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    Aircraft Carrier Admiral Kuznetsov: News #2

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    Post  Hole Sat Jun 26, 2021 9:03 pm

    It was not "downgraded". The Udaloys are Large ASW ships = single-purpose ships. The Shaposhnikov is called "Frigate" because it is multi-purpose now.

    Shaposhnikov got a few new radars, the "new" UKSK and the "simple" Uran-M. It´s air defence was not changed because the navy wanted to keep some proven systems. The Vinogradov will receive more Uran-M´s, more UKSK modules and the Shtil-1 air defence system. Maybe the third ship will get Redut. Or the new radar mast. The third ship could be the "standard" for the rest of the modernisations.

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    Post  Mir Sat Jun 26, 2021 10:17 pm

    Yes that's why I'm using inverted commas - still a very capable ship (even more so).
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    Post  Isos Sat Jun 26, 2021 10:54 pm

    It was designed with the Sovs in mind to work in team.

    Sovs are gone which means Udaloy are outdated and weak. Their short range AD isn't enough and their missiles were not the best for antishiping.

    Sov's Moskit could be fired out of range if enemy missiles and the Shtil missiles could at the time fire before enemy planes could launch missiles (most had 30-40 range and shtil had 35-45). Tor on Udaloy protected them from any missile but can't target launch plateforms.

    Without modification they are not really capable ships. And with the slow production of Gorshkov they kinda had to upgrade them.

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    Post  PapaDragon Sun Jun 27, 2021 2:14 am

    Mir wrote:Just enough time to fit those Tsirkons! lol!

    Just replacing those concrete slabs with something resembling radar panels will be epic accomplishment

    Zircons are D&D level fantasy for this hulk


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    Post  Mir Sun Jun 27, 2021 10:40 am

    PapaDragon wrote:
    Mir wrote:Just enough time to fit those Tsirkons! lol!

    Just replacing those concrete slabs with something resembling radar panels will be epic accomplishment

    Zircons are D&D level fantasy for this hulk



    Well the basic architecture is already in place so it should be fairly easy to do this "fantasy" upgrade?
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    Post  GarryB Sun Jun 27, 2021 12:13 pm


    The discussion was about ship launched Tsirkons vs. air launched ones, the difference being the smaller booster and everything else remaining the same, which is the fair comparison.

    The issue is that he Zircon will be designed with the size and weight and length limitations of the UKSK and UKSK-M launch tubes in mind and not so much about the space and dimensions and weight issues on an Su-33 on the Kuznetsov.

    Just taking the large solid rocket booster off the end might not be enough to make it capable of being air launched from the K.

    A customised model specifically designed to be carried by medium and heavy fighters (Mig-29KR and Su-33) would make it rather more flexible and capable for shipboard use... especially a model that could be carried by a naval Su-57.

    Of course we know there are other air launched missiles being developed, among them a hypersonic one compatible with internal carriage for the Su-57

    Because of the size dimensions and weight limitations we can probably assume such a weapon could be carried centrally by an Su-33 and as long as it weighs less than 3 tons it should be able to be carried on the Kuznetsov by an Su-33... 3 tons would equate to a full AAM payload for that aircraft... so it should be able to operate fine.

    One of those to the bridge, mission control systems or VLS of any vessels and it is game over for them, no need to blow them to pieces.

    Indeed the speed and manoeuvrability is more important because it enables it to get a better chance of a hit, so even with a light warhead it will do some serious damage which makes it more vulnerable to the next weapon headed its way... even if that next weapon is slower and less capable.


    The conventional deterrence is based in actual capabilities of conventional forces, not considering nukes. This is necessary to settle disputes among superpowers in the international arena, where existential threat is out of question and only influence and economical interests are at stake. Nobody will end the world over such issues.

    You say that, but when there are five US carrier groups bearing down on you and your radar shows hundreds of aircraft and thousands of missiles inbound, the launch of a single nuke to meet them half way with an airburst in their midst could make them stop their attack and rethink their strategy.

    They wont need to sink the entire enemy fleet most of the time to get their message across.

    In fact a single submarine laid mine in the path of the enemy forces could change the mood of the enemy completely.


    So back to the topic, of course naval strike is one crucial mission of the carrier air wing, maybe the main one.

    Read the quote above... if naval strike is so damn critical why is the K getting an upgrade to remove its twelve Granit anti ship missiles?

    The Russian carrier wing till the last few years has been the Su-33 which has had air to air capability only for 90% of its operational life.

    The K is an air defence carrier, it is not a US strike carrier.

    It is absurd to talk about fighters taking care of the defence of the fleet if they cannot down the attackers, what kind of BS is that?

    WTF are you talking about... of course the fighters will defend the airspace over the ships... but what sort of long range force can you have with less than two dozen fighters? Any long distance flights away from the ships means they are on their own in the middle of the ocean... why do you see that as a good thing?

    Will they also have to abstain from performing DCA missions and shoot enemy fighters down because of fears of "starting a big conflict"?

    Well obviously in peace time they can't go flying around shooting down planes in international airspace... only the americans and the Israelis are allowed to do that...

    Rules of engagement apply.

    What is the fundamental difference between shooting n enemy fighters down and sinking their carrying vessel?

    An aircraft that launches an attack against your ships can be fired upon in self defence. Going on to then try to sink the ship that aircraft operates from is an escalation that would need approval from a higher level.

    It is not necessary for the ship that was attacked to be the ship that sinks the enemy ship, a friendly sub could do the honours... to use carrier based aircraft for the revenge attack would require an aircraft to be loaded up with a suitable missile and then launched to fly all the way to the enemy ship... something that will take quite a bit more time than one of the aircraft that shoots down the enemy aircraft scanning the sea in the direction the enemy aircraft came from to look for the ship to sink and then passing that information to the nearest ship or sub with a Zircon.

    In naval as much as in land domain, the main role of the air power is strike, while attaining air superiority is just a means to that end.

    Tell that to the Russian Army... the airpower component of the Russian Navy is TINY... having maybe a half dozen Su-33s and a dozen or two MiG-29KRs... what sort of air dominance will they be achieving over any foreign navy or land based sea power?

    The K and her aircraft are there to protect the ships from enemy air power and enemy submarines.

    Second, if air power is not used for strike and also not for AD, then why on Earth do you propose Russia to have carriers??

    The Russian Navy does not have a Su-34 or Tu-160 equivalent and does not need either...

    The K is for air defence.


    Well, they did not on Shaposhnikov, and it was an obvious candidate for testing.

    Maybe decided that the Udaloys don't need more TORs and in order to save money.

    Maybe an upgraded system planned for land and sea based platforms might be in development that could incorporate the new mini missiles for short range anti drone use might be in the works.

    Maybe the much smaller 9M100 from the redut system are cheaper and smaller and lighter and easier to carry in large numbers in a launch system that is already standardised to take larger missiles (9M96) too which makes them more flexible.

    The fact that they have external deck mounted launch tube versions suggests they want to keep using them... but can those deck mounted launchers be recessed into the deck after the old much larger rotary launchers have been removed?

    They were cutting the hull wide open anyway, so why not just make another cut? scratch As long as all the radars and wiring are already there, it was quite easy to upgrade.

    The upgraded destroyers were called Frigates, so perhaps they decided a frigate didn't need any more TOR missiles.

    I would think a cell based system would be cheaper in terms of operations with little to no maintenance and all missiles ready to fire.

    In any major naval battle the Russian carrier(s) and the air components (even the Mig-29K's) would most likely have to do a lot of defending at first. This is exactly why the Kirov's and the Kuznetsov have these unprecedented amount of air defense assets on board. The fighters would probably only switch to the strike role once they survive the pew pew from the other side.

    The core of the issue is that as carrier based fighters, the Su-33 and MiG-29KR are optimised for air to air, and AFAIK the Su-33 can't even carry air to ground ordnance except the anti ship version of the Kh-31 which would be something they carried to deal with a troublesome frigate or corvette rather than a carrier group.

    Anti ship weapons tend to be enormous and heavy and not something aircraft will be flying around carrying just in case they need them.

    Even if an Su-33 could take off with a 2-3 ton Zircon between its engine nacelles... odds are it would have to use it or dump it because it would likely not be able to land with it.

    Edit: The initial strike from Russia will be air assets, but in the form of the Tu-22's and Mig-31K's.

    Carrier groups attacking Russia will be dealt with using land and sea and air based assets including but not limited to Kh-32 and Kinzhal and Iskander, but for Russian surface ships coming under attack they have no ocean they have to hold and protect, they are free to manouver to their own advantage.

    Shaposhnikov is a more of a prototype ship. It's even "downgraded" as a frigate atm. Expect some more stuff on the follow up Udaloy ships - and all this would eventually benefit the new destroyers.

    Well that raises another possibility... they might have different grades of upgrade and that one was a cheap one. The next grade up might change the rotary TOR for recessed fixed cell TOR like Shtil-1 replaced naval BUK with its single arm launcher.

    Yeah, that is why replacing obsolete drum magazine 9K95 with upgraded Tor modules, sounds tempting.
    It would not double, but rather quadruple the number of missiles on hand scratch
    Why they did not?

    Perhaps their calculations showed the number of guidance channels would mean the extra missiles would not be able to be fired in time before the ship got overwhelmed... hard to say...

    Maybe they think the new 9M100 missiles might offer superior performance in a missile launch system standardised with larger SAMs... would certainly be interesting to see if they could integrate TOR and new TOR and also mini anti drone TOR missiles into the Redut system in an efficient way.

    Shapo modernization was actually a big one, including cutting the hull, making the wiring for Ch-35, installing USKS, replacing the gun with the whole magazine ... That is why I see no consistency there. There was no better option for it.

    Maybe it was already expensive and they didn't want to spend more?

    Maybe they didn't want the extra weight of much more densely packed missiles on the ship...

    Well, this "downgrade" brought up a ship with much better parameters, this kind of degradation is always warmly welcomed Very Happy
    This would actually benefit mostly the existing fleet.

    Its size should allow it to be a comfortable ship to operate for longer periods than smaller ships further from home base.

    They have Kuz and Nachimov in a dock, PtG warming up for same after N refit. Two 1154, several 1155. Those would benefit from a 9K95 modification.
    For new models, I would expect rather Redut to fill that gap, combined with Pancyr

    That could be the crux of the problem... why develop and make new upgraded deck penetrating cell launch tubes for new TOR missiles if it is eventually going to be replaced with Redut with 9M100 missiles?

    Developing a recessed deck mounted fixed cell TOR launcher only to upgrade existing ships that already have TOR... because the deck space is there when the old TOR is removed, or surface deck mounts for a TOR launcher that sits on top of the deck for other ships that didn't previously have TOR but have space on deck.

    Shaposhnikov got a few new radars, the "new" UKSK and the "simple" Uran-M. It´s air defence was not changed because the navy wanted to keep some proven systems. The Vinogradov will receive more Uran-M´s, more UKSK modules and the Shtil-1 air defence system. Maybe the third ship will get Redut. Or the new radar mast. The third ship could be the "standard" for the rest of the modernisations.

    Is the Shtil-1 replacing the TOR in the Vinogradov? Maybe the third ship will get a fixed cell revised TOR system and then they will have one of each to compare maybe?

    Sovs are gone which means Udaloy are outdated and weak. Their short range AD isn't enough and their missiles were not the best for antishiping.

    Actually their subsonic IR guided anti ship missiles would be interesting in terms of their anti ship performance, though pretty poor compared with the Sovs Moskit, they are pretty potent compared with Harpoon and Exocet.

    Without modification they are not really capable ships. And with the slow production of Gorshkov they kinda had to upgrade them.

    Their more reliable propulsion system made them better than the Sovs.

    Zircons are D&D level fantasy for this hulk

    Zircons would be a waste of space, but UKSK launch tubes would allow anti sub rockets to be carried to protect the ship, and of course the UKSK-M might add S-500 level SAMs to the mix if that is what that upgrade is for of course.
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    Post  ALAMO Sun Jun 27, 2021 12:30 pm

    Isos wrote:It was designed with the Sovs in mind to work in team.
    Sovs are gone which means Udaloy are outdated and weak. Their short range AD isn't enough and their missiles were not the best for antishiping.
    Sov's Moskit could be fired out of range if enemy missiles and the Shtil missiles could at the time fire before enemy planes could launch missiles (most had 30-40 range and shtil had 35-45). Tor on Udaloy protected them from any missile but can't target launch plateforms.
    Without modification they are not really capable ships. And with the slow production of Gorshkov they kinda had to upgrade them.

    Remember the purpose of creating those classes.
    While 956 used to be a landing operation support and a pocket cruiser, 1155 are dedicated sub chasers.
    956 turned to be outdated pretty fast, with archaic engines, a single rack Shtil, and low endurance for its size ...
    But 1155 were all around very well-designed hulls. Very good endurance, quiet propellers, quite effective COGAG propulsion, and last but not least, 8 pcs of those are capable of an overhaul. That makes a decent series of ships, worth bothering.
    My guess why they kept the 9K95 intact, is the fact that those are still quite capable. 9M330 proved excellent anti-ammo specs, it was capable to shoot down even mortar shells. They have stocks of it and still produce them.
    I suppose that Hole is right and we will witness the next pieces of puzzles added to the next modernized ones.
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    Post  Isos Sun Jun 27, 2021 3:17 pm

    Well Udaloys also have issues for modern warfare but like you say also very good stuff in them.

    That's why they designed the project 21956 based on Udaloy design which can be updated with a modern mast and 4 phased array radar instead on the one direction targeting radar that can't cover 360° at once and makes the ship vulnerable to multiple direction attacks they have and UKSK-M instead of S-300.

    IMO it is a better choice than the Gorshkov whuch is based on Steregushchy design.


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    Post  PapaDragon Sun Jun 27, 2021 3:36 pm


    Been a while since I saw this fanart, totally better than Gorshkov, it will sink the enemies with it's rough cardboard surface Razz
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    Post  Isos Sun Jun 27, 2021 4:18 pm

    It's not a fanart but a design proposed for export. It is on their official websites.

    The design is mature and realistic since it is just an udaloy with UKSK and S-300 launchers the same as on PtG or Slava ships.

    I guess they were afraid of starting destroyers back in the 00s and went for smaller ships like Girshkov.
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    Post  ALAMO Sun Jun 27, 2021 6:51 pm

    Isos wrote:
    IMO it is a better choice than the Gorshkov whuch is based on Steregushchy design.

    It is, and that makes them a next-gen of hull design.
    I bet that all the piping, wires etc are a huge step ahead.
    As long as they will upgrade all 8 1155, I would say it is a great interim solution.
    Those will be very potent ships for waving a banner, as the endurance of those is actually better than 1164 cruisers...
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    Post  thegopnik Sun Jun 27, 2021 8:59 pm

    I just took an interest in some Russian navy equipment and I am sure it has already been beaten to death on this thread before, but wouldnt it have been better to invest on a new carrier like shturm which is an export price of 5.5 billion instead of paying like 1-1.5 billion dollars in damages and even additional costs on modernizing an old ass carrier? I am already mad as it is that it seems the lidel class destroyers I assume are discontinued wont have that S-500 based defense system on something fresh and new but they decide to modernize other old ass battlecruisers with this defense system. The only thing redeeming about their Navy are the Yasen class subs, the Belgorod layout, Gremyashy class corvettes, Gorshkov class frigates and fitting Zircons, new SAM missiles where some give quadpack options for cells, upgrading underwater sea SONAR networks, UUVs and new Naval Maritime tracking sats.
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    Post  Mir Sun Jun 27, 2021 9:24 pm

    thegopnik wrote:I just took an interest in some Russian navy equipment and I am sure it has already been beaten to death on this thread before, but wouldnt it have been better to invest on a new carrier like shturm which is an export price of 5.5 billion instead of paying like 1-1.5 billion dollars in damages and even additional costs on modernizing an old ass carrier?  I am already mad as it is that it seems the lidel class destroyers I assume are discontinued wont have that S-500 based defense system on something fresh and new but they decide to modernize other old ass battlecruisers with this defense system. The only thing redeeming about their Navy are the Yasen class subs, the Belgorod layout, Gremyashy class corvettes, Gorshkov class frigates and fitting Zircons, new SAM missiles where some give quadpack options for cells, upgrading underwater sea SONAR networks, UUVs and new Naval Maritime tracking sats.

    Russia can only start building carriers at the end of the 20's - so they have to invest in the only one they have.

    The Lider is not quite dead - they still plan to build it. Actually the future of the Navy is looking good.

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    Post  Isos Sun Jun 27, 2021 9:48 pm

    thegopnik wrote:I just took an interest in some Russian navy equipment and I am sure it has already been beaten to death on this thread before, but wouldnt it have been better to invest on a new carrier like shturm which is an export price of 5.5 billion instead of paying like 1-1.5 billion dollars in damages and even additional costs on modernizing an old ass carrier?  I am already mad as it is that it seems the lidel class destroyers I assume are discontinued wont have that S-500 based defense system on something fresh and new but they decide to modernize other old ass battlecruisers with this defense system. The only thing redeeming about their Navy are the Yasen class subs, the Belgorod layout, Gremyashy class corvettes, Gorshkov class frigates and fitting Zircons, new SAM missiles where some give quadpack options for cells, upgrading underwater sea SONAR networks, UUVs and new Naval Maritime tracking sats.

    It was debated a lot.

    Quick answer. No shipyard to build a supercarrier yet. Its cost would be huge as it would be the 1st ever produced. They need ships since their old soviet vessels are getting old and upgrading a decent carrier is still better than nothing. A supercarrier would take 15-20 years at least to be build when you see how long it takes to buikd the 1st ship of any class. Also their usefulness is still devatable since hypersonic missile are proliferating. Supercarrier also need a shiton of support vessel like new cruiser/destroyer, refulers...

    India, China, UK, Brazil all got such toys and none became a meaningful power and it didn't change their capavilities at all.

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    Post  lancelot Sun Jun 27, 2021 11:50 pm

    Well the English used their carriers in the Falklands.
    It is only useful against non-nuclear weapons owning nations though.
    It is also of no help in Central Asia for obvious reasons.

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    Post  miketheterrible Sun Jun 27, 2021 11:57 pm

    Or nations that don't have long range anti ship missiles. Which leads me to believe a carrier isn't useful against let's say Iran.
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    Post  ALAMO Sun Jun 27, 2021 11:58 pm

    Carrier is a gunboat of a new era ...
    You can use it against the locals with bows&arrows ...
    Hardly work for anything else dunno
    No bow&arrows natives around the corner, that could be stolen off the resources ...
    A superpower like North Korea and Iran are bringing the might of a carrier to null.
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    Post  GarryB Mon Jun 28, 2021 3:08 pm

    It is not like they are not going to get new carriers, they have already made it pretty clear that they are.

    The point is that they inherited a large number of ships from the Soviet Union and most of them are time expired and needing to be upgraded or replaced.

    There is not point in scrapping the Kuznetsov and building a brand new CVN because they have no place to base it, no ships to operate with it, no real use for it because they don't have the ships it would operate with because the cost of building it would take money from the corvettes and frigates and upgraded ships and all the little and not so little support ships they are also building let alone all the development work they are doing at all there navy ports and shipyards.

    When building a fleet you don't start with big ships, you start with the useful smaller numbers ships... especially with modular designs... the difference between a frigate and a cruiser is the size of the radar and sonar antenna and the number of UKSK and Redut launcher you can fit on. Everything else is essentially the same... but the bigger ship can carry a lot more, further, and longer.

    A corvette is smaller and might give up some capabilities for better capabilities in some areas, but you don't normally use them on their own so that is fine.

    If there is an enemy sub in your waters you don't send one corvette to deal with the problem so if you send three plus a frigate then between them they will have enough sensors and helicopters and anti sub weapons to get the job done.

    Their new ships are multirole... in the 1980s only their cruisers were big enough to have anti ship weapons and anti sub weapons and anti air weapons so they could do any job... their destroyers had a primary capability with secondary defence weapons, so the Sovremmenys had Moskit anti ship missiles but also had RBU launchers and torpedos to defend against subs and good gun armament too and reasonable air defence capacity. The Udaloys were optimised for anti sub so it had a decent sonar but its air defence and anti ship capacity were self defence only really.

    Corvettes were one trick ponies... anti ship normally.

    These days a corvette with a UKSK launcher can carry a mix of anti ship and anti sub and land attack weapons at one time, and while it might not have the best sonar it will have a helicopter and would operate with other vessels with better sonars.... we have seen them operate corvettes in the Caspian Sea attack land targets 2,500km away using calibr missiles... even the Kirov couldn't do that in the Cold War.... no Soviet ship could... at best they had nukes on SLBMs and cruise missiles which is rather less useful.

    The Russian ship building capacity is increasing and as they make more civilian ships, those ships will need protection and support around the world, which is what they are also building.

    The Russian Navy will not be enormous, but it also wont be like the British or French Navies where they have aircraft carriers but no cruisers to support them.

    The purpose of a cruiser is to defend other ships... corvettes and Frigates defend themselves.. barely... Destroyers and Cruisers have missile types and capacities to defend other ships in a group.

    Aircraft carriers for the Russian fleet are there to coordinate that air defence and provide highly mobile air defence missile platforms (fighters) and aircraft carried radar that missiles and aircraft cannot fly under its coverage (AWACS). They both also provide eyes and ears to locate and identify new threats and targets... so you don't have to wonder what that blip on the radar screen is. You can launch a couple of fighters to go and have a look so you know what is around you.

    It is not perfect. Aircraft can be shot down... but these aircraft are essentially operating above a Russian air defence network that is the equivalent of dozens of S-400 and S-500 and hundreds of S-350 and TOR and Pantsir batteries along with 2S38 and Tunguska and all sorts of other systems including Igla-S and Verba and large numbers of radar and EO systems.... those AWACS aircraft and fighters are well protected as well as providing protection to the ships they will be operating with.

    Having aircraft and being able to quickly check blind spots like the airspace behind the radar shadow of an Island or just see down to the level of the wave tops out several hundred kms just makes your ships safer and gives you more time to plan a defence and a response to attacks.

    Being able to send fighters out to investigate a single target approaching that might be an airliner or it might be an attack aircraft... it would not be the first time the US has used civilian transponder codes for an attack, but sending armed aircraft out to have a look gives you reassurance and situational awareness that no ship surface based radar can provide.

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    Post  flamming_python Mon Jun 28, 2021 9:22 pm

    ALAMO wrote:Carrier is a gunboat of a new era ...
    You can use it against the locals with bows&arrows ...
    Hardly work for anything else dunno
    No bow&arrows natives around the corner, that could be stolen off the resources ...
    A superpower like North Korea and Iran are bringing the might of a carrier to null.

    Or you can just use it for its original intended purpose - to provide air cover for a fleet

    For that it works wonderfully

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    Post  ALAMO Mon Jun 28, 2021 10:03 pm

    Sure, as long as you are to keep it 1500km away from ashore.
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    Post  Isos Mon Jun 28, 2021 11:58 pm

    ALAMO wrote:Sure, as long as you are to keep it 1500km away from ashore.

    You mean 2000-2500km.
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    Post  LMFS Tue Jun 29, 2021 4:09 am

    Aircraft Carrier Admiral Kuznetsov: News #2 - Page 31 E4-8DYaXwAMH5sC?format=jpg&name=medium

    https://twitter.com/Strike_Flanker/status/1409552280928624648/photo/1

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    Post  GarryB Tue Jun 29, 2021 6:19 am

    Sure, as long as you are to keep it 1500km away from ashore.

    Why?

    The air defence capacity over a modern and upgraded Russian Navy force would be comparable to the air defence capacity over the Crimea or St Petersberg... with an aircraft carrier with fighters it will be even better protected.... are you saying the ships of the Russian Navy will need to keep their distance from places like Fiji or Argentina or even the Falklands Islands or the Solomon Islands?

    There are only a tiny number of airforces that could challenge the Russian Navy at sea, and with Onyx and Zircon missiles on board and most ships being equipped with S-350 and S-400 type missiles at the medium and long range and TOR and Pantsir at the shorter ranges I would think any enemy force wanting to pick a fight had better be prepared to lose a lot of aircraft... and those ships and subs could easily be carrying 2,500km range land attack cruise missiles as well as soon 5,000km range cruise missiles too.

    You mean 2000-2500km.

    Even at that distance they could use existing land attack cruise missiles to hit land bases and ports and disrupt any country that wants to interfere in their presence... pretty soon that range will double with newer model missiles of larger calibre and length being loaded into the UKSK launch tubes.
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    Post  flamming_python Tue Jun 29, 2021 7:08 am

    ALAMO wrote:Sure, as long as you are to keep it 1500km away from ashore.

    It's a mobile airbase on water, with all the capabilities that entails that of any airbase. Air defense, air superiority over adjacent zones, strikes on ground and sea targets.

    You don't want missiles hitting your airbase, whether a land-based one or a floating one, and for sure hitting the floating one will incur a lot more casualties and expense if it sinks the thing.
    However one way or the other you accept that it can happen, and that an airbase is worth it regardless as allows you to strike back faster and further, to strengthen your own defenses, and all the rest of it.

    Whether it's close to the shore or not is sadly irrelevant. We are getting into the era of air and naval launched anti-ship missiles with ranges of 1000-2000km. There are submarines that can slip through undetected and sink the carrier.

    It's a risk you accept, just as you do for the rest of your ships. Else what's the alternative, keep everything in port, or send out a big naval taskforce without any air cover whatsoever?

    If we're talking about WW3, then of course they're all big targets that will be prioritized to be sunk. But so then will everything else be too. So too will all your land bases be hit with tons of munitions.

    I think the American mistake is purely that of featuring them so prominently in doctrine and investing so many resources into them. It's a huge sink of money to have 10-12 carrier air groups. That's at least 6-7 being ready for action at any given time. If you end up in a situation where you need that many simultaneously, you're probably better off relying on long-range cruise missile strikes and so on anyway.

    A carrier can be attached to a naval taskforce to give it an air defense umbrella. It can be used in conjunction with some large landing operation to establish air superiority and carry out precision strikes; for Russia that might be relevant if the Kurils are taken over. It can used to help friendly countries under attack to bolster their capabilities without needing to establish a whole extra airbase; as they tried to test the Kuznetsov out for in Syria.
    But in this case you don't need a large amount of carriers. 3 or so should do.

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    Post  ALAMO Tue Jun 29, 2021 9:58 am

    You are mixing the meaning of what I have said.
    First, we must distinguish whos carriers we are to consider.
    I was addressing the US/UK/France ones. As long as those would be used for colonial-style gunboat diplomacy.
    Russian or Chinese carriers would not care much about the on-land opponents, as none of them possess now antiship assets reaching further than 300km. From this perspective, the carrier obviously will fulfill its objectives by providing air cover to the fleet, and release air domination strikes or patrols in the desired area.
    But the US carrier group operating at any of the theatres that are potentially relevant will face the opposite.
    They will face deeply echeloned on-land anti-ship strike assets. Both North Korea and Iran can reach by approx. 1000 km from its shores, using dedicated ballistic and cruise missiles, and the stocks of them are vastly bigger than those on hand by a carrier group. They can simply "outshoot" them.
    Facing China, the strike distance goes up to 1500 km for DF21, and it can be applied to the opponent from several directions once he enters the China Sea.
    For Russia, this line is pushed even more to the ocean. Kinzhal can attack a target located 2500 km away from the shore while still under cover of its own anti-air and ECM measures.
    That makes them simply useless in the theatres we may consider as potentially important, leaving the ones that are protected by the natives with no serious anti-ship capabilities. With bows&arrows, as I have said.

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