Khepesh Thu May 26, 2016 10:14 pm
There is beginning a shit storm over remarks by Dmitry Peskov where he seems to agree with Poroshenko that Donbass can be returned to Ukraine if it is all "humanitarian". Some, including Gennady Dubovoi, are saying this is "the end". Normally I am in agreement with him and various others, but on this issue I believe Peskov is misunderstood and his words taken at face value without looking deeper. About a year ago Yurasumy had the idea, which I repeated here, of a "Novoukraina", and this was also misunderstood by certain faction. Remember that the official Kremlin position, which has not changed since the beginning of the war, is that Ukraine is needed as a united and friendly country. This, as so many other elements has also been misunderstood, mostly by those more "hardline" than me who see it as eventually leading to the dreaded "merge", but in the incorrect context of simply walking away from Donbass. I never believed this will ever happen, and what occured in September 2014 shows the reality of this, and re-enforced by Debaltsevo. Some are saying that Peskov is testing public reaction, and maybe there is an element of truth in this, but I would say that what he is saying, in diplomatic language and in line with Kremlin position, is that yes, there may be eventually a united Ukraine, but what is unsaid is that it would be a reformatted Ukraine, this, btw, is what Zakharchenko said more directly a week or so ago, and repeats on these various "Straight lines". I contend that Peskov and Zakharchenko are simply saying the same as Yurasumy did a year ago, no "merge", but a purge, and of the nazis and Washington stooges in Ukraine. This will be the "Novoukraina", purged of the clowns and shitheads, and so a "humanitarian" Ukraine.
For myself, I do not think this is a viable outcome, it is too much using rose colored spectacles and I think Ukraine will not survive as a country as it was before maidan, and I mean as a legal entity with the pre 2014 borders. I believe a more realistic outcome is the one hinted at by Zakharchenko and Pushilin in recent days, that the idea of Novorossiya from Kharkov to Odessa still exists. We do not know what Putin wants, what he thinks, what he thinks is realistic, so we look at the chicken giblets, which are what those below him say, and try to guess. And while we all know Washington wants destruction of Russia, they know it is not possible, so the big question is what are their red lines in Ukraine, if any. They could see that it is hoplesss and simply walk away, or they could, while shouting and jumping, under the table accept a division of Ukraine with the territory known as Novorossiya becoming either a seperate state, or returned to Russia.