Isos Thu Oct 14, 2021 4:17 pm
Hole wrote:There were more syrian soldiers killed yesterday by rotten food then by this strike. Israel spend 50 million to destroy material worth 500 bucks.
From the satelitte images their targets look a lot like outdoor W.C.
Iranian have access to much more ressources than hezbollah or Hamas. They know when there is no spy satelittes above their heads when they move their stuff. Israeli can't know what is where.
Iran also control large zone with their militias so ground intel is impossible.
Russia doesn't care or get involved in all of that, they probably help Iran passively by detecting israeli planes before they attack which give precious minutes to them but that's all. And Iran is OK with that, they don't depend on them.
I think everyone will be surprised by all the missiles they have send in Syria and Yemen.
Most likely scenario is :
- Israel push US for talks with Iran to stop escalation (but never admit this openly).
- It fails
- US not going at war or attacking Iranian nuk program for Israel
- Israel attacks alone and most likely fails
- Iran counter attacks with all the missiles it has in Syria, Lebanon and Yemen. Its nuclear power plabt very likely destroyed because israeli would attack iranian nuk plants.
Israel doesn't want to face Russia or make them angry even if Israel is more powerful than the russians in Syria because that could lead to a tighter military cooperation with Hezbollah and Iran. They would arm them with cruise missiles and other stuff that would make them much harder to face.
A war Israel vs Russia is impossible because Russia, since it can't win conventionnally there would use tactical nuks against them and even a small nuk would be fatal to such small country.