ATLASCUB Tue Feb 22, 2022 2:38 pm
Putin and cadre want the administrative borders.
Some Russian MP's got no idea what's going on, or are chicken shitting their pants and believe the recognition goes as far as the contact line demarcation.
Sanctions are in full swing. From all Russian MPs, to NS2, to "entities" yet to be revealed, to financial access to Europe, etc.. more measures, and the details will obviously come online as they're "voted" upon.
Ukrops are not making a forward move into the Donbas (they're not biting the casus belli), which means they may well pose and act as a sacrificial lamb in defending the current demarcation and contact line (aka "Ukranian sovereignty"). Perfect for selling the Russian aggression narrative if Russia decides to evict them to the administrative borders.
The Operation is so far a Georgia 2.0 OP, of which the U.S/UK have clearly gamed well (they actually let it out loud they preferred this scenario - and baited for this scenario). Where it goes from here is another thing entirely.
Germans and French fall in line. If the reunification of Germany and ascension into NATO after the collapse of the USSR, on what should have been a neutral state wasn't a wake up call about where Germany's loyalty lies, I'm not sure what you'll ever need to grasp the reality.
Moreover, the Ukrainian puppet regime is as much a German project as it's an anglo-saxon one. The Union State and Eurasian Economic Union can not move West! "Over their dead bodies". You can believe that.
Keeping a zombified Kiev alive is the play. Nothing much in the chessboard has changed except a necessary measure on a chunk of Ukranian territory was taken by the Kremlin, which has resulted in economic and political costs for Russia. Kiev, as a client regime is still alive - as the anti-Russian project that it's. As such, Russia has not yet put an end definitively to the anti-Russian project in historical Russian lands, and as such it will continue to linger, doing what it's meant to do... serve as a source of tension, destabilization and staging area for anti-Russian activity.
Last edited by ATLASCUB on Tue Feb 22, 2022 3:00 pm; edited 4 times in total