SeigSoloyvov wrote: KoTeMoRe wrote:Reality in this 21st century sure has an Anti-American bias...
Honest question, who thought that the Russian intervention would turn out the way it is going?
Personally I dreaded this would get results for a while and the escalation would simply keep the grinder on for a decade more.
And here we are with basically a dying war and an all but total victory for Mordor. #TheBattle@theBlackGatewasaninsidejob
This war is far from over with ISiS gone you move onto stage 2 is all.
This is no dying war.
while the Russians deserve credit the main man in this war is al-Hassan he is their MVP without him iSIS would be in alot better shape then it is now.
He is responsible for all of the Russians main victory's and Assad's without him the Russians would not have had a worse time off airpower is meaningless if your ground troops cannot do anything. Yes their airstrikes are for sure a major factor.
It was his men who paved the way for the Russians to find targets and more they always fought outmanned out gun and won their battles despite the odds.
There is a reason in Syrian he has a bigger bounty on his head than any Russian or Syrian in the millions, last I heard it reached over 5 Million dollars dead even more alive.
This war is over for the most part, for three main reasons.
1. There is no more popular steam behind "the Revolution", basically the average joe who would have gone against the Syrian State has either been killed or is outside the country.
2. The current limitations of the support from abroad for the terrorists and militias do not allow them to coordinate and cooperate in a large scale assaults or create stockpiles in a tactical and strategical fashion. The limitations encompass borders getting closed or harder to cross, cash flow, supplies and brain drain from both internal and external factors.
3. The geopolitical tempo has been radically altered by the russian intervention in the region. We are not talking militarily, but well politically. Russia simply has bet on authoritarian and sovereign rule instead of absurd pipe dreams. This is a fact that often is relegated to a minor discomfort from the West, but is actually a very important part.
These 3 elements stem from one and only logic: the nominally simple "single horse in the race". Russia, Iran and Syria are not totally in agreement as to how to deal with the crisis politically, but they have one candidate in this mess, one horse in the race. And that is it.
Assad offers no other benefit as now, truth be told. But it is the only benefit you need in a civil war/proxy war/colored revolution.
There is also no way the war is going to restart in the same way it was from 2013 to 2015. That part, is over. The only phase 2 that will be a problem is going to be the Kurdish issue.
Al Hassan is no MVP in this mess, he actually has had a lot of issues in coordination, to the point he was widely believed to have been KIA around idlib in 2015. Anyway, fact is that Al Hassan's men had to rely on Russian PMC's and others to properly coordinate Indirect fire after 4 years of war. Let that sink in. Some of the guys that were used in Syria had learned their trade in Donbass. Tell me why Syrians couldn't even get that far in their own country. Also we've have had a lot of discussion over the way the Syrian Selfie Army fights its battles. A simple comparison with Hizb should pretty much clear this case of Glorifyitis Maximus. Without poor dudes from Iran and Iraq, this would be over by now. Period.
Please don't quote eehenie, i don't want to read his non-sense multiple times.