Russian Economy General News: #4

I don't have specific data.

But I think they're generally on the right track with their financial system realignment efforts. The (western) derivatives market is just one big ticking time bomb...when it blows, it's likely to be a much bigger disaster than the 2007/08 crisis

Now Friday 10 2015 , Ruble is waiving from 51 to 50..  
For comparisons ,before the sanctions and oil sinking in value.. early in 2014 at Sochi
the RUble value was in the 35.. when oil was at 100 and there was no sanctions. But with the war in Yemen.. if i was Russia or IRAN i will send thousands of mercenaries with weapons to Yemen
and after taking all the country ,move to Saudi Arabia and overthrow the Saudi Monarchi..  That will truly take oil prices to heaven.. we are speaking about $200 to $300 per barrel .. if Saudi Arabia becomes a war zone and its oil business interrupted. And will allow Russia to make a ton of money..courtesy of Oil-freedom fighters.. lol and recover withing just few months all the losses in 2014. .  


Ruble 'miracle' pushes 2015 gains to 15%



http://rt.com/business/248537-ruble-rebound-april-10/

Russia must gain middle and small companies better in the sense that the individual knowledge, ambitions and goal must be stimulated economic and progressed by the state with eaiser upstart-rules of the companies and easier moduls to create a company, hire people and more comfortably rules for the company to expand and grow in the Russian society.

Russia must take in account the earlier sectors of the Russian economy collpase of the economy and stimulate such sectors of the economy which can be gained before it collapsed. The Russian economy and market must be more effective and more likely open and prosper economies in Europe and for example US. The Russian economy must be stimulated by the state and the Russian economy must claim results of the individual to contribute to a more prosper Russia.

Russia must gain sectors and their oppurtunities to develop, for example the oil and gas production must be stimulated and competed internationally for Russian values. Russia should work for a less corrupt society which should be able to gain the national economy and for a fair Russia where the economic capital is distributed in a effectful, fair and gainfull way for the Russian national economy.

Russia must take in account all their natural resorces and gain them and compete them in the international competion and market. Russia must produce and import things which will gain the Russian economy, for example in the long term. Russia should work for good free trade and trade with EU for a useful outcome for the Russian economy. Russia should also work for a trade in the world which gain Russian interest. Russia should also work for a gainfull trade between Russia and China for a strong economic development in Asia.

henriksoder wrote:Russia must gain middle and small companies better in the sense that the individual knowledge, ambitions and goal must be stimulated economic and progressed by the state with eaiser upstart-rules of the companies and easier moduls to create a company, hire people and more comfortably rules for the company to expand and grow in the Russian society.

Russia must take in account the earlier sectors of the Russian economy collpase of the economy and stimulate such sectors of the economy which can be gained before it collapsed. The Russian economy and market must be more effective and more likely open and prosper economies in Europe and for example US. The Russian economy must be stimulated by the state and the Russian economy must claim results of the individual to contribute to a more prosper Russia.

Russia must gain sectors and their oppurtunities to develop, for example the oil and gas production must be stimulated and competed internationally for Russian values. Russia should work for a less corrupt society which should be able to gain the national economy and for a fair Russia where the economic capital is distributed in a effectful, fair and gainfull way for the Russian national economy.

Russia must take in account all their natural resorces and gain them and compete them in the international competion and market. Russia must produce and import things which will gain the Russian economy, for example in the long term. Russia should work for good free trade and trade with EU for a useful outcome for the Russian economy. Russia should also work for a trade in the world which gain Russian interest. Russia should also work for a gainfull trade between Russia and China for a strong economic development in Asia.

What?

None of that really made much sense.

Russia already has whatever they can do to provide assistance to small and medium companies with tax exemptions for 2 - 3 years.

Nice

90% of the outflow of capital from Russia - repayment of foreign debts

Recall that capital outflows totaled $ 32.6 billion, of which $ 29.8 billion - repayment of debt owed ​​to foreign banks and $ 2.9 billion - a reduction of financial assets

9 Reasons Why The Russia Ruble Is The Best Performing Currency Year-To-Date

Viktor wrote:Nice      

90% of the outflow of capital from Russia - repayment of foreign debts

Recall that capital outflows totaled $ 32.6 billion, of which $ 29.8 billion - repayment of debt owed ​​to foreign banks and $ 2.9 billion - a reduction of financial assets

Once they pay off their debts, then all money will be for themselves.  I am afraid of what the future will be though before they can pay it off.  Like if US will try to destabilize Russia through Ukraine or try to start a war.

flamming_python wrote:I'm worried about the strengthening rouble

We were just beggining to see a raft of articles about how Russian exports have started booming and all sorts of new plans

And now Russian goods are fast rising in price for international buyers..

True. But as long as it stays in the late 40's to 50's, it should be good. Now Russia is exporting furniture as well.

http://sdelanounas.ru/blogs/60756/ The value of the ruble is still quite low, so the goods are still quite cheap.

Rouble shouldn't appreciate greatly it can harm its economy . Till 45 is ok . US can't do anything else now to destabilize russia except war . and we all know US with navy alone can take care of Russia let alone CSTO .

max steel wrote:Rouble shouldn't appreciate greatly it can harm its economy . Till 45 is ok . US can't do anything else now to destabilize russia except war . and we all know US with navy alone can take care of Russia let alone CSTO .

They can? You sure about that?

Yeah man don't ya know they have much more stronger and advanced navy with their SSGN hiding under polar cap and near japan in pacific targetting Valadivostok and Moscow . Don't forget their aNTI-SUB TECHS . They will first blow your subs then you'll see the wrath of Tridents and UGM-27 Polaris missile .

They'll send their navy right up to Belarus's shores presumably.

Belarus ? Too astute dude . They will even enter Caspian Sea .

The ruble has decoupled from WTI prices over the last three months.

To me this looks like the speculator attack on the ruble has fizzled away. It's previous decline was way too tightly coupled to the
oil price compared to other oil dependent economies (that would actually be Canada even if it is claimed otherwise). The numbskulls
realized that the ruble collapse was equivalent to import barriers and export subsidy: a recipe for Russian economic growth and
development. So now we are going to see over-valuing of the ruble. The ruble should be about 55 to the dollar.

Why didn't canada's or norway's currencies which are far more dependant on oil than russia fall very little or not at all?

Canada is struggling with its economy too . Not good for pripaganda . Even norway is facing some issues , forgot what were they but will let you know .

kvs wrote:To me this looks like the speculator attack on the ruble has fizzled away.   It's previous decline was way too tightly coupled to the
oil price compared to other oil dependent economies (that would actually be Canada even if it is claimed otherwise).    The numbskulls
realized that the ruble collapse was equivalent to import barriers and export subsidy: a recipe for Russian economic growth and
development.  So now we are going to see over-valuing of the ruble.   The ruble should be about 55 to the dollar.

I think Ruble is headed to its natural position. But the sweet spot is probably 55 rub/usd.

kvs wrote:To me this looks like the speculator attack on the ruble has fizzled away.

Yep definately. They no longer have the financial resources to match their ambitions.

It will be tough for a year or two till the economy adjusts to the new conditions, but it doesn't look it will be as bad as some predicted a few months ago.

As for the "western partners" trying to do something, I'm sure they will do their best...some analysts believe they will try to destabilise Central Asia next to prevent a meaningful Eurasian integration and China's Silk Roads strategy. That way they will attack Russia from 2 fronts (Ukraine and C. Asia) at the same time.

Cyberspec wrote:

kvs wrote:To me this looks like the speculator attack on the ruble has fizzled away.

Yep definately. They no longer have the financial resources to match their ambitions.

It will be tough for a year or two till the economy adjusts to the new conditions, but it doesn't look it will be as bad as some predicted a few months ago.

As for the "western partners" trying to do something, I'm sure they will do their best...some analysts believe they will try to destabilise Central Asia next to prevent a meaningful Eurasian integration and China's Silk Roads strategy. That way they will attack Russia from 2 fronts (Ukraine and C. Asia) at the same time.

That is a very good point. NATO wants to disrupt the formation of a new silk road that will bind Asia into a powerful economic entity and link Europe with it. For sure NATO's agents are trying to stage colour revolutions in Central Asia to establish a barricade composed of NATO bootlick regimes.

sepheronx wrote:

kvs wrote:To me this looks like the speculator attack on the ruble has fizzled away.   It's previous decline was way too tightly coupled to the
oil price compared to other oil dependent economies (that would actually be Canada even if it is claimed otherwise).    The numbskulls
realized that the ruble collapse was equivalent to import barriers and export subsidy: a recipe for Russian economic growth and
development.  So now we are going to see over-valuing of the ruble.   The ruble should be about 55 to the dollar.

I think Ruble is headed to its natural position. But the sweet spot is probably 55 rub/usd.

Which means shitty nominal GDP and financial power? I know that nominal GDP is just a number and low value has its positives, but it still doesn't seem... right. Russia is not a fucking Spain (no offence to Spain).

Kimppis wrote:

sepheronx wrote:

kvs wrote:To me this looks like the speculator attack on the ruble has fizzled away.   It's previous decline was way too tightly coupled to the
oil price compared to other oil dependent economies (that would actually be Canada even if it is claimed otherwise).    The numbskulls
realized that the ruble collapse was equivalent to import barriers and export subsidy: a recipe for Russian economic growth and
development.  So now we are going to see over-valuing of the ruble.   The ruble should be about 55 to the dollar.

I think Ruble is headed to its natural position. But the sweet spot is probably 55 rub/usd.

Which means shitty nominal GDP and financial power? I know that nominal GDP is just a number and low value has its positives, but it still doesn't seem... right. Russia is not a fucking Spain (no offence to Spain).

True, Spain has a more diverse economy than Russia.