eehnie Thu Nov 17, 2016 4:12 am
According to the last reports it seems that the BTR-152 is exhausted in the continental Asia, and as consequence would not be available to come to Syria.
This is what I would expect to be supplied to Syria from third countries without count Russia (Iran surely has a key role). It is more about what Syria can have than about what Syria needs. With big Armed Forces to supply, this what Syria can find at the lowest price to avoid to send their soldiers to fight only with civil trucks and portable/man-portable weapons. In most of the cases the number of units available in the continental Asia would be low.
Heavy Towed Weapons:
076mm ZIS-3
152mm ML-20
160mm M-43
152mm D-1
085mm D-44
122mm M-30
160mm M-160
085mm D-48
057mm S-60
122mm D-74
130mm M-46
152mm D-20
SA-2
SA-5
082mm Vasilek (also from Russia)
023mm ZU-23-2 (also from Russia)
SA-3
Mobile Land Warfare:
100mm SU-100
240mm BM-24
T-34
BTR-40
PT-76
BTR-50
SA-9
085mm ASU-85
Air Warfare:
Il-28 (H-5)
MiG-15 (FT-2)
MiG-17 (FT-5)
Tu-16 (H-6)
MiG-19 (J-6, F-6, Q-5, A-5, FT-6,...)
As commented, to have more modern warfare retired by Russia like
Su-7,
FROG-7,
T-54,
T-62,
T-55,
MiG-21,
T-64 or to have warfare present in the Russian Armed Forces, surely Syria would need to pay more.
In the refered to Russia, Syria very likely exhausted its capability of purchasing modern warfare. Today the relation would be more about external aid, than about purchases of warfare. In this context, we can understand the direct military operation, and also the transfers of material that we can expect today. To remind it:
This is what I would expect to see moved
to Syria from the Russian Armed Forces:
023mm 1960 ZU-23-2 (Until to be totally exhausted in the Russian Armed Forces).
082mm 1970 Vasilek (Until to be totally exhausted in the Russian Armed Forces).
Iveco LMV (Until to be totally exhausted in the Russian Armed Forces. It would continue present in other non-military Russian security forces).
152mm 1975 Giatsint-B
120mm 1986 Nona-K
122mm 1960 D-30
100mm 1961 (M)T-12
152mm 1987 Msta-B
Su-25
BM-21
And this is what I would expect to see moved
to Syria from other Russian security forces:
122mm 1960 D-30 (Until to be totally exhausted in the Russian security forces).
MI-24/25/35 (Until to be totally exhausted in the Russian security forces).
Ka-27/28/29/31/32/35 (Until to be totally exhausted in the Russian security forces).
BPM-97
Vodnik
It is possible that the third movement has been completed at this point.
The main reasons to include the Su-25 and the helicopters would be that Russia may want to tranfer to Syria the riskiest operations of air support and the transfer of this warfare to do it, would have very low effect in the capabilities of the Russian Aerospace Forces (the helicopters even are not part of their warfare).
Last edited by eehnie on Mon Nov 21, 2016 3:29 pm; edited 2 times in total