I dont think this is the case, but I definitely see it as a possibility as we spend as much on CIA budget as european nations spend in their entire defense budgets, and spook backed NGOs working with the CIA, MI6 and private Intel agencies rake in hundreds of millions each year.
The CIA gets 65 billion from the US budget... and earns who knows how much more from the illegal drug trade... (pumping drugs into Russia and China and other countries that the US has decided are enemies can be profitable)... the Russian defence budget is similar... which is getting the best return for their money... but most sheep in the west will tell you that the US is the centre of civilisation and Russia is corrupt.
That is Ishenko's opinion, but I think HIMARS was never that effective and was mostly a terror weapon for hitting civilian targets. The longer range
missile supplied by the British seems like a more effective option for the suppression of the rear function. But I expect it to be neutralized like the
HIMARS.
It will likely be a repeat... they got a new accurate toy that will defeat Russia because its accurate and amazing and the first few times they use it against Russian military targets it will get shot down. If they try to mass them up to overwhelm the defences they get spotted and attacked because coordinating lots of vehicles to all launch and attack a target to be hit all at once is complex and difficult to manage in the field. Eventually they realise that hitting the Russian military forces is hard and so they use it against former Ukrainian citizens in what is now Russian territory... and they will likely do the same with Storm shadow.
One funny thing is that this missile has a greater range than allowed for export so it will allow Russia to arm Iran, north Korea and Venezuela with real kalibr and oniks with max ranges and not export versions.
But considering the British are giving these missiles and the US is openly refusing to follow their lead perhaps Argentina might want some new aircraft and missiles and ships and subs.
With Iran perhaps letting them have them anyway is the key so if the UK apologises and stops supplying DU ammo and long range missiles... in fact stops supporting Kiev completely then Russian deliveries to Argentina wont be so aggressive... but I rather doubt the UK will stop so I would improve relations with Argentina anyway.
You really think NATO will shoot missiles across the border at Russian planes? I doubt it.
I think they will claim the inaccurate Russian missiles are landing on their side of the border and therefore they are protecting themselves by shooting down ordinance that approaches their territory... you know what lying
they are.
NATO transports delivering food to Kiev? Take out the Runway and destroy the planes on the ground.
Starving the civilian population is a war crime I am sure they will demand a HATO intervention to save the innocent nazis...
Even if NATO is forced to fly stuff in, the logistics cost imposed on them will be MASSIVE.
They have already spent over 100 billion dollars... that is double the Russian defence budget for the same time period...
The failure to make any meaningful effort at interdiction is perplexing. Its been a puzzling gap in this campaign.
They have spent the first year and a half of this conflict trying to spare Ukrainians civilians... rescuing Ukrainian civilians from shelling by Kiev was a big part of why they invaded.
Thinking they might now try to starve out the rest of the Ukrainian civilian population would contradict what they have done so far and also why they went in there in the first place.
Add to it, it also lights a fire under Russian leadership asses to actually do something.
It is the enemy that are in the shit, Russia is pretty much on target and doing what it needs to do, while the west is pissing itself and is now in the process of lashing out at every country that did not conform to its sanctions against Russia. The backlash from that should be entertaining.
But honestly, sometimes it's better for Russia to go on the offensive to break any kind of attempt of a counter offensive - strike at Kharkov region and push forward there. This may force Ukriane to divert forces in that area that would have been otherwise used in an offensive.
They have been building defences and preparing for an enemy offensive for some time and you want them to ignore all that and charge at the enemy?
Are you changing camps?
Listen to the west... they started out saying that Crimea probably wont be taken, and now they are saying it will be costly and might not be very successful at all.
The point is that letting them mass up to attack gives the Russian forces nice juicy targets to destroy and once a big percentage of their attacking forces are destroyed then it makes sense to then start attacking and pushing them back in their weakened state.
Go to early and you make things easier for them not you.
If Putn only had enforced the red lines since the start of the w... Whatever, I am talking to mindless NPC's here.
What has happened at every Orc escalation... remind me what happened when they managed to hit the Crimean bridge... didn't the lights start to go out all across Ukraine?
This will be interesting.
And Putin.
Putin has no hand in military planning, and cries about incompetence in the Russian military are amusing to say the least... if they were incompetent then why is there a war on... shouldn't it be over by now because of the amazing western all powerful HATO and its prodigy Kiev and their nazi band?
Either Russian MOD is really not up to the task and lacks the courage of Wagner troops or they want to let the forces go in just enough to give them confidence to start a larger offensive and then slam the door once they have committed all of their forces.
These are just probing attacks and not the full attack... wasting forces on the probing forces is a waste of ammo and energy.
Hopefully this will teach them not to plan their military operations based on holidays which is annoying and retarded practice
The only people I have seen mentioning such things are western reporters and officials... is there any actual evidence of this or just wishful thinking.
The US feared further attacks every anniversary of 11/9 for years before they realised that is the sort of shit they like to do and their enemy does not.
It's just I find it hard to square up all this assorted shenanigance with some sort of master plan being at work, to lure the Ukrainians into doing an offensive after all. Although no doubt in my mind, that Russian command will prefer that this Ukro offensive takes place.
A bit ironic they are goading their enemy to attack when the enemy has been promising this attack for a long time to justify all the money and weapons and training it claims to have done... it seems Kiev is losing its bottle and needs more encouragement.... the sky is falling in Russia and so now is the time to attack...