with mobile airdefenses too to block any flight in norther Syria for NATO. and use that city as base to start operations against center alepo and northen idlib with the intention to cut the supply lines of the terrorist. that will force terrorist to come out of from the security of the cities and fight in open plains to prevent Syrian army from cutting for the first time in the conflict in 4 years the supply lines to center and norther Syria. This will be really bad news.. Without food or even without fuel ,the terrorist will have no way to fight and move in any tank or truck or pickup and will be doomed to stay inside cities and starve to death.

All said Northen aleppo needs to be taken now. before the city center.
Supply lines is the most important thing ,once the enemy supply lines cut , they will
be forced to leave their fortifications inside any city and open the supply lines again
fighting in the open. This is why Turkey is now speaking pushing to create a "Safe zone" and where this safe zone will be created? exactly in Northern Aleppo to shield Russia from cutting their supply lines to the terrorist. and for sure they will use the refugees in turkey as hostages and human shields and relocated them by force inside Syria in northern aleppo. to stop Russia from bombing their army .

Fred333 wrote:I am curious what the aim of the offensive is, reclaim aleppo or close of the border with turkey?

Because the Syrian army can significantly accelerate the defeat of the terrorist by cutting
their supply lines.without food people die ,without munitions they cannot fight.. and in one or two months they will surrender if missing one of those. Because they have near 100,000 fighters
according to Russia FSB.. maintaining such a large army logistics and food will be a nightmare
with the border of turkey closed by Syrian army..

IF you look at this recent map.



You will see that the Syrian army can take advantage of the kurds ,who hate turkey and ISIS..
and will not allow majority of them any food or munitions to cross from turkey over its controlled
zones .  If supply lines cut in northern alepo ,.. the Rebels in RAqa that Syrian army is not remotely close fighting , could collapse even without a fight for lack of food. the Lebanon supply routs cut.. and IRAQ moving to cut the supply lines from northern iraq too. The Jihadist in central Syria probably receive supply from the east of Syria and Syrian army is advancing too in Hama and Homes. If things goes the same way , terrorist will be encircled in all zones withing a week or two including damascus and the supply lines from Turkey shutdown.  Idlib is not so important  because is locked from Kurds who control the zones of border of turkey. North of latakia/IDlib with turkey are mountainous areas that cars cannot travel or blocked by kurds .  they need to receive supplies from Turkey from northern aleppo. By closing the aleppo
border with turkey it will seriously damage the whole performance of the terrorist.. if they start  to lack of munition and food.

meanwhile a video of Armenian volunteers in Aleppo in street fight. .

Fred333 wrote:I am curious what the aim of the offensive is, reclaim aleppo or close of the border with turkey?

I think an attack on the rebel held areas of Aleppo city will follow once they secure the surrounding country side and cut the main jihadi supply lines.

JohninMK wrote:One thing is certain, a huge pile of munitions is going to have to be created before it starts.

x2

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The pro-gov twitter accounts are reporting that the pro-jihadis have embarked on a major propaganda operation after these losses with a bunch of new accounts being opened. They are trying to boost the morale of their supporters by claiming a Nusra counterattack has been launched by the reinforcements from Hama and Idlib...

Al-Nusra has reportedly asked some smaller groups to take over the "cold" sections of the front so they can concentrate their forces in South Aleppo front.

ShahryarHedayatiSHBA wrote:Iranian Shahed-129 firing missiles against rebels in Southern Aleppo

Nice if true....are they definately deployed in Syria?

ShahryarHedayatiSHBA wrote:Iranian Shahed-129 firing missiles against rebels in Southern Aleppo

Yes they are deployed in small numbers (probably 4 or 5) , The footage of Shahed-129 firing in Aleppo was aired by state media (IRIB Channel 1)


Even we had many reports about their existence before

By the way, ATGM's have gone down from about 70 in the same period last month to 33 this month. You can't fire TOW's when you're being hunted. It looks like the Iranians are doing this the old way, throwing bodies to the problem and it seems like it's working.

Reports say Tel Hedya is captured together with Tel Bajir. Rebel situation in Aleppo starts resembling the situation of Germany after Kursk.

They have taken Tell Hadya, Banes, Rasm Sahrij, and are now 1 km away from cutting the Hama - Aleppo highway.
Basically the iranians and iraqis are bulldozing over the wahabists.

Pictures from Tel-Eis. Judging by uniforms you can tell who's doing the fighting.

Planes struck an IS military gathering in Hatla, killing 60 militants.

Walther von Oldenburg wrote:Planes struck an IS military gathering in Hatla, killing 60 militants.

Can you say the source?

watanisy ‏@watanisy  31 min

Pro opp. source claim #SAA captured Birnah and Al-Barqoum / north of Al-Eis and ICARDA

https://twitter.com/watanisy



edit: new updated map https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CTspRzaUcAAikmy.jpg:large

General Qassem Soleimani in Hadher

GIF of southern Aleppo advance

https://i.imgur.com/sGvWDQe.webm

Al-Nusra and Al-Fateh are staging massive retreat from ICARDA compound. Battle for southern Aleppo is de-facto over.

Where are these 5000 fighters who were to counterattack in Aleppo? I sensed the attack isn't going to take place since they have to take these fighters from someone else.

zg18 wrote:Al-Nusra and Al-Fateh are staging massive retreat from ICARDA compound. Battle for southern Aleppo is de-facto over.

https://twitter.com/PetoLucem

It's captured.

zg18 wrote:General Qassem Soleimani in Hadher

I admire his bravery but it's actually quite insane. He is on the frontline without any body armour, helmet etc. Could anyone imagine a high intelligence general from US, Russia, Britain on the frontlines like that.

It looks like a part of M5 has been captured effectively cutting the flow through M5.
New updated map below

Peto Lucem ‏@PetoLucem 1h1 hour ago

NEW MAP (2nd update): #SAA and #Hezbollah have captured #ICARDIA base and cut strategic #M5 highway. #Aleppo #Syria

SAA training in Latakia province.

Massive explosion caused by a IS-SHAM/I-SHILL VBIED destroyed by the YPG:

Gius, will we see Russian boots on the ground?

IF Morak was defended by a VDV battalion, the entire thing would be a bloodbath for jihadists, not a debacle for SAA.

Dima wrote:

Currently, pinzer of attack is directed at Zerbeh. They want to force them to retreat from Khan Tuman and Qarassi , similar strategy was more than successful at Hadher.