franco Wed Feb 17, 2016 1:34 am
"I think Su-30M2 from Far East will go to European part together with Su-27SM, which are getting replaced by Su-35S there. From the numbers it seem that in Krymska they will form a squadron of Su-30M2 to form a regiment with a squadron of new build Su-27SM3, other regiments will have 4 Su-30M2 working as twin seaters with full regiments of Su-27SMs. Most probably regiment in Belbek will have 24 Su-27SM and 4 Su-30M2. Where another regiment of Su-27SM will be relocated, we will see. Most probably they will build additional Su-30M2 for additional three squadrons of Su-27SM3, which will be modernized in coming years. Considering, they will form three squadrons, they will need to build 6 additional Su-30M2 for trainers (2 per squadron)."
I agree the 27SM's will all be in the West and especially needed to cover off for the 27P's as they are upgraded to 27SM3.
It has already been mentioned that there will be a regiment of 27SM3's (24) in Belbek and another in Belarus.
In 2016, there is planned to equip;
Millerovo - 24 Su-30SM's (20 already)
Uglovaya - 12 30SM's & 12 Su-35S's (6 already, aircraft already made just not all on site yet)
Erebuni - 16 Mig-29SMT/UBT's
GOING FORWARD
Besovets - announced next with 24 Su-35S's
This leaves 40 Su-30SM's (maybe more), 26 Su-35S's and 30+ Mig-35's to stock Krymsk (24 35S's?), Khotilovo (24 30SM's?), Monchegorsk (12 30SM's?) and Chkalovsk (24 Mig-35?)
The 50 reported Su-30SM's for Naval Aviation probably Novofedorivka (24 - 8 already) and Chernyakhovsk (24)
This with the upgraded 110+ Mig-31BM's giving modernized fighters (MRCA) at all present fighter units / airbases plus Belarus. Suspect a squadron (12) of 27SM's to be in Kant? One (12) spread around training/test units and perhaps the other 2 (24) at Astrakhan?
Still a lot of question marks but a clearer image is developing. Again time tells and there still is the T-50 to come into play.
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franco
