The Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to form a "strike fist" in the Donetsk and Luhansk directions
Kiev does not seek to de-escalate the conflict in Donbass and continues to transfer military equipment and weapons to the line of contact. This was stated by the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry Maria Zakharova .
This is how the representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry commented on the recent blog post by the head of European diplomacy, Josep Borrell , where he writes about "Russian aggression" against Ukraine and about Kiev's "restrained reaction" to it.
“What kind of“ restrained reaction ”and, even more so,“ steps towards a settlement ”of the Kiev authorities can be spoken about in conditions when weapons and equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are actively being drawn to the contact line, and the suburbs of Donetsk are daily bombarded with Ukrainian shells and mines, which kill civilians. residents, including children? " - noted Zakharova.
The diplomat also stressed that Europe not only closes the head on the mood of Kiev to resolve the conflict in Donbass by force, but also "willy-nilly" supports them.
Earlier on the air of the Donetsk TV channel "Union", a political scientist, leader of the "Essence of Time" movement Sergei Kurginyan spoke about the fact that the tension in Donbass does not subside .
According to him, the negotiation process seems to be continuing, but the real situation remains extremely alarming. The West and Ukraine are creating more and more tensions on the border of the people's republics, and they, in the words of the expert, "do not subside, but intensify."
“From the news feed it follows that the situation is starting to smell more and more of something bad ,” stated Kurginyan.
In fact, reports of new additions to the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the so-called "OOS" zone come almost daily.
The Telegram channel "Summaries from the Novorossiya militia" with reference to the report of the OSCE special monitoring mission of April 21 and 22, informs that the Ukrainian army is transferring self-propelled howitzers and tank units to Donetsk. Fifty T-64 vehicles, this is a whole tank brigade.
Military correspondent Semyon Pegov in his TC WarGonzo writes about eight Tochka U missile systems, which the Ukrainian Armed Forces deployed in the area of the cities of Rubezhnoye and Lisichansk. According to him, the complexes arrived from the Chernihiv region along with a load of ammunition and support vehicles.
Pulling heavy equipment to the front line, the Armed Forces of Ukraine continue to simultaneously iron the territory of the DPR and LPR from artillery, mortars and heavy machine guns.
Over the past week, 29 settlements of the Donetsk People's Republic were shelled from the Ukrainian side, said the deputy head of the People's Militia of the DPR Eduard Basurin . They beat me on the outskirts of Donetsk, Gorlovka and Yasinovataya, as well as villages in the Novoazovsky district. During the shelling, two servicemen of the People's Militia of the DPR were killed. In addition, a resident of the settlement of the Trudovskaya mine was seriously wounded in the head.
The fact that Kiev is not going to calm down can be evidenced by the fact that Right Sector * is now actively recruiting volunteers into the troops.
According to the official representative of the People's Militia of the LPR Yakov Osadchiy , there is information that an agreement has been reached between the leadership of the forces of the so-called "OOS" and this nationalist organization to replenish the units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the expense of right-wing radicals in the event of active hostilities.
That is, the situation is really alarming. And the withdrawal of Russian troops from the southwestern borders to their main bases, which began on April 23, did not in the least defuse the situation. Moreover, the insane leadership of Ukraine took credit for this and is now rushing into battle with even greater zeal.
In such a situation, will the people's republics have what to answer?
- The situation in Donbass is now really tense, I would even say, stably tense, - military expert Vladislav Shurygin shares his opinion . “But this tension is not yet on the scale that, for example, was a year ago before the conclusion of the summer truce.
Moreover, if Ukraine nevertheless decides to carry out what it tried, but was scared, and now thought that Russia, perhaps, withdrew its troops and could be in time, then this will be exactly what the president was talking about. There will be no present Ukraine in the form in which we know it.
And they will drive at least eight Tochka complexes on the way, at least ten, fifty or eighty thousand will be their army ...
We have a whole Western District and three Russian armies nearby, not counting two Donetsk corps. If someone in this case has some kind of crazy illusion, then let them try. They will be left without an army at all and without "Tochki".
By itself, weapons do not fight. The system is at war. The military system of Russia and the Ukrainian military system, they are not comparable, approximately, like the "Zaporozhets" with a tank.
Nobody thinks that the United States will seriously fight with us over Ukraine. They will begin to urge - it will be what I have already said. They will not, Ukraine itself will not jerk forward.
I repeat: we have already said everything that needs to be said. Yes, we are now returning troops to their places of permanent deployment. This point of permanent deployment is located at a distance of 100-200 km from the places where they were. To return them back is two or three days.
To be honest, I would even cynically dream that Ukraine would still take and twitch. Then, finally, this abscess will be finally opened.
Director of the Center for Public and Information Cooperation "Europe" Eduard Popov, in turn, believes that in the near future there will be no full-scale hostilities in the Donbass.
- Some experts perceive the concentration of Ukrainian troops, the intensification of shelling as preparation for war. This is the wrong criterion. War usually starts out of the blue. Let's remember the attack of Nazi Germany on the USSR.
Therefore, if Ukraine now wanted to attack, it would not intensify the shelling and would not so demonstratively pull reserves to the line of contact of the parties, but did it covertly, masking the concentration of troops. Ukraine, on the contrary, does everything in a demonstrative and deliberate manner.
In my opinion, this is a threat of pressure. The threat of war, which is often worse than the war itself.
Zelenskiy is a weak politician, but he is not an idiot. War is contraindicated for him, he remembers the experience of Georgia. He is quite satisfied with the current situation - no war, no peace.
As soon as something starts, he, at best, will be removed from power, and at worst he will, like Saakashvili , chew his tie and try to escape to the West. Therefore, why should he risk his position, and, perhaps, his life.
"SP" - So Zelensky does not decide whether to be at war or not. He is not an independent figure.
- It is clear that decisions on Ukraine are made not in Ukraine, but in Washington. But for the Americans, the war with Russia by the hands of the Ukrainians is now also unprofitable.
It seems to me that the new US administration and Russia are bargaining over a very complex and wide range of issues. Therefore, they are unlikely to want to break the dialogue that has just begun. Their goal is to push Russia on the strategic front, at different levels, at different points of contact and theaters of military operations.
Ukraine will be let off the leash if the dialogue ends in nothing for the Americans and they do not get what they want.
Kiev is just waiting in the wings. And the Americans are holding their finger on a button called "Start the war in the Donbass." But the time has not yet come to press it.
Ukraine is just an American weapon, blind, obedient, inexpensive.
"SP": - It turns out that the threat of military escalation remains in any case?
- Yes, but precisely in the context of the war of Ukraine against Russia. I said that this is a matter of time six years ago.
And, perhaps, I will nevertheless tend to the point of view that, most likely, this will happen this year. But until the Americans try to get the maximum concessions from Moscow, they will not give the order to the Ukrainian jackals to launch an offensive in the Donbass.
Now it is not profitable for them. Because Donbass is for Biden as a factor of pressure on Moscow. And if everything goes into a military phase, then this factor will cease to be a factor of influence on Russia.
Russia will stand up for Donbass. There can be no doubt.
The Americans understand this, so it is more profitable for them to threaten Russia with the threat of war in the Donbass, and not start it. But it will begin if the dialogue does not lead to the desired result in the understanding of the Americans. In other words, Russia must resignedly accept all the conditions put forward by the American side.
"SP": - They are counting on it in vain ...
- They are counting in vain. But they will push through. Including using the so-called "liberal intelligentsia". In Russia, the mass of officials, professors and heads of universities are the American "fifth column". And the Ukrainian agents, which will undoubtedly support Kiev, are full not only in the capital's universities, but also in the regions.
The Americans are also well aware of this and are already using it to sway the internal political situation in the country from within.
And the war will start suddenly and, most likely, with the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Donbass, because Donbass is the weak link. He cannot cope with Ukraine alone.
The Ukrainian army is no longer the same as in 2014; it has significantly increased its combat experience and combat readiness. The first breakthrough parts have been created there, they are very professional and motivated. Americans, British, Canadians, French, Poles trained Ukrainian soldiers, especially saboteurs, for a reason. Therefore, if a clash occurs, then the events of 2014 will seem like an easy reconnaissance in force in terms of the level of losses.
* Ukrainian extremist and terrorist organizations banned in the Russian Federation: "Right Sector", "Ukrainian Insurgent Army" (UPA), "UNA-UNSO", "Mejlis of the Crimean Tatar people", "Brotherhood" of Korchinsky, "Tryzub im. Stepan Bandera ”,“ Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists ”(OUN), C14 (Sich), VO“ Svoboda ”.
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