Russian special military operation in Ukraine #34

Russia can repair any of its infrastructure. It uses its own industry for its infrastructure.

Another buk lanceted.

When you shot down 30 out of 35 enemy drones...

One example of highly creative Ukrainian math goes back to the spring of 2014 and the airstrikes on Lugansk city center.

Locals filmed a Ukrainian Su-25 flying above the city and launching a salvo of S-8 rockets straight into the square/park in front of the city administration.

The strike killed and maimed a big bunch of random civilian pedestrians. Nasty footage from ground zero appeared almost instantly and it became one of the galvanizing moments of the conflict. Those in eastern Ukraine who hadn't yet been convinced of Kievs ill intentions now understood it all quite clearly.

But, the attention it got still became a little bit of a PR problem for Kiev. Not that they ever gave two shits about Donbass civilians, they had made that abundantly clear way earlier, but these overly blatant murders put them in somewhat of a bad light anyway.

The solution they came up with was to loudly proclaim that it was AKSHULLY an Igla/Strela MANPADS fired by the evil "Russian occupiers" or whatever, that swerved 180 degrees in the air and locked onto an air conditioner, but being of poor Russo-Mongolian Muscovite genetics, it naturally missed that too and instead hit the ground in a crowded public place. There it exploded not once, not twice but a dozen times across the park.

Western media was like phew, we were worried there for a second, thanks for the watertight explanation, thine Holiness.

So they've been consistent, kinda. If one little MANPADS did all that, just imagine what 5 drones can do. A lawnmower can bend spacetime, a single charge can explode multiple times in vastly different locations, anything's possible with Ukrainian math.

edit: it reminds me of the Ukrainian-developed truck racing game "Big Rigs"... James Rolfe of YouTube fame once ranted about how unfinished and messed up the game was, saying something like...

"Never lose a race again, you are always winner (sic).. Engines equipped  with quantum-phasing molecular mechanics to pass through solid objects... Rear-spinning tires with warp-drive velocity for interdimensional exploring, leave the game behind and exceed the boundaries of existence!"

18-wheeler trucks reversing at mach 5. Ukrainian math/physics...

NB: There are great Ukrainian game developers, like the guys behind the Stalker and Metro series*. Don't get me wrong. The twisted mechanics of that "Big Rigs" game were probably caused by underpaid coders-for-hire facing a stupid deadline.

But still.

*Though the inspiration/source material in both cases is Russian: Strugatsky bros and Tarkovsky in the case of Stalker, and Glukhovsky in the case of Metro. Anyway.

Lancet vs M777
https://vk.com/video-206639135_456262983

It seems Putin tomorrow is going to announce something important. Wonder what might be?

flamying_python wrote:I'm pretty sure this historylegends guy that you and some others embed here is a NATO plant

For one thing this video is not available in my country, I had to connect via VPN for it. Despite the fact that the rest of The Dive's videos are available.

Secondly, he repeats a lot of NATO tropes. Russian lines collapsing, poor logistics, the Ukrainians successfully defending Kiev or at least increasing the costs for Russia past acceptability.
He also questions even the admitted to figure of 100k Ukrainian KIA and opines that it could instead be around 80k. Despite just a few minutes earlier referncing information about the Ukrainians losing 700 casualties in Bakhmut per day. Well if we assume 300 KIA from that 700; and this hazardous situation at Bakhmut has already been going on for a month (actually, longer) - then that's already 9000 Ukrainian KIA from Bakhmut over the past month alone. Yet he's talking about 80k Ukrainian KIA in total across all fronts and over the duration of the entire war.

There is actually no evidence of Russian forces ever suffering poor logistics. Being out of ammo, out of medical supplies, food, spare parts or whatever. Not one case I can think of.
And about collapsing Russian lines, you might make that accusation in the Kharkov region, conditionally. But this fellow specifically referenced it in regards to the VDV standing their ground while others collapsed. The VDV however was never in Kharkov. They were in Kherson - where you can't accuse anyone of collapsing at all. They were simply withdrawn.

As for Kiev; there were some fierce battles there but not from the side of the Ukrainian infantry in forests as he referred to. Mostly in suburb towns such as Irpen. And while he's probably right that Russia wasn't expecting the amount of resistance that it got; I doubt Russia ever had a mind to assault and capture the city either. More than likely Russia was banking on destabilizing the Ukrainian regime. Russia's entrance into Bucha, was in pursuit of that as well - Bucha is where a lot of retired and past Ukrainian politicians and oligarchs live. Tsarev, a higher-up of Yanukovich's government, accompanied Russian forces into Bucha and was negotiating with some people there.
Of course not knowing the Russian language, there is a limit as to the information that this historylegends guy can come across and analyse. But many of his conclusions just sound strange.

Come on, I think you were just judging him when we were all at the doom posting stage of ukraine making alot of gains, you are treating him like he is NFKRZ. But his latest videos were all good especially the casualty count video because he did make some valid points like shogui sugar coating 5,937 deaths on September compared to the DPR website that showed 7k something, then someone on the Youtube comment section agreed with him that until October 4th they started to account DPR troops as Russian troops.

FP wrote:I'm pretty sure this historylegends guy that you and some others embed here is a NATO plant

He's just a kid. He doesn't buy into most of the propaganda tropes and challenges the narrative when it comes to losses and etc. But yes, his lack of ability to read current Russian sources makes him sound bit out of the water. He should stick with history, as he is quite good at covering various historical subjects.

Then again, who covers it better in English?

Russians with attitude might be fun to listen to, but as soon as they touch military subjects, damn... They said, they will not predict anything at least...

Andrei Martyanov got himself into a rut and apart from hating western "presstitutes" he doesn't say anything new in what, 10 videos in a row?

Mercouris and the gang? They cover geopolitics bit, but they can't touch military matters.

But maybe I am too harsh as there is a deafening silence on the Russian military community as well. Even Bakhmut is covered very little.

It's almost as silent as before it all kicked out. Maybe T-80s in winter camo in Belarus are not just for the show...

besides twitter here are channels to view.

https://t.me/s/the_Right_People

https://www.bitchute.com/channel/nnwlaOOuDM1W/

Baron of the Taiga
@baronitaigas
·
6h
: Russia claims to have captured two officers of the 80th Airborne Brigade of Ukraine, responsible for the recorded mass execution of surrendered Russian troops in Lugansk.

President of Croatia: "Ukraine is not our ally."


https://www.rt.com/news/568616-croatia-ukraine-not-ally/

No the suits have held the army back, This war would have been over by now if the army had been able to do what it was allowed to from the start.

No, it cannot, The more time goes by the worse it will get for them.

You way overestimate your logic, just like Kherson was a "trap".

You are wrong and sure you might think you are right but to avoid a pointless argument, I'll leave it at that.

footage from Ukrainian mi 24 wingman of the MI-8 shot down over the DPR.

Both were Mi-8.
Just take a look how dynamic and low they must fly to get a single chance of survival, yet it still is one way ticket mostly ...
The thing seems to be taken down by Tor/Pancyr, I can spot a starting place for Igla or something... Maybe you have better eyes?

One example of highly creative Ukrainian math goes back to the spring of 2014 and the airstrikes on Lugansk city center.

What is a really disturbing part of the whole story - that is true and everyone who follows this mess since the beginning could watch that from the first row - is how shameless the Ukro regime officials used to be even back then.
Turchynov really was talking this outrageous nonsense about exploding AC in front of western presstitutes without any single eyeblink. And nobody was asking questions to this nonsense, they have just forwarded those to the audience.
That is why I really don't blame the native English speakers for having twisted conception of the whole situation.
They used to be convicted to hear and read such a bullshit from the beginning, that they just get used to it.
It is like telling someone that a democratically elected government ordered dropping a cluster warhead of a tactical ballistic missiles on heads of their own citizens, whom they asked to mass for evacuation first.
Nobody sane would believe in that.
It is just shockingly unbelievable.
Democratic govts don't do that. As simple as that.
To understand the mechanics, one must understand that it is not a democratic govt, but a coup regime. A regime that has nothing to do with Ukraine as it was before 2013. A chauvinistic herd of thugs, who care little about anything other than power and money.
People often are telling that "ok, there was a coup, but they had an acting power structures like Rada, that acclaimed the effects after, legitimizing it, right?!"
And how one can respond to that? Is someone haven't seen the nazi thugs keeping a whole hands of voting cards robbed from killed, jailed, terrorized envoys? How can you explain "democracy" concept in a country that kidnapped a vice chairman of Rada, third person in line of the power structures, who was covered by the parliamentary immunity, to someone who has not seen that? How you can explain the freedom and pluralism to someone, who has not watched the Ukrainian TV, and can't remember how those were closed and liquidated one by one?
It is impossible.
That is why I do not blame the people. To see is to believe. They just haven't seen that, because nobody showed it to them.

Post  SeigSoloyvov Today at 5:20 am
No the suits have held the army back, This war would have been over by now if the army had been able to do what it was allowed to from the start.
No, it cannot, The more time goes by the worse it will get for them.
You way overestimate your logic, just like Kherson was a "trap".
You are wrong and sure you might think you are right but to avoid a pointless argument, I'll leave it at that.

And again, you ae talking the things lacking the wider perspective and memory.
This strategy worked perfectly well.
Only you must remind yourself the situation and mood back then in March/April.
In March, Ukrainian army was gone. It was obvious. Anyone who watched that saw a bands of marauders, with empty eyes. Russkie advanced 600 km inside the territory, taking 1/4th of Ukraine, including 70% of it's economy. Negotiations in Turkey started, and more and more pieces of puzzles were coming out that  they are getting some deal.
Cocainsky was stating that non-block status is not so bad. That they can consider it again. Give some guarantees.

What was going on in Europe? You might missed that, so I will tell you. More and more voices arrised, that it was a mistake to ignore the Russkie position concerning security. That it was a mistake to push NATO east, without taking under consideration the Russian point of wiev, and - now focus - historical memory that created social feelings. That no weapon will be delivered, as that will just prolong the conflict and inflict more harm&damage to the Ukrainians. The things used to be stated wide open, loud. At the official levels.
Common sense started to reveal in both Ukr and Europe.

And what happened next?

Well, Crazy Boris arrived Kiev in April, calling the Cocainsky to back off from any kind of agreements.
I do not know how he supported, threatened, or corrupted the clown, yet he succeeded.
Ukrs started to flood the Russkie with overwhelming manpower, substituting the technical disadvantage.
With 200k people involved, they simply could not hold a 2000 km line of contact against - by that time - half a million Ukrs, even if these would have just sticks&stones.
Yet we know that they had much, much more. April on, a constant stream of supply was pumped into 404 from all over the NATO/EU.

That was an end of plan A of Russian operation that de facto worked amazingly well, yet was paralyzed by unlogical Anglosaxon agreement.

So Russkie mover to the plan B, without many issues and doubts other than the Russkie infosphere.
And the B plan is devastating to the 404, and will be devastating to the westerners either.
Ukraine is gone.
There will be no such country anymore other that a shithole wastelands. Depopulated, deindustrialized, deelectrified.
They now have some 20 mln people left.
You do realize that winter barely started here? It will go on till March. With the peak low of temperature usually at the break of Jan/Feb.

IMHO , since towns like Bakhmut and Maryinka .............are fought over by Ukrs , inside the city with some civilian hostages ,  and by the looks of things all buildings are destroyed above ground by Artillery or Tank or Mortar or Grenades , and all or most  civilians above ground are killed , then it is better to save ground troops and instead just bomb by air , the Orcs that are in the town and above ground . If the Orcs take hostages to underground shelters , and they have to do this to survive , then they will mostly survive air bombing . But the Orcs can not go above ground , and RF then can pass over them or encircle them . They are trapped underground , like Mariupol Azov plant scenario . If no underground shelters available , then all civilians are killed anyway , together with the Orcs . But friendly troops are saved . Patriot can not come close , because taken out by drones . And if bombardment done by heavy Mortar or Artillery or SRBM ( cheap mass produced ) , then no planes are put at risk either . Alternate way is to send converted Bus , Truck , APC or Tank , full of explosives ( many Tons )  like ROV , into Town , like ground FOAB , may need only a few like this . Advance covered by smoke .

Ukraine Battle Map
@ukraine_map
·
6h
USA will provide $1.8 Billion in military aid to Ukraine

The package will include:
1. A Patriot Air Defense System
2. Precision Guided Bombs JDAMs
3. HIMARS Ammunition
4. AGM-88 HARM Missiles
5. Artillery and Mortar Shells
6. Trucks, Training, Weapons, and Other Assistance

VKS active. Early Christmas presents?

NOTE: a fairly long read of the need to reevaluate and adapt the SMO

Rethinking the military special operation

There is no plan that the enemy would not try to spoil. The enemy's job is to look for our weak points and try to find an antidote to what we were best prepared for. Having started the military operation, we were finally 100% convinced that the United States needed Ukraine exclusively for the proxy war against Russia. Confirmed by their bitter experience.

In fact, the eight-year occupation of Ukraine by the United States has borne its bloody fruits. First, in the form of the largest civil war in Europe, and then the largest interstate military conflict of the 21st century. Now, on the eve of a large-scale Russian offensive in 2023, it's time to rethink the methods of conducting NMD in order to draw conclusions and bring our Victory closer.

How has the nature of the military operation changed?

FULL ARTICLE: https://topwar-ru.translate.goog/206955-pereosmyslenie-voennoj-specoperacii.html?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en

Ukros erected some mesh around an M777 to stop drones. Lancet was not impressed.

On the topic of the delivery of patriot systems, some on point statement during the interview. Always like these guys, unbiased and critical.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ppcI4qVU6cY

- The delivery of patriot systems is a purely symbolic gesture. System won't show up on the battlefield for months, war basically will be over then.
- Each patriot battery requires a team of around 90+. These Ukraine people have to be trained on a apparently very complex system.
- The system doesn't work. Didn't shoot down any scud missiles in Iraq Freedom, did shoot down lots of ally aircraft.
- Was unable to protect Saudi Arabia against Houthis drone attacks.
- Can not be integrated in the Ukraine air defense network.