What is the total number of Israeli jets shot down by arab fighters in October 1973?
What was the true outcome of the October 14, 1973 air battle ("battle of Mansoura")?
How many IAF jets were knocked down by SAMs in that war?
ahmedfire wrote:Well it depends on which sources you gonna for .
Many Egyptian soldiers saw an Israeli tanks with 100 km meter which means it's just came from US factories .
Actually Israelis aircrafts and tanks were superior in range and firepower and replacement for the destroyed one .
Previously you said the IAF lost 140 jets to SAMs and 17 went down in the air battle on the 14th. If you read Pollack and Cooper your get a different take entirely.
They were superior to arab counterparts.
ahmedfire wrote:
Yes and Pollback will convince me also that US went to liberate Iraq and destroy her WMD , not going for oil of course.
He also said that the second wave was cancelled because the high loss of the first wave but David Nicolle said it was cancelled because first wave was succeesful , he also said that Mansurah air battle was a great vectory to Egypt !
After some time ,IAF sent more 60 aircrafts F-4E & A-4 , EAF satrted to intercept them using 40 Mig-21 aircraft
IDF again sent more Phantoms and skeyhawks ,EAF sent more MIGs to intercept them .
In total there were 120 Israeli aircrafts and 62 Egyptian aircrafts .
Israeli's sources said they lost 7 aircrafts
of course i believe the EAF reports that 17 IDF and 6 EAF were destroyed and that's a double victory to EAF .
No need for Pollack and Cooper because i met the guys who did the battle and listened from them with a lot of passion .
Add to this that US was supplying Israel with new aircrafts to replace the destroyed one which means Isreal's failure was doubled because they had everything to defeat Egypt and keep Sinai occupied but they couldn't do that .
Pollack relied on Arab and Israeli sources. It's true that much of his other writings are garbage, but his views on arab-Israeli fighting, while not perfect, appear fairly objective.
Where did Nicolle say that? Wasn't he just quoting arab sources?
I've seen that version in the ACIG and certain books but the latest research, in Cooper's The First Nuclear War... says the IAF attacking force totaled only about 27 Phantoms.
No, they say they lost just 1 Phantom, shot down by accident. In my opinion the claim that it was downed by a Mirage by mistake is fishy, but Cooper didn't challenge this version.
Cooper says there's no good evidence for any of the EAF claims of the 14th. I mean, where is the wreckage of just one Phantom, downed and photographed that day? His book shows Israeli photos of Wakeel's MIG-21 being downed.
Cooper interviewed them too. By the way, I first saw those pics in Both Sides of the Suez back in 1975. Smile
Egypt was lucky the war didn't continue beyond the 24th….
ahmedfire wrote:Previously you said the IAF lost 140 jets to SAMs and 17 went down in the air battle on the 14th. If you read Pollack and Cooper your get a different take entirely.
Yes and Pollback will convince me also that US went to liberate Iraq and destroy her WMD , not going for oil of course.
He also said that the second wave was cancelled because the high loss of the first wave but David Nicolle said it was cancelled because first wave was succeesful , he also said that Mansurah air battle was a great vectory to Egypt !
Actually Israel's tactics to attack the airports were expected by Egyptians .
Israel's plan depended on three stages , first is a wave of fighters to draw the Egyptian interceptors away from the target they need to destroy . Second stage was the suppression wave with an escort designed to crush the Egyptian air defences .Third would be the main attacking force to destroy the targets .
First they sent 20 Phantom and when Egyptian radars noticed that , the Air force commander gave order for 16 Mig-21 to make a defence umberlla but not go far and search for Israeli's aircrafts (because he knows the goal of first enemy wave ) .
After some time ,IAF sent more 60 aircrafts F-4E & A-4 , EAF satrted to intercept them using 40 Mig-21 aircraft
IDF again sent more Phantoms and skeyhawks ,EAF sent more MIGs to intercept them .
In total there were 120 Israeli aircrafts and 62 Egyptian aircrafts .
Israeli's sources said they lost 7 aircrafts and downed 15 EAF aircrafts, ok let's assume that's true, so what ? is that a victory ?! I mean 120 VS 62 and they failed to destoy the airports or to destroy the EAF although IAF had the advantages in numbers ,range and armament ?! well that's a total failure . of course i believe the EAF reports that 17 IDF and 6 EAF were destroyed and that's a double victory to EAF .
No need for Pollack and Cooper because i met the guys who did the battle and listened to them with a lot of passion .
They were superior to arab counterparts.
Of course , they had Phantom that was superior over Mig-21 in Payload (7:1) and range( one hour flight for MIG , 4 hours for Phantom ) and radar detection range.
Add to this that US was supplying Israel with new aircrafts to replace the destroyed one which means Isreal's failure was doubled because they had everything to defeat Egypt and keep Sinai occupied but they couldn't do that .
ahmedfire wrote:
Most of the books from every source said that Egypt first attack wave was suceeded , so when Pollack come and say no ,so it shows how much he is biased .
And Air force commander said the numbers i mentioned and Nicolle put it in his book .
Israel thought she can did the same thing of 1967 , attacking Egypt's airports and destroy it but they failed and lost aircrafts .
Really ? giving random photos at 1973 with bad aircrafts's camera quality ?!
I don't know whose he interviewed but i checked all Egyptian books which he didn't mention main facts from it , he needs to show he is academic but he is completely biased .
Hahahahaha , Israelis tried to occupy Suez , they went with tanks and full armored units and they fight with some policemen and civilians
IDF lost 80 soldiers and 13 tanks and one armored vehicle ,then they Withdraw
Also they failed to occupy Ismailya , and then EGY army collected more forces from central area and rebuild some destroyed SAM sites , before ceasefire the EGY forces surrounded IDF forces in west bank , it was 2:1 in quantity for the Egyptians , and EGY forces put the plan to cut the last IDF supplies road ( only 10 km width,IDF supplies should travel 300 km to supply their forces ) and attack the IDF forces with every firepower they got from 5 directions , IAF can't support because the SAMs were built again .
This only as a result of some attacks on the surrounded IDF . Even after the UN Security Council ceasefire decision , EGY forces attacked and did major losses on IDF , that's why the IDF forces put 750,000 mines on the way to them , they were afraid from the coming attack , but the final ceasefire decision came up .
The main questions are ;
Since when Israel agree to ceasefire and withdraw from the area in case if she winning the battle ?!!
If Israel won so why they withdraw from Sinai 60,000 km2 that consider as a strategic depth for the small Israel area ?
Israel got the best weapons , unlimited supply from US but they withdrawed from 60,000 km2 which means they failed to do the job .
That's a failed surprise attack by israeli.
I didagree about the f-4 Mig 21 comparison. Mig 21 is an interceptor guided by ground. It doesn't need lot of fuel neither a big radar. Both point would make it a big aircraft. To counter this israeli tactic it was the best plane they could have. Israel come very close to their airbases leting the egyptian have the advantage, many radars that could guide the mig 21 in the 6 of any f4.
Sending their mig-21 to make an ambrella above their airbases worked but they could have down many more aircraft if they used the mig-21 as it was designed for and let them intercept the phantoms from behind with air defence destroyig the remaining bombers.
Back in the time they didn't had stand off weapons and needed to come in range of even AAA to make a successful bombing. Egyptian had all they needed on the ground to deal with the bombers. The sa-6 would have destroyed them easily.
Every source, including Israeli? Smile
Again the most up to date research by Cooper, gives a much different version.
Not all aircrafts were inside shelters and it was enough for Israelis if they could destroy the airports itself and ground radars to get the aircrafts out of service for a month at least , but they failed too to do that .They knew the situation was different from '67 because of hardened aircraft shelters.
The quality of the pics showing Wakeel's MIG going down in flames was clear enough. But regarding EAF claims I meant photos of Phantom wreckage from the 14th.
No his latest book is objective, including accounts from IAF pilots and Egyptians like Musa.
There were neither EGY tanks , armored vehicles nor anti tank teams , only some civilians with some old RPGs , all Israel sources said it was a big mistake to try to conquer Suez , 80 Israeli soldiers were killed ( including 20 tank commanders ) . Also some Egyptian policemen were killed .Na, Suez was defended by some men from the 4rth armored division and IIRC 6th mechanized and 19th infantry. They had RPGs which civilians and cops don't have.
They withdrew from Suez but the two divisions in the 3rd army bridgehead were still cut off from supplies. As Dupuy wrote, within a week, logistical strangulation and Israeli bombing would've overcome Badawy's command. (The EAF had to squander a lot of MIG-21s on the 24th because there was no longer any SAM cover for the 3rd.) B the 24th, the Egyptians needed a ceasefire to prevent the destruction of 3rd army.
In November 1973 the Israelis pulled many units out of their bridgehead and sent them back to Sinai where they could more directly confront the 3rd army bridgehead. The Egyptians had a plan to wipe out the depleted Israeli forces west of the canal, but it was a risky proposition given the precarious state of 3rd army. Cairo was wise to opt for a political settlement.
Political pressure, from Washington as well as the UN. The Israelis wanted to continue the war to finish the 3rd and were disgusted it was stopped.
US pressure and Egypt's decision to make a separate peace...
They depended on Uncle sam for help but they also failed .Militarily they did well but dependence on the US meant they had to go along.
Again the most up to date research by Cooper, gives a much different version.
GarryB wrote:Again the most up to date research by Cooper, gives a much different version.
I remember chatting to Tom on a forum in the 2000s.... I think it was the Key Publishing forum... I think his username was Coop, sounded like the usual American ex Navy guy... thought the F-14 was wonderful, but ironically that seemed to have led to him not hating the Iranians as much as most American military types did and do. That is the problem with the west... you have to keep up to date to know who is the current bad guy and who is not... lots of Americans got caught out with 11/9... one day they were helping the Taleban fighting the pro soviet side in Afghanistan and then the next day they were the bad guys... make sure you have a seat when the music stops or you could be in trouble...
He also hated the MiG-29 with a passion... honestly I didn't really have much time for the guy... he was a stereotype and didn't always seem so interested in the truth... he seemed to apply the old measure of if it sounded too good to be true then it was probably a lie, while anything bad about Soviet or Russian technology must be true.
ahmedfire wrote:Mossad chief in Yom Kippur War said that A week after the war, Israel had lost a third of its Air Force and a third of its tanks
Not all aircrafts were inside shelters and it was enough for Israelis if they could destroy the airports itself and ground radars to get the aircrafts out of service for a month at least , but they failed too to do that .
There are tens of Phantom photos which destroyed , you can choose some of them and consider it was from 14th ,the same what Israel did .
There were neither EGY tanks , armored vehicles nor anti tank teams , only some civilians with some old RPGs
This was before the rearrangement of Egyptian air defences and surround the Israeli force(that surrounded some Egyptian forces ) , The Egyptian forces that were dedicated to attack the IDF forces (that surrounded another EGY forces) had the advantage in numbers ( 2 :1 ) in all type of weapons which gave Egyptians a very good chance to start the attack from 5 directions on the Israeli forces , at that time as I said before EGY forces did
439 attack
n total on the surrounded enemy forces which caused :
187 Israeli soldiers get killed
11 aircrafts shoot down
41 tanks/armored vehicle get destroyed
36 bulldozer / engineering unit get destroyed .
That’s why Israelis digged tunnels (width 7m and depth 5 m) to prevent the EGY tanks from attacking them , they also put 750,000 anti armor mines , this is a situation of forces that tried to defend themselves from Egyptian's attacks , IDF was waiting the ceasefire to avoid being killed ,even after ceasefire the Egyptians did some hits (but Israelis didn’t) which means Egyptians were in a good situation.
... if there is no ceasefire ,Egyptians would destroy 3 IDF armored divisions .
Is this the same US that sent durin war 22,325 tons of tanks, artillery, ammunition, and supplies to Israel ?
US knew the situation by satellite images , they know IDF was surrounded in the west and kissinger threatened directly the Egyptian president " if you attacked the Israeli forces on the west , we "U.S" will attack you ".
They depended on Uncle sam for help but they also failed .
Those figures probably include jets and tanks put out of action only temporarily. "..pounded from Egypt, Syria and Jordan." Jordan wasn't a participant at the time, except for a few reinforcements for Syria.
They cratered runways but they were easily repaired.
One photo shows a Phantom downed on the 18th, probably part of "cracker barrel." But the Egyptians showed no photos of a Phantom downed on the 14th, even though 4-17 were claimed.
There were no tanks or saggers but men from the 19th and 4rth divisions who had RPGs.
Of course rebuilding ths SAM sites and bringing more forces from central area in cairo would take time , but at the end it happened and IAF can’t support their troops on the west bank , these troops were surrounded by double number Egyptian forces and started shelling ,bombing them separately with in total 439 attack ,after that Israel quickly agreed for the ceasefire (they rejected it before because they had advantage before the Egyptian forces were recollected and the and SAM sites rebuilt ) .But preparations to crush the Israeli bridgehead west of the canal took time; at the end of the war the Egypt, or the 3rd army specifically, was in a desperate situation.
What units carried out these attacks and what were Egyptian losses? As I wrote before, the 4rth armored and 6th mechanized suffered high losses at the end of the war, largely in failed attempts to break through.
Bro I didn’t say it was in October , it was in the end of the war .That might've been true by December but not in late October...
How and with what units??? The 4rth armored and 6th mechanized had been gravely depleted by the 24th. If the Egyptians had the capability to destroy three IDF divisions late in October, how on Earth did the Israelis advance far enough south to trap 3rd army?
Do you know that the Egyptian president in july/1972 driven out the whole soviet army experts from Egypt ? look at this it was a crazy decision , I mean the guy’s land was occupied and he driven out his closest ally who can supply him with weapons ,can Israel do that with uncle sam ?Both superpowers resupplied their clients.
Yes .He said that in December when the Egyptians had recovered enough to contemplate Shamel--or whatever the plan was called..
In some fights they did but in total they failed to restore the situation to before 6 october ,their forces were surrounded on the west which was worse if it was fighting in the east , shamel plan was about to start but US threatened to hit directly the Egyptian army if the last started the plan .In a purely military sense they won.
kvs wrote:This thread is useful for enlightening all those who only heard the western story about the events in question. The western
story, as a rule, should never be taken at face value. It is routinely loaded with propaganda agendas and bald faced fabrications.
ahmedfire wrote:Today is the memorial of Bahr El-Baqar primary school bombing , killing 46 children .
At 8-April-1970 , Israel's Phantom bombed a primary Egyptian school killing 46 children in a small village .
ahmedfire wrote:kvs wrote:This thread is useful for enlightening all those who only heard the western story about the events in question. The western
story, as a rule, should never be taken at face value. It is routinely loaded with propaganda agendas and bald faced fabrications.
The western stories depend on Israel's story only and US doesn't need stories that proves the Soviets/Russians weapons could be superior to western one , they need to claim that anyone who use US arms can defeat anyone who use Soviets/Russian arms .
This thread is useful for enlightening all those who only heard the western story about the events in question. The western
story, as a rule, should never be taken at face value. It is routinely loaded with propaganda agendas and bald faced fabrications.
ahmedfire wrote:kvs wrote:This thread is useful for enlightening all those who only heard the western story about the events in question. The western
story, as a rule, should never be taken at face value. It is routinely loaded with propaganda agendas and bald faced fabrications.
The western stories depend on Israel's story only and US doesn't need stories that proves the Soviets/Russians weapons could be superior to western one , they need to claim that anyone who use US arms can defeat anyone who use Soviets/Russian arms .
magnumcromagnon wrote:ahmedfire wrote:kvs wrote:This thread is useful for enlightening all those who only heard the western story about the events in question. The western
story, as a rule, should never be taken at face value. It is routinely loaded with propaganda agendas and bald faced fabrications.
The western stories depend on Israel's story only and US doesn't need stories that proves the Soviets/Russians weapons could be superior to western one , they need to claim that anyone who use US arms can defeat anyone who use Soviets/Russian arms .
Good work explaining the buried history of the Yom Kippur war. BTW what do you make of comments such as these?
https://www.russiadefence.net/t963p550-t-72-modernisation-and-variants#269314
And
https://www.russiadefence.net/t963p550-t-72-modernisation-and-variants#269346
ahmedfire wrote:
It was a political decision , Egyptian president just wanted to get IDF busy to less the pressure on syria , but as expected the IAF bombed the forces that moved and we lost many tanks that day
it wasn't anything clever form IDF but a stupid political decision from Egyptian president , the Egypian commanders were upset on the president ,one of them shouted on him .
This led to the crossing of IDF units from a weak point to the west bank trying to occupy two cities (they failed) and surround the Egyptian units , later the Egyptian did a counter attack and surrounded the IDF units on the west ,
did serious hits on them and was ready for the final attack to destroy three IDF armored divisions , US threatened Egypt that US army will hit directly the Egyptians if they started the attack on the IDF forces and the ceasefire was agreed .
ahmedfire wrote:
Bro, it’s not me who declared that “a week after the war, Israel had lost a third of its Air Force and a third of its tanks “, this declaration said by the Mossad Chief who was responsible during the war
As I said many of aircrafts at that area were not inside shelters . The point is Israeli’s tactics had failed in Mansourah air battle ,they failed to destroy the airports and they failed to destroy the EAF aircrafts like 1967 .
Neither Israel nor Egypt had all photos for the downed aircrafts from the other side ,simply many incidents were not filmed or recorded.
Two armored divisions (3,21).
Do you know that the Egyptian president in july/1972 driven out the whole soviet army experts from Egypt ?
look at this it was a crazy decision , I mean the guy’s land was occupied and he driven out his closest ally who can supply him with weapons ,
Air power was not the decisive factor on the 14th. It was a problem in the wadi Mabouk, about which I've blogged, but not much in other sectors, where the main problem was IDF armor. But as Cooper has written, the offensive of the 14th was essentially a "show" offensive. The Egyptian generals, who opposed Sadat's attack order as suicidal, committed as few forces as possible to prevent really disastrous losses. As Israeli sources have conceded, claims that Egypt lost 250 tanks are exaggerated.
A 3rd armored division? Laughing In '73 Egypt had two armored divisions, the 21st and 4rth.
What counterattack surrounded the Israeli units? As I wrote, Kabil was very reluctant to attack with his battered division and was stopped.
No the ceasefire was in late October. In January, after the possibility of shamel, the disengagement agreement was signed.
It's my understanding that the Egyptian generals liked the decision because it enabled them to plan and prepare in their own way without interference.
I didn't say you did. But figures I've seen in books over the years indicate Israel lost about 100 jets--between 1/4 and 1/3 of its airforce, and 400 tanks lost irrecoverably, or about a fourth of its original tank force. Btw I knew about yaguri since it happened in '73.
Of course many weren't in shelters as they rose to fight the enemy. But the EAF originally built shelters because it had only limited confidence in the ability of its AD to repel attacks. Airfields may not have been put out of action permanently but they were hit often.
Israel showed at least one pic of a jet downed over Ras nasrani--and Egypt doesn't have a single pic of an IAF jet downed near Mansourah on the 14th, of the 17 supposedly downed... Smile