I guess it was well known they will loose them so they send the oldest ones. Now that they fixed ukrainians on their positions and have updated maps they will sebd in better stuff.
Russian special military operation in Ukraine #2
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I guess it was well known they will loose them so they send the oldest ones. Now that they fixed ukrainians on their positions and have updated maps they will sebd in better stuff.
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US Drones Were Likely in the Air During Ukrainian Attack on Russian Ships, MoD Says
Where the hell is the Russian response, this is becoming infuriating
They think this is a goddamn game, we are at global war level
Last edited by Arkanghelsk on Sat Feb 26, 2022 4:25 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Ispan wrote:Just one question I noticed.
The Donbass war was fought without aviation as soon as the few Ukrainian attack planes were shot down, but now, where is the Russian air force?
Aren't helicopters and shturmoviks flying missoins in support of the breakthrough in Donbass front?
why aren't interdiction strikes on Ukrainian columns moving around? I think some of it has been seen already.
I guess they were just in the phase of suppresion of air defenses and now they will move to ground support missions.
Or perhaps don't want to use the full firepower yet to give the ukrop soldiers a chance to surrender and avoid unneccessary casualties.
Probably that's why we haven't yet seen the heavy artillery, the Pion, the Tyulpand and the Buratino .. though probably some of that has been used in the breakthrough of the Ukrop lines in Donbass.
I'm not sure, but it might be such a simple thing as the weather, I have not had a detailed look on what kind of cloud cover there is in the area during the war.
Looking at the aeronautical weather report from rostov the cloud level is broken at 700 to 2000 feet. Keeping that low doing targeted CAS how it is done today is not easy. Especially not with manpads around. They are effective up to about 10000 feet. The Russian CAS works differently then NATO CAS, and is better in some regards, worse in some regard. It is less complex and under good conditions more flexible due to being more lax in control. But in bad weather it is a drawback it is more dependent on the pilot seeing and finding the target in a mor manual way. I just also want to add. NATO cas would also be degraded in these conditions, FLIR pods do not see thru clouds either.
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The helicopter-led attack by Russian paratroopers on the Hostomel airfield north of Kyiv on Thursday started a daring operation whose success could have significantly boosted Moscow’s hope of seizing control of Kyiv in a lightning assault.
But the recapture of the heavily strategic runway by Ukrainian special forces after more than 10 hours of intense fighting underscored both the level of Ukraine’s resistance and the high-risk nature of Russia’s invasion strategy that has so far brought mixed results, said intelligence officials and defence analysts.
“What’s clear is that if Moscow had hopes of quick and easy gains, they were terribly optimistic,” said Michael Kofman, a senior research scientist at CNA, a Washington-based think-tank. “Some of the big risks taken by the Russian military . . . don’t appear driven by sensible operational requirements . . . Moscow’s thinking on this war seems to have been coloured by war optimism.”
Those early disappointments were still only likely to delay, rather than change, Russia’s ultimate goal of capturing Kyiv and unseating the administration of Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky, said western officials.
Russian forces eventually recaptured and held Hostomel, in Kyiv’s north-west suburbs, on Friday but only after significant damage to the airstrip. Moscow had targeted the airfield with the intention of using it to fly in large numbers of assault troops aimed at a swift capture of the capital. Those airborne deployments were instead diverted to an airfield in Belarus, 250km away, and forced to travel south by land.
The initial failure to capture and hold Hostomel has played a major role in Russia’s slower than hoped advance on Kyiv, western officials said, adding that Russia has also made less progress in the first two days of the war than Moscow had expected in the east of the country.
“The Putin plan was a short, decisive victory. A lot of guys were saying it’ll take five minutes, or two hours, and Ukraine will collapse. Well, they’re not. The coming week is going to be really decisive,” said Pavel Felgenhauer, a Russian military expert.
The early stages of Russia’s invasion had a heavy focus on airborne troops. The attack began with intense cruise missile strikes on key Ukrainian defence assets, including more than a dozen airfields, followed by assaults by special forces and paratroopers on key landing sites, such as Hostomel, that would have facilitated the rapid deployment of more troops.
Western officials cautioned that Russian military commanders may now shift from that targeted approach to a broader ground assault, noting that the Kremlin has so far deployed less than half of the close to 200,000 troops that it had assembled on the borders of Ukraine in preparation for the invasion.
“In the Kremlin they will now be reflecting on the plan not going as it was thought, and there will be all sorts of challenges around the logistics of supporting sustained combat they were not expecting,” James Heappey, UK armed forces minister, said on Saturday.
Heappey told the BBC that in response to the setbacks Russia could increase the use of heavy artillery bombardment. “What lies ahead for Ukraine are days of utter brutality,” he said.
On Saturday afternoon, Ukraine still controlled much of the capital, despite some Russian incursions to the north and west of the city and heavy fighting overnight, including some artillery strikes on residential buildings.
“Ukrainians have been defending extremely bravely and with enormous courage,” said one western official, but cautioned that Russia’s significantly larger military capabilities meant that Ukraine’s resistance could not last indefinitely.
“We held firm . . . We have withstood and successfully repelled enemy attacks,” Zelensky said on Saturday afternoon in a televised address to the nation. “We broke their plan.”
Ukraine has claimed it has destroyed more than 100 Russian tanks and killed 3,500 Russian troops. Military claims of losses on both sides cannot be independently verified.
Felgenhauer said one key victory that the Kremlin hoped for — a warm welcome from Ukrainians who see Russia as their historical brothers — had dramatically failed to materialise.
“Maybe they believe their own propaganda that the Ukrainians will meet the Russian liberators with flowers, that the Ukrainian military will lay down their arms and everything will be nicely all wrapped up in several days, which is apparently not happening,” he said.
“And that’s the main problem . . . The Ukrainian people see that they can fight back,” he added. “This war could become a very serious problem for Russia.”
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From my country: translated to english "Russia threatens to crash ISS on Europe"
https://www.telegraaf.nl/nieuws/9336733/russen-dreigen-met-laten-neerstorten-van-iss-op-europa
To top it off, it is an paid article if you want to read it......the propaganda
Can somebody go get me out of Jim Jones his Jonestown, EU edition?.
I feel the coolaid we have to drink is coming next
Last edited by Airbornewolf on Sat Feb 26, 2022 4:28 pm; edited 1 time in total
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This should be in the hands of military, this is escalating and spreading due to half measures
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https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/ukraine/2022-02-25/coming-ukrainian-insurgency?utm_source=twitter_posts&utm_campaign=tw_daily_soc&utm_medium=social
Russian forces have struck targets across Ukraine and seized key facilities and swaths of territory. The Ukrainian military is no match for this Russian juggernaut. Although some reports suggest Ukrainian troops have rebuffed attacks in certain parts of the country, it seems more likely that Russian President Vladimir Putin will decide just how far Russia goes into Ukraine. As a retired Russian-speaking CIA operations officer who served in Central Asia and managed agency counterinsurgency operations, I did not think Putin would have attacked Ukraine unless he had already devised a reliable end game, given the costs of an intractable conflict. But Putin’s best-laid plans might easily unravel in the face of popular Ukrainian national resistance and an insurgency.
If Russia limits its offensive to the east and south of Ukraine, a sovereign Ukrainian government will not stop fighting. It will enjoy reliable military and economic support from abroad and the backing of a united population. But if Russia pushes on to occupy much of the country and install a Kremlin-appointed puppet regime in Kyiv, a more protracted and thorny conflagration will begin. Putin will face a long, bloody insurgency that could spread across multiple borders, perhaps even reaching into Belarus to challenge Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, Putin’s stalwart ally. Widening unrest could destabilize other countries in Russia’s orbit, such as Kazakhstan, and even spill into Russia itself. When conflicts begin, unpredictable and unimaginable outcomes can become all too real. Putin may not be prepared for the insurgency—or insurgencies—to come.
WINNER’S REMORSE
Many a great power has waged war against a weaker one, only to get bogged down as a result of its failure to have a well-considered end game. This lack of foresight has been especially palpable in troubled occupations. It was one thing for the United States to invade Vietnam in 1965, Afghanistan in 2001, and Iraq in 2003; likewise for the Soviet Union to enter Afghanistan in 1979. It was an altogether more difficult task to persevere in those countries in the face of stubborn insurgencies.
Russia can likely seize as much of Ukraine’s territory as it chooses. But plans to pacify Ukraine will require far more than the reserve forces Putin has suggested might occupy the territory as “peacekeepers” after initial combat objectives are met. Thanks to Putin’s aggression, anti-Russian fervor and homegrown nationalism have surged in Ukraine. Ukrainians have spent the last eight years planning, training, and equipping themselves for resisting a Russian occupation. Ukraine understands that no U.S. or NATO forces will come to its rescue on the battlefield. Its strategy doesn’t depend on turning back a Russian invasion, but rather in bleeding Moscow so as to make occupation untenable.
Any future insurgency will benefit from Ukraine’s geography. The country is bordered by four NATO states: Hungary, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia. Belarus, a Russian ally, is itself bordered by Poland on the west and another NATO member—Lithuania—on the north. These long borders offer the United States and NATO an enduring way to support Ukrainian resistance and a long-term insurgency and to stoke unrest in Belarus should the United States and its allies choose to covertly aid opposition to Lukashenko’s regime.
Moldova, to the southwest of Ukraine, is also an intriguing player. Although nominally neutral (neutrality is written into its constitution), Moldova has cooperated in the past with the United States and NATO; it has a somewhat frigid relationship with Moscow thanks to ongoing tensions over the breakaway republic of Transnistria, a narrow strip of land along the Moldovan-Ukrainian border. Moscow props up this separatist entity, which is garrisoned by Russian troops in the name of “peacekeeping.” Its role in Transnistria is pushing Moldova toward the West. Last November, Maia Sandu, a former Moldovan prime minister, defeated the Russia-backed incumbent president. Moldova is not likely to overtly provoke the Kremlin, but Sandu might be willing to covertly cooperate with Ukraine’s resistance.
As the United States learned in Vietnam and Afghanistan, an insurgency that has reliable supply lines, ample reserves of fighters, and sanctuary over the border can sustain itself indefinitely, sap an occupying army’s will to fight, and exhaust political support for the occupation at home. Russia would also have to think twice before trying to chase insurgents across the border into Poland, for instance, since such actions could trigger war with NATO.
LINES OF SUPPORT
The United States will invariably be a major and essential source of backing for a Ukrainian insurgency. During the Obama and Trump administrations, the United States acted with restraint in responding to Russian cyberattacks, disinformation, and military expansionism. Washington did not want to unleash a spiral of escalation it could not control, risking Russian reprisals against U.S. banks, businesses, and infrastructure. The Biden administration, however, has so far been less tentative in its dealings with Russia. To counter Russian moves, it has exposed Russia-associated hackers and recovered funds stolen through cyberattack ransoms, extradited Russian oligarchs to stand trial in the United States, and declassified intelligence on Russian plans in Ukraine to unify support among allies and shape the media narrative.
If a viable, independent Ukraine remains standing, whether ruled from Kyiv or Lviv (the largest city in the western part of the country), the United States and its NATO allies can openly aid in its in defense with weapons, training, and cash. It’s reasonable to deduce that the CIA’s legal charter to partner with foreign intelligence counterparts has allowed it to provide training and materials to its Ukrainian partners for years, just as U.S. military trainers have worked with and supplied their Ukrainian counterparts.
This aid will have to become covert if Russia seizes the government and fully occupies the country. Military support for action against a sovereign country with which the United States is not at war has to be clandestine, much like U.S. support for the Afghan mujahideen against the Soviet Union in the 1980s, for Iraq’s Kurds prior to the 2003 invasion, and, less successfully, for rebels in Syria a decade ago. Attacking behind enemy lines would require a presidential covert action finding funded by Congress. Of course, a version of this authorization probably already exists and might at most need modification by the White House as a new congressional Memorandum of Notification to accommodate the shifting circumstances.
Supporting an insurgency is in the CIA’s DNA. Its forerunner, the Office of Strategic Services, came into its own during World War II through supporting resistance forces in France, the Netherlands, and East Asia. The CIA’s recent experience in supporting and fighting insurgencies in Afghanistan, Iraq, and Syria prepares it well for opposing Russia’s modern, conventional forces. The United States can help Ukrainian insurgents in hitting targets with the greatest military value and psychological impact.
A Yahoo News report in January described a covert CIA training program for elite Ukrainian special operations forces and other intelligence personnel that was launched in 2015 by the Obama administration following Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014. According to the report, the effort included the deployment of CIA paramilitary officers to Ukraine. Such programs mature over time as trust grows between the trainers and their foreign counterparts and as the recipients teach what they have learned to others.
U.S. and Ukrainian officials have long planned for this day. In all likelihood, a covert program to help organize the resistance to Russia already has communications infrastructure, intelligence collection capabilities, and operational plans in place. And the tactics developed to support defensive operations against an invader can transition to those aimed at hobbling an occupying force.
FORCES UNLEASHED
An anti-Russian insurgency will no doubt face obstacles and endure setbacks. Putin is aware of the possibility of Ukrainian resistance to a wider Russian occupation. U.S. officials have alleged that the Russian government maintains lists of Ukrainian political and security officials it would arrest—or even assassinate—once it has seized the country and lists of pro-Kremlin figures it would hope to install. Russia would seek to undermine any insurgency by moving expeditiously to eliminate likely leaders and enablers of the resistance.
An insurgency against Russian forces in Ukraine will take time to gather steam and achieve its goals. Resistance movements can take years—not months—to mature, organize, and achieve a meaningful offensive tempo. Even as an American, I could have easily walked the streets or dined in the cafes of Kabul in 2002 and Baghdad in 2003 without a care in the world. But a year or two later, I had to wear body armor and be accompanied by a protective security detail that ferried me around in heavily armored vehicles, hoping to avoid ambushes and improvised explosive device strikes.
Ukrainian insurgents will have to reckon with advances in modern technology that make their work more difficult. During World War II, the Vietnam War, and the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, organized bands of partisans could disperse to the countryside or into the hills. Escaping the reach of occupying forces is harder now thanks to drones, satellites, and thermal imagery. Insurgents will undertake cross-border raids but sustained military operations further behind enemy lines will require help from those living in such areas—people leading ostensibly normal lives who secretly have access to weapons and secure communications and can thereby evade Russian detection. The Russians will label the attacks of these operatives as acts of terrorism while people in the West will applaud them as the deeds of freedom fighters.
Early on, it is likely the Russians will uncover many rings of insurgents, quickly unmasking the insurgency’s initial leaders after years of Russian intelligence collection. But insurgencies adapt swiftly—far faster than the large, structured armies they are fighting—and new leaders emerge molded by their adverse early experiences. Their agility becomes an enormous advantage.
Russia would hope to either limit its incursion to parts of Ukraine whose populations might be more inclined to accept Russian rule or act with such lightning speed so as to seize and pacify the country before a viable resistance can find its legs. But Russia’s military advantages over Ukrainian forces will diminish as the enemy it fights changes from an organized army to a decentralized and mobile resistance. Occupation forces will be subject to harassing attacks designed to both inflict casualties and undermine military discipline. An influence campaign replete with horrific images of carnage—of both civilian Ukrainian and Russian military deaths—will aim to sow antiwar sentiment in Russia and counter Moscow’s narrative that their forces were welcomed as liberators by grateful locals.
Putin’s motivations in starting this war of choice remain the subject of great debate. They may become clearer in the coming days and weeks as Russia continues its offensive. But if his aims are maximalist—redrawing borders or even toppling the current government—an insurgency is inevitable. For both Putin and his enemies, it will be hard to control the forces that have now been unleashed
Last edited by Sujoy on Sat Feb 26, 2022 4:34 pm; edited 1 time in total
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kvs wrote:PhSt wrote:Looks like NATzO is going ahead to sanction Russia's central bank. How will this impact Russias 600 bln reserve fund?
Not much. It is not a commercial bank and the reserve fund is not loans. Any attempt to prevent Russia from using its euros will
result in a quick disconnection from SWIFT and the ensuing detonation of energy and vital raw material prices. NATzO will fall into
a depression and not merely a mild recession.
Sergey Glazyev advocated a debt moratorium conference some 6 years ago. IMF debtors to all default on their debt simultaneously to create a great banking cataclysm, and Greece can have a referendum to leave the EU/NATO and declare a debt moratorium....a royal f*ck you to the Eurocrats!
Obviously their should be some exemptions, like nation states that lend money nation-to-nation, while Western private bankers can eat urinal cakes!
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"There is a strong likelihood that it was the American UAVs that directed Ukrainian boats at the ships of the Russian Black Sea Fleet," the spokesman said in a briefing Saturday.
According to Konashenkov's information, 16 Ukrainian Navy boats using 'swarm tactics' attempted to attack Russian warships near Zmiinyi Island (Snake Island) off Odessa, southwestern Ukraine on Friday night during the evacuation of 82 Ukrainian troops that surrendered to Russian forces from the island.
WTF
It's time to take the gloves off guys this is dangerous now
Russia cannot afford to focus on Ukraine, the west is escalating dangerously, those missiles in Poland and Romania are extremely threatening in these circumstances
Ukraine needs to be ended so the main war effort can be directed towards europe
Last edited by Arkanghelsk on Sat Feb 26, 2022 4:38 pm; edited 1 time in total
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bitcointrader70- Posts : 271
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Looks like another Russian convoy hit. Wtf are they doing.
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bitcointrader70 wrote:https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Nf1cSpcjWb0&feature=emb_title
Looks like another Russian convoy hit. Wtf are they doing.
I have disagreed with you countless times
But you are correct, this is blowing up in our faces
Konashenkov is expressing displeasure at the restraint the whole military is exercising because this imbecile in Kremlin is being led by the leash by our enemies
They have seized our ship and pindos are coordinating Ukrs from drone
Morale is dangerously low, where the f is Moscow
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Airbornewolf wrote:Propaganda in the West in the western media is just openly psychopathic and deranged. i really have no other words for it.
From my country: translated to english "Russia threatens to crash ISS on Europe"
To top it off, it is an paid article if you want to read it......the propaganda
Can somebody go get me out of Jim Jones his Jonestown, EU edition?.
I feel the coolaid we have to drink is coming next
]
I'm feeling exactly the same!
I have had online death threats for just suggesting people inform themselves on what happened in donbas for 8 years.
I have long ago taken opsec measures online in open accounts not posting a thing in favour of Russia.
I use anon accounts for that. I feel scared for what would happen if people found out i do not hate russia.
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The Russian State Duma Chairman, Vyacheslav Volodin, said that when he and his colleagues were returning from Cuba to Moscow on Friday, their plane had to change its route after Finland and Sweden closed their airspace for Russian airlines. This happened despite the fact that the route had been approved in advance. The flight lasted 45 minutes longer, he added.
The west is emboldened, this is a critical error of Putin , all of this is snowballing into a shitstorm if not corrected ASAP
why the #^#^ is a diplomatic plane in cuba, bring the goddamn nuclear missiles to Caracas
Be proactive, the war is with the west guys
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The Ottoman wrote:A very grim video at Telegram. Destroyed Russian paratroopers and equipment scattered across Ukrainian field. Several of the soldiers are ripped in half. Their vehicles completely obliterated. See for yourself. This is not good.
You are damn turkroach but I have seen vids, mfs are walking with NLAWS around our guys
This is disaster that this is getting out on media
This is on Putin
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Maybe Russia had just prepared the ones already fired. Now it takes a while as they prepare new ones.
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miketheterrible wrote:Japan was begging Russia for years for energy and to do a deal with Kuril Islands.
In the end, Japan will get nothing as usual besides screwed over.
They were lucky at the end of WWII. According to the Jalta conference Hokkaido is part of the Kuril Islands chain. Russia let the Japanese keep it.
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Urluber wrote:Preparing of cruise missiles takes time. You need to know where you should program it to fly to.
Maybe Russia had just prepared the ones already fired. Now it takes a while as they prepare new ones.
The damn tupolevs should be carpet bombing the Ukrs
There is loathing brewing in Russia , these images are spreading around
The declaration of MOD just a while ago, the punitive western attitude, this is boiling
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West is in full info-war and it is their target to get pro-Russians questioning the ability of Russian leadership to handle this.
Moscow may have done small tactical error with winding down the operation last night due to expecting negotiations. Kiovans, and westerners alike, took advantage of this, regrouped and are now doing what they can.
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Urluber wrote:Flags in colors of Russia and Chechen republic have been raised in Kiev area. Allegedly in Gostomel. Kievan flag can be seen on ground.
edit: Kadyrov states Chechen team has secured a base formerly belonging to Kievan forces.
The Chechens in the 90´s wanted a caliphate. They can have one now, the area between Kiev and Lvov.
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Which telegram channel is this? Most videos on Telegram are doctored.The Ottoman wrote:A very grim video at Telegram. Destroyed Russian paratroopers and equipment scattered across Ukrainian field. Several of the soldiers are ripped in half. Their vehicles completely obliterated. See for yourself. This is not good.
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Precision strike on their skulls.
You've already lost the first cold war, lost 40 million something in WW2. Russia won't get many more chances to get this shit right with these clowns. They ain't messing around.
Now they're claiming they'll be supporting Ukraine with equipment for an insurgency - even directly from Macron - that little banker. Directly challenging Putin's assertion that no one will be allowed to interfere. The rat chain is obviously operating with the border with Poland.
If Putin needs a few shots of vodka's to feel himself in his Chechen war time prime years he better drink them soon cause this is going to need an energetic leadership hand.
Last edited by ATLASCUB on Sat Feb 26, 2022 5:04 pm; edited 1 time in total
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There seems to be some equipment around. Could be donated to Novorossiya if functional
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