https://twitter.com/gbazov/status/1512489358087049222
https://twitter.com/NuestraIraSLG/status/1512314489257050114
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kvs wrote:Mercouris is fretting that Russia may not fully grasp that the clowns running the US are going to go for broke.
I think he is wrong. This is not about Ukraine and Russia's government gamed a confrontation with NATzO.
It would be retarded not to do so. Since NATzO is bent on destroying Russia, it does not matter what tricks
it tries to use, including their Ukr proxies. As their proxies get removed from the board, NATzO deciders will
have to commit their own asses to attempt to get what they want. But their asses will be carbonized.
All that fantasy about preemptive nuclear strikes on Russia is not going to create reality.
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flamming_python wrote:kvs wrote:Mercouris is fretting that Russia may not fully grasp that the clowns running the US are going to go for broke.
I think he is wrong. This is not about Ukraine and Russia's government gamed a confrontation with NATzO.
It would be retarded not to do so. Since NATzO is bent on destroying Russia, it does not matter what tricks
it tries to use, including their Ukr proxies. As their proxies get removed from the board, NATzO deciders will
have to commit their own asses to attempt to get what they want. But their asses will be carbonized.
All that fantasy about preemptive nuclear strikes on Russia is not going to create reality.
There's no point destroying Russia is you end up destroying yourself too. I don't think the West will risk it
However there's a new Cold War officially on, and like the first major conflict of the previous Cold War was Korea, we are now seeing the Ukraine as the new battleground - and perhaps with the same outcome
NATO needs to block Russia from linking with Hungary, so it may well decide to enter Western Ukraine, regardless of whatever capitulation Kiev ends up signing - NATO will find an excuse, and Russia won't risk escalating against them, so long as they keep to Western Ukraine. Russia will keep the rest of the battered country.
Next the battleground will the best of the world, NATO will pursue a strategy of containment against Russia, China and Iran, and will engineer coups, military interventions and so on.
It will have to drop the globalist model, even Scholz is talking about this - and thus play by the same rules as everyone else. But without the food and energy resources. It will have to gain those from other continents.
I'm predicting military action against Saudi Arabia. They're moving closer towards China and burying the hatchet with Iran. Can't be allowed.
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Podlodka77 wrote:What the United States sells and makes a living from; McDonalds (garbage), Coca-Cola (garbage), Starbucks - what the hell do they know about coffee?
A land of illusions, lies, deception, hypocrisy, Hollywood lies, etc. The only, but the only good thing that originated in the USA is the blues and rock and roll.
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Podlodka77 wrote:flamming_python wrote:kvs wrote:Mercouris is fretting that Russia may not fully grasp that the clowns running the US are going to go for broke.
I think he is wrong. This is not about Ukraine and Russia's government gamed a confrontation with NATzO.
It would be retarded not to do so. Since NATzO is bent on destroying Russia, it does not matter what tricks
it tries to use, including their Ukr proxies. As their proxies get removed from the board, NATzO deciders will
have to commit their own asses to attempt to get what they want. But their asses will be carbonized.
All that fantasy about preemptive nuclear strikes on Russia is not going to create reality.
There's no point destroying Russia is you end up destroying yourself too. I don't think the West will risk it
However there's a new Cold War officially on, and like the first major conflict of the previous Cold War was Korea, we are now seeing the Ukraine as the new battleground - and perhaps with the same outcome
NATO needs to block Russia from linking with Hungary, so it may well decide to enter Western Ukraine, regardless of whatever capitulation Kiev ends up signing - NATO will find an excuse, and Russia won't risk escalating against them, so long as they keep to Western Ukraine. Russia will keep the rest of the battered country.
Next the battleground will the best of the world, NATO will pursue a strategy of containment against Russia, China and Iran, and will engineer coups, military interventions and so on.
It will have to drop the globalist model, even Scholz is talking about this - and thus play by the same rules as everyone else. But without the food and energy resources. It will have to gain those from other continents.
I'm predicting military action against Saudi Arabia. They're moving closer towards China and burying the hatchet with Iran. Can't be allowed.
Really, Saudi Arabia? And what about Algeria, Egypt, Iran? Will they attack Brazil, Argentina, Peru, Cuba and Venezuela? The West has been masturbating to the glorious Roman Empire for over 2,000 years, and that is how it will end. A small number of reasonable people and people who think for themselves have remained in the West - they are a minority. The West has made its population obedient oxen that listen to their media almost as one. There is a greater chance of a nuclear war than a change of government and coups in Russia or China.
What coups are you writing about? Man, that is no longer the case, and Russia has bitten the hook that will most likely hit the head of the fisherman. There is no chance for a coup and a change of government in Russia is not possible. I hope you understand what the word "red line" means, as well as that the Russians have warned not to cross that line.
Podlodka77 wrote:flamming_python wrote:kvs wrote:Mercouris is fretting that Russia may not fully grasp that the clowns running the US are going to go for broke.
I think he is wrong. This is not about Ukraine and Russia's government gamed a confrontation with NATzO.
It would be retarded not to do so. Since NATzO is bent on destroying Russia, it does not matter what tricks
it tries to use, including their Ukr proxies. As their proxies get removed from the board, NATzO deciders will
have to commit their own asses to attempt to get what they want. But their asses will be carbonized.
All that fantasy about preemptive nuclear strikes on Russia is not going to create reality.
There's no point destroying Russia is you end up destroying yourself too. I don't think the West will risk it
However there's a new Cold War officially on, and like the first major conflict of the previous Cold War was Korea, we are now seeing the Ukraine as the new battleground - and perhaps with the same outcome
NATO needs to block Russia from linking with Hungary, so it may well decide to enter Western Ukraine, regardless of whatever capitulation Kiev ends up signing - NATO will find an excuse, and Russia won't risk escalating against them, so long as they keep to Western Ukraine. Russia will keep the rest of the battered country.
Next the battleground will the best of the world, NATO will pursue a strategy of containment against Russia, China and Iran, and will engineer coups, military interventions and so on.
It will have to drop the globalist model, even Scholz is talking about this - and thus play by the same rules as everyone else. But without the food and energy resources. It will have to gain those from other continents.
I'm predicting military action against Saudi Arabia. They're moving closer towards China and burying the hatchet with Iran. Can't be allowed.
Really, Saudi Arabia? And what about Algeria, Egypt, Iran? Will they attack Brazil, Argentina, Peru, Cuba and Venezuela? The West has been masturbating to the glorious Roman Empire for over 2,000 years, and that is how it will end - as the Roman Emiper. A small number of reasonable people and people who think for themselves have remained in the West - they are a minority. The West has made its population obedient oxen that listen to their media almost as one. There is a greater chance of a nuclear war than a change of government and coups in Russia or China.
What coups are you writing about? Man, that is no longer the case, and Russia has bitten the hook that will most likely hit the head of the fisherman. There is no chance for a coup and a change of government in Russia or China. I hope you understand what the word "red line" means, as well as that the Russians have warned not to cross that line.
magnumcromagnon wrote:
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Podlodka77 wrote:FP, do you really think that the United States has the strength to strike at Saudi Arabia, Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Venezuela? Even if they do it all in an interval of 10 years, that is, to hit each of these countries one by one in a different period of time - it is impossible. There are more countries, of course, but it is unlikely that any of those countries will surrender after being hit by Tomahawk cruise missiles and aviation. And again, they did not solve anything, even to attack those countries, because China and Russia still exist.
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magnumcromagnon wrote:Now it makes sense why the Israeli's were quick accuse Russia of war crimes. For the record FlammingPussy back in 2014 angrily lectured me about why I shouldn't condemn the Pissraeli's providing military technical support for the Ukronie/Ukrazi lol!
Dr.Snufflebug wrote:Dr.Snufflebug wrote:Ispan wrote:Dr.Snufflebug wrote:[
...The warhead was almost certainly the anti-personnel 9N123F, given the lack of an impact crater and lack of significant structural damage on surrounding buildings. It blows up about 20m above ground, showering the area in shrapnel..
A single warhead? I hadn't looked at the photos and I thought they were cluster munitions.
No briefing today but found this good report of today's fighting
https://topwar.ru/194668-protivnik-ispolzuet-taktiku-manevrennoj-oborony-svodka-po-specoperacii-vs-rf-na-ukraine.html
I see almost no structural damage at all anywhere, and no craters, just piles of dead people that look as though they've been shot, again consistent with shrapnel. A few cars parked nearby caught fire though - red hot shrapnel pierced their fuel tanks I guess.
I'd guess that the warhead exploded some 50 meters north west of the station, above the rails at 15-20m altitude tops (the datasheet for the warhead says 10-20m). Most dead are in the outdoor waiting area to the south adjacent to the station. One person was killed on the parking lot in front of the station, right where the burned cars are, and there is an opening towards the area of explosion right there, between the station and another structure.
Meanwhile, the thin tin roofs of several adjacent buildings are untouched etc. Suggesting a near horizontal shrapnel "spray" pattern from low altitude.
edit:south waiting area too
So, just based on the photos and videos:
I am no expert on any of these things so I could be completely wrong, but typically the engine unit falls off shortly before impact and has a lot more drag and less momentum (grid fins, blunt front, empty husk of metal) than the warhead (streamlined, heavy), so it falls short of the intended target, in this case a bit over 100m, and it gives a rough idea of the trajectory.
The warhead that I am guessing it was (9N123F), again I could be wrong but that's what it looks like to me, has a stated coverage of between 2 and 3 hectares, so I went with about 2.5 hectares here. Since it detonates at a low altitude, stated as 15 +/- 5m, buildings of modest height are enough to absorb a lot of it (it is designed to be used in the open), and would create obvious "shadows" for the 14 500 pieces of pre-fractured anti-personnel shrapnel it carries, which is also supported by the locations of the victims.
Flight path is just a rough estimate, the engine unit doesn't necessarily fall *completely* in line, but never far from it, absolutely certain southwestern origin. We do know from eyewitnesses that they saw and heard it incoming from the southwest as well, and the RU MoD immediately mentioned Dobropolye/Dobropillya specifically. So all of that adds up.
So, just to illustrate my line of thought, nothing else. R.I.P to those poor souls...
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