ArgentinaGuard wrote:I understand that there is good news and Russia is very strengthened, but my specific question to the analysts: at what point could there be a general collapse of the Ukrainian front and a Russian advance taking advantage of the situation?
It could be the victory of Donald Trump, which would give the ucros the death card by losing financing, but there could also be sabotage of the US elections as in 2020. I understand that the deep North Americans, the hard-working, are with the Russians a the alternative right. It is the woke liberals of the liberal North American shores who vote for Biden and hate Russia and its traditional values. But the danger is that these people could follow one more mandate.
And not this trench war, which, although Russia is well positioned, does not guarantee victory.
kyiv must be taken no matter what, because it is a political symbol of the regime. But Russia today is quite far from the capital.
Russia
is taking advantage of the situation
Ukraine is in the midst of a general collapse
The west is taking huge economic losses, why should Russia care whether or not Trump or Biden win a mandate? What influence will that have?
Was it not Lloyd Austin, Bidens own secretary of defense that is pleading for Ukraine to stop and negotiate?
Is it not NAFO for whom Article V is just a Wikipedia article?
Are western observers not crying in unison about the Russian defeat of USA on Twitter and reddit ?
What do you mean
not a guaranteed victory?What do you call it then? As Zelenskys mandate ends May 22, what then will it be but an unrecognized regime with whom no peace negotiations can be concluded?
Not to mention the general advance across the front that is very easy and costing Russia very little in terms of life and blood
The war is on easy mode for Russia
It seems to me that general observers in the west use the same logic when describing Israel - Iran proxy war
Somehow the onus is on Iran to prove it is winning and strike back, when indeed they have encircled Israel and Hamas has survived and retaken Beit Hanoun and other areas
Yet we talk about a need for Iran to prove itself? Only it is the US which has lost Iraq, Syria, Lebanon to Iran, and Israel embroiled in an internal conflict
Not to mention a general notice to the general public that the red sea is closed to swimmers, unless you are Russia or China
Which wars are these observers watching? It seems very detached from the reality
From my POV and from most who can comprehend the general state of affairs , hegemony has gone for broke and can't cash the checks it needs to stay in the game